1995_Ontario_general_election

1995 Ontario general election

1995 Ontario general election

1995 Canadian provincial election


The 1995 Ontario general election was held on June 8, 1995, to elect members of the 36th Legislative Assembly of the province of Ontario, Canada. The writs for the election were dropped on April 28, 1995.

Quick Facts 130 seats in the 36th Legislative Assembly of Ontario 66 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...

The governing New Democratic Party, led by Premier Bob Rae, was defeated by voters, who were angry with the actions of the Rae government, such as its unpopular hiring quotas and the Social Contract legislation in 1993.[2] These policies caused the NDP to lose much of its base in organized labour, further reducing support for the party. At the 1993 federal election, the NDP tumbled to less than seven percent support, and lost all 11 of its federal seats in Ontario. By the time the writs were dropped for the 1995 provincial election, it was obvious that the NDP would not be reelected.

Riding name change

Acts were passed in 1991 and 1993, providing for the following name changes to ridings:

Campaign

The Liberal Party under Lyn McLeod had been leading in the polls for most of the period from 1992 to 1995, and were generally favoured to benefit from the swing in support away from the NDP. However, the party hurt its credibility through a series of high-profile policy reversals in the period leading up to the election. The most notable of these occurred when McLeod withdrew Liberal support from the Equality Rights Statute Amendment Act (Bill 167) introduced by the NDP government in 1994, which would have provided same-sex couples with rights and obligations mostly equal to those of opposite-sex common law couples and introduced a form of civil unions. Her decision was seen as cynical and opportunistic in light of the Liberals' earlier rural by-election loss in the socially conservative riding of Victoria—Haliburton. This gave the McLeod Liberals a reputation for "flip-flopping" and inconsistency while offending its socially progressive supporters.

The Progressive Conservative Party, led by Mike Harris, found success with its Common Sense Revolution campaign to cut personal income taxes, social assistance (welfare) rates, and government spending dramatically. Roughly half of his party's seats came from the more affluent regions of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), especially the suburban belt surrounding Metro Toronto, often called the '905' for its telephone area code.

In addition, by presenting himself as a populist, representing "ordinary Ontarians" over "special interests", Harris was able to build Tory support among working-class voters. Although there were regional variations, many working-class voters shifted directly from the NDP to the Tories during the election, enabling the latter to win formerly NDP ridings such as Cambridge and Oshawa.

The televised party leaders' debate is often regarded as the turning point of the campaign. During the event, McLeod further alienated many voters with an overly aggressive performance. Harris used his time to speak directly to the camera to convey his party's Common Sense Revolution platform, virtually ignoring all questions asked of him by Rae and McLeod and avoiding getting caught up in their debate. Since Liberal support was regarded by many political insiders as soft and unsteady, many voters who were previously leaning to the Liberals shifted to the Progressive Conservatives after the debate.

Opinion polls

More information Polling firm, Last day of survey ...

During the 35th Parliament of Ontario

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Results

Summary

The Ontario Legislature after the 1995 election.

The Progressive Conservatives won a majority while the Liberals finished with less support than they had in the 1990 election. The NDP, despite improving their standing in some Northern Ontario ridings, were heavily defeated, falling to 17 seats and third party status. The New Democrats would remain the third party until 2018 when they returned to Official Opposition status. McLeod and Rae resigned their party leadership posts not long after the campaign. It was also the worst result for an incumbent Ontario governing party up to that time and would remain so until 2018 when the NDP finally surpassed the then-governing Liberals.

One independent candidate was elected: Peter North in the riding of Elgin. North had been elected in 1990 as a New Democrat, but left the NDP and declared his intention to run as a Progressive Conservative. The PC Party did not accept him as a candidate, however.

At least five unregistered parties fielded candidates in this election, appearing on the ballot as independents:

Overall

[1]

More information Political party, Party leader ...
    More information Party, Seats ...

    Synopsis of results

    More information Riding, Winning party ...
    1. including spoilt ballots
    2. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
    3. order is as given in EO reports
    4. Names are as specified in 1976 Act plus 1990 amendment - EO file has errors
      = open seat
      = turnout is above provincial average
      = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
      = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
      = incumbent had switched allegiance
      = incumbency arose from byelection gain
      = previously incumbent in another riding
      = other incumbents renominated
      = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
      = multiple candidates

    Analysis

    More information Party in 1st place, Party in 2nd place ...
    More information Parties, 1st ...
    More information Source, Party ...

    MPPs elected by region and riding

    Party designations are as follows:

      PC
      Liberal
      NDP




    Byelections

    Due to resignations, five by-elections were held between the 1995 and 1999 elections.

    More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

    See also


    References

    1. "1995 general election results". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
    2. "Harris confident he'll become premier after today's vote: Poll shows Tories holding lead in final week with NDP in third". The Globe and Mail. June 8, 1995. p. A13.
    3. Campbell, Murray; Mittselstaedt, Martin (June 5, 1995). "Harris lays out legislative timetable: Polls suggest Tory majority". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
    4. "Tories ahead in new NDP poll: Liberal Party says it still has the lead". The Globe and Mail. May 16, 1995. p. A8.
    5. Rusk, James (May 24, 1995). "Tories' rise pleases Rae: Poll indicates sharp Grit fall". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
    6. Rusk, James (May 15, 1995). "Race watchers hope debate will jolt yawners: Many voters delay final choice because they already know which party they don't want". The Globe and Mail. p. A10.
    7. Mittelstaedt, Martin (April 29, 1995). "Rae calls June 8 Ontario election: Raucous campaign predicted as parties face quirky voters seeking solutions on jobs, deficit". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
    8. Rusk, James (April 1, 1995). "NDP hastens to exploit opportunity offered by McLeod". The Globe and Mail. p. A7.
    9. "Liberals keep lead in polls". The Globe and Mail. January 26, 1995. p. A6.
    10. "NDP slumps to third spot, survey shows: Advisers finger auto insurance, Sunday shopping and Martel scandal for slide in popularity". The Globe and Mail. July 7, 1992. p. A6.
    11. Allen, Gene (September 3, 1991). "Ontario New Democrats take stock". The Globe and Mail. p. A4.
    12. "NDP support up sharply, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. January 19, 1991. p. A4.
    13. Allen, Gene (October 24, 1990). "Will hold NDP to its promises, Nixon pledges: Vows Liberals won't be obstructive". The Globe and Mail. p. A8.

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