2018_New_Mexico_gubernatorial_election

2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election

2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election

Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of New Mexico


The 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of New Mexico, concurrently with the election of New Mexico's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various local elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Incumbent Republican governor Susana Martinez was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. Following party primaries on June 5, 2018, U.S. Representative Steve Pearce was the Republican nominee and U.S. Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham was the Democratic nominee. Lujan Grisham won the election by a substantial margin, which in fact was a complete and exact reversal of the 2014 gubernatorial results. Her win also signaled a continuation of the pattern of the partisanship of the office changing every two terms, beginning with Gary Johnson's first election in 1994. Furthermore, the pattern of the partisanship changing with each officeholder was continued, a pattern first started after Toney Anaya left office in 1987. Furthermore, the margin between the candidates (57.2% to 42.8%) was the same as the previous election, albeit with the parties switched.

Background

At the presidential level, New Mexico has begun to trend into a Democratic-leaning swing state. It has gone Democratic in all but one presidential election since 1992. The only break in this trend came in 2004, when George W. Bush won it by less than a point. However, in 2008, Barack Obama won the state over John McCain by 15 points and in 2012 by 10 points over Mitt Romney. In 2016, Democrat Hillary Clinton defeated Republican Donald Trump by eight points.

However, in 2010, then-District Attorney of New Mexico's Third Judicial District Susana Martinez won the election, becoming the first US Latina Governor, over Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish, former running mate of two-term Democrat Bill Richardson, by approximately seven points. In 2014, Martinez was re-elected over state Attorney General Gary King by nearly 15 points. It has been described as one of the Democrats' best chances at a pickup, due to Gov. Martinez's unpopularity and because "she's leaving behind a high unemployment rate and struggling education system."[1]

The 2018 primary election results show 116,311 votes for Democratic candidate Michelle Lujan Grisham and a total of 175,182 for all three Democratic candidates while Republican candidate/nominee Steve Pearce received 74,705; note that 23% of New Mexico's registered voters are third party or independents (280,000), who do not vote in the primary election.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominated
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew
  • Kelly Zunie, former secretary of the New Mexico Indian Affairs Department[10][11]
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Jeff Apodaca
Local and state politicians
Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Results by county:
  Lujan Grisham—70–80%
  Lujan Grisham—60–70%
  Lujan Grisham—50–60%
  Lujan Grisham—40–50%
  Apodaca—40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew
Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Morales—80–90%
  Morales—70–80%
  Morales—60–70%
  Morales—50–60%
  Morales—40–50%
  Morales—<40%
  Tie– Miera/Morales
  Miera—40–50%
  Garrett—40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Libertarian primary

Based on the party's voter registration numbers and presidential nominee Gary Johnson's result in 2016, the Libertarian Party holds major-party status in New Mexico.[43] Under New Mexico law, both gubernatorial and lieutenant governor candidates must receive each at least 230 signatures from registered Libertarian voters to formally receive the nomination and be placed on the ballot as the Libertarian nominees. Both Walsh and Dunn failed to meet that requirement and were not on the ballot.[44]

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Bob Walsh, retired mathematician[45]
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Endorsements

Steve Pearce (R)
Federal officials
Sheriffs[52]
County Commissioners
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
Federal officials
U.S Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local and state politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Debates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

By county

More information Michelle Lujan Grisham Democrat, Steve Pearce Republican ...

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Grisham won 2 of 3 congressional districts.[100]

More information District, Pearce ...

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Peter DeBenedittis with 2%
  3. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Partisan clients
  1. Poll conducted for Lujan Grisham's campaign.
  2. Poll conducted for The Majority Institute, a research and strategy hub affiliated with the Democratic Party.
  3. Poll conducted for the Elect Liberty PAC, an organization dedicated to promoting Libertarian candidates.
  4. Poll conducted for Hector Balderas, the incumbent New Mexico Attorney General.
  5. Poll conducted for Pearce's campaign.

References

  1. Phillips, Amber, "The top 10 gubernatorial races of 2018, "The Washington Post", January 6, 2018
  2. Coleman, Michael (July 10, 2017). "Pearce to run for governor of New Mexico". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
  3. Haussamen, Heath (August 10, 2016). "Q&A: Land Commissioner Dunn has his own proposal to fund early childhood programs". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved December 8, 2016.
  4. Oxford, Andrew (May 13, 2017). "Pearce confirms he's weighing run for governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved May 15, 2017.
  5. Terrell, Steve (July 11, 2017). "John Sanchez NOT running for governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved July 12, 2017.
  6. "New Mexico Election Results". electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/. New Mexico Secretary of State. June 6, 2018.
  7. Chacón, Daniel J. (August 15, 2017). "Native American running for GOP lieutenant governor spot". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  8. Boyd, Dan (December 13, 2016). "U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham announces 2018 gubernatorial bid". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved December 13, 2016.
  9. Reichbach, Matthew (December 8, 2016). "Udall said no, but some Dems still looking at 2018 run for governor". New Mexico Political Report. Retrieved December 7, 2016.
  10. Oxford, Andrew (May 3, 2017). "Jeff Apodaca to run for governor". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved May 3, 2017.
  11. Peters, Joey (July 7, 2017). "Las Cruces legislator cites budget, jobs crisis for why he's running for governor". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
  12. Haussamen, Heath (December 9, 2016). "Santa Fe mayor also considering running for governor". New Mexico Politics. Retrieved December 9, 2016.
  13. Last, T.S. (November 28, 2014). "Is the Governor's Office the next stop for Mayor Gonzales?". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved July 6, 2016.
  14. Nott, Robert (December 9, 2017). "Gonzales announces bid for lt. gov. in crowded Dem field". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved December 11, 2017.
  15. Coleman, Michael (November 10, 2016). "Who wants to be New Mexico's next governor?". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  16. Monahan, Joe (March 10, 2015). "'18 Guv Positioning Takes Shape". New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan. Retrieved March 18, 2015.
  17. Haussamen, Heath (May 12, 2016). "Q&A: Auditor Keller says better funding his office would protect tax dollars". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
  18. Boyd, Dan (December 10, 2016). "Governor's race could get crowded". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved December 11, 2016.
  19. Terrell, Steve (November 9, 2016). "Udall weighs run for governor in 2018". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  20. Coleman, Michael (December 7, 2016). "Udall won't run for governor in 2018". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved December 7, 2016.
  21. Haussamen, Heath (December 7, 2016). "Udall decides against running for governor, says he's needed in D.C." NMPolitics.net. Retrieved December 7, 2016.
  22. Terrell, Steve (July 13, 2017). "One-time gubernatorial candidate Webber backs Lujan Grisham". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved July 14, 2017.
  23. "Guadalupe Cano endorsement". Facebook. August 29, 2017. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  24. Lucero, Marco V. (September 14, 2017). "Los Alamos County Sheriff Marco Lucero Endorses Jeff Apodaca For Governor Of New Mexico". Los Alamos Daily Post. Archived from the original on September 29, 2017. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  25. Terrell, Steve (August 10, 2017). "Sam Donaldson endorses Jeff Apodaca". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  26. Terrell, Steve (August 10, 2017). "More gubernatorial endorsements roll in". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  27. "Mary Molina Mescall endorsement". Facebook. September 19, 2017. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  28. "Frances Ray endorsement". Facebook. September 22, 2017. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  29. Oxford, Andrew (October 20, 2017). "Doña Ana County commissioner announces bid for lieutenant governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved October 21, 2017.
  30. Horwath, Justin (June 12, 2017). "Miera and McTeigue announce runs for Lt. Gov". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  31. Oxford, Andrew (December 5, 2017). "Sen. Morales launches bid for lieutenant governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved December 6, 2017.
  32. Oxford, Andrew (January 5, 2017). "Longtime educator jumps into race for lieutenant governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  33. "Home". Javier Gonzales. Archived from the original on February 20, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  34. Terrell, Steve (July 19, 2017). "State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  35. McKay, Dan (December 4, 2017). "Padilla drops bid for lieutenant governor". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved December 6, 2017.
  36. Boyd, Dan (July 21, 2017). "State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  37. Oxford, Andrew (June 26, 2018). "Libertarian candidate for governor fails to make ballot". Santa Fe New Mexican.
  38. Oxford, Andrew (March 20, 2018). "Three Dunns running: For New Mexico's Libertarian Party, it's a family affair". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved May 13, 2018.
  39. "N.M land commissioner may run for governor as Libertarian - LAMonitor.com". lamonitor.com. Archived from the original on May 29, 2018. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  40. "Here's Why Gary Johnson Won't Be Running For Governor of New Mexico In 2018". thejacknews.com. September 16, 2017. Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 14, 2018.
  41. Morgan Lee - The Associated Press (November 13, 2017). "With easy ballot access, Libertarian Party seeks N.M. candidates; Dunn eyes bid for governor". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  42. Stelnicki, Tripp (October 22, 2018). "VP Pence headed to New Mexico, will stump for Pearce, Herrell". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  43. Steve Pearce for Governor (September 24, 2018). "MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM CAUGHT LYING ABOUT REPUBLICAN ENDORSEMENT". Archived from the original on September 26, 2018. Retrieved September 25, 2018.
  44. "ANNOUNCEMENT". RTLNM. Archived from the original on August 13, 2018.
  45. "Editorial: Needed: A fiscally responsible leader". Albuquerque Journal. October 28, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  46. Reichbach, Matthew (March 31, 2017). "Bingaman endorses Lujan Grisham for governor". New Mexico Political Report. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  47. "New Mexicans for Michelle - Endorsements". newmexicansformichelle.com. Archived from the original on April 27, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2018.
  48. Terrell, Steve (June 27, 2017). "Hector endorses Michelle". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  49. "Statement of candidate Kipp Watson for position of Delegate to the upcoming NM Democratic Statewide Primary" on file with campaign office of Michelle Lujan Grisham for Governor, February 2, 2018.
  50. Arencón, Diego (April 4, 2017). "New Mexico Professional Fire Fighters Endorse Congresswoman Michelle Lugan Grisham for Governor of New Mexico". NMPFFA. Archived from the original on September 29, 2017. Retrieved April 26, 2018.
  51. "Election Endorsements". iaff244.org. IAFF Local 244.
  52. "New Mexico - COMPAC Endorsements - UMWA". UMWA. United Mine Workers of America. Archived from the original on May 15, 2018. Retrieved May 15, 2018.
  53. "USW Endorses Lujan Grisham for Governor". United Steelworkers District 12. June 26, 2017.
  54. Foster, Demis (September 13, 2017). "Conservation Voters New Mexico Action Fund Endorses Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham To Be New Mexico's Next Governor". cvnmactionfund.org. Conservation Voters New Mexico Action Fund. Archived from the original on April 27, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2018.
  55. Boyd, Dan (February 28, 2017). "Emily's List to back Lujan Grisham for governor's race". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  56. "2018 Endorsed Candidates - GunSenseVoter.org". Archived from the original on October 10, 2018. Retrieved October 10, 2018.
  57. "Current Candidates - LatinoVictory.us". LatinoVictory.us. Archived from the original on April 22, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2018.
  58. Martinez, Marshall (March 6, 2018). "PLANNED PARENTHOOD ENDORSES MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM AND MAGGIE TOULOUSE OLIVER". plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  59. "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
  60. "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  61. "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  62. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  63. "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
  64. "New Mexico - Election Night Results". New Mexico Secretary of State. November 25, 2018. Archived from the original on February 8, 2019. Retrieved January 23, 2021 via Wayback Machine.

Share this article:

This article uses material from the Wikipedia article 2018_New_Mexico_gubernatorial_election, and is written by contributors. Text is available under a CC BY-SA 4.0 International License; additional terms may apply. Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.