2024_Curitiba_mayoral_election

2024 Curitiba mayoral election

2024 Curitiba mayoral election

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The 2024 Curitiba mayoral election will take place on the city of Curitiba, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, a vice mayor, and 38 councillors. The incumbent mayor, Rafael Greca (PSD) isn't eligible for a new term, since he was elected in 2016 and reelected in 2020.

Quick Facts Party, Leader ...

If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028.[1]

Context

2020 Curitiba mayoral election

The last mayoral election in Curitiba, held in 2020, resulted in the victory of incumbent Rafael Greca, from the Democrats (DEM), in the first round. Greca obtained 499,821 votes or 59.74% of the valid votes. In the second place, the state deputy Goura Nataraj, from the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) only obtained 110,977 or around 13.26% of the valid votes and the other candidates did not reach double digits in vote percentages.[2]

Greca's victory in the first round is linked to the enormous popularity he had and still has in the city. In December 2023, the mayor's management was approved by around 73% of Curitiba's inhabitants.[3] As he is in his second consecutive term, Greca cannot run for re-election, due to limitations imposed by the Federal Constitution. There is speculation that the current Vice Mayor of Curitiba, Eduardo Pimentel, will be his successor.[4]

Electorate

In February 2024, Curitiba had around 1,419,395 people eligible to vote,[5] an increase of 5% in the electorate compared to the last election and around 80% of the city's population eligible to vote (1,773,718), according to the 2022 Brazilian Demographic Census.[6] The city is divided into ten electoral zones (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 145th, 174th, 175th, 176th, 177th and 178th).[7] Voters have until 8 May 2024 to make their first copy of the electoral title or regularize it with the biometric registration.[8]

Electoral calendar

Electoral calendar announced by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on 3 January 2024[9]
7 March – 5 April Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms.
6 April Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party.
15 May Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet.
20 July – 5 August On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice.
16 August Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines.
30 August –3 October Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television.
6 October Date of mayoral elections.
27 October Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes.

Candidates

Potential candidates

Brazil Union (UNIÃO)

Brazil Socialist Party (PSB)

  • Luciano Ducci – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2003–2004), Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2005–2010), Mayor of Curitiba (2010–2013), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2015–present), candidate in the 2012 Curitiba mayoral election and physician.[10]

Social Democratic Party (PSD)

  • Eduardo Pimentel – Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2017–present) and businessman.[10]

Liberal Party (PL)

  • Paulo Martins – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2016; 2019–2023) and journalist.[10]
  • Ricardo Arruda – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (Mar–Jul 2013) and member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2015–present).[11]

Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB)

Democratic Labour Party (PDT)

Solidarity (Solidariedade)

  • Luizão Goulart – Councillor of Pinhais (1997–2005), president of the Municipal Chamber of Pinhais (2001–2002), Mayor of Pinhais (2009–2017), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2019–2023) and teacher.[13]

Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)

Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB)[lower-alpha 2]

National Mobilization (MOBILIZA)

  • Roberto Requião – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (1983–1986), Mayor of Curitiba (1986–1989), Governor of Paraná (1991–1994; 2003–2010), Senator for Paraná (1995–2003; 2011–2019), lawyer, journalist and urban planner.[17]

Progressistas (PP)

United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)

Withdrawn candidates

  • Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023) and retired federal prosecutor.[12] The former Lava Jato prosecutor announced the withdrawal of his potential candidacy on 3 May 2024. He states that he will dedicate himself to campaigns and the training of his own party's politicians throughout Brazil.[19]
  • Carol Dartora (PT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2021–2023) and member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present).[10]
  • Zeca Dirceu (PT) – Mayor of Cruzeiro do Oeste (2005–2010), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2011–present) and businessman.[20]
  • Felipe Mongruel (Magal) [PT] – Lawyer.[21]

The Workers' Party, through its National Executive, formally announced its support for the potential candidacy of former mayor Luciano Ducci on 27 May 2024. Due to this decision, it is unlikely that any of the party's potential candidates would be able to launch a candidacy. However, these former candidates can still have an appeal to the Workers' Party National Directorate, which has already signaled that it intends to support other candidacies from other parties that are supporting the government in the National Congress, such as the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) itself.[22] Dartora and Mongruel decided to not appeal the decision of the National Executive, putting an end once and for all to the aspirations of having their own mayoral candidacies. Only Dirceu decided to appeal to the National Directorate. The appeal does not yet have a date to be analyzed.[23] Along with the Workers' Party itself, the other parties that belong to the Brazil of Hope alliance, such as the Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) and the Green Party (PV), will also support Ducci's candidacy.[24]

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

More information Affiliation, Members ...

Opinion polls

First round

2024

More information 27 May, Pollster/client(s) ...

2023

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Second round

These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.

Luciano Ducci and Eduardo Pimentel

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Luciano Ducci and Ney Leprevost

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Luciano Ducci and Roberto Requião

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Ney Leprevost and Eduardo Pimentel

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Ney Leprevost and Roberto Requião

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Eduardo Pimentel and Roberto Requião

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...

Hypothetical scenario with Deltan Dallagnol

More information Pollster/client(s), Date(s) conducted ...
Eduardo Pimentel and Deltan Dallagnol (withdrawn)

Rejection of candidates

In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.

More information 27 May 2024, Pollster/client(s) ...

Notes

  1. The party does not have a floor leader since April 2024.
  2. The party asked to change its name to “Por Mais Brasil” (For More Brazil), but the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) hasn't allowed the name change yet.[16]
  3. Between March and April 2024, councilors were able to change parties during the so-called "party window" without losing their respective terms.[26]
  4. Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia and Zezinho Sabará, all previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the four councillors who joined the Social Democratic Party (PSD) during the "party window".
  5. Tito Zeglin, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) and João da 5 Irmãos (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) during the party window.
  6. Mauro Bobato, previously affiliated with Podemos (PODE) joined Progressistas (PP) during the party window, and in the same period, Eder Borges left the party.
  7. Leonidas Dias, previously affiliated with Solidariedade and Sargento Tânia Guerreiro, previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined Podemos during the party window, and in the same period, Mauro Bobato left the party.
  8. Eder Borges, previously affiliated with Progressistas (PP) and Rodrigo Reis (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the two councillors who joined PL during the party window.
  9. Ezequias Barros, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB), joined the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) during the party window.
  10. Hernani, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) and Pastor Marciano Alves (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the Republicans during the party window, and in the same period, Osias Moraes left the party.
  11. All the eight councillors affiliated with UNIÃO (Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia, Zezinho Sabará, Rodrigo Reis, Sargento Tânia Guerreiro and João da 5 Irmãos) left the party in April 2024, during the so-called "party window". As a result, the UNIÃO bench was emptied until Alexandre Leprevost (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the party.
  12. Osias Moraes (previously affiliated with the Republicans) joined the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) during the party window.
  13. Salles do Fazendinha, previously affiliated with the Christian Democracy (DC), joined Sustainability Network (REDE) during the party window.
  14. Dalton Borba, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) joined Solidariedade during the party window; and in the same period, the councillors Leonidas Dias, Alexandre Leprevost and Pastor Marciano Alves left the party.
  15. Councillors Dalton Borba and Tito Zeglin left the party during the party window.
  16. Hernani left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
  17. Salles do Fazendinha left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
  18. Ezequias Barros left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
  19. The Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS) merged into Solidariedade in February 2023.[28]
  20. Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[29]
  21. The Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos in June 2023.[30]
  22. Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[29]
  23. Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[31]
  24. Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[31]
  25. Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.3%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 0.8%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.1%
  26. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 3.5%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 3.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.7% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 1.3%
  27. Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 4.4%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 4.2%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 3.6%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 1.4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0.1%
  28. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  29. Cristina Graeml (PMB)
  30. Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 10.3%; Ricardo Arruda (PL) with 5.2%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 3.4% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 0.1%
  31. Cristina Graeml (PMB)
  32. Maria Victoria (PP) with 4.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 1.8% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.5%
  33. Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.8%; Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 3.5%
  34. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 6.8% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 5.8%
  35. Cristina Graeml (PMB)
  36. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 6,4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0,5%
  37. Valdemar Jorge (NOVO)
  38. Maria Victoria (PP)
  39. Polling aggregator
  40. Polling aggregator
  41. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO)
  42. Maria Victoria (PP) with 3% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 3%
  43. Gustavo Fruet (PDT) with 6%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 2%; Márcia Huçulak (PSD) with 2%; Professor Euler (MDB) with 1% and Denian Couto (PODE) with 1%
  44. Denian Couto (PODE)
  45. Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.6% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.7%
  46. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  47. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  48. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO)
  49. The opinion poll was carried out in July 2023 by the Instituto Veritá, without specifying a sample size.
  50. The opinion poll was carried out in July 2023 by the Instituto Veritá, without specifying a sample size.
  51. Indiara Barbosa (NOVO)
  52. Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 17.5%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 10.3% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 9.4%
  53. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 6.6%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 5.8%
  54. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 13.3%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 7% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 6.6%
  55. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
  56. The opinion poll does not specify the exact percentage, but rather a value below 1%
  57. Gustavo Fruet (PDT) with 6%; Márcia Huçulak (PSD) with 1% and Denian Couto (PODE) with 1%; Professor Euler (MDB) didn't achieve 1% of the votes.
  58. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 7.5% and Ilana Lerner Hoffmann (Ind.) with 7%

References

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  2. "Curitiba/PR: apuração em tempo real de prefeito e vereador". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-03-27.
  3. Sobkowiak, Julia (2023-12-14). "Greca chega a ano eleitoral com 73% de aprovação em Curitiba". Plural (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-03-27.
  4. Henrique, Luiz (2024-02-05). ""Trabalhar muito para Eduardo Pimentel ser meu sucessor", diz Greca sobre Prefeitura de Curitiba". Portal Nosso Dia (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-03-27.
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  13. Klisiewicz, Eduardo Luiz (2023-11-02). "Ex-prefeito de Pinhais quer ser sucessor de Greca em Curitiba". Tribuna do Paraná (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-01-02.
  14. "Andrea Caldas é primeiro nome apontado pelo Psol para disputa à prefeitura de Curitiba". Brasil de Fato – Paraná (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-01-15. Retrieved 2024-01-15.
  15. "Bruno Meirinho lança pré-candidatura à prefeitura pelo PSOL de Curitiba". Brasil de Fato (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-02-26. Retrieved 2024-04-22.
  16. Paraná. "PMB anuncia Cristina Graeml como pré-candidata à prefeitura de Curitiba". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-03-18.
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  20. Ribeiro, Pedro (2024-02-21). "Zeca Dirceu, pré-candidato à Prefeitura de Curitiba, afirma que sabe conquistar votos dos eleitores conservadores da capital". Paraná Portal (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-02-23.
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