2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Hampshire

2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
	Shaheen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90%; No Vote:
U.S. senator before election; Jeanne Shaheen; Democratic	Elected U.S. Senator ; Jeanne Shaheen; Democratic

2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.^[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.^[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.^[3]

Brown sought to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.^[4]

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, making him the first man to lose two Senate races to women, as he had lost his 2012 reelection bid in Massachusetts to Elizabeth Warren.^[5] Shaheen became the second Democrat from New Hampshire to be reelected to the Senate and the first since Thomas J. McIntyre in 1972.

General election

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeanne Shaheen (D)	Scott Brown (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	April 19–21, 2013	933	± ?	52%	41%	—	7%
Rockefeller Center	April 22–25, 2013	433	± 4.7%	44%	30%	—	26%
New England College	May 2–5, 2013	807	± 3.27%	54%	35%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	1,038	± 3%	48%	44%	—	7%
American Research Group	December 13–16, 2013	549	± 4.2%	48%	38%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,354	± 2.7%	46%	43%	—	10%
Purple Strategies	January 21–23, 2014	1,052	± 3%	44%	44%	—	12%
Harper Polling	January 22–23, 2014	513	± 4.33%	40%	35%	—	25%
WMUR/UNH	January 21–26, 2014	454	± 4.1%	47%	37%	3%	14%
Public Policy Polling	February 19–20, 2014	686	± 3.7%	47%	39%	—	14%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	February 27 – March 5, 2014	800	± 3.5%	52%	39%	—	9%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12–13, 2014	750	± 4%	50%	41%	4%	5%
American Research Group	March 13–16, 2014	533	± 4.2%	50%	38%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	April 7–8, 2014	1,034	± 3.1%	49%	41%	—	10%
WMUR/UNH	April 1–9, 2014	387	± 5%	45%	39%	2%	14%
Rockefeller Center	April 21–25, 2014	412	± 4.8%	39%	36%	—	25%
Hickman Analytics	April 24–30, 2014	400	± 4.9%	49%	43%	—	8%
Vox Populi Polling	May 14–15, 2014	707	± 3.6%	47%	35%	—	18%
American Research Group	June 14–18, 2014	540	± 4.2%	50%	38%	—	12%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine	June 14–18, 2014	800	± 3.5%	49%	39%	3%^[44]	9%
WMUR/UNH	June 19 – July 1, 2014	509	± 4.3%	52%	40%	1%	7%
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,342	± 2.7%	50%	42%	1%	6%
Magellan Strategies	July 7–13, 2014	1,618	± 2.43%	46%	41%	—	13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	1,251	± 2.9%	50%	40%	4%	6%
WMUR/UNH	August 7–17, 2014	609	± 4%	46%	44%	1%	9%
Public Policy Polling	August 27–28, 2014	766	± ?	50%	44%	—	6%
Public Opinion Strategies	August 27 – September 1, 2014	500	± 4.38%	44%	41%	9%^[44]	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	1,159	± 4%	47%	41%	4%	9%
Kiley & Company	September 2–4, 2014	602	± 4%	50%	42%	—	8%
Global Strategy Group	September 10, 2014	1,027	± 3.1%	48%	41%	—	11%
Kiley & Company^{[dead link]}	September 9–11, 2014	600	± 4%	51%	43%	—	6%
CNN/ORC	September 8–11, 2014	735 LV	± 3.5%	48%	48%	—	4%
CNN/ORC	September 8–11, 2014	883 RV	± 3.5%	51%	44%	—	5%
Magellan Strategies	September 10–11, 2014	2,214	± 2%	44%	46%	—	10%
Rasmussen Reports	September 10–11, 2014	1,027	± 3.1%	48%	42%	5%	5%
New England College	September 10–11, 2014	630	± 3.98%	51%	40%	5%	4%
American Research Group	September 12–15, 2014	544	± 4.2%	50%	45%	—	5%
Vox Populi Polling	September 15–16, 2014	550	± 4.2%	43%	47%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	September 18–19, 2014	652	± 3.8%	50%	44%	—	5%
New England College	September 19–20, 2014	1,494	± 2.54%	50%	43%	4%	3%
American Research Group	September 27–29, 2014	600	± 4%	53%	43%	—	4%
New England College	September 26, 2014	1,331	± 2.69%	47%	47%	3%	3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	1,260	± 3%	48%	41%	1%	10%
New England College	October 3, 2014	1,286	± 2.73%	49%	46%	3%	2%
WMUR/UNH	September 29 – October 5, 2014	532	± 4.2%	47%	41%	1%	10%
High Point University	October 4–8, 2014	824	± 3.4%	48%	46%	—	6%
Kiley & Company	October 7–9, 2014	600	± 4%	50%	44%	—	6%
New England College	October 9, 2014	1,081	± 2.98%	47%	48%	3%	2%
UMass Amherst	October 10–15, 2014	322 LV	± 6.6%	48%	45%	5%	2%
UMass Amherst	October 10–15, 2014	400 RV	± 6%	49%	41%	5%	5%
New England College	October 16, 2014	921	± 3.23%	47%	48%	3%	2%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	October 16–19, 2014	500	± ?	49%	46%	—	6%
UMass Lowell	October 15–21, 2014	643 LV	± 4.5%	49%	46%	1%	4%
UMass Lowell	October 15–21, 2014	900 RV	± 3.8%	48%	41%	2%	10%
CNN/ORC	October 18–21, 2014	645 LV	± 4%	49%	47%	—	3%
CNN/ORC	October 18–21, 2014	877 RV	± 3.5%	50%	44%	—	5%
Public Policy Polling	October 20–21, 2014	764	± ?	49%	45%	—	5%
American Research Group	October 19–22, 2014	600	± 4%	49%	48%	—	3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,042	± 4%	46%	41%	1%	12%
New England College	October 24, 2014	1,132	± 2.91%	47%	48%	3%	2%
WMUR/UNH	October 22–26, 2014	555	± 4.2%	50%	42%	—	8%
Vox Populi Polling	October 27–28, 2014	638	± 3.9%	49%	45%	—	6%
American Research Group	October 27–29, 2014	600	± 4%	49%	49%	—	2%
Rasmussen Reports	October 29–30, 2014	940	± 3%	52%	45%	1%	2%
Public Policy Polling	October 30–31, 2014	679	± ?	49%	47%	—	4%
New England College	October 31 – November 1, 2014	1,526	± 2.51%	48%	49%	1%	2%
WMUR/UNH	October 29 – November 2, 2014	757	± 3.6%	47%	45%	3%	6%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,690	± 2.4%	50%	48%	—	3%

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...

Hypothetical polling

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Brown	58,775	49.86%
	Republican	Jim Rubens	27,089	22.98%
	Republican	Bob Smith	26,593	22.56%
	Republican	Walter W. Kelly	1,376	1.17%
	Republican	Bob Heghmann	784	0.67%
	Republican	Andy Martin	734	0.62%
	Republican	Mark W. Farnham	733	0.62%
	Republican	Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic	508	0.43%
	Republican	Gerard Beloin	492	0.42%
	Republican	Robert D'Arcy	397	0.34%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (write-in)	220	0.19%
		Scatter	183	0.16%
Total votes			117,884	100.00%

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Jeanne Shaheen (D)	$16,506,920.00	$16,466,208.00	$88,652.00	$10,620.00
Scott Brown (R)	$9,222,677.00	$9,163,652.00	$59,026.00	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[37]

Super PAC	Supporting	Amount	Media	Goal
Senate Majority PAC	Jeanne Shaheen	$682,558^[38]	TV	Oppose Scott Brown
League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund	Jeanne Shaheen	$364,320^[38]	TV	Oppose Scott Brown
Ending Spending Inc.	Scott Brown	$61,448^[39]	Media	Oppose Jeanne Shaheen
Ending Spending Action Fund	Scott Brown	$60,136^[39]	Media	Support Scott Brown
New Hampshire PAC to Save America	Jim Rubens	$57,866^[38]	Direct Mail	Support Jim Rubens
NextGen Climate Action Committee	Jeanne Shaheen	$37,421^[39]	Digital Advertising	Oppose Scott Brown
Ocean Champions	Jeanne Shaheen	$25,000^[39]	Media	Oppose Scott Brown
Tea Party Victory Fund	Bob Smith	$15,000^[38]	Voter Contact Calls	Support Bob Smith

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[40]	Tossup	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[41]	Lean D	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[42]	Tilt D	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[43]	Tossup	November 3, 2014

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent)	251,184	51.46%	-0.16%
	Republican	Scott Brown	235,347	48.21%	+2.93%
	Write-in		1,628	0.33%	N/A
Total votes			488,159	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Hampshire

2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Independent expenditures

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

See also

References

External links

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Charles Bass	Scott Brown	Andy Martin	Jim Rubens	Bob Smith	Karen Testerman	Other	Undecided
New England College	October 7–9, 2013	424	± 4.56%	21%	47%	—	5%	—	4%	—	23%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	528	± 4.3%	—	42%	11%	8%	11%	7%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	528	± 4.3%	—	—	4%	12%	26%	10%	—	47%
Gravis Marketing	January 29–30, 2014	498	± 4.3%	—	51%	—	—	22%	—	—	27%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	February 27 – March 5, 2014	426	± 4.8%	—	33.33%	0.7%	3.05%	11.97%	3.29%	—	47.65%
Vox Populi Polling	May 14–15, 2014	?	± 5.2%	—	38%	—	9%	13%	8%	—	32%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine	June 14–18, 2014	419	± 4.8%	—	40.33%	0.24%	3.58%	12.17%	—	2.88%^[35]	40.81%
NBC/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,342	± 2.7%	—	61%	—	10%	16%	—	1%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeanne Shaheen (D)	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	1,055	± 3%	51%	42%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	October 17–19, 2012	1,036	± 3%	48%	42%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	1,550	± 2.5%	49%	39%	—	12%

District	Shaheen	Brown	Representative
1st	49.34%	50.66%	Frank Guinta
2nd	53.94%	46.06%	Ann McLane Kuster