2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries

2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Selection of the Democratic Party nominee

Presidential primaries and caucuses were organized by the Democratic Party to select the 3,979 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention held on August 17–20 to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2020 United States presidential election. The elections took place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, five U.S. territories, and through Democrats Abroad, and occurred between February 3 and August 11.

Quick Facts Candidate, Home state ...

A total of 29 major candidates declared their candidacies for the primaries,[3] the largest field of presidential primary candidates for any American political party since the modern primaries began in 1972, exceeding the field of 17 major candidates in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries.[4] Former Vice President Joe Biden led polls throughout 2019, with the exception of a brief period in October when Senator Elizabeth Warren experienced a surge in support.[5] 18 of the 29 declared candidates withdrew before the formal beginning of the primary due to low polling, fundraising, and media coverage. The first primary was marred by controversy, as technical issues with vote reporting resulted in a three-day delay in vote counting in the Iowa caucus, as well as subsequent recounts. The certified results of the caucus eventually showed Mayor Pete Buttigieg winning the most delegates, while Senator Bernie Sanders won the popular vote in the state. Sanders then won the New Hampshire primary in a narrow victory over Buttigieg before handily winning the Nevada caucus, solidifying Sanders' status as the front-runner for the nomination.[6][7]

Biden, whose campaign fortunes had suffered from losses in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada, made a comeback by overwhelmingly winning the South Carolina primary, motivated by strong support from African American voters, an endorsement from South Carolina U.S. Representative Jim Clyburn, as well as Democratic establishment concerns about nominating Sanders.[8] After Biden won South Carolina, and one day before the Super Tuesday primaries, several candidates dropped out of the race and endorsed Biden in what was viewed as a consolidation of the party's moderate wing. Prior to the announcement, polling saw Sanders leading with a plurality in most Super Tuesday states.[9] Biden then won 10 out of 15 contests on Super Tuesday, beating back challenges from Sanders, Warren, and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, solidifying his lead.[9]

On April 8, Biden became the presumptive nominee after Sanders, the only other candidate remaining, withdrew from the race.[10] In early June, Biden passed the threshold of 1,991 delegates to win the nomination.[11][12] Seven candidates received pledged delegates: Biden, Sanders, Warren, Bloomberg, Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar and U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard.[13] On August 11, Biden announced that former presidential candidate Senator Kamala Harris would be his running mate.[14] Biden and Harris were officially nominated for president and vice president by delegates at the Democratic National Convention on August 18 and 19.[15][16] Biden and Harris won the presidency and vice presidency in the general election on November 3, defeating the incumbents President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence.

Biden became the first Democratic candidate since Bill Clinton, and the third ever Democratic candidate,[lower-alpha 3] to win the nomination without carrying either Iowa or New Hampshire, the first two states on the primary/caucus calendar.

The primaries were initially scheduled to go through June 6. The COVID-19 pandemic in the United States caused a number of states to shift their primaries to later in the year.

Background

After Hillary Clinton's loss in the previous election, many felt the Democratic Party lacked a clear leading figure.[17] Divisions remained in the party following the 2016 primaries, which pitted Clinton against Bernie Sanders.[18][19] Between the 2016 election and the 2018 midterm elections, Senate Democrats generally shifted to the political left in relation to college tuition, healthcare, and immigration.[20][21] The 2018 elections saw the Democratic Party regain the House of Representatives for the first time in eight years, picking up seats in both urban and suburban districts.[22][23]

Reforms since 2016

See also: Superdelegate § DNC Unity Reform Commission and superdelegate reform, 2016–2018

On August 25, 2018, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) members passed reforms to the Democratic Party's primary process in order to increase participation[24] and ensure transparency.[25] State parties are encouraged to use a government-run primary whenever available and increase the accessibility of their primary through same-day or automatic registration and same-day party switching. Caucuses are required to have absentee voting, or to otherwise allow those who cannot participate in person to be included.[24]

Independent of the results of the primaries and caucuses, the Democratic Party, from its group of party leaders and elected officials, also appointed 771[lower-alpha 1] unpledged delegates (superdelegates) to participate in its national convention.

In contrast to all previous election cycles since superdelegates were introduced in 1984, superdelegates will no longer have the right to cast decisive votes on the convention's first ballot for the presidential nomination. They will be allowed to cast non-decisive votes if a candidate has clinched the nomination before the first ballot, or decisive votes on subsequent ballots in a contested convention.[26][27] In that case, the number of votes required shall increase to a majority of pledged and superdelegates combined. Superdelegates are not precluded from publicly endorsing a candidate before the convention.

There were a number of changes to the process of nomination at the state level. A decline in the number of caucuses occurred after 2016. Democrats in Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Washington all switched from various forms of caucuses to primaries. Hawaii, Kansas, and North Dakota switched to party-run "firehouse primaries".[28]

This resulted in the lowest number of caucuses in the Democratic Party's recent history. Only three states (Iowa, Nevada, and Wyoming) and four territories (American Samoa, Guam, Northern Marianas, and U.S. Virgin Islands) used them. Six states were approved in 2019 by the DNC to use ranked-choice voting in the primaries: Alaska, Hawaii, Kansas, and Wyoming for all voters; Iowa and Nevada for absentee voters.[29] Rather than eliminating candidates until a single winner is chosen, voters' choices were reallocated until all remaining candidates have at least 15%, the threshold to receive delegates to the convention.[30]

Several states which did not use paper ballots widely in 2016 and 2018, adopted them for the 2020 primary and general elections,[31] to minimize potential interference in vote tallies, a concern raised by intelligence officials,[32] election officials[33] and the public.[34] The move to paper ballots enabled audits to start where they had not been possible before, and in 2020 about half the states audit samples of primary ballots to measure accuracy of the reported results.[35] Audits of caucus results depend on party rules, and the Iowa Democratic party investigated inaccuracies in precinct reports, resolved enough to be sure the delegate allocations were correct, and decided it did not have authority or time to correct all errors.[36][37][38]

Rules for number of delegates

Number of pledged delegates per state

The number of pledged delegates from each state is proportional to the state's share of the electoral college, and to the state's past Democratic votes for president.[39][40] Thus less weight is given to swing states and Republican states, while more weight is given to strongly Democratic states, in choosing a nominee.

Six pledged delegates are assigned to each territory, 44 to Puerto Rico, and 12 to Democrats Abroad. Each jurisdiction can also earn bonus delegates by holding primaries after March or in clusters of 3 or more neighboring states.[39]

Within states, a quarter of pledged delegates are allocated to candidates based on statewide vote totals, and the rest typically based on votes in each congressional district, although some states use divisions other than congressional districts. For example, Texas uses state Senate districts.[41][39] Districts which have voted Democratic in the past get more delegates, and fewer delegates are allocated for swing districts and Republican districts.[39] For example, House Speaker Pelosi's strongly Democratic district 12 has 7 delegates, or one per 109,000 people, and a swing district, CA-10, which became Democratic in 2018, has 4 delegates, or one per 190,000 people.[42][43][44]

Candidate threshold

Candidates who received under 15% of the votes in a state or district didn't get any delegates from that area. Candidates who got 15% or more of the votes divided delegates in proportion to their votes.[42][45] These rules apply at the state level to state delegates and within each district for those delegates. The 15% threshold was established in 1992[46] to limit "fringe" candidates.[47] The threshold now means that any sector of the party (moderate, progressive, etc.) which produces many candidates, thus dividing supporters' votes, may win few delegates, even if it wins a majority of votes.[47][48][46]

Schedule and results

Main article: Results of the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Quick Facts
More information Date (daily totals), Total pledged delegates ...

Election day postponements and cancellations

Main article: Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on politics § Impact on elections

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, a number of presidential primaries were rescheduled. On April 27, New York canceled its primary altogether on the grounds that there was only one candidate left with an active campaign. Andrew Yang responded with a lawsuit, arguing that the decision infringes on voting rights,[64] and in early May, the judge ruled in favor of Yang.[65]

More information Primary, Original schedule ...

In addition, the DNC elected to delay the 2020 Democratic National Convention from July 13–16 to August 17–20.[95]

Candidates

Main article: 2020 Democratic Party presidential candidates

Major candidates in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries had held significant elective office or received substantial media coverage.

Nearly 300 candidates who did not receive significant media coverage also filed with the Federal Election Commission to run for president in the primary.[96]

Nominee

More information Candidate, Born ...

Withdrew during the primaries

More information Candidate, Born ...

Other notable individuals who were not major candidates terminated their campaigns during the primaries:

Withdrew before the primaries

More information Candidate, Born ...

Other notable individuals who were not major candidates terminated their campaigns before the primaries:

Political positions

Main article: Political positions of the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primary candidates

Debates and forums

Main articles: 2020 Democratic Party presidential debates and 2020 Democratic Party presidential forums

In December 2018, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) announced the schedule for 12 official DNC-sanctioned debates, set to begin in June 2019, with six debates in 2019 and the remaining six during the first four months of 2020. Candidates were allowed to participate in forums featuring multiple other candidates as long as only one candidate appeared on stage at a time. Any presidential candidates who participated in unsanctioned debates with each other would have lost their invitations to the next DNC-sanctioned debate.[210][211] No unsanctioned debates took place during the 2019—2020 debate season.

The DNC also announced that it would not partner with Fox News as a media sponsor for any debates.[212][213] Fox News last held a Democratic debate in 2003.[214] All media sponsors selected to host a debate were as a new rule required to appoint at least one female moderator for each debate, to ensure there would not be a gender-skewed treatment of the candidates and debate topics.[215]

More information Debate, Date ...

Primary election polling

Main articles: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries and Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from December 2018 to April 2020.

Polling aggregates
      Joe Biden       Others/Undecided
      Bernie Sanders       Tulsi Gabbard
      Elizabeth Warren       Michael Bloomberg
      Amy Klobuchar       Pete Buttigieg
      Andrew Yang       Cory Booker
      Kamala Harris       Beto O'Rourke
      Debates       Caucuses and primaries
      COVID-19 pandemic national emergency declaration

Italics indicate withdrawn candidates; bold indicates events.

Timeline

Main article: Timeline of the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Richard Ojeda 2020 presidential campaignEric Swalwell 2020 presidential campaignMike Gravel 2020 presidential campaignJohn Hickenlooper 2020 presidential campaignJay Inslee 2020 presidential campaignSeth Moulton 2020 presidential campaignKirsten Gillibrand 2020 presidential campaignBill de Blasio 2020 presidential campaignTim Ryan 2020 presidential campaignBeto O'Rourke 2020 presidential campaignWayne Messam 2020 presidential campaignJoe Sestak 2020 presidential campaignSteve Bullock 2020 presidential campaignKamala Harris 2020 presidential campaignJulián Castro 2020 presidential campaignMarianne Williamson 2020 presidential campaignCory Booker 2020 presidential campaignJohn Delaney 2020 presidential campaignAndrew Yang 2020 presidential campaignMichael Bennet 2020 presidential campaignDeval Patrick 2020 presidential campaignTom Steyer 2020 presidential campaignPete Buttigieg 2020 presidential campaignAmy Klobuchar 2020 presidential campaignMichael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaignElizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaignTulsi Gabbard 2020 presidential campaignBernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaignJoe Biden 2020 presidential campaign
Nominee
Exploratory
committee
Suspended
campaign
Midterm
elections
Iowa
caucuses
New Hampshire
primary
South Carolina
primary
Super
Tuesday
National emergency
declared due to
COVID-19
Wisconsin primary
Democratic
convention
Won
election

Ballot access

Filing for the primaries began in October 2019.[257][258] Yes indicates that the candidate was on the ballot for the primary contest, Dropped indicates that the candidate was a recognized write-in candidate, and No indicates that the candidate did not appear on the ballot in that state's contest. Maybe indicates that a candidate withdrew before the election but was still listed on the ballot.

More information State/ Territory, Date ...

Candidates listed in italics have suspended their campaigns.

  1. Cory Booker, Mosie Boyd, Steve Bullock, Steve Burke, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, John Delaney, Jason Dunlap, Michael A. Ellinger, Ben Gleib, Mark Greenstein, Kamala Harris, Henry Hewes, Tom Koos, Lorenz Kraus, Rita Krichevsky, Raymond Moroz, Joe Sestak, Sam Sloan, David Thistle, Thomas Torgeson, Robby Wells, and Marianne Williamson
  2. John Delaney
  3. Cory Booker and John Delaney
  4. Cory Booker, Julián Castro, John Delaney, and Marianne Williamson
  5. Cory Booker, Mosie Boyd, Steve Bullock, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Kamala Harris, Joe Sestak, and Marianne Williamson
  6. Cory Booker, Mosie Boyd, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, John Delaney, Michael A. Ellinger, Mark Greenstein, Joe Sestak, and Marianne Williamson
  7. Cory Booker, Roque De La Fuente III, Rita Krichevsky, Robby Wells, and Marianne Williamson
  8. Cory Booker and Marianne Williamson
  9. Cory Booker, Julián Castro, and Marianne Williamson
  10. Cory Booker, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, John Delaney, Robby Wells, and Marianne Williamson
  11. Nathan Bloxham, Cory Booker, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, and Marianne Williamson
  12. Julián Castro, Mark Greenstein, and Marianne Williamson
  13. Cory Booker, Steve Burke, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, John Delaney, and Marianne Williamson
  14. Cory Booker, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Joe Sestak, and Marianne Williamson
  15. Cory Booker, Steve Burke, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, John Delaney, Bill Haas, Henry Hewes, Leonard J. Steinman II, Velma Steinman, Robby Wells, and Marianne Williamson
  16. Cory Booker, Julián Castro, Roque De La Fuente III, John Delaney, Michael A. Ellinger, Henry Hewes, and Marianne Williamson
  17. David Lee Rice
  18. Steve Burke, John Delaney and Robby Wells

National convention

Main article: 2020 Democratic National Convention

The 2020 Democratic National Convention was scheduled to take place in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 13–16, 2020,[318][319][320] but was postponed and rescheduled to take place on August 17–20 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[321]

The event became a virtual "Convention Across America" with voting held online before the opening gavel, and the non-televised events held remotely over ZOOM.

Endorsements

Main article: Endorsements in the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Campaign finance

This is an overview of the money being raised and spent by each campaign for the entire period running from January 1, 2017, to March 31, 2020, as it was reported to the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Total raised is the sum of all individual contributions (large and small), loans from the candidate, and transfers from other campaign committees. The last column, Cash On Hand (COH), has been calculated by subtracting the "spent" amount from the "raised" amount, thereby showing the remaining cash each campaign had available for its future spending as of February 29, 2020. As of February 29, 2020, the major candidates have raised $989,234,992.08.

  Candidate who has withdrawn
More information Candidate, Total raised ...

Maps

Democratic primary and caucus calendar as of March 12, 2020, prior to a number of delays
  February
  March 3 (Super Tuesday)
  March 10
  March 14–17
  March 24–29
  April 4–7
  April 28
  May
  June
Democratic primary and caucus calendar by scheduled date after delays due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
  February
  March 3 (Super Tuesday)
  March 10
  March 14–17
  April 7–17
  April 28
  May
  June
  July–August
Quick Facts
  • Results by county according to first determining step relevant for delegate allocation. In Iowa, this is State Delegate Equivalents (SDEs) elected at precinct caucuses; in Nevada, this is County Convention Delegates (CCDs). In other states, this is the popular vote for each candidate.
  • Results by delegate district (usually congressional district) by first preference vote. Darker colors denote greater support for the leading candidate.

See also

National Conventions
Presidential primaries

Notes

  1. 2,376 of 4,749 delegates needed to win any subsequent ballots at a contested convention.[1] The number of extra unpledged delegates (superdelegates), who after the first ballot at a contested convention would participate in any subsequently needed nominating ballots (together with the 3,979 pledged delegates), was 770 in the end.[2] The exact number of superdelegates had not been fully clear beforehand as it always was subject to change due to possible deaths, resignations, accessions, or potential election as a pledged delegate.[1]
  2. Although Sanders and Buttigieg both earned 9 delegates from New Hampshire, it is counted as a win for Sanders as he won the popular vote.
  3. George McGovern was the first candidate back in 1972
  4. Includes only the final caucus alignment, after voters supporting non-viable candidates in the first round were allowed to transfer their vote to a different candidate.
  5. 8 (but not all) statewide delegates were reallocated towards Biden as the sole remaining candidate at the state convention on June 13, 3 from Sanders, 3 from Warren, and 2 from Buttigieg. Sanders and Buttigieg retained a part of their statewide delegates, and Iowa's allocation apparently did not follow any logical rule pattern.[49][50]
  6. Prior to reallocation at the state convention on June 13, Buttigieg had won the caucus with 14 initial delegates, which was the electoral but not final step of delegate selection.
  7. Includes only the final caucus alignment, after voters supporting non-viable candidates in the first round were allowed to transfer their vote to a different candidate and ranked-choice early voting ballots were reallocated to candidates receiving at least 15%.
  8. 2 statewide delegates initially awarded to Bloomberg were reallocated to Biden at the state convention on 30 May as the former withdrew.[51]
  9. Statewide delegates (theoretically 4) were directly left out of the calculation for Warren due to her withdrawal.[52]
  10. Statewide delegates (theoretically 5) were directly left out of the calculation for Bloomberg due to his withdrawal.[53]
  11. 2 statewide delegates initially awarded to Warren were reallocated to Biden at the state convention on May 30 as the former withdrew.[54]
  12. 8 statewide delegates initially awarded to Warren were reallocated to Biden at the state committee meeting on May 16 as the former withdrew.[55]
  13. 5 statewide delegates initially awarded to Warren were reallocated to Biden at the state convention on May 31 as the former withdrew.[56]
  14. Statewide delegates (theoretically 5) were directly left out of the calculation for Bloomberg due to his withdrawal.[57]
  15. Statewide delegates (theoretically 2) were directly left out of the calculation for Warren due to her withdrawal.[58]
  16. Statewide delegates (theoretically 2) were directly left out of the calculation for Bloomberg due to his withdrawal.[59]
  17. Suspended campaign during the voting period.
  18. Suspended campaign during the voting period and officially withdrew from the ballot on March 7.
  19. While Bloomberg, Klobuchar and four other candidates had formally withdrawn and were not published in the final state canvass, those ballots were included by the state as part of overall cast ballots and any media covering the primary reported individual vote tallies for those candidates.[60][61][62]
  20. Includes only the final-round count of a ranked-choice ballot, in which the candidates receiving the fewest votes are progressively eliminated and their votes reallocated to voters' highest-ranked remaining choice, until only candidates receiving at least 15% remain.
  21. Inactive votes from the final round, which had no choice for a viable candidate with 15% (Biden, Sanders) listed.
  22. Does not include votes cast in the March 24 presidential preference primary before it was canceled.[63]
  23. Two delegates were awarded to Uncommitted.
  24. According to the final results, Sanders would have mathematically received 45 delegates, but the results were not completed before the national convention.
  25. According to the final results, Sanders would have mathematically received 9 delegates, but it seems that the results were not completed before the national convention.
  26. Following an agreement between Sanders and Biden for party unity, Sanders was allowed to retain all of his statewide delegates (with the exception of 3 from Iowa, which would put his initial result at 1,117 delegates) despite national party rules demanding the reallocation of statewide delegates from withdrawn candidates to the remaining candidates.
  27. Warren initially won 79 delegates, but 18 statewide delegates were allocated to Biden as the sole remaining candidate.
  28. Bloomberg initially won 51 delegates, but 2 statewide delegates were allocated to Biden as the sole remaining candidate.
  29. Buttigieg initially won 26 delegates, but 2 statewide delegates were allocated to Biden as the sole remaining candidate.
  30. First rescheduled to June 2, then shifted back to April 28 with in-person voting canceled; mail-in ballots must be received by 7:30 p.m. on April 28, 2020 to be counted.
  31. Mail-in ballots must be received by April 10 to be counted.
  32. Mail-in ballots must be received by April 17 to be counted.
  33. Mail-in ballots must be received by May 22; results to be announced on May 23.
  34. The original rescheduled date was on June 20 before being delayed for the second time.
  35. Mail-in ballots must be received by May 2.
  36. Mail-in ballots must be received by July 14 to be counted.
  37. Candidate did not appear on any ballots.
  38. Caucus

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