2012_United_States_Senate_election_in_Virginia

2012 United States Senate election in Virginia
Turnout	66.4% (voting eligible)
	Kaine: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Allen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50%
U.S. senator before election; Jim Webb; Democratic	Elected U.S. Senator ; Tim Kaine; Democratic

2012 United States Senate election in Virginia

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The 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jim Webb retired instead of running for reelection to a second term, and former Democratic governor of Virginia Tim Kaine won the open seat over Republican former senator and governor George Allen.^[2]^[3] Kaine was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans nominated Allen through a primary on June 12, 2012.^[4] Allen had previously held this seat for one term before narrowly losing reelection to Webb in 2006.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Republican primary

In Virginia, parties have the option of whether to hold a primary or to nominate their candidate through a party convention. In November 2010, the Virginia GOP announced that it had chosen to hold a primary.^[5]

General election

Fundraising

More information Candidate (party), Receipts ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Kaine (D)	George Allen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 10–13, 2010	551	±4.2%	50%	44%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–27, 2011	524	±3.5%	47%	47%	—	6%
Washington Post	April 28 – May 4, 2011	1,040	±3.5%	46%	46%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	May 5–8, 2011	547	±4.2%	46%	44%	—	10%
Quinnipiac	June 21–27, 2011	1,434	±2.6%	43%	42%	2%	11%
Public Policy Polling	July 21–24, 2011	500	±4.4%	46%	43%	—	11%
Quinnipiac	September 7–12, 2011	1,368	±4.0%	44%	45%	1%	9%
Rasmussen Reports	September 28, 2011	500	±4.5%	46%	45%	3%	7%
CNU/Times-Dispatch	October 3–8, 2011	1,027	±3.1%	44%	42%	3%	12%
Quinnipiac	October 3–9, 2011	1,459	±2.6%	45%	44%	1%	9%
Public Policy Polling	December 10–12, 2011	600	±4.0%	47%	42%	—	11%
Quinnipiac	December 13–19, 2011	1,135	±2.9%	42%	44%	1%	12%
Mason-Dixon	January 16–18, 2012	625	±3.9%	46%	46%	—	8%
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	February 1–6, 2012	1,544	±2.5%	45%	44%	1%	9%
CNU/Times-Dispatch	February 4–13, 2012	1,018	±3.1%	40%	42%	2%	16%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21, 2012	500	±4.5%	46%	46%	3%	5%
Roanoke College	February 13–26, 2012	607	±4.0%	37%	45%	—	19%
NBC News/Marist	February 29 – March 2, 2012	2,518	±2%	48%	39%	—	14%
Quinnipiac Archived March 20, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	March 13–18, 2012	1,034	±3.1%	47%	44%	1%	8%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20, 2012	500	±4.5%	44%	46%	3%	7%
Roanoke College	March 26 – April 5, 2012	537	±4.2%	39%	46%	—	15%
Rasmussen Reports	April 23, 2012	500	±4.5%	45%	46%	4%	5%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	680	±3.8%	46%	45%	—	9%
Washington Post	April 28 – May 2, 2012	964	±4%	46%	46%	—	8%
Marist	May 17–20, 2012	1,076	±3%	49%	43%	—	9%
Rasmussen Reports	June 3, 2012	500	±4.5%	46%	44%	3%	6%
Quinnipiac Archived June 6, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	May 30 – June 4, 2012	1,282	±2.7%	44%	43%	2%	10%
We Ask America	June 25, 2012	1,106	±2.95%	35%	44%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–8, 2012	647	±3.9%	46%	44%	—	11%
Quinnipiac Archived September 25, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	July 10–16, 2012	1,673	±2.4%	44%	46%	1%	10%
Rasmussen Reports	July 16–17, 2012	500	±4.5%	46%	45%	5%	5%
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	July 31 – August 6, 2012	1,412	±2.6%	48%	46%	—	6%
Rasmussen Reports	August 7, 2012	500	±4.5%	46%	46%	2%	6%
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2012	855	±3.4%	46%	46%	—	9%
Rasmussen Reports	August 23, 2012	500	±4.5%	45%	45%	2%	8%
Gravis Marketing	September 8–9, 2012	2,238	±2.2%	43%	48%	—	10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 9–11, 2012	996	±3.1%	46%	46%	—	8%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13, 2012	500	±4.5%	47%	45%	2%	6%
Washington Post	September 12–16, 2012	847	±4%	51%	43%	3%	4%
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2012	1,021	±3.1%	47%	46%	—	7%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac Archived September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	September 11–17, 2012	1,485	±2.5%	51%	44%	—	5%
FOX NEWS Poll	September 16–18, 2012	1,006	±3%	47%	43%	1%	9%
Gravis Marketing	September 17, 2012	2,238	±2.2%	43%	48%	—	9%
Huffpost Politics Archived September 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	September 20, 2012	1,000	±3%	46%	45%	—	9%
Suffolk University	September 24–26, 2012	600	±4%	44%	44%	—	12%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 30 – October 1, 2012	969	±3.1%	49%	44%	1%	7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 4, 2012	500	±4.5%	52%	45%	—	3%
Public Policy Polling	October 4–7, 2012	725	±3.6%	51%	44%	—	5%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac	October 4–9, 2012	1,288	±2.7%	51%	44%	—	5%
We Ask America	October 7–9, 2012	1,296	±2.9%	41%	46%	—	13%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 7–9, 2012	981	±3.1%	47%	46%	—	7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 11, 2012	750	±4.0%	48%	47%	1%	4%
Old Dominion University	September 19 – October 17, 2012	465	±3.4%	50%	43%	—	6%
Rasmussen Reports	October 18, 2012	500	±4.0%	49%	48%	3%	—
Rasmussen Reports	October 24, 2012	750	±4.0%	49%	48%	3%	—
Washington Post	October 22–26, 2012	1,228	±3.5%	51%	44%	—	5%
Roanoke College	October 23–26, 2012	638	±4.0%	42%	47%	—	10%
Gravis Marketing Archived October 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine	October 26, 2012	645	±3.9%	46%	48%	—	5%
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac	October 23–28, 2012	1,074	±3%	50%	46%	—	4%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	703	±4.2%	47%	45%	1%	7%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	855	±3.8%	50%	38%	1%	11%
WeAskAmerica	October 30 – November 1, 2012	1,069	±3%	50%	50%	—	—
NBC/WSJ/Marist	November 1–2, 2012	1,165	±2.9%	49%	46%	—	4%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	975	±3.1%	52%	46%	—	2%
Rasmussen Reports	November 4, 2012	750	±4%	49%	47%	1%	4%

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...

Hypothetical polling

Democratic primary

General election

with Rick Boucher

with Tom Perriello

with Bobby Scott

with Jim Webb

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	George Allen	Other candidates	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 24–27, 2011	400	±4.9%	52%	25%	23%
Public Policy Polling^{[permanent dead link]}	July 21–24, 2011	400	±4.9%	58%	23%	19%
Public Policy Polling	December 11–13, 2011	350	±5.2%	53%	25%	22%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	George Allen	167,607	65.5
	Republican	Jamie Radtke	59,005	23.0
	Republican	Bob Marshall	17,302	6.8
	Republican	E. W. Jackson	12,083	4.7
Total votes			255,997	100

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Tim Kaine (D)	$10,390,929	$7,666,452	$2,724,476	$0
George Allen (R)	$8,015,948	$4,678,004	$3,337,942	$0
Kevin Chisholm (I)	$24,165	$24,162	$0	$0
Terrence Modglin (I)	$5,655	$5,389	$266	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[34]^[35]^[36]^[37]

Tim Kaine	Contribution	George Allen	Contribution	Kevin Chisholm	Contribution
League of Conservation Voters	$76,568	McGuireWoods LLP	$76,950	Valu Net	$2,475
Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld	$51,650	Altria Group	$64,749	Geolq Inc	$1,500
University of Virginia	$42,075	Alpha Natural Resources	$38,000
McGuireWoods LLP	$38,550	Elliott Management Corporation	$35,913
Covington & Burling	$36,700	Koch Industries	$35,000
DLA Piper	$31,750	Lorillard Tobacco Company	$34,715
Bain Capital	$30,000	Alliance Resource Partners	$33,500
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom	$28,250	Dominion Resources	$31,800
Patton Boggs LLP	$26,750	Norfolk Southern	$31,550
Norfolk Southern	$26,000	Boeing	$23,750

Tim Kaine	Contribution	George Allen	Contribution	Kevin Chisholm	Contribution	Terrence Modglin	Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms	$1,297,792	Retired	$709,693	Misc Energy	$250	Lawyers/Law Firms	$200
Retired	$762,722	Real Estate	$384,038
Financial Institutions	$477,700	Lawyers/Law Firms	$348,459
Business Services	$373,900	Financial Institutions	$299,115
Real Estate	$372,829	Leadership PACs	$277,000
Lobbyists	$287,545	Lobbyists	$275,600
Education	$282,475	Mining	$197,206
Misc Finance	$218,600	Oil & Gas	$196,400
Leadership PACs	$201,500	Insurance	$159,065
Entertainment industry	$156,279	Misc Finance	$157,963

2012_United_States_Senate_election_in_Virginia

2012 United States Senate election in Virginia

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Debates

Polling

Endorsements

Results

Hank the Cat

General election

Candidates

Debates

Campaign

Fundraising

Top contributors

Top industries

Independent expenditures

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

See also

References

External links

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Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[41]	Tossup	November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[42]	Lean D	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report^[43]	Tossup	November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics^[44]	Tossup	November 5, 2012

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Webb (D)	George Allen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^{[permanent dead link]}	July 31 – August 3, 2009	579	—	43%	44%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	November 10–13, 2010	551	±4.2%	49%	45%	—	6%
Clarus Research Group	December 7–9, 2010	600	±4.0%	41%	40%	—	19%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Tim Kaine	2,010,067	52.83%	+3.24%
	Republican	George Allen	1,785,542	46.92%	-2.28%
	Write-in		9,410	0.25%	+0.15%
Total votes			3,805,019	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

District	Allen	Kaine	Representative
1st	52.75%	47.25%	Rob Wittman
2nd	47.94%	52.06%	Scott Rigell
3rd	20.65%	79.35%	Robert C. Scott
4th	49.92%	50.08%	Randy Forbes
5th	52.96%	47.04%	Robert Hurt
6th	59.04%	40.96%	Bob Goodlatte
7th	55.17%	44.83%	Eric Cantor
8th	30.54%	69.46%	Jim Moran
9th	61.86%	38.14%	Morgan Griffith
10th	49.55%	50.45%	Frank Wolf
11th	36.24%	63.76%	Gerry Connolly