2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

2022 United States Senate election in Alaska

2022 United States Senate election in Alaska

Class III U.S. Senate election in Alaska


The 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent senator Lisa Murkowski won reelection[1] to a fourth full term, defeating fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka and Democrat Patricia Chesbro.

Quick Facts Candidate, Party ...

After the voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 Alaska elections, this was the first U.S. Senate election in Alaska to be held under a new election process. All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022,[2] and the top four candidates advanced to the general election, where voters will utilize ranked-choice voting.[3]

Murkowski was appointed to the Senate in 2002 by her father, Frank Murkowski, who served as a U.S. senator from Alaska from 1981 until he was elected governor of Alaska. Murkowski has won three Senate elections since then, including a notable write-in campaign in the 2010 election, although she has never won an election with an outright majority of the vote.[4][5][6]

Murkowski was the only Republican senator running for reelection in 2022 who voted to convict former president Donald Trump in his second impeachment trial in 2021. On March 16, 2021, the Alaska Republican Party voted to censure Murkowski and announced that it would recruit a Republican challenger in the 2022 election cycle.[7][8] Following Murkowski's opposition to some of Trump's initiatives and her vote to convict him, Trump endorsed Tshibaka and campaigned against Murkowski.[9][10] The Alaska Republican Party endorsed Tshibaka; Republican Senate leader Mitch McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee supported Murkowski.[11]

In addition to Murkowski and Tshibaka, Democrat Pat Chesbro and Republican Buzz Kelley also advanced to the general election. On September 13, Kelley suspended his campaign and endorsed Tshibaka.[12] Murkowski received a plurality of first-place votes, but because no candidate received a majority of the votes in the first round, the instant runoff was triggered. Murkowski won reelection in the third and final round, winning most of the second-choice votes from Chesbro's voters.[13] Since Murkowski won her three previous elections to the U.S. Senate (2004, 2010, and 2016) without a majority of the vote, this election became the fourth election in which she did not receive a majority of the vote in the first round (the other three elections did not employ ranked choice voting with multiple rounds). Murkowski thus holds the record for the most number of elections won by a U.S. Senator without winning a majority of the votes.

Primary election

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Withdrew after advancing to general

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

Declined

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Libertarian Party

Eliminated in primary

  • Sean Thorne, veteran[32]

Alaskan Independence Party

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Independents

Eliminated in primary

  • Dave Darden, perennial candidate[33]
  • Shoshana Gungurstein, businesswoman
  • Sid Hill, political gadfly and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[33]
  • Jeremy Keller, television personality[18]
  • Huhnkie Lee, attorney, army veteran and Republican candidate for Alaska Senate in 2020[19]

Declined

Results

Primary election results by state house district
More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Debates and forums

More information No., Date ...

Endorsements

Pat Chesbro (D)
Organizations
Lisa Murkowski (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
Kelly Tshibaka (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Lisa Murkowski vs. Kelly Tshibaka

Results

Preference flow
More information Party, Candidate ...

See also

Notes

  1. Remained on the ballot because he withdrew after the deadline of 64 days ahead of the election.[17]
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Kelley eliminated.
  4. Chesbro eliminated.
  5. The margin of sampling error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 840 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.3%.
  6. Standard polling question.
  7. Kelley eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 29% to Tshibaka and 71% not ranked further.
  8. Chesbro eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 77% to Murkowski, 8% to Tshibaka, and 15% not ranked further.
  9. Would not vote with 1%
  10. Excluding undecided voters

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by AARP
  2. This poll was sponsored by Kelly Tshibaka's campaign
  3. This poll was sponsored by 314 Action

References

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