2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Vermont

2022 United States Senate election in Vermont

2022 United States Senate election in Vermont

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. It was held concurrently with U.S. Senate elections in other states, along with elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections across the country. The incumbent senator, Democrat Patrick Leahy, announced on November 15, 2021, that he would not seek re-election to a ninth term,[1] leaving the seat open for the first time since 1974.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2022, with Peter Welch, the incumbent U.S. Representative from the state's at-large congressional district, winning the Democratic primary, while U.S. Army veteran Gerald Malloy won the Republican primary. In heavily Democratic Vermont, the Democratic nomination is tantamount to election, and on election day, Welch defeated Malloy in a landslide. He won all but one county in the state, garnering 68.5% of the vote statewide to Malloy's 28.0%. The race was called for Welch shortly after polls closed.[2]

At 75 years old, Welch became the oldest person ever elected to a first term in the Senate, a record previously held by Frederick H. Gillett in 1924.[3] He also became only the second Democrat ever elected to the Senate from Vermont, after Leahy.[2]

Democratic primary

Following Leahy's announcement that he would retire, speculation arose as to which Democrats could run to succeed him; Newsweek cited two of the leading possible contenders for the nomination as Peter Welch, who had served as U.S. Representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district since 2006, and President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate Becca Balint.[4] Also considering a run was state representative Tanya Vyhovsky.[5] However, candidates were reluctant to enter the race due to speculation that Bernie Sanders, Vermont's popular junior senator, would endorse Welch for the open seat.[5] It was widely considered that an endorsement from Sanders would essentially lock up the race for Welch.[5] While both men were both considered to be associated with the left-wing of the Democratic Party, Welch was noted by The Intercept to be rather more moderate than Sanders was, especially when compared to Vyhovsky.[5]

Welch announced his campaign for the seat on November 22, 2021, pledging in a campaign video to support Medicare for All and the Green New Deal; he was immediately endorsed by Sanders.[6][7]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Isaac Evans-Frantz, peace activist[10]
  • Niki Thran, physician[11]

Declined

Endorsements

Isaac Evans-Frantz
Organizations
Peter Welch
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Results by county
  Welch
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Former U.S. Attorney Christina Nolan finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Myers Mermel
Governors
Organizations
Christina Nolan
U.S. Senators
Governors

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Results by county
  Malloy
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Nolan
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Progressive primary

Candidates

Withdrew after winning primary

Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Minor-parties and independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Peter Welch (D)
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
Gerald Malloy (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Individuals
State legislators

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Peter Welch vs. Christina Nolan
Patrick Leahy vs. Phil Scott

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate is a member of the Progressive Party, but ran with the Democratic Party's endorsement under Vermont's electoral fusion system
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Ericson (I) with 1%; Ellis (I) with 1%

References

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