The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8.^[1] Warnock's win was the only statewide victory for Democrats in Georgia in 2022, as Republicans swept all other races.

Quick Facts Candidate, Party ...

2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

← 2020–21 (special) November 8, 2022 (first round) December 6, 2022 (runoff) 2028 →

Candidate Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker Party Democratic Republican First round 1,946,117 49.44% 1,908,442 48.49% Runoff 1,820,633 51.40% 1,721,244 48.60%

First round county results First round precinct results Runoff county results Runoff congressional district results Runoff precinct results Warnock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Walker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. senator before election Raphael Warnock Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock Democratic

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Warnock, who won a shortened term to the seat in a 2020–21 special election, was nominated in the May 24 primary for a full term with minimal opposition. Walker, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, won the Republican nomination with 68% of the vote. It was the first U.S. Senate election in Georgia history and among five nationwide since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913 in which both major party nominees were Black.^{[2][3][lower-alpha 1]} This was the fifth runoff in Georgia since they were introduced in 1964.

In the November 8 election, Warnock received 49.4% of the vote and Walker received 48.5%, triggering the December 6 runoff.^[4] Warnock defeated Walker by a 2.8% margin in the runoff and became the first African-American from Georgia elected to a full term in the U.S. Senate. Warnock's victory also secured an outright majority for Senate Democrats for the first time since 2015, with a net gain of one seat in the 2022 midterms.^[5][6] It was the third-closest Senate election of the 2022 midterms after Nevada and Wisconsin.

This is the first time since 1990 that a Democratic senator from Georgia won re-election and the first time since 1974 that a Democrat won re-election to the Class 3 seat. This was the first time a Democrat won a full term to this seat since 1986.

Warnock easily won renomination in the Democratic primary over Tamara Johnson-Shealey, a left-wing activist and businesswoman, who ran a low-profile campaign focused around reparations for slavery.^[7][8]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary results^[27]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Raphael Warnock (incumbent)	702,610	96.04%
	Democratic	Tamara Johnson-Shealey	28,984	3.96%
Total votes			731,594	100.0%

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Following the projection of incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto's victory in Nevada, it became clear that, unlike in the previous cycle, the results of the Georgia runoff would not determine control of the United States Senate. With all Democratic incumbents besides Warnock winning re-election and Democrat John Fetterman flipping an open seat in Pennsylvania that had been held by retiring Republican Pat Toomey, Democrats held their majority in the Senate.^{[lower-alpha 22][143]} Nevertheless, national Democrats and Republicans began spending on advertising and volunteer mobilization efforts as soon as it became apparent that a runoff election would be necessary.^[144] Historically, runoff elections in Georgia have favored Republicans as turnout decreased disproportionately amongst Democratic voters, but in 2021, with Senate control to be determined, turnout was historically high.^[145] Prior to the runoff, elections analysts questioned whether Georgia voters would turn out in such high numbers again and tried to determine which candidate's coalition of supporters would be more likely to turn out.^[146]

The early vote window was shorter in 2022 than in 2021 due to Georgia's Election Integrity Act of 2021, which reduced the gap between general and runoff elections from nine to four weeks.^[147] State officials also said that there could be no weekend early voting: Georgia state law bars early voting from taking place the Saturday immediately before an election (December 3), and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger argued that early voting also could not take place the next preceding Saturday (November 26), as it fell two days after Thanksgiving (November 24) and the day after a Georgia state holiday established to commemorate Confederate general Robert E. Lee's birthday (November 25).^{[lower-alpha 23][150]} On Friday, November 18, a Fulton County Superior Court judge ruled that, despite the holidays, county boards of election could legally offer early voting on Saturday, November 26;^[151] that decision was upheld by the Georgia Court of Appeals on Monday, November 21,^[152] and by the Supreme Court of Georgia on Wednesday, November 23.^[153] Ultimately, 27 of Georgia's 159 counties chose to offer early voting on Saturday,^[154] including the state's four largest counties, Fulton, Gwinnett, Cobb, and DeKalb.^[155]

While Democrats retained control of the Senate during the 118th Congress regardless of the outcome of the Georgia runoff, Warnock's victory affected the functioning of that majority. During the 117th Congress, Senate Democrats made power-sharing agreements with Republicans, such as evenly dividing committee memberships between the two parties and giving Republicans greater ability to delay judicial appointments; with Warnock's win, Democrats attained an outright 51–49 majority,^[1] allowing them to take full control of Senate committees and expedite judicial confirmations.^[156] Looking beyond the 118th Congress, many analysts have noted that the outcome of this race will affect Democrats' prospects in the 2024 U.S. Senate elections. Election forecasters have noted that Democrats hold a number of seats up for election in 2024 which will be difficult for the party to defend,^{[lower-alpha 24]} and therefore that holding Georgia's seat bolstered the party's chances to maintain Senate control going forward.^{[156][157][158]}

According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Warnock won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Walker's defeat.^[159]

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Raphael Warnock (D)	Herschel Walker (R)	Undecided [lower-alpha 3]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	November 11 – December 4, 2022	December 5, 2022	51.0%	47.3%	1.5%	Warnock +3.7
FiveThirtyEight	November 26 – December 5, 2022	December 5, 2022	51.1%	47.2%	2.1%	Warnock +3.9
270ToWin	November 22 – December 5, 2022	December 5, 2022	51.0%	47.7%	1.5%	Warnock +3.3
Average			51.0%	47.4%	1.7%	Warnock +3.6

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Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Raphael Warnock (D)	Herschel Walker (R)	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	December 3–5, 2022	1,099 (LV)	± 2.9%	51%	47%	–	2%
Data for Progress (D)	December 1–5, 2022	1,229 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	49%	–	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)	December 4, 2022	750 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	48%	–	1%
Landmark Communications	December 4, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	47%	–	1%
Mitchell Research	December 4, 2022	625 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	45%	–	5%
Patriot Polling	November 30 – December 2, 2022	818 (RV)	–	49%	47%	–	4%
Emerson College	November 28–30, 2022	888 (LV)	± 3.2%	51%	49%	–	–
				49%	47%	–	4%
SurveyUSA	November 26–30, 2022	1,214 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	47%	–	3%
				50%	46%	–	4%
CNN/SSRS	November 25–29, 2022	1,886 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5%[lower-alpha 25]	–
		1,184 (LV)	± 3.8%	52%	48%	1%[lower-alpha 26]	–
UMass Lowell/YouGov	November 18–28, 2022	1,300 (LV)	± 3.2%	51%	46%	–	2%
Phillips Academy	November 26–27, 2022	862 (LV)	± 3.3%	47%	48%	–	5%
Frederick Polls (D)[upper-alpha 12]	November 23–26, 2022	939 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	50%	–	–
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	November 11–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	47%	–	2%

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• 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia
• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 Georgia state elections

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