2018_New_Brunswick_general_election

2018 New Brunswick general election

2018 New Brunswick general election

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The 2018 New Brunswick general election was held on September 24, 2018,[3][4] to elect the 49 members of the 59th New Brunswick Legislature, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

Quick Facts 49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...

Two smaller parties — the People's Alliance and the Greens — made breakthroughs, winning three seats each, and potentially holding the balance of power. The People's Alliance entered the legislature for the first time, while the Greens increased their seat count from one. This marked the first time since the 1991 election that four parties won representation in the legislature. The election was also contested by the provincial New Democrats, newcomers KISS NB, and eight independents.

This is the first election since 1920 that did not return a majority for any party. The Progressive Conservatives won the most seats, with 22, but incumbent Liberal Premier Brian Gallant, whose party secured only 21 seats despite winning the popular vote by six percentage points, indicated that he would seek the confidence of the legislature and attempt to form a minority government.

On September 25, Gallant met with the Lieutenant Governor Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau and received permission to continue in office.[5] On November 2, Gallant's minority government was defeated in a non-confidence vote.[6] On November 9, Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs was sworn in as premier with a minority government.[2]

Timeline

  • September 22, 2014 – The New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Brian Gallant, won a narrow majority government, defeating incumbent Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservatives, which became the second single-term government in New Brunswick's history.[7]
  • September 23, 2014 - Alward announces his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.
  • October 18, 2014 - Bruce Fitch became interim leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
  • December 10, 2014 - The NDP executive rejects Cardy's resignation as leader, urging him to continue and offering him a salary as he has been working as leader on a volunteer basis.
  • October 22, 2016 - Blaine Higgs becomes the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party in a leadership election.[8]
  • January 1, 2017 - Dominic Cardy resigns as leader of the NDP, and as a party member. He subsequently joins the PCs as Chief of Staff to Leader Blaine Higgs.[9][10]
  • January 8, 2017 - Rosaire L'Italien is chosen as interim leader of the NDP by the party's executive.[11]
  • August 10, 2017 - Jennifer McKenzie is acclaimed as the new leader of the NDP.[12]

Summary of seat changes

More information Seat, Before ...
  1. NDP leader Dominic Cardy came in third

Results

More information Party, Votes ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats summary ...

Results by region

More information Party Name, Northern ...

Detailed analysis

More information Party, Seats ...
More information Parties, Seats ...

Aftermath

On election night, Higgs claimed victory, saying his team had received a mandate; however, Gallant did not resign, instead stating his intent to remain in office by securing support on a vote-by-vote basis.[17] The following day, Gallant met with Lieutenant Governor Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau and received permission to continue in office and attempt to seek confidence of the legislature.[5] On September 27, Higgs met with Roy-Vienneau, and was told that if Gallant was unable to secure the confidence of the House, he would be called on to form government; shortly afterwards, Higgs called on Gallant to either resign or immediately recall the legislature.[18]

In the immediate aftermath of the election, both Kris Austin of the People's Alliance and David Coon of the Green Party were noncommittal in their support: Austin pledged to work with any party willing to work with him, but said the party won't sacrifice its "values and ideals" to do so;[19] while Coon said his caucus would take time to figure out how they would align themselves, but would not be able to work with anyone uncommitted to rights for linguistic minorities or combatting climate change.[20] Gallant opted to pursue a partnership with the Green Party, ruling out any arrangement with the PCs or PA because they don't share Liberal "values".[21] Higgs initially ruled out any formal agreements with other parties, but later said that a four-year agreement would be ideal for stability—pointing to the confidence and supply deal that the British Columbia NDP and Greens negotiated following the province's inconclusive 2017 election as an example.[22]

Austin agreed to support to a Progressive Conservative government for 18 months, though no formal agreement was made.[23] Coon said his party would negotiate with both the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives.[24] On October 10, Coon announced that the Green Party would not formally side with either party, and would base their votes on their own "declaration of intent". Accordingly, Coon said that their support for the throne speech depends on its "merits", and that his caucus would be free to vote their own way on the speech.[25]

The results drew notice elsewhere in Canada. Parti Québécois leader Jean-François Lisée described the results as "an advertisement for our proposal for proportional representation."[26] Andrew Weaver, leader of the BC Greens, suggested that Coon should make an agreement with the Progressive Conservatives.[27] The Globe and Mail published an editorial calling for electoral reform,[28] as did National Post columnist Andrew Coyne.[29]

On November 1, Gallant's Liberal minority government was defeated by a non-confidence vote (25-23) by the opposition Progressive Conservatives and People's Alliance.[6] On November 9, Blaine Higgs was sworn in as premier.[2]

Opinion polls

More information Polling Firm, Last Day of Polling ...

Candidates by region

Legend

  • bold denotes cabinet minister, speaker or party leader
  • italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
  • * denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district

NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick

Northern

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Miramichi

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Southeastern

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Southern

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Capital Region

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Upper River Valley

More information Electoral district, Candidates ...

Footnotes

  1. Following the election, Brian Gallant continued in office with a minority government. On November 1, 2018, Gallant's government was defeated in a confidence vote, prompting his resignation. Lieutenant Governor Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau then invited Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs to form a minority government. Gallant's resignation was effective November 9, 2018, at which time Higgs was sworn in as premier.[2]

References

  1. Elections New Brunswick (February 22, 2019). "Thirty-Ninth General Election September 24, 2018" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on May 25, 2019. Retrieved March 13, 2020.
  2. Bisset, Kevin (November 9, 2018). "Blaine Higgs sworn-in as New Brunswick premier". The Canadian Press. Archived from the original on November 9, 2018. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  3. Legislative Assembly Act, Section 2(4).
  4. "Thirty-eighth general election September 22, 2014" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 16, 2016. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  5. Fraser, Elizabeth (September 25, 2018). "Liberals and PCs continue battle over who will govern N.B." CBC News. Archived from the original on April 28, 2019. Retrieved September 27, 2018.
  6. Poitras, Jacques (November 2, 2018). "Brian Gallant's minority government defeated after losing confidence vote". CBC News. Archived from the original on November 2, 2018. Retrieved November 2, 2018.
  7. McHardie, Daniel (September 23, 2014). "N.B. election 2014 results: Brian Gallant's Liberals win amid vote-count fiasco". CBC News. Archived from the original on September 25, 2014. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
  8. McHardie, Daniel (October 22, 2016). "Blaine Higgs wins New Brunswick Progressive Conservative leadership race". CBC News. Archived from the original on December 28, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  9. Ross, Shane (January 1, 2017). "NDP Leader Dominic Cardy resigns amid party 'infighting'". CBC News. Archived from the original on January 2, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  10. Fahmy, Gabrielle; Gill, Jordan (January 2, 2017). "Cardy won't rule out return to politics, jump to PCs". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Archived from the original on May 10, 2017. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
  11. "NDP names Rosaire L'Italien interim leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. January 9, 2017. Archived from the original on May 7, 2017. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
  12. MacKinnon, Bobbi-Jean (August 10, 2017). "NDP hopes to reclaim members with Jennifer McKenzie as new leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Archived from the original on April 16, 2018. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
  13. "PC Stewart Fairgrieve says jobs a factor in byelection win". CBC News. October 6, 2015. Archived from the original on January 2, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  14. "Job controversy pushes Donald Arseneault to resign from legislature | CBC News". CBC. Archived from the original on March 15, 2018. Retrieved March 13, 2018.
  15. "Arseneault releases lobbying advice from integrity commissioner". CBC News. Archived from the original on December 31, 2017. Retrieved March 13, 2018.
  16. Roy-Comeau, Mathieu (July 6, 2018). "Madeleine Dubé donne officiellement sa démission". Acadie Nouvelle (in French). Caraquet, NB: Acadie Nouvelle ltée. Archived from the original on January 24, 2019. Retrieved July 9, 2018.
  17. MacDonald, Michael (September 24, 2018). "New Brunswick Tories win most seats, but Liberals will try to stay in power". CTV News. Archived from the original on October 4, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  18. "New Brunswick Tory leader Blaine Higgs calls on Premier Brian Gallant to resign". The Canadian Press. September 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 4, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  19. Donkin, Karissa (September 24, 2018). "People's Alliance wins 3 seats in 'significant breakthrough'". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 3, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  20. Fraser, Elizabeth (September 24, 2018). "David Coon will head back to house with 2 other Green MLAs". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 5, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  21. Fraser, Elizabeth (September 26, 2018). "Liberals court Greens for governing partnership". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  22. "Four-year deal between New Brunswick Tories, smaller party ideal for stability: Higgs". The Canadian Press. October 1, 2018. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  23. "People's Alliance agrees to support a PC government in N.B. 'bill by bill'". CBC News. September 28, 2018. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  24. Bisset, Kevin (September 27, 2018). "New Brunswick Greens say they're open to deal to support Progressive Conservatives". The Canadian Press. Archived from the original on September 28, 2018. Retrieved October 6, 2018.
  25. Poitras, Jacques (October 10, 2018). "No deal: Green Party won't formally side with Liberals or PCs in N.B." CBC News. Archived from the original on October 11, 2018. Retrieved October 10, 2018.
  26. Shingler, Benjamin (September 25, 2018). "New Brunswick election puts proportional representation on map in Quebec campaign". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 3, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  27. "B.C. Green leader's advice for New Brunswick Greens: make a deal with PCs". CBC News. September 29, 2018. Archived from the original on October 3, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  28. "Globe editorial: It's time to examine the way we vote in Canadian elections". The Globe and Mail. September 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  29. Magee, Shane (March 17, 2018). "'Emotional day' as assembly wraps ahead of fall vote". Brunswick News Inc. p. A.3.
  30. Poitras, Jacques (March 14, 2018). "Attorney General Serge Rousselle won't run for re-election". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Archived from the original on April 28, 2018. Retrieved May 2, 2018.
  31. Chilibeck (September 6, 2017). "Gallant drops 3 ministers, adds 3 new faces". Times & Transcript. Brunswick News Inc. p. A.1.
  32. McPhail, Colin (April 17, 2018). "Challenger wins PC nomination in 'rare' upset over incumbent MLA". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Archived from the original on April 26, 2018. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
  33. "UPDATED---MLA Jody Carr Is Not Re-Offering In September's Election". CHSJ Country 94.1 FM. Acadia Broadcasting. January 18, 2018. Archived from the original on May 3, 2018. Retrieved May 2, 2018.
  34. "Progressive Conservative MLA calls it quits at provincial level". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. CBC News. May 28, 2018. Archived from the original on May 29, 2018. Retrieved May 29, 2018.

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