2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Tennessee
The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign.[1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.
For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Tennessee Senate election.
Quick Facts Party ...
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At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.
Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.
Candidates
Declared
- Marsha Blackburn, incumbent U.S. Senator (2019–present)[2]
- Tres Wittum, legislative policy analyst and candidate for Tennessee's 5th congressional district in 2022[3]
Endorsements
Marsha Blackburn
- Organizations
Fundraising
More information Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023, Candidate ...
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Marsha Blackburn (R) | $10,565,541 | $3,758,126 | $7,421,514 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
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Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Tres Wittum | |||
| Total votes | ||||
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Candidates
Declared
- Marquita Bradshaw, staffing consultant and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[8]
- Lola Brown, minister[3]
- Gloria Johnson, state representative from the 90th district (2013–2015, 2019–present) and member of the Tennessee Three[9]
- Kevin McCants, production supervisor and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[3]
- Civil Miller-Watkins, former Fayette County school board member[10]
Declined
- Joanne Sowell, attorney[11]
Endorsements
Gloria Johnson
- Individuals
- Ruby Amanfu, musician[12]
- Kyshona Armstrong, musician[12]
- Sam Ashworth, musician[12]
- Mya Byrne, musician[12]
- Brandi Carlile, musician[12]
- Beth Nielsen Chapman, musician[12]
- Shelly Colvin, musician[12]
- Elizabeth Cook, musician[12]
- Brooke Eden, musician[12]
- Kam Franklin, musician[12]
- Mary Gauthier, musician[12]
- Devon Gilfillian, musician[12]
- Emmylou Harris, musician[12]
- Brittany Howard, musician[12]
- Meghan Linsey, musician[12]
- Paul McDonald, musician[12]
- Erin Rae McKaskle, musician[12]
- Morgxn, musician[12]
- Maren Morris, musician[12]
- Katie Pruitt, musician[12]
- Allison Russell, musician[12]
- Amanda Shires, musician[12]
- Lucie Silvas, musician[12]
- Langhorne Slim, musician[12]
- Brittney Spencer, musician[12]
- Lilly Winwood, musician[12]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Fundraising
More information Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023, Candidate ...
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $11,687 | $9,285 | $2,402 |
| Gloria Johnson (D) | $2,339,251 | $915,942 | $1,423,308 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
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Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Marquita Bradshaw |
Gloria Johnson |
Civil Miller-Watkins |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[upper-alpha 1] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 282 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 7% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 52% |
| Targoz Market Research[upper-alpha 1] | December 14–28, 2023 | 251 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 11% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
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Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | |||
| Democratic | Lola Brown | |||
| Democratic | Gloria Johnson | |||
| Democratic | Kevin McCants | |||
| Democratic | Civil Miller-Watkins | |||
| Total votes | ||||
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Candidates
Declared
- Tharon Chandler, farmer and Democratic nominee for Tennessee's 7th congressional district in 2016[3]
- Pamela Moses, community activist and convicted felon[3]
- Hastina Robinson, firefighter[3]
Predictions
More information Source, Ranking ...
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[19] | Safe R | November 21, 2023 |
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Polling
- Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Marsha Blackburn (R) |
Marquita Bradshaw (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[upper-alpha 1] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 947 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Targoz Market Research[upper-alpha 1] | October 5–16, 2023 | 824 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 48% | 36% | 17% |
Close
- Marsha Blackburn vs. Gloria Johnson
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Marsha Blackburn (R) |
Gloria Johnson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[upper-alpha 1] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 955 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Targoz Market Research[upper-alpha 1] | October 5–16, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 49% | 29% | 23% |
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- Partisan clients
- Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
- "Candidate Lists | Tennessee Secretary of State". sos.tn.gov. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- "Press Releases | Maggie's List". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- "2024 Election United States Senate - Tennessee". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- Elliott, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Former Nominee Marquita Bradshaw Running for Senate Again". Nashville Scene. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- Kamisar, Ben (September 5, 2023). "Tennessee Democrat reprimanded for gun violence protest is running for Senate". NBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2023.
- McCall, Holly (October 26, 2023). "Fayette County educator Civil Miller-Watkins enters Democratic primary for 2024 Tenn. U.S. Senate". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- Elliott, Stephen (July 14, 2023). "Nashville attorney ends U.S. Senate campaign effort". Nashville Post. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
- Bloom, Madison (March 13, 2024). "Brittany Howard, Allison Russell, Maren Morris, and More Support U.S. Senate Candidate Gloria Johnson With New Song: Listen". Pitchfork. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- Official campaign websites