2022_Massachusetts_gubernatorial_election

2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
Turnout	51.4% 8.75%
	Healey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Diehl: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%; Tie: 40–50% No votes
Governor before election; Charlie Baker; Republican	Elected Governor ; Maura Healey; Democratic

2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election

Election for Governor of Massachusetts

The 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Massachusetts. Republican former state representative Geoff Diehl, Democratic state attorney general Maura Healey, and Libertarian Kevin Reed sought to succeed incumbent governor Charlie Baker, who did not seek re-election after two terms.^[2]^[3] The race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election and the only race in which the incumbent was retiring despite being eligible for re-election.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Primary elections were held on September 6, with Diehl and Healey winning against minimal opposition. Due to Massachusetts's strong liberal lean and Diehl's conservative political views, Healey was widely expected to win the election. The election was called for the Democrat shortly after polls closed, with Healey becoming the first woman ever elected governor of Massachusetts^{[lower-alpha 1]} and the first openly lesbian governor to take office^{[lower-alpha 2]} in United States history.^[4]

In addition, with the election of Kim Driscoll as lieutenant governor, Massachusetts became one of the first two states to simultaneously elect women as governor and lieutenant governor, with Arkansas simultaneously doing the same. Taking 63.7% of the vote, Healey's performance was the strongest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the state since Michael Dukakis in 1986, the best performance in history for a non-incumbent Democrat, and the best performance for any non-incumbent since Channing Cox in 1920. Healey also made history by receiving over 1.5 million votes, the most ever received by a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Massachusetts history.

This election constituted the largest shift by partisan margin of any 2022 gubernatorial election, swinging from a 33.5 point margin of victory for the Republican in 2018 to a 29.1 point margin for the Democrat in 2022. Additionally, every county in the state flipped from Republican to Democratic; a feat where every county flipped in a gubernatorial election had not occurred since Republican Matt Mead did so in Wyoming in 2010.

Republican primary

Governor

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[4] Jane Swift served as acting governor from 2001 to 2003 after Paul Cellucci resigned to become United States Ambassador to Canada

[5] Tina Kotek, the Governor of Oregon, was concurrently elected in 2022 and is also openly lesbian, but took office after Healey.

[Key-31] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[106] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[107] "Someone else" with 12%, Silva with 2%, Caldwell with 1%

[109] "Some other candidate" with 4%, Allen with 3%

[110] As a candidate changing parties to run in the Democratic primary

[175] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[176] Reed (L) with 2%

[177] Reed (L) with 3%

[178] Reed (L) with 4%

[179] "Some other candidate" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with <1%

[180] Reed (L) with 5%, "Refused" with 1%

[181] "Someone else" with 3%

[noparty-182] Candidates were listed without party affiliation, leading to a large number of respondents selecting neither candidate

[WNV6-183] "Would Not Vote" with 6%

[184] "Would Not Vote" with 5%

[WNV8-185] "Would Not Vote" with 8%

[WNV9-186] "Would Not Vote" with 9%

[WNV7-187] "Would Not Vote" with 7%

[WNV10-188] "Would Not Vote" with 10%

[189] "Would Not Vote" with 11%

[190] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[191] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[192] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[MassFiscal-32] This poll was sponsored by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, a Republican-aligned group.

[DGA-33] This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association.

[PFP-108] This poll was sponsored by Priorities for Progress, a Democratic-aligned group.

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Shiva Ayyadurai	Geoff Diehl	Chris Doughty	Other	Undecided
Advantage, Inc. (R)^{[upper-alpha 1]}	August 22–23, 2022	187 (LV)	± 7.2%	–	42%	27%	–	31%
UMass Amherst	June 15–21, 2022	223 (LV)	± 7.4%	–	55%	18%	1%	26%
Emerson College	May 2–4, 2022	288 (LV)	± 6.5%	6%	37%	9%	7%	41%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Charlie Baker	Geoff Diehl	Karyn Polito	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^{[upper-alpha 2]}	October 12–13, 2021	556 (LV)	± 4.2%	29%	50%	–	21%
Advantage, Inc. (R)^{[upper-alpha 1]}	February 22–26, 2021	221 (LV)	± 6.6%	–	20%	22%	58%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Geoff Diehl	149,800	55.44%
	Republican	Chris Doughty	120,418	44.56%
Total votes			270,218	100.0%

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
					Leah Cole Allen	Kate Campanale
1	Aug. 15, 2022	The Boston Globe WBUR-FM WCVB-TV	Steve Brown Darryl Murphy Sharman Sacchetti	YouTube	P	P

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Leah Cole Allen	130,962	52.28%
	Republican	Kate Campanale	119,516	47.72%
Total votes			250,478	100.0%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Sonia Chang-Díaz	Maura Healey	Other	Undecided
UMass Amherst	August 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 5.1%	14%	73%	1%	12%
UMass Amherst	June 15–21, 2022	557 (LV)	± 4.7%	20%	53%	1%	26%
Emerson College	May 2–4, 2022	488 (LV)	± 4.6%	8%	34%	15%^{[lower-alpha 5]}	43%
UMass Lowell	April 2–11, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.9%	17%	62%	2%	18%
MassINC Polling Group (D)^{[upper-alpha 3]}	January 18–20, 2022	310 (LV)	± 5.6%	12%	48%	7%^{[lower-alpha 6]}	30%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Maura Healey	2,858	71.2%
	Democratic	Sonia Chang-Díaz	1,155	28.8%
Total votes			4,013	100.0%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Maura Healey	642,092	85.54%
	Democratic	Sonia Chang-Díaz (withdrawn)	108,574	14.46%
Total votes			750,666	100.0%

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
					Kim Driscoll	Tami Gouveia	Eric Lesser
1	Aug. 16, 2022	The Boston Globe WBUR-FM WCVB-TV	Steve Brown Taylor Dolven Sharman Sacchetti	YouTube	P	P	P

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kim Driscoll	1,641	41.4%
	Democratic	Tami Gouveia	911	23.0%
	Democratic	Eric Lesser	839	21.2%
	Democratic	Adam Hinds	493	12.2%
	Democratic	Bret Bero	81	2.0%
Total votes			3,965	100.0%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kim Driscoll	332,712	46.65%
	Democratic	Eric Lesser	233,241	32.71%
	Democratic	Tami Gouveia	147,224	20.64%
Total votes			713,177	100.0%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[144]	Solid D (flip)	July 20, 2022
Inside Elections^[145]	Solid D (flip)	September 9, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[146]	Safe D (flip)	September 7, 2022
Politico^[147]	Solid D (flip)	April 1, 2022
RCP^[148]	Safe D (flip)	July 13, 2022
Fox News^[149]	Solid D (flip)	August 22, 2022
538^[150]	Solid D (flip)	July 31, 2022
Elections Daily^[151]	Safe D (flip)	November 7, 2022

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Geoff Diehl (R)	Maura Healey (D)	Other ^{[lower-alpha 8]}	Margin
Real Clear Politics	September 7 – October 16, 2022	October 18, 2022	33.5%	54.0%	12.5%	Healey +20.5
FiveThirtyEight	May 4 – October 19, 2022	October 20, 2022	28.5%	54.6%	16.9%	Healey +26.1
Average			31.0%	54.3%	14.7%	Healey +23.3

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Geoff Diehl (R)	Maura Healey (D)	Other	Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov	October 20–26, 2022	700 (RV)	± 4.3%	33%	61%	2%^{[lower-alpha 9]}	3%
UMass Lowell/YouGov	October 18–25, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 4.1%	32%	59%	3%^{[lower-alpha 10]}	6%
Suffolk University	October 13–16, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	33%	56%	4%^{[lower-alpha 11]}	6%
MassINC Polling Group	October 5–14, 2022	987 (LV)	–	23%	53%	6%^{[lower-alpha 12]}	18%
Suffolk University	September 10–13, 2022	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	26%	52%	6%^{[lower-alpha 13]}	17%
Emerson College	September 7–8, 2022	708 (LV)	± 3.6%	34%	52%	3%^{[lower-alpha 14]}	12%
Suffolk University	July 20–23, 2022	493 (LV)	± 4.4%	23%	54%	–	23%
UMass Lowell	June 7–15, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 4.0%	30%	61%	1%	8%
Emerson College	May 2–4, 2022	848 (RV)	± 3.3%	31%	59%	–	10%
Suffolk University	April 24–28, 2022	651 (LV)	± 3.8%	27%	54%	–	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Charlie Baker (R)	Danielle Allen (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	November 9–16, 2021	750 (A)	± 4.1%	33%	12%	6%^{[lower-alpha 16]}	48%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	November 9–16, 2021	687 (RV)	± 4.3%	34%	12%	5%^{[lower-alpha 17]}	48%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	March 5–9, 2021	800 (A)	± 4.6%	30%	14%	8%^{[lower-alpha 18]}	48%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	March 5–9, 2021	756 (RV)	± 4.7%	31%	14%	6%^{[lower-alpha 16]}	49%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 3]}	Margin of error	Charlie Baker (R)	Maura Healey (D)	Other	Undecided
Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D)	November 15–19, 2021	789 (LV)	± 4.1%	33%	29%	–	38%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	November 9–16, 2021	750 (A)	± 4.1%	33%	27%	11%^{[lower-alpha 22]}	30%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	November 9–16, 2021	687 (RV)	± 4.3%	34%	28%	9%^{[lower-alpha 19]}	29%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	March 5–9, 2021	800 (A)	± 4.6%	30%	27%	10%^{[lower-alpha 21]}	34%
YouGov/UMass Amherst^{[lower-alpha 15]}	March 5–9, 2021	756 (RV)	± 4.7%	31%	28%	7%^{[lower-alpha 20]}	34%

No.	Date	Host	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
				Geoff Diehl	Maura Healey
1	Oct 12, 2022	NBC10 Boston/NECN	Link	P	P
2	Oct 20, 2022	WCVB-TV	YouTube	P	P

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Maura Healey Kim Driscoll	1,584,403	63.74%	+30.62%
	Republican	Geoff Diehl Leah Cole Allen	859,343	34.57%	−32.03%
	Libertarian	Kevin Reed Peter Everett	39,244	1.58%	N/A
	Write-in		2,806	0.11%	−0.17%
Total votes			2,485,796	100.0%
Turnout			2,511,461	51.4%	−9.37%
Registered electors
	Democratic gain from Republican

2022_Massachusetts_gubernatorial_election

Republican primary

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Eliminated at convention or did not file

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Lieutenant governor

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Lieutenant governor

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Independents

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General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

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By county

See also

Notes

References

External links

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