1990_Northern_Territory_general_election

1990 Northern Territory general election

1990 Northern Territory general election

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A general election was held in the Northern Territory on Saturday 27 October 1990, and was won by the incumbent Country Liberal Party (CLP) under Chief Minister Marshall Perron.

Quick Facts All 25 seats of the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly 13 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...

The CLP's political strategy for the campaign, devised by the Chief Minister's media secretary, Tony-Barker May, involved attacking the opposition ALP's policy platform, and using the costings as the basis of a 'where's the money coming from?' media assault. Although the Chief Minister was ill for much of the campaign, government ministers made challenging statements every day.

The CLP also used the services of conservative social researcher Mark Textor, subsequently co-head of Crosby Textor Group, who made accurate polling predictions during this election, outperforming internal ALP polling and independent public polling. The result came as a surprise to most except for CLP insiders.

Six months prior to the election, polling showed the CLP was headed for a big loss. However, the CLP government remained in power with an increase of over 9% to its primary vote, holding 14 of the 25 seats, with the ALP opposition gaining 3 seats for a total of 9 seats in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly. Meanwhile, the Northern Territory Nationals contested the election again, but lost both of their seats. The 1990 election also saw the Greens emerge in territory politics, with 3.05% of the vote—fourth behind the CLP, Labor and the Nationals.

Independents Noel Padgham-Purich and Denis Collins were both re-elected.

The NT Nationals lost both seats of Barkly and Flynn.

Retiring MPs

Labor

Country Liberal

Results

14 2 9
CLP Ind Labor
More information Party, Votes ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Two-party-preferred vote ...
More information Seats ...

Candidates

Sitting members are listed in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour.

More information Electorate, Held by ...

Seats changing hands

More information Seat, Pre-1990 ...

Post-election pendulum

The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in the Legislative Assembly according to the percentage point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted.

Country Liberal seats
Marginal
Goyder Terry McCarthy CLP 4.1 v IND
Fairly safe
Sanderson Daryl Manzie CLP 9.0
Jingili Rick Setter CLP 9.2
Safe
Fannie Bay Marshall Perron CLP 10.0
Brennan Max Ortmann CLP 10.1
Karama Mick Palmer CLP 10.8
Casuarina Nick Dondas CLP 11.5
Port Darwin Shane Stone CLP 11.6
Palmerston Barry Coulter CLP 11.7
Leanyer Fred Finch CLP 11.9
Nightcliff Stephen Hatton CLP 12.1
Very safe
Araluen Eric Poole CLP 20.9
Katherine Mike Reed CLP 21.0
Braitling Roger Vale CLP 26.2
Labor seats
Marginal
Barkly Maggie Hickey ALP 0.7
Victoria River Gary Cartwright ALP 1.5
Fairly safe
Wanguri John Bailey ALP 6.2
Millner Terry Smith ALP 6.7
Nhulunbuy Syd Stirling ALP 9.1
Safe
Arnhem Wes Lanhupuy ALP 11.2
Macdonnell Neil Bell ALP 13.5
Arafura Stan Tipiloura ALP 16.5
Stuart Brian Ede ALP 17.0
Independent seats
Greatorex Denis Collins IND 2.5 v CLP
Nelson Noel Padgham-Purich IND 13.7 v CLP

References

  1. Wade-Marshall, Dean Jaensch, Deborah (1994). Point of order! : the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory 1974-1994. Darwin: Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. ISBN 0731520769.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)

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