2019_Madeiran_regional_election

2019 Madeiran regional election

2019 Madeiran regional election

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Regional elections were held on 22 September 2019[1] to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira in Portugal. All 47 members of the Assembly were up for election.

Quick Facts 47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira 24 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...

The Social Democratic Party continued their 43-year streak of being the largest party in the Madeiran legislature, but failed to hold on to their absolute majority, and would require a coalition for the first time to remain in power. The party won 39% of the votes, a decrease of 5%, and lost 3 members of the regional party. In the electoral map, the PSD lost the two biggest cities in Madeira, Funchal and Santa Cruz to the PS, although by less than 2% of the vote. Overall, the PSD still won the majority of municipalities, obtaining victory in 7 of the 11 in Madeira.

The Socialist Party surged in these elections, polling just two seats and 3.6% behind the PSD. It was the best showing of the PS in a regional election in Madeira going back to the first regional elections in 1976, two years after the fall of the dictatorship. The party won 4 of the 11 municipalities in Madeira. The People's Party lost a lot of votes and seats in these elections, winning just 3 seats and 5.8% of the vote. Together for the People (JPP) also suffered a big setback by losing 2 members and almost 5% of the votes. It even failed to obtain second place in their traditional bastion of Santa Cruz, falling behind the PS and PSD. The Unitary Democratic Coalition lost 1 of their 2 seats, and lost 3.7% of votes compared to 2015. The Left Bloc was wiped from the regional Assembly completely and only won 1.7% of the votes. These elections were fought mainly between the PSD and PS, and many left-wing voters opted to vote tactically for the PS to prevent another PSD victory, but by doing so, they hurt the chances of smaller left-wing parties and alliances such as the Left Bloc and CDU.[2]

The turnout in these elections increased compared to the previous one for the first time in over a decade, with 55.5% of voters casting a ballot, compared with the record-low 49.6% in the 2015 elections.

Following the elections, PSD and CDS-PP formed a coalition government with a parliamentary majority, headed by Miguel Albuquerque.[3]

Background

Leadership changes and challenges

Socialist Party

After the party's dismal result in the 2015 reginal election, just 11% of the votes, the then PS leader, Victor Freitas resigned and a leadership ballot was called.[4] Carlos Pereira was the sole candidate for the leadership and was elected with 70% of the votes.[5] However, Pereira's leadership divided the party, as he spent much more time in the Assembly of the Republic, in Lisbon, rather than in Madeira. A leadership ballot was called for 19 January 2018 and two candidates were on the ballot: Incumbent leader Carlos Pereira and Porto Moniz mayor, Emanuel Câmara. Câmara defeated Pereira by a 57% to 43% margin.[6] The results were the following:

More information Candidate, Votes ...

Despite being elected leader, Emanuel Câmara announced that he would not be the party's candidate for the Presidency of the Regional Government and that he would pick Funchal mayor Paulo Cafôfo as the party's lead candidate.[8]

Electoral system

The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[9]

Parties

Current composition

The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.

More information Name, Ideology ...

Parties running in the election

17 parties were on the ballot for the 2019 Madeira regional election. The parties that contested the election and their lead candidates were: (parties/coalitions are ordered by the way they appeared on the ballot)[10]

Campaign period

Party slogans

More information Party or alliance, Original slogan ...

Candidates' debates

More information Date, Organisers ...

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Polling

  Exit poll

More information Polling firm/Link, Fieldwork date ...

Voter turnout

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day.

More information Turnout, Time ...

Results

On election night, the centre-right PSD and national-conservative CDS said they were willing to form a coalition government.[30]

More information Parties, Votes ...
More information Vote share ...
More information Parliamentary seats ...

Maps

Aftermath

Government approval

For the first time in democracy, the PSD failed to win an outright majority of seats and was forced to negotiate with other parties. Shortly after, the party reached a deal with CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) to form a coalition government.[3] On 13 November 2019, the regional parliament approved Albuquerque's second led government, the first coalition government in Madeira:

More information Ballot →, 13 November 2019 ...

See also

Notes

  1. The leader of the PS-Madeira is Emanuel Câmara, but he has nominated the mayor of Funchal, Paulo Cafôfo, as the PS candidate for the Presidency of the Madeira Government.
  2. PS, PTP, PAN and MPT contested the 2015 election in an electoral coalition called Change which received 11.4% of the vote.
  3. The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2015 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 5.5% of the vote and elected 2 MPs to parliament.
  4. Roberto Vieira is a former Earth Party (MPT) member.
  5. Did not exist.

References

  1. "Marcelo anuncia eleições legislativas em 6 de outubro", Sapo 24, 7 December 2018. Retrieved 7 December 2018.
  2. Berenguer, Márcio (8 October 2019). "Albuquerque e Barreto assinam acordo de coligação de governo". Público (in Portuguese). Archived from the original on 14 December 2023. Retrieved 14 December 2023.
  3. "Carlos Pereira será o novo líder do PS-Madeira". Sol. 2015-05-25. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
  4. "Carlos Pereira quer um novo caminho para o PS-Madeira". Público. 2015-05-30. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
  5. "Emanuel Câmara foi hoje eleito novo presidente do PS/Madeira". Público. 2018-01-20. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
  6. "Oficial: Cafôfo é o candidato do PS contra Miguel Albuquerque". Visão. 2018-05-26. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
  7. Sorteio das Candidaturas - ALRAM 2019, Comissão Nacional de Eleições, 14 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  8. Eleições na Madeira: PNR defende redução de deputados de 47 para 30, Sapo24, 19 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  9. Iniciativa Liberal quer eliminar cargo de Representante da República, Sapo24, 23 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  10. "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – PSD". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  11. "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – CDS". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  12. "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – PS". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  13. "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – JPP". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  14. "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – BE". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  15. "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – CDU". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  16. "Eleições da Madeira - Debates". RTP Madeira (in Portuguese). 19 September 2019. Retrieved 24 October 2020.
  17. "Regionais 2019 - Afluência". eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2019/index.doc (in Portuguese). Ministry of Internal Administration. Retrieved 12 June 2023.
  18. "Regionais 2015 - Afluência". eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2015/index.doc (in Portuguese). Ministry of Internal Administration. Retrieved 12 June 2023.
  19. "Madeira: Programa do Governo regional aprovado por PSD e CDS". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 13 November 2019. Retrieved 11 February 2024.

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