2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Washington
See also: 2022 United States Senate elections
The 2022 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Incumbent senator Patty Murray was first elected in 1992 with 54% of the vote to succeed retiring fellow Democrat Brock Adams. Murray won re-election to a fifth term in 2016 with 59% of the vote.[1]
Quick Facts Candidate, Party ...
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsMurray: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Smiley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Because Washington has a blanket primary system, parties did not nominate their own candidates to run in the general election. Instead, every candidate appeared on the same ballot, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two candidates in the August 2 nonpartisan blanket primary then advanced to the general election. Murray received 52.2% of the primary vote and advanced to face Republican Tiffany Smiley.[2]
Although Washington has been a reliably blue state for over 30 years, many polls showed that Murray only had a narrow lead over Smiley, and some polls had Smiley within the margin of error. A couple of late polls had the two candidates tied; such polls caused most pundits to downgrade their forecast from "safe Democratic" to "likely Democratic", and Republicans believed that Smiley had a chance of pulling off an upset.[3] Despite the predictions of a close race, Murray defeated Smiley and won re-election to a sixth term by a 14.5-point margin. Although this was a significantly larger margin of victory for Murray than what was expected, it was fairly consistent with Washington's partisan lean.[4] Smiley conceded the following day. Despite her loss, she made significant gains in several counties, particularly in the Southwestern and Eastern parts of the state.[5]
Following the election, Murray was elected president pro tempore for the 118th Congress, becoming the first woman to hold the role.[6]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
- Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator and Assistant Democratic Leader[1][7]
Eliminated in primary
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Third party and independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Thor Amundson (independent), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018 and governor in 2020[7]
- Jon Butler (no party preference)[7]
- Henry Clay Dennison (Socialist Workers), perennial candidate[7]
- Dan Phan Doan (no party preference)[7]
- Martin D. Hash (no party preference)[7]
- Chuck Jackson (independent), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2016[7]
- Leon Lawson (Trump Republican), candidate for governor in 2020[7]
- Naz Paul (independent), real estate developer[7]
- Dave Saulibio (JFK Republican), U.S. Army veteran, candidate for Washington's 5th congressional district in 2018 and Washington's 8th congressional district in 2020[7]
Endorsements
Patty Murray (D)
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Giffords[13]
- Jewish Dems[14]
- King County Democratic Party[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[17]
- National Women's Political Caucus[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[19]
- Population Connection Action Fund[20]
- Sierra Club[21]
- Women's Political Committee[22]
- Labor unions
- Newspapers
Tiffany Smiley (R)
- Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[27]
- U.S. Senators
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present)[28]
- Rick Scott, U.S Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)[29]
- U.S. Representatives
- Doc Hastings, former U.S. Representative from Washington's 4th congressional district (1995–2015)[30]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative from Washington's 5th congressional district (2005–present)[31]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)[32]
- Individuals
- John Stockton, former NBA player[33]
- Organizations
- Benton County Republican Party[34]
- King County Republican Party[35]
- Stand for America PAC[36]
- Washington State Republican Party[37]
- Winning For Women PAC[38]
Results
Murray
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Smiley
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patty Murray (incumbent) | 1,002,811 | 52.22% | |
| Republican | Tiffany Smiley | 646,917 | 33.69% | |
| Trump Republican | Leon Lawson | 59,134 | 3.08% | |
| Republican | John Guenther | 55,426 | 2.89% | |
| Democratic | Ravin Pierre | 22,172 | 1.15% | |
| JFK Republican | Dave Saulibio | 19,341 | 1.01% | |
| Independent | Naz Paul | 18,858 | 0.98% | |
| Republican | Bill Hirt | 15,276 | 0.80% | |
| Democratic | Mohammad Hassan Said | 13,995 | 0.73% | |
| Socialist Workers | Henry Clay Dennison | 13,901 | 0.72% | |
| Democratic | Dr Pano Churchill | 11,859 | 0.62% | |
| Democratic | Bryan Solstin | 9,627 | 0.50% | |
| Independent | Charlie (Chuck) Jackson | 8,604 | 0.45% | |
| Independent | Jon Butler | 5,413 | 0.28% | |
| Independent | Thor Amundson | 5,133 | 0.27% | |
| No party preference | Martin D. Hash | 4,725 | 0.25% | |
| No party preference | Dan Phan Doan | 3,049 | 0.16% | |
| Democratic | Sam Cusmir | 2,688 | 0.14% | |
| Write-in | 1,511 | 0.08% | ||
| Total votes | 1,920,440 | 100.0% | ||
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Debates
Two debates were held, the first on October 23 at Gonzaga University.[40] The second was town hall-style forum on October 30 in the KIRO-TV studio in Seattle.[41]
Murray's campaign declined an invitation to a scheduled debate on October 25 at Seattle University.
Predictions
More information Source, Ranking ...
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely D | October 18, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Likely D | July 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Likely D | October 19, 2022 |
| Politico[45] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[46] | Tossup | October 30, 2022 |
| Fox News[47] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[48] | Likely D | September 12, 2022 |
| 538[49] | Likely D | October 19, 2022 |
| The Economist[50] | Likely D | September 7, 2022 |
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Endorsements
Patty Murray (D)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–present), and former U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021)[51]
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Giffords[13]
- Jewish Dems[14]
- King County Democratic Party[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[17]
- National Women's Political Caucus[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[19]
- Population Connection Action Fund[20]
- Sierra Club[21]
- Women's Political Committee[22]
- Labor unions
- National Education Association[52]
- Service Employees International Union Local 775[23]
- Washington AFL–CIO[24]
- Newspapers
Tiffany Smiley (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[27]
- U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative from Tennessee's 7th congressional district (2003–2019)[56][57]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative from Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[58][59]
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015-present) and former U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district (2013-2015)
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present)[28]
- Rick Scott, U.S Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)[29]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district (2011-2013)[57]
- Governors
- Larry Hogan, 62nd governor of Maryland (2015–2023)[60]
- Kristi Noem, Governor of South Dakota (2019–present), and former U.S. Representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district (2011–2019)[61]
- U.S. Representatives
- Doc Hastings, former U.S. Representative from Washington's 4th congressional district (1995–2015)[30]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)[32]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative from Washington's 5th congressional district (2005–present)[31]
- Individuals
- John Stockton, former NBA player[33]
- Organizations
- Benton County Republican Party[34]
- Log Cabin Republicans[62]
- Stand for America PAC[36]
- Washington State Republican Party[37]
- Winning For Women PAC[38]
Polling
- Aggregate polls
More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Patty Murray (D) |
Tiffany Smiley (R) |
Undecided [lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 14 – October 31, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | 49.3% | 46.3% | 4.4% | Murray +3.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | May 25, 2021 – November 8, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 49.6% | 44.9% | 6.5% | Murray +4.7 |
| 270ToWin | October 21 – November 1, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 49.5% | 44.5% | 6.0% | Murray +4.3 |
| Average | 49.5% | 45.2% | 5.3% | Murray +4.3 | ||
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- Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Patty Murray (D) |
Tiffany Smiley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 1] | November 3–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[upper-alpha 2] | October 31, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 48% | – | 2% |
| Triton Polling & Research[upper-alpha 3] | October 26–27, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 45% | – | 4% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 1] | October 20–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | 8% |
| KAConsulting (R)[upper-alpha 4] | October 20–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 42% | 4%[lower-alpha 3] | 6% |
| co/efficient (R) | October 19–20, 2022 | 1,181 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 5] | October 19–20, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
| SurveyUSA | October 14–19, 2022 | 589 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 41% | – | 10% |
| Civiqs | October 15–18, 2022 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 41% | 3%[lower-alpha 4] | 2% |
| Emerson College | September 29 – October 1, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 27–28, 2022 | 770 (V) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 40% | – | 8% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 6] | September 20–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 5%[lower-alpha 5] | 6% |
| Strategies 360 | September 22–25, 2022 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 36% | – | 14% |
| 370 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 52% | 40% | – | 8% | ||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 21–24, 2022 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 47% | – | 5% |
| Elway Research | September 12–15, 2022 | 403 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | – | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 6–7, 2022 | 620 (V) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 39% | – | 13% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 1] | September 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 30 – September 1, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
| Elway Research | July 7–11, 2022 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 33% | – | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | July 6–10, 2022 | 596 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 33% | – | 16% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 7] | June 14–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 5] | June 1–2, 2022 | 1,039 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 5] | February 17–18, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 41% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 5] | November 10–11, 2021 | 909 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 37% | – | 13% |
| SurveyUSA | October 25–28, 2021 | 542 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 31% | – | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 5] | May 25–26, 2021 | 992 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 37% | – | 10% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Patty Murray (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway Research | December 26–28, 2021 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Patty Murray (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
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Hypothetical polling
- Patty Murray vs. generic Republican
- Patty Murray vs. generic opponent
Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patty Murray (incumbent) | 1,741,827 | 57.15% | -1.68% | |
| Republican | Tiffany Smiley | 1,299,322 | 42.63% | +1.77% | |
| Write-in | 6,751 | 0.22% | -0.09% | ||
| Total votes | 3,047,900 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
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By county
More information By county, County ...
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By congressional district
Murray won 7 of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining 3 going to Smiley, including one that elected a Democrat.[64]
More information District, Murray ...
| District | Murray | Smiley | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 62% | 37% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 59% | 41% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 46% | 54% | Jaime Herrera Beutler (117th Congress) |
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 34% | 66% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 42% | 58% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers |
| 6th | 57% | 43% | Derek Kilmer |
| 7th | 87% | 13% | Pramila Jayapal |
| 8th | 51% | 49% | Kim Schrier |
| 9th | 71% | 29% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 57% | 43% | Marilyn Strickland |
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- Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for the NRSC and the Evergreen Principles PAC, which supports Smiley.
- Poll conducted for KHQ-TV.
- Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
- Newsdesk, Kiro Radio (May 17, 2021). "Senator Patty Murray announces reelection campaign". My Northwest.
- "Sen. Patty Murray, Tiffany Smiley advance in Washington Senate primary". PBS NewsHour. August 2, 2022. Retrieved September 30, 2022.
- "Democrats scramble to avert shock Senate loss in Washington state". Politico. October 26, 2022.
- Gutman, David (November 8, 2022). "Patty Murray defeats Tiffany Smiley in U.S. Senate race". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
- "Tiffany Smiley concedes U.S. Senate race to Sen. Patty Murray". KOMO News. Sinclair Broadcasting Group. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
- Shabad, Rebecca (January 3, 2023). "Sen. Patty Murray becomes first female president pro tempore". NBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
- "PRIMARY 2022 Candidate List". voter.votewa.gov. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
- "Republican Tiffany Smiley says she is running for Patty Murray's Seat in U.S Senate". The Seattle Times. April 14, 2021. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021.
- "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senators Duckworth and Murray for Re-Election". End Citizens United. September 9, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
- "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
- "Giffords Endorses Senator Patty Murray for the US Senate". www.giffords.org. Giffords. December 9, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
- "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
- "2022 Endorsements". www.kcdems.org. Retrieved July 29, 2022.
- Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.
- "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
- Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
- "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
- "Sierra Club Endorsements". March 19, 2021.
- "Federal Endorsed Candidates". Women's Political Committee.
- "2022 Washington Election Endorsements". seiu775.org. June 30, 2022. Retrieved July 29, 2022.
- "Washington unions endorse mostly Democrats, capital gains tax". www.thecentersquare.org. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
- "The Times recommends: Patty Murray for U.S. Senate". The Seattle Times. July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 16, 2022.
- "The Stranger's Endorsements for the August 2, 2022, Primary Election". The Stranger. July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 29, 2022.
- Steinhauser, Paul (April 12, 2022). "Nikki Haley endorses Washington State's Tiffany Smiley as she works to broaden GOP's midterm Senate map". Fox News.
- Ellenbecker, Lauren (February 12, 2022). "Pasco native Tiffany Smiley challenges Murray for seat".
- Newsmaker Interview (April 23, 2021). "Tiffany Smiley: Patty Murray is "Carrying the Water for the Senate Democrats, She's not Fighting for Washington Families."". Shift WA.
- "McMorris Rodgers endorses Tiffany Smiley for U.S. Senate". YakTriNews. April 16, 2021. Archived from the original on April 16, 2021.
- Fox News (April 28, 2022). "Stefanik gets involved in Washington Senate race against Patty Murray". Fox News.
- "Benton County Republican Party Endorsements 2021". www.bcrpwa.com. June 3, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
- "2022 KCGOP Primary Endorsed Candidates". kcgop.org. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
- "Stand for America PAC Endorsements". Retrieved April 30, 2022.
- Lynnwood Times Staff (August 21, 2021). "WSRP endorses Tiffany Smiley for U.S. Senate". Lynnwood Times.
- "Winning For Women PAC Announces Endorsements in Senate, House Races". February 14, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
- "August 2, 2022 Primary - U.S. Senator". Secretary of State of Washington. August 2, 2022. Archived from the original on August 19, 2022. Retrieved August 9, 2022.
- Brunner, Jim (September 16, 2022). "Debates in WA set for U.S. Senate, House, secretary of state races". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
- Gutman, David (October 14, 2022). "2nd Patty Murray, Tiffany Smiley event announced in WA Senate race". The Seattle Times. Archived from the original on October 24, 2022. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
- "2022 Senate Race ratings". Retrieved October 18, 2022.
- "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- "Washington Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. August 22, 2022. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- "Remarks by Vice President Harris at Finance Event with Patty Murray". October 27, 2022.
- "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved November 1, 2022.
- "The Olympian endorses federal and state candidates". The Olympian. October 20, 2022.
- "TNT endorses Murray, Strickland, Kilmer and Schrier in WA". The News Tribune. October 22, 2022.
- "Murray or Smiley? Here's our choice in this contentious, WA race for U.S. Senate". Tri-City Herald. Archived from the original on November 4, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2023.
- "Sen. Marsha Blackburn Announces Support For Tiffany Smiley For Senate". January 25, 2022.
- "U.S. Senator and Decorated Veteran Tom Cotton Endorses Smiley for Senate". November 11, 2021.
- "MD Governor Hogan Endorses Tiffany Smiley". Smiley for Washington. July 22, 2022. Archived from the original on December 4, 2022.
- "Governor Kristi Noem Endorses Tiffany Smiley for Senate". June 27, 2022.
- "Log Cabin Announces Third Round of 2022 Candidate Endorsements". www.logcabin.org. October 13, 2022. Retrieved October 18, 2022.
- "November 8, 2022 General Election Results - U.S. Senator". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- Results (PDF). sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 29, 2022.
- Official campaign websites