2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Ohio

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Primary elections took place on March 19, 2024.[1] Incumbent Democratic Sherrod Brown is seeking a fourth term in office,[2] while the Republican Party nominated former luxury car dealer Bernie Moreno.[3] This race is one of two 2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators are seeking re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Brown's re-election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[4]

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Ohio Senate election.
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Background

Ohio has trended towards Republicans in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state at the federal level. Republicans hold the other U.S. Senate seat and all statewide executive offices along with majorities in both state legislative chambers and the U.S. representative delegation. However, in the 2022 midterms Democrats managed to net a gain of one seat in Ohio's U.S. House delegation.[5][6]

Former President Donald Trump won Ohio in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections by about 8 points. Republican J. D. Vance defeated Democrat Tim Ryan in the 2022 U.S. Senate election by about 6 points.[7][8]

Brown was first elected in 2006, defeating then-incumbent U.S. Senator Mike DeWine (now governor), and has won reelection in 2012 and 2018.[9][10][11] Even with the state's Republican partisan lean, this race is expected to be highly competitive, as Brown is generally popular among Ohioans and polling thus far has mostly shown him with a slight lead.[12]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Sherrod Brown
U.S. senators
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023, Candidate ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Sherrod Brown vs. Tim Ryan vs. Shontel Brown

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Quick Facts Candidate, Popular vote ...

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify

  • Doug Stuart, retired businessman[37][38]

Declined

Debates

More information No., Date ...

Endorsements

Matt Dolan
U.S. senators
Governors
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Frank LaRose
U.S. representatives
State representatives
Political parties
Organizations
Bernie Moreno
U.S. presidents
U.S. ambassadors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
Statewide officials
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials
Organizations

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024, Candidate ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

Vote share of Bernie Moreno (left), Matt Dolan (center), Frank LaRose (right) by counties
More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Endorsements in bold were made after the primary election.

Sherrod Brown (D)
U.S. senators
Governors
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions
Bernie Moreno (R)
U.S. presidents
U.S. ambassadors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
Statewide officials
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Sherrod Brown vs. Matt Dolan
Sherrod Brown vs. Frank LaRose
Sherrod Brown vs. Joel Mutchler
Sherrod Brown vs. generic Republican

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Democratic primary
  3. $9,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Dolan
  4. $4,200,000 of this total was self-funded by Moreno
  5. $250,000 of this total was self-funded by LaRose
  6. Joel Mutchler with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 29%; Joel Mutchler with 3%
  8. Joel Mutchler with 0%
  9. A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Republican primary
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by the Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy
  2. Poll sponsored by the Center for Election Science
  3. Poll sponsored by Moreno's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by Buckeye Values PAC, which supports Moreno
  5. Poll sponsored by Leadership for Ohio Fund, which supports LaRose

References

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