2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Indiana

2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

Election in Indiana


The 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Indiana was the home state of Pence, who served as Governor of Indiana from 2013 to 2017. Pence retained a 59% approval among voters in his home state.[4] On the day of the election, most news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a likely red state. Trump won Indiana by 57% to Biden's 41%, a slight increase in his vote share from 2016, but a reduction in his margin of victory.

This election marked the first time since 1952 and only the third time since 1888 that Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a significant bellwether county, voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election. Biden subsequently became the first presidential nominee of either party since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952, and the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1884, to win the presidency without carrying Vigo County.[5]

Biden also became the first Democrat since FDR in 1944 to win without carrying traditionally Democratic Perry County in Southern Indiana. Biden did flip Tippecanoe County, home to Lafayette, from Republican to Democratic, marking the first time since 1936 that the county voted against Indiana's statewide winner. Biden was also the first Democrat to win without LaPorte County since 1976. Trump also became the first Republican since Ronald Reagan in 1984 to carry exurban Madison County with more than 60% of the vote.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 58 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[6]

Democratic primary

More information Candidate, Votes ...

Libertarian nominee

The 2020 Libertarian National Convention was held on May 22–24, 2020, selecting Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University, as their presidential nominee.

Green primary

The Green primary was held on May 1–31, 2020, with mail-in ballots being post marked no later than June 1, 2020, and results being published by June 14, 2020.[9]

General election

Predictions

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Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

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Polls

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Results

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Results by county

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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Trump and Republican candidates won 7 of 9 congressional districts.

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Analysis

Biden significantly reduced the Republican margin in Hamilton County, a suburban county in the Indianapolis metropolitan area that is the state's fourth-most populous county.[25] Hamilton County has never supported a candidate of the Democratic Party for president except for 1912, when the split in the Republicans allowed Woodrow Wilson to carry the county with a 34.9% plurality.[5] Hamilton broke 60%-38% for John McCain in 2008, when Barack Obama won Indiana. Mitt Romney won Hamilton County 66%–32% in 2012 and Trump won it 56%-37% in 2016, nearly identical to his statewide margin. In this election, Trump narrowly won Hamilton County, 52%-45%, a margin that is to the left of the statewide result. Biden's 45% vote share in Hamilton County is higher than that of even Lyndon B. Johnson in his nationwide landslide in 1964 and higher than that of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936.[5] Biden's vote share in Hamilton is only equaled by Roosevelt's 44.85% share in his 1932 landslide.

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Partisan clients
  1. This poll is sponsored by Karen Tallian's campaign (D)

References

  1. "Voter turnout in United States elections". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
  2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Indiana Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  4. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  5. "Indiana Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  6. "Past Election Results". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  7. "June 2 contests – Live primary and caucus results, Indiana". Reuters. July 16, 2020. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
  8. "2020 Presidential Primary Voting". Indiana Green Party. Retrieved April 28, 2020.
  9. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  13. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  14. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  15. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  16. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  17. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  18. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  19. "Presidential Electors for US President & VP". Indiana Secretary of State. December 3, 2020. Retrieved December 13, 2020.

Further reading


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