California_gubernatorial_election,_2018

2018 California gubernatorial election
Turnout	63.28% 32.34pp
	Newsom: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Cox: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Governor before election; Jerry Brown; Democratic	Elected Governor ; Gavin Newsom; Democratic

2018 California gubernatorial election

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The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for re-election for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California. The race was between the incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican, who qualified for the general election after placing first and second in the June 5, 2018, primary election.

Quick Facts Turnout, Candidate ...

Newsom won in a landslide, with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won re-election in 1950, and the biggest victory for a non-incumbent since 1930; Newsom received almost eight million votes.^[1] The election also marked the first time Orange County had voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history. Newsom assumed office on January 7, 2019.

Primary election

From the later half of 2017, Lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom was widely seen as the favored front runner for the top two primary. Businessman John Cox and Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa had both been running closely behind Newsom to obtain the second place spot. However soon in late 2017, as more prominent Democrats entered the race, Villaraigosa saw his polling numbers slip out of competition with Cox by the start of 2018. This had mainly left the race between Newsom and Cox, with a third place free for all between Allen and Villaraigosa.

Polling

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Notes

Other 5%, Undecided 10%
Other 4%, Undecided 7%
Other 4%, Undecided 19%
Amanda Renteria (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP) with 1%, all other candidates 0%, Undecided 13%
Other 4%, Undecided 13%
Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Klement Tinaj (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Yvonne Girard (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Gloria La Riva (PFP), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Amanda Renteria (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 0%; Undecided with 13%
Other 1%, Undecided 16%
Akinyemi Agbede (D), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Amanda Renteria (D), and Gloria La Riva (PFP) with 1%; Juan Bribiesca (D), Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Klement Tinaj (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Josh Jones (G), Zoltan Istvan (L), Nickolas Wildstar (L), Yvonne Girard (R), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%; Undecided 39%
Albert Mezzetti (D) 2%, Undecided 13%
Amanda Renteria (D) 0%, Undecided 16%
Robert Newman (R) 4%, Amanda Renteria (D) 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%
Other 3%, Undecided 13%
Undecided 28%
Other 1%, Undecided 22%
Robert Newman (R) 3%; Yvonne Girard (R) and Robert Kleinberger* (NPP) with 2%; Daniel Amare* (R), Brian Domingo* (R), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Harmesh Kumar* (D), and James Tran* (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%l; Undecided 21%. *Withdrawn.
Amanda Renteria (D) 2%, Other 6%, Undecided 16%
Other 1%, Undecided 24%
Amanda Renteria (D) 4%, Undecided 12%
Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Other 29%. *Withdrawn.
Doug Ose* (R) 3%. *Withdrawn.
Doug Ose* (R) 3%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 24%. *Withdrawn.
Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Someone else 4%, Undecided 18%. *Withdrawn.
Robert Newman (R), Doug Ose* (R), Tom Steyer† (D), Peter Thiel† (R), and Steve Westly† (D) with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Daniel Amare* (R), Stasyi Barth* (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Brian Domingo* (R), Yvonne Girard (R), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Robert Kleinberger* (NPP), Harmesh Kumar* (D), Peter Yuan Liu (R), James Tran* (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Michael Bilger* (NPP), Andy Blanch* (NPP), Scooter Braun† (D), John-Leslie Brown* (R), David Bush* (NPP), Christopher Carlson (G), Peter Crawford-Valentino* (NPP), Ted Crisell* (D), Grant Handzlik* (NPP), Analila Joya* (NPP), Joshua Laine* (AIP), Chad Mayes† (R), Jacob Morris* (R), Timothy Richardson* (NPP), Boris Romanowsky* (NPP), Michael Shellenberger (D), H. Fuji Shioura* (NPP), Laura Smith* (R), Scot Sturtevant* (NPP), Ashley Swearengin† (R), Klement Tinaj (D), and Frédéric Prinz von Anhalt* (NPP) with 0%; Other with 29%. *Withdrawn. †Hypothetical candidate.
Other 1%, Undecided 28%
Other 1%, Undecided 30%
1,070 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 22% out of 1,504 not voting.
Other 6%
Undecided 33%
David Hadley* (R) 7%, Undecided 37%. *Withdrawn.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Hypothetical polling

with Kevin Faulconer and Eric Garcetti

Results by county

Red represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa.^[132]

More information County, Newsom % ...

County	Newsom %	Cox %	Villaraigosa %	Allen %	Chiang %	Others %
Alameda	53.5%	10.6%	10.0%	4.4%	9.6%	11.9%
Alpine	38.5%	24.1%	6.7%	8.7%	10.4%	11.6%
Amador	21.5%	41.8%	5.8%	15.1%	8.0%	7.8%
Butte	25.6%	34.4%	5.5%	14.5%	6.1%	13.9%
Calaveras	23.3%	38.2%	5.3%	18.1%	6.6%	8.5%
Colusa	13.0%	43.3%	16.0%	16.3%	3.6%	7.8%
Contra Costa	49.9%	19.7%	8.7%	7.4%	6.9%	7.4%
Del Norte	23.4%	27.0%	3.5%	24.8%	7.7%	13.6%
El Dorado	24.5%	40.7%	5.8%	13.9%	8.1%	7.0%
Fresno	16.8%	33.7%	20.2%	14.3%	7.6%	7.4%
Glenn	12.4%	48.1%	7.9%	18.2%	3.3%	10.1%
Humboldt	37.9%	22.3%	5.0%	9.6%	6.4%	18.8%
Imperial	11.8%	22.7%	31.2%	9.8%	7.9%	16.6%
Inyo	22.6%	30.7%	8.6%	15.9%	8.7%	13.5%
Kern	12.1%	40.6%	13.9%	19.9%	5.4%	8.1%
Kings	9.4%	36.7%	17.0%	23.8%	6.7%	6.4%
Lake	37.5%	28.4%	6.6%	12.0%	5.0%	10.5%
Lassen	13.1%	41.7%	2.1%	26.8%	6.6%	9.7%
Los Angeles	32.7%	19.6%	21.7%	5.8%	13.2%	7.0%
Madera	12.8%	40.2%	15.7%	18.9%	5.2%	7.2%
Marin	64.1%	12.5%	8.2%	3.8%	5.3%	6.1%
Mariposa	19.1%	34.9%	8.2%	23.4%	6.3%	8.1%
Mendocino	45.2%	17.9%	7.8%	9.1%	5.1%	14.9%
Merced	18.2%	29.7%	17.9%	16.0%	7.3%	10.8%
Modoc	11.4%	49.9%	3.0%	18.0%	3.1%	14.6%
Mono	31.6%	26.1%	12.2%	12.0%	5.0%	13.1%
Monterey	37.8%	19.8%	16.8%	9.4%	6.6%	9.6%
Napa	46.1%	19.4%	10.0%	9.7%	5.5%	9.3%
Nevada	34.1%	25.7%	5.9%	17.4%	7.0%	9.9%
Orange	24.3%	36.3%	11.4%	11.5%	9.0%	7.5%
Placer	25.7%	40.2%	5.8%	13.1%	9.0%	6.2%
Plumas	26.9%	38.5%	3.8%	15.5%	5.7%	9.6%
Riverside	22.3%	34.4%	13.7%	15.3%	7.5%	6.8%
Sacramento	29.7%	26.2%	10.7%	10.2%	14.5%	8.7%
San Benito	33.6%	23.4%	13.3%	16.0%	4.8%	8.9%
San Bernardino	19.7%	33.9%	15.2%	14.7%	9.2%	7.3%
San Diego	30.5%	32.6%	10.4%	7.5%	9.8%	9.2%
San Francisco	57.5%	6.6%	9.1%	2.2%	8.9%	15.7%
San Joaquin	26.3%	31.4%	11.1%	13.6%	9.3%	8.3%
San Luis Obispo	33.2%	29.4%	6.8%	14.6%	7.3%	8.7%
San Mateo	55.0%	13.9%	10.4%	5.1%	7.1%	8.5%
Santa Barbara	33.8%	26.2%	12.3%	11.5%	6.8%	9.4%
Santa Clara	48.5%	13.9%	10.9%	8.3%	7.7%	10.7%
Santa Cruz	52.4%	11.8%	11.5%	7.0%	4.5%	12.8%
Shasta	16.9%	44.3%	3.9%	19.9%	4.5%	10.5%
Sierra	22.9%	35.1%	3.7%	17.6%	7.1%	13.6%
Siskiyou	23.3%	34.5%	3.4%	18.5%	5.0%	15.3%
Solano	41.6%	23.3%	8.9%	11.3%	6.9%	8.0%
Sonoma	54.6%	16.4%	8.9%	5.5%	4.9%	9.7%
Stanislaus	23.2%	31.6%	12.3%	16.3%	7.3%	9.3%
Sutter	16.4%	40.0%	8.3%	17.4%	8.2%	9.7%
Tehama	13.2%	45.4%	4.5%	21.6%	4.7%	10.6%
Trinity	23.6%	31.4%	4.7%	17.9%	5.4%	17.0%
Tulare	13.9%	36.5%	16.4%	20.4%	5.2%	7.6%
Tuolumne	26.8%	37.6%	5.7%	15.8%	5.6%	8.5%
Ventura	26.7%	32.6%	13.4%	9.1%	11.0%	7.2%
Yolo	31.6%	19.9%	13.7%	7.0%	14.6%	13.2%
Yuba	16.3%	39.6%	7.6%	21.1%	6.6%	8.8%
Totals	33.6%	25.5%	13.3%	9.5%	9.5%	8.6%

Results

Newsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County – the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the state's more rural areas, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and Riverside County in the Inland Empire in addition to handily winning traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley.

More information Party, Candidate ...

Results by county

Here are the results of the election by county. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Red represents counties won by Cox.^[190]

More information County, Gavin Newsom Democratic ...

County	Gavin Newsom Democratic		John Cox Republican		Total Votes
County	#	%	#	%	#
Alameda	462,558	80.6%	111,677	19.4%	574,235
Alpine	386	62.8%	229	37.2%	615
Amador	6,237	35.5%	11,356	64.5%	17,593
Butte	41,500	46.8%	47,226	53.2%	88,726
Calaveras	7,765	35.9%	13,845	64.1%	21,610
Colusa	1,999	34.7%	3,764	65.3%	5,763
Contra Costa	283,805	68.2%	132,345	31.8%	416,150
Del Norte	3,441	41.3%	4,887	58.7%	8,328
El Dorado	36,297	40.6%	53,140	59.4%	89,437
Fresno	124,332	49.1%	128,974	50.9%	253,306
Glenn	2,424	29.1%	5,908	70.9%	8,332
Humboldt	33,455	64.5%	18,418	35.5%	51,873
Imperial	20,573	61.7%	12,785	38.3%	33,358
Inyo	3,244	44.7%	4,018	55.3%	7,262
Kern	83,507	41.1%	119,870	58.9%	203,377
Kings	12,275	40.6%	17,976	59.4%	30,251
Lake	10,869	51.4%	10,280	48.6%	21,149
Lassen	2,043	22.7%	6,973	77.3%	9,016
Los Angeles	2,114,699	71.9%	826,402	28.1%	2,941,101
Madera	15,037	39.0%	23,488	61.0%	38,525
Marin	103,671	79.5%	26,750	20.5%	130,421
Mariposa	3,183	38.7%	5,043	61.3%	8,226
Mendocino	22,152	66.3%	11,255	33.7%	33,407
Merced	30,783	52.0%	28,424	48.0%	59,207
Modoc	820	23.8%	2,628	76.2%	3,448
Mono	2,706	55.8%	2,147	44.2%	4,853
Monterey	76,648	66.0%	39,516	34.0%	116,164
Napa	36,513	64.8%	19,834	35.2%	56,347
Nevada	27,985	52.9%	24,882	47.1%	52,867
Orange	543,047	50.1%	539,951	49.9%	1,082,998
Placer	72,270	41.2%	103,157	58.8%	175,427
Plumas	3,433	37.2%	5,807	62.8%	9,240
Riverside	319,845	49.8%	322,243	50.2%	642,088
Sacramento	302,696	58.8%	212,010	41.2%	514,706
San Benito	11,274	56.1%	8,815	43.9%	20,089
San Bernardino	276,874	51.5%	260,379	48.5%	537,253
San Diego	658,346	56.9%	499,532	43.1%	1,157,878
San Francisco	312,181	86.4%	49,181	13.6%	361,362
San Joaquin	101,474	52.2%	92,966	47.8%	194,440
San Luis Obispo	65,117	51.6%	61,137	48.4%	126,254
San Mateo	213,282	75.2%	70,242	24.8%	283,524
Santa Barbara	93,841	60.5%	61,300	39.5%	155,141
Santa Clara	438,758	71.4%	175,791	28.6%	614,549
Santa Cruz	91,523	76.8%	27,665	23.2%	119,188
Shasta	20,256	28.9%	49,825	71.1%	70,081
Sierra	599	35.9%	1,068	64.1%	1,667
Siskiyou	7,218	39.7%	10,946	60.3%	18,164
Solano	89,694	61.3%	56,627	38.7%	146,321
Sonoma	152,040	72.3%	58,338	27.7%	210,378
Stanislaus	77,220	49.2%	79,751	50.8%	156,971
Sutter	11,122	37.0%	18,953	63.0%	30,075
Tehama	5,756	27.5%	15,137	72.5%	20,893
Trinity	2,250	42.3%	3,075	57.7%	5,325
Tulare	42,702	42.8%	57,012	57.2%	99,714
Tuolumne	9,294	38.9%	14,580	61.1%	23,874
Ventura	171,729	55.6%	137,393	44.4%	309,122
Yolo	49,759	67.8%	23,611	32.2%	73,370
Yuba	6,903	36.0%	12,293	64.0%	19,196
Totals	7,721,410	61.9%	4,742,825	38.1%	12,464,235

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Orange (largest municipality: Anaheim)
San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Stanislaus (largest municipality: Modesto)

Voter demographics

More information Demographic subgroup, Newsom ...

CNN exit poll by demographic subgroups^[192]
Demographic subgroup	Newsom	Cox	% of total vote
Ideology
Liberals	90	10	34
Moderates	59	41	37
Conservatives	16	84	29
Party
Democrats	93	7	46
Republicans	7	93	23
Independents	53	47	31
Party by gender
Democratic men	92	8	18
Democratic women	93	7	28
Republican men	6	94	12
Republican women	9	91	10
Independent men	53	47	18
Independent women	54	46	13
Gender
Men	56	44	48
Women	65	35	52
Marital status
Married	57	43	57
Unmarried	65	35	43
Gender by marital status
Married men	53	47	35
Married women	64	36	22
Unmarried men	58	42	19
Unmarried women	68	32	24
Race and ethnicity
White	57	43	63
Black	84	16	6
Latino	64	36	19
Asian	65	35	8
Other	71	29	3
Gender by race and ethnicity
White men	54	46	31
White women	59	41	32
Black men	78	22	2
Black women	87	13	4
Latino men	61	39	9
Latino women	67	33	10
Others	67	33	11
Religion
Protestant, Other Christian	46	54	34
Catholic	56	44	21
Jewish	72	28	4
Other religion	76	24	10
No religion	79	21	31
Religious service attendance
Weekly or more	46	54	21
A few times a month	56	44	13
A few times a year	71	29	23
Never	69	31	43
White evangelical or born-again Christian
Yes	18	82	11
No	65	35	89
Age
18–24 years old	72	28	8
25–29 years old	66	34	7
30–39 years old	65	35	15
40–49 years old	58	42	14
50–64 years old	56	44	29
65 and older	57	43	27
Sexual orientation
LGBT	83	17	5
Heterosexual	58	42	95
First time voter
First time voter	69	31	18
Everyone else	58	42	82
Education
High school or less	58	42	19
Some college education	56	44	29
Associate degree	60	40	13
Bachelor's degree	65	35	24
Advanced degree	63	37	16
Education by race and ethnicity
White college graduates	59	41	28
White no college degree	55	45	35
Non-white college graduates	78	22	11
Non-white no college degree	64	36	25
Education by race, ethnicity, and sex
White women with college degrees	62	38	13
White women without college degrees	56	44	19
White men with college degrees	56	44	15
White men without college degrees	52	48	17
Non-whites	68	32	36
Family income
Under $30,000	57	43	17
$30,000–49,999	66	34	21
$50,000–99,999	55	45	22
$100,000–199,999	45	55	27
Over $200,000	41	59	13
Military service
Veterans	32	68	14
Non-veterans	64	36	86
Issue regarded as most important
Health care	85	15	43
Immigration	36	64	18
Economy	35	65	21
Gun policy	66	34	15

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[61] American Solidarity Party does not have ballot access. Desmond Silveira (ASP) appears on ballot as "No party preference".^[60]

[132] Other 5%, Undecided 10%

[133] Other 4%, Undecided 7%

[134] Other 4%, Undecided 19%

[135] Amanda Renteria (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP) with 1%, all other candidates 0%, Undecided 13%

[136] Other 4%, Undecided 13%

[137] Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Klement Tinaj (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Yvonne Girard (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Gloria La Riva (PFP), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Amanda Renteria (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 0%; Undecided with 13%

[138] Other 1%, Undecided 16%

[139] Akinyemi Agbede (D), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Amanda Renteria (D), and Gloria La Riva (PFP) with 1%; Juan Bribiesca (D), Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Klement Tinaj (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Josh Jones (G), Zoltan Istvan (L), Nickolas Wildstar (L), Yvonne Girard (R), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%; Undecided 39%

[140] Albert Mezzetti (D) 2%, Undecided 13%

[141] Amanda Renteria (D) 0%, Undecided 16%

[142] Robert Newman (R) 4%, Amanda Renteria (D) 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%

[143] Other 3%, Undecided 13%

[Undecided_28%-144] Undecided 28%

[145] Other 1%, Undecided 22%

[146] Robert Newman (R) 3%; Yvonne Girard (R) and Robert Kleinberger* (NPP) with 2%; Daniel Amare* (R), Brian Domingo* (R), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Harmesh Kumar* (D), and James Tran* (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%l; Undecided 21%. *Withdrawn.

[147] Amanda Renteria (D) 2%, Other 6%, Undecided 16%

[148] Other 1%, Undecided 24%

[149] Amanda Renteria (D) 4%, Undecided 12%

[150] Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Other 29%. *Withdrawn.

[151] Doug Ose* (R) 3%. *Withdrawn.

[152] Doug Ose* (R) 3%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 24%. *Withdrawn.

[153] Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Someone else 4%, Undecided 18%. *Withdrawn.

[154] Robert Newman (R), Doug Ose* (R), Tom Steyer† (D), Peter Thiel† (R), and Steve Westly† (D) with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Daniel Amare* (R), Stasyi Barth* (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Brian Domingo* (R), Yvonne Girard (R), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Robert Kleinberger* (NPP), Harmesh Kumar* (D), Peter Yuan Liu (R), James Tran* (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Michael Bilger* (NPP), Andy Blanch* (NPP), Scooter Braun† (D), John-Leslie Brown* (R), David Bush* (NPP), Christopher Carlson (G), Peter Crawford-Valentino* (NPP), Ted Crisell* (D), Grant Handzlik* (NPP), Analila Joya* (NPP), Joshua Laine* (AIP), Chad Mayes† (R), Jacob Morris* (R), Timothy Richardson* (NPP), Boris Romanowsky* (NPP), Michael Shellenberger (D), H. Fuji Shioura* (NPP), Laura Smith* (R), Scot Sturtevant* (NPP), Ashley Swearengin† (R), Klement Tinaj (D), and Frédéric Prinz von Anhalt* (NPP) with 0%; Other with 29%. *Withdrawn. †Hypothetical candidate.

[155] Other 1%, Undecided 28%

[156] Other 1%, Undecided 30%

[157] 1,070 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 22% out of 1,504 not voting.

[158] Other 6%

[159] Undecided 33%

[160] David Hadley* (R) 7%, Undecided 37%. *Withdrawn.

[161] Delaine Eastin (D) and Steve Westly with 2%, Undecided with 21%

[162] Alex Padilla (D) 3%, Undecided 13%

[163] Alex Padilla (D) 4%, Steve Westly (D) 1%, Undecided 25%

[164] Alex Padilla (D) 4%, Undecided 22%

[175] The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Travis Allen (R)	John Chiang (D)	John Cox (R)	Delaine Eastin (D)	Gavin Newsom (D)	Antonio Villaraigosa (D)	Other / Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication Archived 2020-09-10 at the Wayback Machine	May 29–30, 2018	504	± 4.4%	10%	4%	23%	5%	31%	13%	15%^{[lower-alpha 1]}
UC Berkeley	May 22−28, 2018	2,106	± 3.5%	12%	7%	20%	4%	33%	13%	11%^{[lower-alpha 2]}
Emerson College Archived 2018-06-07 at the Wayback Machine	May 21–24, 2018	600	± 4.2%	11%	10%	16%	4%	24%	12%	23%^{[lower-alpha 3]}
YouGov Archived 2018-06-01 at the Wayback Machine	May 12–24, 2018	1,113	± 4.0%	10%	8%	17%	4%	33%	9%	16%^{[lower-alpha 4]}
Competitive Edge Research & Communication Archived 2018-05-25 at the Wayback Machine	May 20–22, 2018	501	± 4.4%	9%	7%	22%	8%	26%	12%	17%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
SurveyUSA	May 21, 2018	678	± 6.1%	12%	10%	17%	2%	33%	8%	16%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
Public Policy Institute of California	May 11–20, 2018	901	± 4.1%	11%	9%	19%	6%	25%	15%	16%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times	April 18 – May 18, 2018	517	± 4.0%	5%	6%	10%	3%	21%	11%	43%^{[lower-alpha 8]}
Gravis Marketing	May 4–5, 2018	525	± 4.3%	8%	9%	23%	4%	22%	19%	15%^{[lower-alpha 9]}
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox)	April 26–27, 2018	533	± 4.2%	13%	4%	20%	4%	36%	8%	16%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
SurveyUSA	April 19–23, 2018	520	± 5.5%	10%	9%	15%	1%	21%	18%	25%^{[lower-alpha 11]}
UC Berkeley	April 16−22, 2018	1,738	± 3.5%	16%	7%	18%	4%	30%	9%	16%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research	March 30 – April 4, 2018	800	± 3.7%	9%	9%	16%	5%	26%	7%	28%^{[lower-alpha 13]}
Public Policy Institute of California	March 25 – April 3, 2018	867	± 4.4%	10%	7%	15%	6%	26%	13%	23%^{[lower-alpha 14]}
SurveyUSA	March 22–25, 2018	517	± 5.0%	7%	9%	11%	3%	22%	14%	34%^{[lower-alpha 15]}
David Binder Research (D-Newsom)	March 16–21, 2018	1,750	–	13%	9%	16%	2%	29%	7%	24%^{[lower-alpha 16]}
Public Policy Institute of California	March 7–13, 2018	1,706	± 3.4%	10%	6%	14%	5%	28%	12%	25%^{[lower-alpha 17]}
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) Archived 2018-03-24 at the Wayback Machine	March 1–5, 2018	1,000	–	10%	13%	16%	7%	26%	12%	16%^{[lower-alpha 18]}
David Binder Research (D-Newsom)	January 31 – February 4, 2018	800	± 3.5%	4%	11%	7%	4%	30%	11%	33%^{[lower-alpha 19]}
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang)	January 27 – February 1, 2018	500	–	7%	10%	10%	5%	28%	14%	3%^{[lower-alpha 20]}
Public Policy Institute of California	January 21–30, 2018	1,705	± 3.2%	8%	9%	7%	4%	23%	21%	28%^{[lower-alpha 21]}
Tulchin Research/Moore Information Archived 2018-02-06 at the Wayback Machine	January 21–28, 2018	2,500	± 2.0%	8%	9%	10%	6%	29%	11%	26%^{[lower-alpha 22]}
SurveyUSA	January 7–9, 2018	506	± 4.4%	9%	5%	4%	1%	19%	10%	53%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
UC Berkeley	December 7–16, 2017	672	± 3.8%	9%	5%	9%	5%	26%	17%	29%^{[lower-alpha 24]}
Public Policy Institute of California	November 10–19, 2017	1,070	± 4.3%	6%	9%	9%	3%	23%	18%	31%^{[lower-alpha 25]}
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times	October 27 – November 6, 2017	1,070^{[lower-alpha 26]}	± 4.0%	15%	12%	11%	4%	31%	21%	6%^{[lower-alpha 27]}
UC Berkeley	August 27 – September 5, 2017	1,000	± 4.0%	9%	7%	11%	4%	26%	10%	33%^{[lower-alpha 28]}
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox)	July 27–30, 2017	500	± 4.4%	10%	7%	14%	3%	25%	12%	28%^{[lower-alpha 13]}
GSSR (D-Chiang)	May 30 – June 5, 2017	602	–	–	10%	11%	–	26%	12%	–
UC Berkeley	May 4–29, 2017	1,628	± 3.3%	–	5%	9%	3%	22%	17%	44%^{[lower-alpha 29]}
The Feldman Group (D-Villaraigosa)	March 2017	–	–	–	–	22%	–	26%	20%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Chiang (D)	John Cox (R)	Kevin Faulconer (R)	Eric Garcetti (D)	Gavin Newsom (D)	Tom Steyer (D)	Ashley Swearengin (R)	Antonio Villaraigosa (D)	Other / Undecided
UC Berkeley/YouGov	March 13–20, 2017	1,000	± 3.6%	6%	11%	11%	9%	24%	4%	–	7%	25%^{[lower-alpha 1]}
Public Policy Polling	January 17–18, 2017	882	± 3.3%	2%	–	20%	13%	25%	4%	12%	9%	16%^{[lower-alpha 2]}
Field Research Corporation	October 25–31, 2016	600	–	2%	–	16%	7%	23%	5%	11%	6%	30%^{[lower-alpha 3]}
Public Policy Polling	February 6–8, 2015	824	–	10%	–	30%	11%	22%	–	–	13%	26%^{[lower-alpha 4]}

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[133]	Safe D	October 26, 2018
The Washington Post^[134]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[135]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report^[136]	Safe D	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[137]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[138]	Likely D	November 4, 2018
Daily Kos^[139]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Fox News^[140]^{[lower-alpha 5]}	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Politico^[141]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Governing^[142]	Safe D	November 5, 2018

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	John Cox (R)	None	Other	Undecided
Change Research^{[better source needed]}	November 2–4, 2018	1,108	–	53%	41%	–	–	–
Research Co.	November 1–3, 2018	450	± 4.6%	58%	38%	–	–	4%
SurveyUSA	November 1–2, 2018	924	± 4.6%	53%	38%	–	–	9%
Probolsky Research	October 25–30, 2018	900	± 3.3%	47%	37%	–	–	16%
Thomas Partners Strategies	October 25–27, 2018	1,068	± 3.5%	55%	42%	–	–	3%
Gravis Marketing	October 25–26, 2018	743	± 3.6%	55%	35%	–	–	9%
UC Berkeley	October 19–25, 2018	1,339	± 4.0%	58%	40%	–	–	2%
YouGov^{[permanent dead link]}	October 10–24, 2018	2,178	± 3.1%	53%	34%	3%	–	10%
Public Policy Institute of California	October 12–21, 2018	989	± 4.2%	49%	38%	2%	–	10%
Thomas Partners Strategies	October 18–20, 2018	1,068	± 3.5%	54%	41%	–	–	5%
Emerson College	October 17–19, 2018	671	± 4.1%	52%	32%	–	–	16%
SurveyUSA	October 12–14, 2018	762	± 4.9%	52%	35%	–	–	14%
Thomas Partners Strategies	October 12–14, 2018	1,068	± 3.5%	51%	43%	–	–	6%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times	September 17 – October 14, 2018	794 LV	± 4.0%	54%	31%	–	–	15%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times	September 17 – October 14, 2018	980 RV	± 4.0%	51%	30%	–	–	19%
Thomas Partners Strategies	October 5–7, 2018	1,068	± 3.5%	54%	42%	–	–	4%
Thomas Partners Strategies	September 28–30, 2018	1,068	± 3.5%	50%	45%	–	–	5%
Thomas Partners Strategies	September 21–23, 2018	1,068	± 3.5%	53%	42%	–	–	5%
Vox Populi Polling	September 16–18, 2018	500	± 4.4%	60%	40%	–	–	–
Public Policy Institute of California	September 9–18, 2018	964	± 4.8%	51%	39%	3%	–	7%
Thomas Partners Strategies Archived 2018-09-25 at the Wayback Machine	September 14–16, 2018	1,040	± 3.5%	45%	41%	–	–	14%
Ipsos	September 5–14, 2018	1,021	± 4.0%	52%	40%	–	3%	6%
Thomas Partners Strategies	September 7–9, 2018	1,227	± 3.3%	48%	40%	–	–	12%
Probolsky Research	August 29 – September 2, 2018	900	± 5.8%	44%	39%	–	–	17%
Public Policy Institute of California	July 8–17, 2018	1,020	± 4.3%	55%	31%	5%	–	9%
SurveyUSA	June 26–27, 2018	559	± 5.9%	58%	29%	–	–	13%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times	June 6–17, 2018	767	± 4.0%	45%	28%	–	–	27%
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research	March 30 – April 4, 2018	800	± 3.7%	42%	32%	–	–	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	John Chiang (D)	Gavin Newsom (D)	Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang)	January 27 – February 1, 2018	500	44%	30%	–
Public Policy Polling	February 6–8, 2015	824	30%	37%	33%

California_gubernatorial_election,_2018

2018 California gubernatorial election

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

Independent (No Party)

Declared

Notes

Primary election

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Results by county

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Results by county

By congressional district

Voter demographics

See also

References

External links

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Gavin Newsom	2,343,792	33.7%
	Republican	John H. Cox	1,766,488	25.4%
	Democratic	Antonio Villaraigosa	926,394	13.3%
	Republican	Travis Allen	658,798	9.5%
	Democratic	John Chiang	655,920	9.4%
	Democratic	Delaine Eastin	234,869	3.4%
	Democratic	Amanda Renteria	93,446	1.3%
	Republican	Robert C. Newman II	44,674	0.6%
	Democratic	Michael Shellenberger	31,692	0.5%
	Republican	Peter Y. Liu	27,336	0.4%
	Republican	Yvonne Girard	21,840	0.3%
	Peace and Freedom	Gloria La Riva	19,075	0.3%
	Democratic	J. Bribiesca	18,586	0.3%
	Green	Josh Jones	16,131	0.2%
	Libertarian	Zoltan Istvan	14,462	0.2%
	Democratic	Albert Caesar Mezzetti	12,026	0.2%
	Libertarian	Nickolas Wildstar	11,566	0.2%
	Democratic	Robert Davidson Griffis	11,103	0.2%
	Democratic	Akinyemi Agbede	9,380	0.1%
	Democratic	Thomas Jefferson Cares	8,937	0.1%
	Green	Christopher N. Carlson	7,302	0.1%
	Democratic	Klement Tinaj	5,368	0.1%
	No party preference	Hakan "Hawk" Mikado	5,346	0.1%
	No party preference	Johnny Wattenburg	4,973	0.1%
	No party preference	Desmond Silveira	4,633	0.1%
	No party preference	Shubham Goel	4,020	0.1%
	No party preference	Jeffrey Edward Taylor	3,973	0.1%
	Green	Veronika Fimbres (write-in)	62	0.0%
	No party preference	Arman Soltani (write-in)	32	0.0%
	No party preference	Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in)	21	0.0%
	Republican	K. Pearce (write-in)	8	0.0%
	No party preference	Armando M. Arreola (write-in)	1	0.0%
Total votes			6,862,254	100%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Gavin Newsom	7,721,410	61.95%	+1.98%
	Republican	John H. Cox	4,742,825	38.05%	-1.98%
Total votes			12,464,235	100.00%	N/A
Turnout			12,712,542	64.54%
Registered electors			19,696,371
	Democratic hold

District	Cox	Newsom	Representative
1st	61.21%	38.79%	Doug LaMalfa
2nd	27.88%	72.12%	Jared Huffman
3rd	47.59%	52.41%	John Garamendi
4th	59.49%	40.51%	Tom McClintock
5th	30.0%	70.0%	Mike Thompson
6th	30.63%	69.37%	Doris Matsui
7th	48.04%	51.96%	Ami Bera
8th	59.77%	40.23%	Paul Cook
9th	46.05%	53.95%	Jerry McNerney
10th	50.49%	49.51%	Josh Harder
11th	29.45%	70.55%	Mark DeSaulnier
12th	12.86%	87.14%	Nancy Pelosi
13th	9.82%	90.18%	Barbara Lee
14th	24.04%	75.96%	Jackie Speier
15th	30.95%	69.05%	Eric Swalwell
16th	43.91%	56.09%	Jim Costa
17th	28.47%	71.53%	Ro Khanna
18th	27.46%	72.54%	Anna Eshoo
19th	29.68%	70.32%	Zoe Lofgren
20th	29.77%	70.23%	Jimmy Panetta
21st	47.88%	52.12%	TJ Cox
22nd	56.81%	43.19%	Devin Nunes
23rd	62.62%	37.38%	Kevin McCarthy
24th	43.41%	56.59%	Salud Carbajal
25th	48.94%	51.06%	Katie Hill
26th	42.69%	57.31%	Julia Brownley
27th	34.87%	65.13%	Judy Chu
28th	24.68%	75.32%	Adam Schiff
29th	22.17%	77.83%	Tony Cárdenas
30th	30.09%	69.91%	Brad Sherman
31st	43.4%	56.6%	Pete Aguilar
32nd	34.83%	65.17%	Grace Napolitano
33rd	32.3%	67.7%	Ted Lieu
34th	15.5%	84.5%	Jimmy Gomez
35th	34.35%	65.65%	Norma Torres
36th	46.83%	53.17%	Raul Ruiz
37th	13.7%	86.3%	Karen Bass
38th	34.66%	65.34%	Linda Sánchez
39th	50.39%	49.61%	Gil Cisneros
40th	19.52%	80.48%	Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st	40.62%	59.38%	Mark Takano
42nd	58.8%	41.2%	Ken Calvert
43rd	22.04%	77.96%	Maxine Waters
44th	18.63%	81.37%	Nanette Barragán
45th	50.58%	49.42%	Katie Porter
46th	36.19%	63.81%	Lou Correa
47th	38.3%	61.7%	Alan Lowenthal
48th	52.12%	47.88%	Harley Rouda
49th	48.51%	51.49%	Mike Levin
50th	59.05%	40.95%	Duncan Hunter
51st	32.08%	67.92%	Juan Vargas
52nd	41.71%	58.29%	Scott Peters
53rd	35.08%	64.92%	Susan Davis