2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas

2024 United States Senate election in Texas

2024 United States Senate election in Texas

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Two-term incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz is seeking a third term in office.[1] Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024 during Super Tuesday.[2]

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
For other elections in Texas, see 2024 Texas elections.
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

U.S. Representative Colin Allred won the Democratic nomination to challenge Cruz and is seeking to become the first Democrat to win a U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1988 and the first Democrat to win any statewide election in Texas since 1994.

Background

Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994.[3]

Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas' U.S. House congressional delegation.

Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke.[4][5] The close elections in 2018 prompted some analysts to believe that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans improved their margins of victory. [6][7]

This race is considered to heavily favor Cruz, but some consider the race to have a potential to become competitive.[8]

Republican primary

Quick Facts Candidate, Popular vote ...

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Holland Gibson, retiree[10]
  • Rufus Lopez, attorney[10]

Declined

Endorsements

Ted Cruz
U.S. senators
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024, Candidate ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Quick Facts Candidate, Popular vote ...

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Colin Allred
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers and other media
Roland Gutierrez
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024, Candidate ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Green primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Endorsements in bold were made after the primary election.

Ted Cruz (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
Labor unions
Organizations
Colin Allred (D)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. $3,900 of this total was self-funded by Gonzalez
  3. $6,050 of this total was self-funded by Keough
  4. Steven Keough with 3%; Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman and Thierry Tchenko with 1%; Robert Hassan with 0%
  5. Robert Hassan, Steven Keough, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Thierry Tchenko with 0%
  6. Steven Keough, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Robert Hassan with 1%; "Someone else" with 8%
  7. Sherri Taylor, Victor Dunn, and John Love III with 2%; Tracy Andrus, Aaron Arguijo, and Steven Keough with 1%; Teresa Naranjo, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. Sherri Taylor with 3%; Tracy Andrus, Steven Keough, Teresa Naranjo, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Aaron Arguijo, John Love III, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Victor Dunn with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. John Love with 4%
  10. Ted Brown (L) with 4%
  11. Ted Brown (L) with 3%; Mason Cysewski (G) with 2%
  12. Ted Brown (L) with 4%
  13. "Someone else" with 15%
  14. "Someone else" with 7%; Refused to answer with 1%
  15. Libertarian candidate with 2%; Green Party candidate with 2%
  16. "Someone else" with 16%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  2. Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  3. Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group

References

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