2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Massachusetts

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

Election in Massachusetts

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Biden easily carried Massachusetts with a 33-point margin, the largest margin whereby any nominee had carried the state since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. Massachusetts was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Rhode Island and Hawaii.

Massachusetts voted 29% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Main article: 2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.[4][5]

More information Candidate, Votes ...
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary § MAresults.[edit]

Republican primary

Main article: 2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did Utah Senator and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.[8][9][10][11]

More information Candidate, Popular vote ...
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary § MAresults.[edit]

Libertarian primary

Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
Quick Facts Candidate, Home state ...

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.[13][14][15]

More information Candidate, Votes ...

Green primary

Main article: 2020 Green Party presidential primaries
More information Candidate, Votes ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Polls
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Former candidates, Poll source ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Treemap of the 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts.
Biden:
     50-60%      60-70%
     70-80%      80-90%

By county

More information County, Joe Biden Democratic ...

By congressional district

Biden won all nine congressional districts, breaking 60% of the vote in eight of them.

More information District, Trump ...

Analysis

Massachusetts has been a Democratic-leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and has maintained extremely large Democratic margins since 1996. This remained true in 2020, with Massachusetts being one of six states (along with Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, California, and New York) to give Biden over 60% of the vote. Massachusetts is ethnically diverse, highly urbanized, highly educated, and among the least religious states.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Massachusetts came from college-educated voters, which he won with 74% of the vote, which carries particular weight in Massachusetts, as the state contains the highest proportion of graduates in the country (outside of the District of Columbia).[31] Trump's slip among suburban white voters led Biden to carry almost every municipality in the Greater Boston area by at least 60% or more, while Trump carried only several towns on the South Shore and in Central Massachusetts. Biden won 301 of the 351 municipalities.[32] Biden swept all demographic groups, garnering 63% of whites, 84% of Latinos, 58% of Catholics, 56% of Protestants, and 86% of Jewish voters. Additionally, Biden won 52% of whites without a college degree within the state, one of Trump's strongest demographics elsewhere in the country.[31] While Biden overwhelmingly carried Latino voters in the state, Trump improved on his 2016 performance in heavily Hispanic cities such as Lawrence, Chelsea, and Holyoke.[33] Trump had the worst vote share in Massachusetts of any Republican nominee since Bob Dole in 1996, and slightly underperformed George W. Bush's 32.5% vote share in 2000.

Massachusetts was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being California, Maryland, New York and Illinois.

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate withdrew after early voting started, but before the date of the election.
  2. Excluding write-ins, which were not tallied.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. "Some other candidate" with 5%; "Refused" with 3%; would not vote with no voters
  6. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  7. "Another candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 3%
  8. "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 3%
  9. Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  10. "Another candidate" with 7%

References

  1. [1]
    "MA SOC Voter Turnout Statistics".
  2. [2]
    Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. [3]
    "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. [4]
    Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  5. [5]
    Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times.
  6. [6]
    "2020 President Democratic Primary". Mass.gov. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  7. [7]
    "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Massachusetts Democrat". Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  8. [8]
    Markos, Mary (November 8, 2018). "Charlie Baker 'absolutely' staying put". Boston Herald. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  9. [9]
    Burr, Thomas (February 16, 2018). "Mitt Romney: On school shootings, immigration and when he'll challenge Trump. A Q&A with Utah's new Senate candidate". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved February 18, 2018.
  10. [10]
    Heilbrunn, Jacob (January 2, 2018). "Donald Trump's Biggest Fear: A Romney 2020 Primary Challenge". The National Interest. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  11. [11]
    Keller, Jon (January 2, 2018). "Keller @ Large: Could Romney Be Trump's Worst Nightmare?". WBZ-TV. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  12. [12]
    "2020 President Republican Primary". Mass.gov. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  13. [13]
    Sullivan, Max (July 28, 2019). "Seabrook's Abramson seeks Libertarian presidential nomination". The Portsmouth Herald. Archived from the original on December 29, 2020. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  14. [14]
    Limitone, Julia (June 18, 2019). "Presidential candidate vows to abolish federal government on day 1, then resign". Fox Business. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  15. [15]
    Clark, Bob (November 12, 2019). "Libertarians Offer Voters Nothing New". Olean Times Herald. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  16. [16]
    "Massachusetts Election Statistics: 2020 Libertarian Primary". Massachusetts Secretary of State. March 3, 2020.
  17. [17]
    https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/%5B%5D
  18. [18]
    "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. [19]
    "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. [20]
    "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  21. [21]
    "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. [22]
    "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. [23]
    2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  24. [24]
    David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  25. [25]
    "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  26. [26]
    "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  27. [27]
    "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  28. [28]
    "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  29. [29]
    "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  30. [30]
    "2020 President General Election". Massachusetts Secretary of State. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
  31. [31]
    "Massachusetts Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  32. [32]
    "Map: See How Your Town Or City Voted In The 2020 Election". www.wbur.org. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  33. [33]
    "One place Trump gained in Mass.: Heavily Latino cities". November 6, 2020.

Further reading
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