No, soaring COVID-19 cases are not due to more testing – they show a surging pandemic

COVID-19 cases are skyrocketing across the US. Testing has ramped up over the past few months, but increasing hospitalizations, deaths and test-positivity rates show that the virus is out of control.

Zoë McLaren, Associate Professor of Public Policy, University of Maryland, Baltimore County • conversation
Nov. 18, 2020 ~6 min

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Death rates have fallen by 18% for hospitalized COVID–19 patients as treatments improve

Death rates for hospitalized COVID-19 patients fell from 25.6% in March to 7.6% in August, according to a new study on three hospitals in New York. A study in the U.K. found similar results.

Monica Gandhi, Professor of Medicine, Division of HIV, Infectious Diseases and Global Medicine, University of California, San Francisco • conversation
Nov. 3, 2020 ~6 min

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Achieving COVID-19 herd immunity through infection is dangerous, deadly and might not even work

Some have suggested the US allow healthy people to return to normal life, catch the coronavirus and get the population to herd immunity. The science says this plan is doomed to fail from the start.

Steven Albert, Professor and Chair of Behavioral and Community Health, University of Pittsburgh • conversation
Oct. 28, 2020 ~10 min

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279,700 extra deaths in the US so far in this pandemic year

Health statisticians keep careful tabs on how many people die every week. Based on what's happened in past years, they know what to expect – but 2020 death counts are surging beyond predictions.

Ronald D. Fricker Jr., Professor of Statistics and Associate Dean for Faculty Affairs and Administration, Virginia Tech • conversation
Oct. 14, 2020 ~7 min

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Coronavirus is hundreds of times more deadly for people over 60 than people under 40

Using random testing, researchers in Indiana were able to calculate death rates by age, race, and sex and found sharp increases in risk of death among older and non-white state residents.

Nir Menachemi, Professor of Health Policy and Management, IUPUI • conversation
Sept. 10, 2020 ~7 min

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Up to 204,691 extra deaths in the US so far in this pandemic year

Health statisticians keep careful tabs on how many people die every week. Based on what's happened in past years, they know what to expect – but 2020 death counts are surging beyond predictions.

Ronald D. Fricker Jr., Professor of Statistics and Associate Dean for Faculty Affairs and Administration, Virginia Tech • conversation
Aug. 13, 2020 ~5 min

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Random testing in Indiana shows COVID-19 is 6 times deadlier than flu, and 2.8% of the state has been infected

A team of researchers from Indiana University performed random testing for SARS-CoV-2 across the state. The results offer some of the most accurate data to date about important aspects of the virus.

Nir Menachemi, Professor of Health Policy and Management, Indiana University • conversation
July 21, 2020 ~11 min

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How deadly is the coronavirus? The true fatality rate is tricky to find, but researchers are getting closer

The percentage of people who die from a coronavirus infection is an important number for public health experts to know. Recent estimates now put it at 0.26%, far lower than initially thought.

Alex Washburne, Disease Ecology Research Scientist, Montana State University • conversation
July 15, 2020 ~9 min

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Why coronavirus death rates can't be summed up in one simple number

A lot of numbers are being tossed around about COVID-19 and what to expect in the future. They're being used to make critical public health decisions, but they aren't as simple as they appear.

Jonathan Fuller, Assistant Professor, Department of History and Philosophy of Science, University of Pittsburgh • conversation
April 10, 2020 ~8 min

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Coronavirus: why lockdown may cost young lives over time

We must put in measures to protect the young as well as the old.

Adam Cox, Principal Lecturer, University of Portsmouth • conversation
March 26, 2020 ~7 min

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