Avalanches inspire tool to predict ‘black swan’ events

By looking systems in which things suddenly go very wrong, researchers created a tool that could help predict the next gigantic global disaster.

Taylor Kubota-Stanford • futurity
Aug. 6, 2020 ~7 min

economics data-science ecosystems algorithms prediction featured earth-and-environment health-and-medicine

Avalanches inspire tool to predict ‘black swan’ events

Looking at systems where things go very wrong suddenly, researchers have created a tool that could help predict the next gigantic global disaster.

Taylor Kubota-Stanford • futurity
Aug. 6, 2020 ~7 min

economics data-science ecosystems algorithms prediction featured earth-and-environment health-and-medicine

AI methods make COVID-19 forecasting more local

Inspired by artificial intelligence techniques, researchers have developed a new COVID-19 forecasting tool that could give more accurate local info.

Sonia Fernandez-UCSB • futurity
Aug. 6, 2020 ~7 min

artificial-intelligence covid-19 data-science algorithms prediction health-and-medicine

Machine learning could improve hurricane prediction

Machine learning could improve forecasts for hurricanes. The method could help save lives by giving people earlier warnings about severe storms.

Matt Swayne-Penn State • futurity
Aug. 4, 2020 ~7 min

machine-learning artificial-intelligence hurricanes storms weather prediction science-and-technology

Why is the stock market doing well during COVID-19?

Why did the stock market rise when COVID-19 cases were spreading in the US? The gains may not be as illogical as they seemed, new research finds.

Yale • futurity
June 16, 2020 ~8 min

business covid-19 economics money prediction society-and-culture

With so many COVID-19 models, which is best?

Policymakers need to use data to guide their response to the COVID-19 pandemic. A new process brings together many models to give them the best info.

Gail McCormick-Penn State • futurity
May 8, 2020 ~8 min

covid-19 data-science epidemics prediction featured health-and-medicine decisions pandemics

Economic forecaster gauges our post-pandemic future

Economic forecaster Rajeev Dhawhan offers his perspective on the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic and how he thinks the next few months could play out.

Jennifer Rainey Marquez-Georgia State • futurity
May 7, 2020 ~10 min

business covid-19 economics money prediction featured society-and-culture health-and-medicine

Recent climate models may overestimate future warming

Some newer climate change models may overestimate how much the temperature will increase in the future, researchers report.

Jim Erickson-Michigan • futurity
May 5, 2020 ~7 min

climate-change carbon-dioxide temperature prediction earth-and-environment

Did 90,000 Americans have COVID-19 in early March?

A new COVID-19 model shows how many people over 65 with underlying conditions could be hospitalized. It also digs into underreporting of the pandemic.

Talia Ogliore-WUSTL • futurity
May 4, 2020 ~6 min

mathematics covid-19 united-states prediction featured health-and-medicine pandemics

Model: COVID-19 deaths won’t peak in most states for weeks

It may be several weeks before COVID-19 deaths peak in most of the United States, according to a model that relies on US data.

Christine Sinatra-UT Austin • futurity
April 20, 2020 ~7 min

covid-19 united-states states prediction featured health-and-medicine deaths pandemics

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