2006_California_gubernatorial_election

2006 California gubernatorial election

2006 California gubernatorial election

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The 2006 California gubernatorial election occurred on November 7, 2006. The primary elections took place on June 6, 2006. The incumbent Republican Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, won re-election for his first and only full term. His main opponent was California State Treasurer Phil Angelides, the California Democratic Party nominee. Peter Camejo was the California Green Party nominee, Janice Jordan was the Peace and Freedom Party nominee, Art Olivier was the California Libertarian Party nominee, and Edward C. Noonan was the California American Independent Party nominee.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Under the state constitution, the Governor serves a four-year term, with a maximum or minimum term limit of two four-year terms for life, regardless of whether or not they are consecutive or nonconsecutive. Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected in a 2003 recall election and served out the remainder of predecessor Gray Davis's term ending in 2007; Schwarzenegger was therefore eligible to serve until 2011.[1] As of 2024, this along with the concurrent Insurance Commissioner election was the last time Republicans won a statewide election in California and marked the last time a Republican was officially elected California Governor as well as the last election in which a California governor and lieutenant governor of opposite political parties were elected.

Exit polls showed Schwarzenegger won White people (63%–32%) and Asian-Americans (62%–37%), while Angelides won African-Americans (70%–27%) and Latinos (56%–39%).[citation needed]

Primary elections (June 6, 2006)

Bar graph of statewide results[2]

Results by county[3]

The period for candidate nominations closed on March 24, 2006.

Democratic

Candidates

The two front-runners for the Democratic nomination were Angelides and California State Controller Steve Westly. A pre-election poll had Westly leading Angelides by six percentage points.[4] The Field Poll conducted on April 17, 2006, showed that both Democratic candidates had low recognition factors amongst the state's electorate, with only 45% having any opinion on Angelides and 40% for Westly. Of registered Democrats surveyed, 59% said they didn't know enough about Angelides to have any opinion about him, with 58% saying the same for Westly.[5] The Los Angeles Times reported that the race for the Democratic nomination was a virtual tie, with Angelides leading Westly by three percentage points (37%–34%), within the 3% margin of error. Unusually, 28% of Democratic voters were undecided, and both candidates tried to earn the undecided vote.

Angelides reported a recent increase in support for his campaign and gained union support as well as support from the "core" liberal constituency. The California Democratic Party endorsed him prior to the primary, despite most polls showing that Westly would fare much better against Schwarzenegger in the general election.[6] However, many registered Democrats believed that Westly had a greater chance of winning against incumbent governor Schwarzenegger and felt that he had a slightly "more positive" image.[7] In the end, Angelides won 47.9% of the vote to Westly's 43.4%. The turnout for the primary, was a record low 33.6%,[8] far below the 38% predicted by the Secretary of State,[9] with the turnout of valid ballots cast on election day at 28%.[10]

Polling

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Results

Democratic primary results by county
  Angelides
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Westly
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
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Republican

Candidates

Republican Schwarzenegger faced token opposition and won overwhelmingly in the primary held on June 6, 2006.

Results

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Third parties

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General election

Candidates

Campaign

Schwarzenegger's decision to call the 2005 special election, as well as his propositions dealing with teachers' and nurses' unions and other political missteps, brought his approval rating down to 39% by April 2006,[11] though he ended up solidly defeating his opponents. During his first two years, he came under fire from some conservatives for supporting several taxes on Californians,[12] and from some liberals for refusing to sign a bill allowing gay marriage, and his support for several controversial propositions in 2005. Later, Schwarzenegger's popularity with voters rebounded and he won reelection by a wide margin.

Predictions

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Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Schwarzenegger v Westly

Results

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Results by county

Results showed Schwarzenegger won 52 counties while Angelides won 6 (Schwarzenegger won an absolute majority in 48 counties and a plurality in 4 counties while Angelides won an absolute majority in 2 counties and a plurality in 4 counties). Schwarzenegger won large majorities in California's rural counties, the populous Southern California counties of San Diego, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura, as well as populous Sacramento, Fresno, and Kern counties in the Central Valley. The results were closely contested in Los Angeles County and in Bay Area suburban counties. Angelides won substantially only in Alameda and San Francisco counties.[17]

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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also


References

  1. "Think it can't get any wilder?". Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on June 19, 2008. Retrieved October 8, 2006.
  2. "CA Secretary of State – Primary Election- Governor of California – Statewide". Primary2006.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on August 28, 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2010.
  3. "CA Secretary of State – Primary Election- Governor of California – Statewide". Primary2006.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on August 28, 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2010.
  4. "Special Survey on Education" (PDF). ppic.org. Public Policy Institute of California. April 2006. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 7, 2006.
  5. "RLS2193 for PDF.PDF" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 20, 2010. Retrieved August 14, 2010.
  6. Report, Progress (August 17, 2011). "Penny Wise Pound Foolish – Cuts in Free Flu Vaccines". Archived from the original on May 9, 2007.
  7. "Angelides Pulls Even With Westly – Los Angeles Times". Los Angeles Times. May 28, 2006. Archived from the original on May 25, 2017. Retrieved August 14, 2010.
  8. "CA Secretary of State – Primary Election- County Status". Primary2006.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on August 28, 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2010.
  9. Demovic, Nghia Nguyen (June 2, 2006). "Secretary of State Bruce McPherson Predicts 38% Turnout for California Primary Election" (PDF). ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 28, 2006.
  10. "Gubernatorial Primary Election". vote.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on June 23, 2006. Retrieved June 23, 2006.
  11. "Schwarzenegger approval rating: 39 percent". ocregister.com. April 13, 2006. Archived from the original on September 30, 2007. Retrieved April 25, 2006.
  12. Halper, Evan; Rau, Jordan (November 7, 2008). "Gov. pushes hike in sales tax, big cuts". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  13. "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved October 1, 2006.
  14. "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  15. "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  16. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  17. "Governor" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 16, 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2008. Retrieved July 16, 2008.
  18. "Registration and Participation" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. December 18, 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2008. Retrieved July 16, 2008.

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