2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Pennsylvania

2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Primary elections took place on April 23, 2024.[1] Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. announced his intention to run for a fourth term on April 10, 2023.[2]

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Background

Pennsylvania is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Pennsylvania by about 1.2 percentage points. Democrats currently control both U.S. Senate seats, the Governorship, a majority of its U.S. House congressional delegation, and the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. The last time Republicans won a U.S. Senate seat was in 2016.[3][4][5][6]

Senator Bob Casey Jr. was first elected in 2006, defeating then-incumbent senator Rick Santorum by about 17 percentage points. He was re-elected in 2012 by 9 percentage points and in 2018 by 13 percentage points.[7][8][9]

The race is expected to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean, but most analysts consider Casey to be the narrow favorite.[10]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Endorsements

Bob Casey Jr.
Executive officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2024, Candidate ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

Disqualified

  • Joseph Vodvarka, spring manufacturer and perennial candidate[42]

Declined

Endorsements

David McCormick
Executive Branch officials
Federal officials
State cabinet officials
U.S senators
U.S. representatives
State senators
Local officials
  • Sam DeMarco, at-large Allegheny County councilor (2016–present) and chair of the Allegheny County Republican Party (2018–present)[60]
Party officials
Organizations
Political parties
Individuals

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2024, Candidate ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Libertarian convention

The Pennsylvania Libertarian Party officially nominated John Thomas at the party's state convention on March 2, 2024.[69]

Candidates

Nominee

  • John Thomas, educator[69]

Eliminated at convention

  • Erik Gerhardt, carpenter, small business owner, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022, and candidate for president in 2020[70]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Bob Casey Jr. vs. Doug Mastriano

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  3. "None of the above" with 8%; "Other" with 5%
  4. "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Independent Center
  2. Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  3. Poll commissioned for David McCormick
  4. Poll sponsored by the Commonwealth Foundation, a conservative think tank
  5. Poll sponsored by Future Majority, a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party.

References

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