Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college.[1][2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election.[1][2] Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election.[3]
Poll numbers verified as of November 8, 2016[update].
More information Race, Poll model ...
| Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Leading by (points) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-way | 270 to Win[4] | 47.2% | 43.6% | — | 3.6 | |
| BBC | 48.0% | 44.0% | 4.0 | |||
| HuffPost Pollster[5] | 47.3% | 42.0% | 5.3 | |||
| New York Times | 45.9% | 42.8% | 3.1 | |||
| Real Clear Politics | 46.8% | 43.6% | 3.2 | |||
| TPM Polltracker | 48.8% | 43.9% | 4.9 | |||
| Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 45.7% | 41.8% | 4.8% | — | 3.9 |
| HuffPost Pollster[5] | 45.7% | 40.8% | 5.0% | 4.9 | ||
| New York Times | 45.4% | 42.3% | 5.0% | 3.1 | ||
| TPM Polltracker | 46.0% | 44.1% | 4.9% | 1.9 | ||
| Four-way | 270 to Win[4] | 45.6% | 42.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 3.1 |
| Real Clear Politics | 45.5% | 42.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 3.3 | |
| CNN Poll of Polls | 46.0% | 42.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 4.0 | |
| TPM Polltracker | 46.6% | 43.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8 | |
| Election results (popular vote) | 48.2% | 46.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 2.1 | |
Close
Two-way race
After convention nominations
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by (points) |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPI/CVoter[6] | November 1–7, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,728 | ± 3.0% |
| YouGov/The Economist[7] | November 4–7, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 3,677 | ± 1.7% |
| Bloomberg News/Selzer[8] | November 4–6, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[9] | November 3–6, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 2,220 | ± 2.5% |
| Fox News[10] | November 3–6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 1,295 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[11] | November 3–6, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 1 | 1,026 | ± 3.1% |
| Monmouth University[12] | November 3–6, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 802 | ± 3.6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[13] | November 2–6, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 5 | 2,195 | ± 2.4% |
| CBS News/New York Times[14] | November 2–6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4 | 1,426 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[15] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 70,194 | ± 1.0% |
| CCES/YouGov[16] | October 4 – November 6, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 4 | 84,292 | ±% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[17] | November 3–5, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 1,282 | ± 2.73% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[18] | November 2–5, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,937 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[19] | November 2–5, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 903 | ± 3.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[20] | October 30 – November 5, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,572 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[21] | October 30 – November 5, 2016 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 2,988 | ± 4.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[22] | November 1–4, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,685 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[23] | November 1–4, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 804 | ± 3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[24] | October 31 – November 4, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 4 | 2,244 | ± 2.4% |
| UPI/CVoter[25] | October 29 – November 4, 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,497 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[26] | October 29 – November 4, 2016 | 43% | 48% | 5 | 2,987 | ± 4.5% |
| Fox News[27] | November 1–3, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 1 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% |
| McClatchy/Marist[28] | November 1–3, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | October 30 – November 3, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 5 | 2,021 | ± 2.6% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[30] | October 31 – November 3, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,419 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[31] | October 30 – November 3, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 898 | ± 3.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[32] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,395 | ± 3.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[33] | October 30 – November 2, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,151 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[34] | October 29 – November 2, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 6 | 1,858 | ± 2.6% |
| IBD/TIPP[35] | October 29 – November 2, 2016 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 867 | ± 3.4% |
| UPI/CVoter[36] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,329 | ± 3.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[37] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[38] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 1,333 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[39] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 6 | 1,772 | ± 3.0% |
| YouGov/The Economist[40] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | 48% | 45% | 3 | 1,233 | ± 3.2% |
| IBD/TIPP[41] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 862 | ± 3.4% |
| UPI/CVoter[42] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,383 | ±3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[43] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 42% | 48% | 6 | 3,004 | ± 4.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[44] | October 28–31, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,182 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[45] | October 26–31, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 1,018 | ± 3.2% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[46] | October 29–30, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 1,772 | ± 2.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[47] | October 27–30, 2016 | 52% | 47% | 5 | 2,075 | ± 3.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[48] | October 27–30, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[49] | October 26–30, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 5 | 1,264 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[50] | October 25–30, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 2 | 993 | ± 3.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[51] | October 24–30, 2016 | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,299 | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[52] | October 24–30, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 40,816 | ± 1.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[53] | October 26–29, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,165 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[54] | October 24–29, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1,039 | ± 3.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[55] | October 23–29, 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,317 | ± 3.0% |
| Morning Consult[56] | October 27–28, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,794 | ± 2.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[57] | October 25–28, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 1 | 1,160 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[58] | October 23–28, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,013 | ± 3.3% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[59] | October 24–27, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,148 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[60] | October 22–27, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 3 | 973 | ± 3.3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[61] | October 21–27, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 6 | 1,627 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[62] | October 21–27, 2016 | 44% | 46% | 2 | 3,248 | ± 4.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[63] | October 23–26, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1,150 | ± 3.0% |
| YouGov/The Economist[64] | October 22–26, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,376 | ± 3.1% |
| IBD/TIPP[65] | October 21–26, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 945 | ± 3.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[66] | October 20–26, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,363 | ± 3.0% |
| Fox News[67] | October 22–25, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,221 | ± 2.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[68] | October 22–25, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,135 | ± 3.0% |
| Pew Research Center[69] | October 20–25, 2016 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 2,120 | ± 2.4% |
| IBD/TIPP[70] | October 20–25, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 2 | 921 | ± 3.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[71] | October 19–25, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,349 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[72] | October 19–25, 2016 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 3,145 | ± 4.5% |
| CNBC[73] | October 21–24, 2016 | 47% | 37% | 10 | 804 | ± 3.5% |
| ABC News[74] | October 21–24, 2016 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 1,119 | ± 3.0% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[75] | October 21–24, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 900 | ± 3.27% |
| Associated Press/GFK[76] | October 20–24, 2016 | 54% | 41% | 13 | 1,546 | ± 2.75% |
| USA Today/Suffolk University[77] | October 20–24, 2016 | 49% | 39% | 10 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[78] | October 20–24, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 6 | 1,170 | ± 3.3% |
| IBD/TIPP[79] | October 19–24, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 1 | 873 | ± 3.6% |
| ABC News[80] | October 20–23, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 1,155 | ± 3.0% |
| CNN/ORC[81] | October 20–23, 2016 | 51% | 45% | 6 | 779 | ± 3.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[82] | October 18–23, 2016 | 42% | 42% | Tied | 815 | ± 3.6% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[83] | October 17–23, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 32,225 | ± 1.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[84] | October 17–23, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,414 | ± 3.0% |
| ABC News[85] | October 20–22, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 874 | ± 3.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[86] | October 17–22, 2016 | 42% | 43% | 1 | 783 | ± 3.6% |
| IBD/TIPP[87] | October 16–21, 2016 | 42% | 42% | Tied | 791 | ± 3.6% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[88] | October 19–20, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 6 | 1,395 | ± 3.0% |
| American Research Group[89] | October 17–20, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 1,006 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[90] | October 15–20, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 2 | 789 | ± 3.6% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[91] | October 14–20, 2016 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 3,001 | ± 4.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[92] | October 14–20, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 4 | 1,640 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[93] | October 14–19, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 2 | 779 | ± 3.6% |
| Quinnipiac University[94] | October 17–18, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,007 | ± 3.1% |
| YouGov/The Economist[95] | October 15–18, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4 | 1,300 | ± 4.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[96] | October 13–18, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 3 | 782 | ± 3.6% |
| Fox News[97] | October 15–17, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 912 | ± 3.0% |
| Bloomberg Politics[98] | October 14–17, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9 | 1,006 | ± 3.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[99] | October 13–17, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 4 | 1,190 | ± 3.2% |
| Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[100] | October 12–17, 2016 | 51% | 36% | 15 | 692 | ±4.4% |
| UPI/CVoter[101] | October 11–17, 2016 | 51% | 46% | 5 | 1,326 | ± 3.0% |
| Monmouth University[102] | October 14–16, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 805 | ± 3.5% |
| CBS News[103] | October 12–16, 2016 | 51% | 40% | 11 | 1,411 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[104] | October 10–16, 2016 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 24,804 | ± 1.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[105] | October 10–16, 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,325 | ± 3.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[106] | October 13–15, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,737 | ± 2.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[107] | October 10–13, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 905 | ±3.3% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[108] | October 10–13, 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 740 | ±4.0% |
| Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[109] | October 9–13, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,001 | ±3.1% |
| George Washington University[110] | October 8–13, 2016 | 47% | 39% | 8 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| UPI/CVoter[111] | October 7–13, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1,482 | ± 3.0% |
| Fox News[112] | October 10–12, 2016 | 49% | 41% | 8 | 917 | ± 3.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[113] | October 10, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,757 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[114] | October 8–10, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10 | 900 | ± 3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[115] | October 6–10, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 7 | 2,363 | ± 2.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[116] | October 4–10, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,367 | ± 3.0% |
| Pew Research Center[117] | September 27 – October 10, 2016 | 53% | 44% | 9 | 3,616 | ± 2.9% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[118] | October 8–9, 2016 | 52% | 38% | 14 | 422 | ± 4.6% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[119] | October 3–9, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 23,329 | ± 1.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[120] | October 3–9, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,801 | ± 3.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[121] | October 8, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1,390 | ± 3.0% |
| YouGov/The Economist[122] | October 7–8, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 1,300 | ± 4.2% |
| Morning Consult[123] | October 5–6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,775 | ± 2.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[124] | October 5–6, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,064 | ± 3.0% |
| Fox News[125] | October 3–6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 896 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[126] | September 30 – October 6, 2016 | 43% | 38% | 5 | 1,695 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[127] | September 30 – October 6, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,774 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[128] | September 28 – October 4, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,274 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[129] | September 28 – October 4, 2016 | 43% | 47% | 4 | 2,369 | ± 4.5% |
| YouGov/The Economist[130] | October 1–3, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 911 | ± 3.9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[131] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 7 | 1,928 | ± 2.5% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[132] | September 30 – October 2, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 7 | 1,778 | ± 2.0% |
| Farleigh Dickinson/SSRS[133] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10 | 788 | ± 4.4% |
| CBS News/New York Times[134] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 49% | 43% | 6 | 1,501 | ± 3.0% |
| CNN/ORC[135] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 5 | 1,501 | ± 2.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[136] | September 26 – October 2, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 26,925 | ± 1.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[137] | September 26 – October 2, 2016 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 1,285 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[138] | September 24–30, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,526 | ± 4.5% |
| Fox News[139] | September 27–29, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 911 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[140] | September 23–29, 2016 | 43% | 38% | 5 | 2,501 | ± 2.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[141] | September 23–29, 2016 | 47% | 49% | 2 | 1,236 | ± 3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling[142] | September 27–28, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 993 | ± 3.2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[143] | September 27–28, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 4 | 1,336 | ± 3.1% |
| Echelon Insights[144] | September 26–27, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 5 | 1,833 | ±% |
| Morning Consult[145] | September 26–27, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1,253 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[146] | September 21–27, 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,239 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[147] | September 22–26, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 6 | 1,041 | ± 3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[148] | September 22–25, 2016 | 47% | 46% | 1 | 1,115 | ± 2.9% |
| Monmouth University[149] | September 22–25, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 729 | ± 3.6% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[150] | September 19–25, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 13,598 | ± 1.1% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[151] | September 19–25, 2016 | 42% | 46% | 4 | 2,726 | ± 4.5% |
| UPI/CVoter[152] | September 19–25, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,052 | ± 3.0% |
| Morning Consult[153] | September 22–24, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,712 | ± 2.0% |
| Bloomberg/Selzer[154] | September 21–24, 2016 | 46% | 46% | Tied | 1,002 | ± 3.1% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[155] | September 19–22, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 651 | ± 4.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[156] | September 16–22, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 4 | 1,559 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[157] | September 15–21, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2,623 | ± 2.3% |
| American Research Group[158] | September 17–20, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 990 | ± 3.2% |
| McClatchy/Marist[159] | September 15–20, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 758 | ± 3.6% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[160] | September 14–20, 2016 | 42% | 46% | 4 | 2,629 | ± 2.3% |
| YouGov/Economist[161] | September 18–19, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 936 | ± 4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[162] | September 16–19, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 922 | ± 3.23% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[163] | September 15–19, 2016 | 39% | 39% | Tied | 1,111 | ± 3.4% |
| Associated Press/GFK[164] | September 15–19, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,251 | ± 2.5% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[165] | September 13–19, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,524 | ± 2.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[166] | September 12–18, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,203 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[167] | September 12–18, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 13,230 | ± 1.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[168] | September 10–16, 2016 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 1,246 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[169] | September 9–15, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,229 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[170] | September 9–15, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 4 | 1,579 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[171] | September 9–15, 2016 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 2,497 | ± 2.8% |
| Fox News[172] | September 11–14, 2016 | 45% | 46% | 1 | 867 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[173] | September 8–14, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,265 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[174] | September 8–14, 2016 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 2,499 | ± 3.1% |
| YouGov/Economist[175] | September 10–13, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,087 | ± 4.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[176] | September 9–13, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,433 | ± 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[177] | September 8–13, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 960 | ± 3.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[178] | September 7–13, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,245 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[179] | September 7–13, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,550 | ± 2.7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[180] | September 8–12, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 1 | 1,127 | ± 3.3% |
| UPI/CVoter[181] | September 6–12, 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,232 | ± 3.0% |
| Pew Research[182] | August 16 – September 12, 2016 | 52% | 44% | 8 | 3,941 | ± 2.6% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[183] | September 5–11, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 16,220 | ± 1.1% |
| UPI/CVoter[184] | September 5–11, 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,260 | ± 3.0% |
| Morning Consult[185] | September 6–8, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 1 | 1,710 | ± 2.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[186] | September 5–8, 2016 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 642 | ± 4.5% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[187] | September 2–8, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2,653 | ± 2.4% |
| UPI/CVoter[188] | September 2–8, 2016 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 1,256 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[189] | September 1–7, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,226 | ± 3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[190] | September 4–6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,077 | ± 4.7% |
| UPI/CVoter[191] | August 31 – September 6, 2016 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 1,262 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[192] | September 1–5, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 2 | 1,084 | ± 3.5% |
| UPI/CVoter[193] | August 30 – September 5, 2016 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,220 | ± 3.0% |
| CNN/ORC[194] | September 1–4, 2016 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 786 | ± 3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[195] | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 32,226 | ± 1.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[196] | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,237 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[197] | August 28 – September 3, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,242 | ± 3.0% |
| Morning Consult[198] | September 1–2, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 2 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[199] | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 1 | 1,804 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[200] | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 1 | 861 | ± 3.4% |
| Fox News[201] | August 28–30, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[202] | August 24–30, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,162 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[203] | August 25–29, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 1 | 1,404 | ± 3.0% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[204] | August 24–29, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[205] | August 23–29, 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,173 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[206] | August 23–29, 2016 | 42% | 45% | 3 | 2,500 | ± 2.5% |
| Public Policy Polling[207] | August 26–28, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 881 | ± 3.3% |
| Monmouth University[208] | August 25–28, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 689 | ± 3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[209] | August 22–28, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 24,104 | ± 1.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[210] | August 22–28, 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,145 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[211] | August 21–27, 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,682 | ± 3.0% |
| Morning Consult[212] | August 24–26, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 3 | 2,007 | ± 2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[213] | August 22–25, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 5 | 1,154 | ± 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[214] | August 20–24, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 7 | 1,049 | ± 2.9% |
| UPI/CVoter[215] | August 18–24, 2016 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 1,720 | ± 3.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[216] | August 18–24, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 1,496 | ± 2.5% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[217] | August 18–24, 2016 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 2,434 | ± 2.3% |
| YouGov/Economist[218] | August 19–23, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 1,080 | ± 4.1% |
| UPI/CVoter[219] | August 17–23, 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,737 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[220] | August 18–22, 2016 | 45% | 33% | 12 | 1,115 | ± 3% |
| UPI/CVoter[221] | August 16–22, 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,752 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[222] | August 15–21, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,795 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[223] | August 15–21, 2016 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 17,451 | ± 1.1% |
| American Research Group[224] | August 17–20, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 5 | 994 | ± 3.2% |
| Morning Consult[225] | August 16–20, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 6 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| UPI/CVoter[226] | August 14–20, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,191 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[227] | August 14–20, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2,385 | ± 2.8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[228] | August 13–17, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 5 | 1,049 | ± 2.8% |
| UPI/CVoter[229] | August 11–17, 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,009 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[230] | August 9–16, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,069 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[231] | August 11–15, 2016 | 41% | 35% | 6 | 1,132 | ± 3% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates[232] | August 9–15, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| UPI/CVoter[233] | August 9–15, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,035 | ± 3.0% |
| Morning Consult[234] | August 11–14, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 7 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[235] | August 8–14, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9 | 15,179 | ± 1.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[236] | August 7–14, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 975 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[237] | August 7–13, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,403 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[238] | August 3–10, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[239] | August 6–10, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 6 | 974 | ± 2.9% |
| YouGov/Economist[240] | August 6–9, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 1,300 | ± 4.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[241] | August 3–9, 2016 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% |
| Bloomberg Politics[242] | August 5–8, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 749 | ± 3.6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[243] | August 4–8, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 7 | 1,152 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[244] | August 2–8, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 993 | ± 3.0% |
| PSRAI[245] | August 4–7, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 6 | 798 | ± 3.9% |
| UPI/CVoter[246] | August 1–7, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,407 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[247] | August 1–7, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 11,480 | ± 1.2% |
| UPI/CVoter[248] | July 31 – August 6, 2016 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[249] | July 31 – August 6, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2,146 | ± 2.8% |
| Morning Consult[250] | August 4–5, 2016 | 46% | 37% | 9 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[251] | August 1–4, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,002 | ± 3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[252] | July 31 – August 4, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 3 | 1,154 | ± 3.0% |
| UPI/CVoter[253] | July 29 – August 4, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,060 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[254] | July 29 – August 4, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 7 | 921 | ± 3.4% |
| McClatchy/Marist[255] | August 1–3, 2016 | 48% | 33% | 15 | 983 | ± 3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[256] | July 31 – August 3, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 9 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[257] | July 30 – August 3, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 4 | 1,072 | ± 3.5% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[258] | July 28 – August 3, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2,175 | ± 2.4% |
| UPI/CVoter[259] | July 27 – August 2, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 989 | ± 3.0% |
| Fox News[260] | July 31 – August 2, 2016 | 49% | 39% | 10 | 1,022 | ± 3% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[261] | July 27 – August 2, 2016 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 2,186 | ± 2.2% |
| YouGov/Economist[262] | July 31 – August 1, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 1,300 | ± 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[263] | July 28 – August 1, 2016 | 43% | 35% | 8 | 1,289 | ± 3% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[264] | July 26 – August 1, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2,171 | ± 2.5% |
| CNN/ORC[265] | July 29–31, 2016 | 52% | 43% | 9 | 1,003 | ± 3% |
| CBS News[266] | July 29–31, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6 | 1,131 | ± 3% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[267] | July 25–31, 2016 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 12,742 | ± 1.2% |
| Morning Consult[268] | July 29–30, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 3 | 1,931 | ± 2% |
| Public Policy Polling[269] | July 29–30, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1,276 | ± 2.7% |
Close
Polls conducted in 2016
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos/Reuters[270] | July 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | 5 | 1,290 | ± 2.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[271] | July 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[272] | July 22–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 39% | 2 | 963 | ± 4.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[273] | July 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 47% | 7 | 2,150 | ± 3% |
| Economist/YouGov[274] | July 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,300 | ± 4.5% |
| Morning Consult[275] | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 2,502 | ± 2% |
| CBS News[276] | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 1,118 | ± 4% |
| CNN/ORC[277] | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 48% | 3 | 882 | ± 3.5% |
| University of Delaware[278] | July 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 818 | ± 4% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[279] | July 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 12,931 | ± 1.2% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[273] | July 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | 2,083 | ± 3% |
| Echelon Insights[280] | July 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 912 | ± ?% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[281] | July 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | 3 | 1,036 | ± 4.0% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[282] | July 16–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 2,010 | ± % |
| American Research Group[283] | July 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | 990 | ± 3.2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[284] | July 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | 4 | 1,522 | ± 2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports[285] | July 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[286] | July 13–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | 7 | 900 | ± 3.27% |
| Economist/YouGov[287] | July 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 925 | ± 4.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[288] | July 11–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 9,436 | ± 1.4% |
| Morning Consult[289] | July 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 39% | 2 | 2,002 | ± 2% |
| CNN/ORC[290] | July 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 42% | 7 | 872 | ± 3.5% |
| icitizen[291] | July 12–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± % |
| ABC News/Washington Post[292] | July 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 1,003 | ± 3.5% |
| USC/Los Angeles Times[293] | July 8–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,608 | ± 3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[294] | July 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 44% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[295] | July 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| CBS News/New York Times[296] | July 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 40% | Tied | 1,358 | ± 3.0% |
| The Economist/YouGov[297] | July 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | 1,300 | ± 4.2% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[298] | July 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | 7,869 | ± 1.4% |
| Morning Consult[299] | July 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| McClatchy-Marist[300] | July 5–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 1,053 | ± 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[301] | July 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 33% | 11 | 1,345 | ± 2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports[302] | July 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[303] | July 1–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 33% | 13 | 1,441 | ± 3.0% |
| The Economist/YouGov[304] | July 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,300 | ± 3.9% |
| Morning Consult[305] | June 30 – July 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | 1 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[306] | June 27 – July 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 10,072 | ± 1.3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[307] | June 27 – July 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | 9.4 | 1,080 | ± 3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[308] | June 28–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[309] | June 26–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5.2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[310] | June 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 32% | 10 | 1,247 | ± 2.8% |
| IBD/TIPP[311] | June 24–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 837 | ± 3.5% |
| One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[312] | June 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 50% | Tied | 2,162 | ± 2.1% |
| Public Policy Polling[313] | June 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 947 | ± 3.2% |
| Fox News[314] | June 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | 6 | 1,017 | ± 3% |
| Morning Consult[315] | June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,998 | ± 2% |
| Quinnipiac University[316] | June 21–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 1,610 | ± 2.4% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[317] | June 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | 5,818 | ± 1.8% |
| Pew Research[318] | June 15–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 1,655 | ± 2.7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[319] | June 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 1,201 | ± 3.3% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[320] | June 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[321] | June 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[322] | June 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 34% | 10 | 1,339 | ± 2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports[323] | June 20–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Economist/YouGov[324] | June 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | 4 | 1,011 | ± 4.2% |
| American Research Group[325] | June 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 987 | ± 3.2% |
| Morning Consult[326] | June 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 3,891 | ± 2% |
| CNN/ORC[327] | June 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 891 | ± 3.5% |
| Monmouth University[328] | June 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[329] | June 13–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 16,135 | ± 1.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[330] | June 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 35% | 10.7 | 1,133 | ± 3.4% |
| One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[331] | June 16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 2,197 | ± 2.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports[332] | June 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[333] | June 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 32% | 9 | 1,323 | ± 2.8% |
| CNBC[334] | June 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | 5 | 801 | ± 3.5% |
| CBS News[335] | June 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | 6 | 1,048 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[336] | June 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 42% | 7 | 9,355 | ± 1.4% |
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 39% | 13 | ||||
| Morning Consult[337] | June 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | 5 | 1,362 | ± 3% |
| Fox News[338] | June 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 1,004 | ± 3% |
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | ||||
| Ipsos/Reuters[339] | June 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 34% | 8 | 1,716 | ± 2.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[340] | June 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Morning Consult[341] | June 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 4,002 | ± 2% |
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
| YouGov/Economist[342] | June 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | 1,636 | ± 3.2% |
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | ||||
| IBD/TIPP[343] | May 31 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 828 | ± 3.3% |
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[344] | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 9,240 | ± 1.4% |
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 40% | 12 | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[345] | May 31 – June 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 38% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[346] | May 28 – June 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | 9 | 1,332 | ± 2.8% |
| Morning Consult[347] | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 4,002 | ± 2% |
| Quinnipiac University[348] | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 1,561 | ± 2.5% |
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[349] | May 23–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 12,969 | ± 1.2% |
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 40% | 12 | ||||
| Ipsos/Reuters[350] | May 21–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,576 | ± 2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports[351] | May 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[352] | May 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 2,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
| Morning Consult[353] | May 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | 3 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[354] | May 16–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 14,513 | ± 1% |
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
| American Research Group[355] | May 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tie | 2,001 | ± 2% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[356] | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 829 | ± 3.5% |
| Schoen Consulting[357] | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[358] | May 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[359] | May 17–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[360] | May 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,677 | ± 2.7% |
| Fox News[361] | May 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 1,021 | ± 3% |
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | ||||
| CBS News/New York Times[362] | May 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,300 | ± 3% |
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
| McLaughlin[363] | May 11–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Morning Consult[364] | May 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 3,971 | ± 2% |
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[365] | May 9–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 12,507 | ± 1.2% |
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
| Ipsos/Reuters[366] | May 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | 4 | 1,611 | ± 2.8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[367] | May 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | 1 | 1,289 | ± 3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling[368] | May 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,222 | ± 3.2% |
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 39% | 11 | ||||
| Ipsos/Reuters[369] | April 30 – May 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | 9 | 1,277 | ± 3.1% |
| Morning Consult[370] | April 29 – May 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 1,976 | ± 2.0% |
| CNN/ORC[371] | April 28 – May 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 41% | 13 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[372] | April 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[373] | April 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Tied | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
| GWU/Battleground[374] | April 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[375] | April 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 39% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 51% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 12 | ||||
| Fox News[376] | April 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,021 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 49% | 9 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 39% | 14 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 47% | John Kasich | 43% | 4 | ||||
| CBS News[377] | April 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 47% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | John Kasich | 41% | 5 | ||||
| IBD/TIPP[378] | March 28 – April 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 35% | 12 | 902 | ± 3.3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 45% | 7 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 45% | John Kasich | 42% | 3 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[379] | March 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 1,297 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 47% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | John Kasich | 51% | 9 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 37% | 20 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | John Kasich | 41% | 11 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[380] | March 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,083 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 45% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 39% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 13 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 45% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 7 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 17 | ||||
| Bloomberg Politics[381] | March 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 36% | 18 | 815 | ± 5.1% |
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 47% | 4 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[382] | March 16–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 1,451 | ± 2.6% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 47% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 38% | 14 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 11 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | John Kasich | 45% | 1 | ||||
| CBS News/New York Times[383] | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1,058 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 47% | 4 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[384] | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | 925 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 48% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | John Kasich | 51% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 58% | Donald Trump | 38% | 20 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 13 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | John Kasich | 45% | 6 | ||||
| Monmouth University[385] | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 848 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 45% | 6 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[386] | March 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 46% | Tied | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 37% | 18 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[387] | March 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 864 | ± 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[388] | February 29 – March 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| CNN/ORC[389] | February 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 44% | 8 | 920 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 43% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 57% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 17 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 8 | ||||
| Fox News[390] | February 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,031 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | John Kasich | 47% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
| Suffolk University/USA Today[391] | February 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 49% | 11 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 4 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[392] | February 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 47% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 47% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 45% | John Kasich | 41% | 4 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[393] | February 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,125 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 43% | Tied | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,236 | |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[394] | January 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
| Morning Consult[395] | January 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 4 | 4060 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 42% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 2 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[396] | January 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 41% | 10 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
| Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | ||||
| Morning Consult[397] | January 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | 2173 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 41% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 4 | ||||
| Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[398] | January 10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 51% | 2 | 2416 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 52% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 51% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 51% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Carly Fiorina | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Fox News[399] | January 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 1006 | 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 9 |
Close
Polls in 2016
Polls conducted in 2015
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample Size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[400] | December 22–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 36% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3.0% |
| CNN/ORC[401] | December 17–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | 2 | 927 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 2 | ||||
| Ipsos/Reuters[402] | December 16–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 27% | 12 | 1627 | ± 2.8–3.7% |
| Emerson College Polling Society[403] | December 17–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 754 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[404] | December 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 1140 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Fox News[405] | December 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | 1013 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[406] | December 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1267 | ± 2.8% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ben Carson | 41% | Tied | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Morning Consult[407] | December 11–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 8 | 4038 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 35% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 39% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 9 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[408] | December 10–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 851 | ± 3.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[409] | December 6–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1000 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 47% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 49% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 49% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Morning Consult[410] | December 3–7, 2015 | |||||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 2047 | ± 2.0% | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 40% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 45% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 2 | ||||
| USA Today/Suffolk University[411] | December 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Saint Leo University Polling Institute[412] | November 29 – December 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 38% | 13 | 1007 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Carly Fiorina | 32% | 19 | ||||
| MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[413] | November 15 – December 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 41% | 11 | 2360 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 47% | 1 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[414] | November 27 – December 1, 2015 | |||||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 1020 | ± 3.0% | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 50% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 2 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[415] | November 23–30, 2015 | |||||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 43% | 3 | 1453 | ± 2.6% | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ben Carson | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[416] | November 16–19, 2015 | |||||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | 1004 | ± 3.5% | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 40% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Fox News[417] | November 16–19, 2015 | |||||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | 1016 | ± 3.0% | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 47% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[418] | November 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 2 | 1360 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 46% | 7 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[419] | October 29 – November 4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 41% | 15 | 540 | ± 4.2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ben Carson | 48% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 45% | Ben Carson | 47% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 14 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[420] | October 29 – November 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 50% | 10 | 1144 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 46% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 51% | 12 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Morning Consult[421] | October 29 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 6 | 2350 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 10 | ||||
| Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA[422] | October 28 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | 4 | 2712 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 50% | 9 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 40% | Ben Carson | 48% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 3 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[423] | October 25–29, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | 847 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 47% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 51% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Morning Consult[424] | October 22–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 1689 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 38% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 7 | ||||
| Saint Leo University Polling Institute[425] | October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 1005 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 11 | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[426] | October 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 38% | 2 | 1000 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 6 | ||||
| Morning Consult[427] | October 15–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 9 | 2017 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 35% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 41% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 11 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[428] | October 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 45% | 2 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Emerson College Polling Society[429] | October 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 783 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 48% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[430] | October 14–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 956 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 48% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 44% | 9 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ben Carson | 48% | 2 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 53% | Donald Trump | 43% | 10 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 52% | Ben Carson | 44% | 8 | ||||
| Morning Consult[431] | October 8–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 2002 | ± 2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 37% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 5 | ||||
| Fox News[432] | October 10–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 3 | 1004 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ben Carson | 50% | 11 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Ben Carson | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[433] | October 1–4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | 1338 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 42% | Ben Carson | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 35% | Ben Carson | 46% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 38% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | John Kasich | 39% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 43% | Tied | ||||
| Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
| Joe Biden | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[434] | September 20–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3.10% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 46% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 35% | 21 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 49% | Ben Carson | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 36% | 16 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[435] | September 17–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 1574 | ± 2.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 49% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 49% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Fox News[436] | September 20–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1013 | ± 3% |
| MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[437] | August 26 – September 9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 6 | 1115 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 40% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 11 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 50% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 38% | 18 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 50% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 54% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 13 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[438] | September 7–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1003 | ± 4% |
| CNN/ORC[439] | September 4–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 2 | 1012 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 48% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 51% | 5 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 52% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 54% | Donald Trump | 44% | 10 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 47% | Ben Carson | 50% | 3 | ||||
| SurveyUSA[440] | September 2–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 1000 | ± 3.3% |
| Bernie Sanders | 40% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Al Gore | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[441] | August 28–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | 1254 | ± 2.8% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 38% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | ||||
| Fox News[442] | August 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 7 | 1008 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Morning Consult[443] | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | 2029 | ± 2.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 35% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Gravis Marketing[444] | August 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 50% | Tied | 1535 | 2.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 51% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 50% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ben Carson | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Perry | 48% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Carly Fiorina | 46% | 8 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[445] | July 22–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 964 | ± 2.8% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 39% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 35% | 18 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jim Gilmore | 32% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Lindsey Graham | 35% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Bobby Jindal | 36% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 39% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | George Pataki | 37% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 38% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[446] | July 23–28, 2015 | Joe Biden | 43% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | 1,644 | ± 2.4% |
| Joe Biden | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | 12 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 43% | Scott Walker | 43% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 36% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 37% | Scott Walker | 42% | 5 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[447] | July 22–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | 898 | ± 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 40% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 44% | 9 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 47% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 1 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 59% | Donald Trump | 38% | 21 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 48% | Scott Walker | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[448] | July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,087 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 39% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 37% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 7 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Scott Walker | 40% | 1 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[449] | July 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 6 | 815 | ± 4.0% |
| CNN/ORC[450] | June 26–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 1,017 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 39% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 35% | 24 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 57% | Scott Walker | 40% | 17 | ||||
| Zogby Analytics[451] | June 23–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 9 | 1,341 | ± ? |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 33% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 32% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 33% | 10 | ||||
| Fox News[452] | June 21–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Michael Bloomberg | 38% | 6 | 1,005 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 43% | Tied | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 41% | 6 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[453] | June 14–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Scott Walker | 37% | 14 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[454] | June 11–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Lincoln Chafee | 27% | Scott Walker | 39% | 12 | ||||
| Martin O'Malley | 31% | Scott Walker | 39% | 8 | ||||
| Bernie Sanders | 32% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Jim Webb | 28% | Scott Walker | 39% | 11 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[455] | May 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 8 | 1,025 | ± 3.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 47% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 46% | 3 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[456] | May 28–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 836 | ± 4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[457] | May 19–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 1,711 | ± 2.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 32% | 18 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 38% | 8 | ||||
| Fox News[458] | May 9–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 1,006 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | John Kasich | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 42% | 6 | ||||
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[459] | April 26–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 40% | 10 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 40% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 8 | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[460] | April 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 12 | 854 | ± ? |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 34% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 14 | ||||
| Fox News[461] | April 19–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 1,012 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[462] | April 16–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,353 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[463] | April 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 17 | 1,018 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ben Carson | 36% | 24 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 39% | 19 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 24 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 39% | 19 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 59% | Scott Walker | 37% | 22 | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[464] | April 9 & 12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 9 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
| Fox News[465] | March 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 1,025 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[466] | March 26–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | 989 | ± 3.1% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 39% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 40% | Scott Walker | 46% | 6 | ||||
| Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Scott Walker | 43% | 4 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[467] | March 26–29, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | ? | ± 4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 40% | 14 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[468] | March 13–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 15 | 1,009 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ben Carson | 40% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 40% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 43% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Scott Walker | 40% | 15 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[469] | March 1–4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 40% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Perry | 42% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 44% | 4 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[470] | February 26 – March 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1,286 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports[471] | February 28 – March 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 9 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 36% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[472] | February 20–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 10 | 691 | ± 3.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
| Elizabeth Warren | 41% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Fox News[473] | January 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 1,009 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[474] | January 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 861 | ± ? |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 42% | 3 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[475] | January 12–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 843 | ± 4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 40% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 41% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 15 | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[476] | January 10–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 4.8% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research[477] | January 5–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 12 | 950 | ± 3.2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 |
Close
Polls in 2015
Polls conducted in 2014
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample Size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/ORC[478] | December 18–21 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 1,011 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ben Carson | 35% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Chris Christie | 39% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 25 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 59% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 38% | 20 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 15 | ||||
| Fox News[479] | December 7–9 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,043 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 40% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 37% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 40% | 11 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[480] | December 3–9 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 13 | 923 | ± 3.2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 41% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 40% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | ||||
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[481] | December 3–5 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 6 | 753 | ± 3.6% |
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 36% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 37% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[482] | November 18–23 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,623 | ± 2.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 4 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[483] | September 24–29 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 11 | 884 | ± 3.3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 42% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 43% | 9 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[484] | August 4–7 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Fox News[485] | July 20–22 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 13 | 1,057 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | John Kasich | 35% | 19 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[486] | July 18–20 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 899 | ± 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[487] | June 24–30 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | 1,446 | ± 2.6% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Rasmussen[488] | June 14–17 & 20–21 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 38% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 33% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 36% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[489] | June 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 723 | |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 38% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
| Saint Leo University[490] | May 28 – June 4 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 18 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 34% | 18 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 24 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 34% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Paul Ryan | 33% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 31% | 22 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[491] | May 29 – June 1 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 43% | 10 | 1,002 | ± 3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling[492] | June 2 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | 735 | ± 3.6% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[493] | April 24–27 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | 855 | ± 3.5% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University[494] | April 21–27 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 16 | 1,051 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 36% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 37% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 8 | ||||
| Fox News[495] | April 13–15 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 9 | 1,012 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 42% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 42% | 9 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[496] | April 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 16 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 42% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 40% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 8 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[497] | March 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 1,152 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 5 | ||||
| Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 11 | ||||
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[498] | March 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 39% | 13 | 678 | ± >3.1% |
| Rasmussen[499] | March 4–5 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 14 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Fox News[500] | March 2–4 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 13 | 1,002 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 38% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[501] | February 4–9 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 20 | 970 | ± 3.1% |
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 37% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 14 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 62% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 27 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 38% | 20 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 8 | ||||
| CNN/ORC[502] | January 31 – February 2 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 20 | 900 | ± 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 39% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rand Paul | 39% | 18 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 15 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[503] | January 23–26 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 845 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
| Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Chris Christie | 43% | 9 | ||||
| ABC News/Washington Post[504] | January 20–23 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 41% | 12 | 873 | ± 3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[505] | January 15–19 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,933 | ± 2.2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
| NBC News/Marist Poll[506] | January 12–14 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 37% | 13 | 1,039 | ± 3% |
Close
Polls in 2014
Polls conducted in 2013
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample Size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/ORC[507] | December 16–19 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 21 | 950 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 48% | 2 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 19 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 41% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Rick Perry | 39% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 19 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 19 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[508] | December 12–15 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 1,316 | ± 2.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 49% | 14 | ||||
| Howard Dean | 29% | Chris Christie | 51% | 22 | ||||
| John Kerry | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
| Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Chris Christie | 49% | 16 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[509] | December 3–9 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 2,692 | ± 1.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 13 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[510] | December 3–5 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | 1,173 | ± 2.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 22 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 59% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 23 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 40% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rick Perry | 37% | 21 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 16 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[511] | November 6–11 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 2,545 | ± 1.9% |
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 15 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
| NBC News[512] | November 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.6% |
| Rasmussen[513] | November 7–8 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Public Policy Polling[514] | October 29–31 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 17 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 37% | 12 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 45% | 7 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 10 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 45% | Rand Paul | 38% | 7 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[515] | September 23–29 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | 1,497 | ± 2.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 23 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 36% | 17 | ||||
| Rasmussen[516] | September 16–17 | Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
| Monmouth University[517] | July 25–30 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[518] | July 19–21 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 39% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 41% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 39% | Chris Christie | 45% | 6 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 43% | Rand Paul | 43% | Tied | ||||
| Joe Biden | 42% | Marco Rubio | 42% | Tied | ||||
| Joe Biden | 43% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 3 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[519] | July 15–18 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 491 | ± 4.4% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Perry | 36% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 53% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 16 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[520] | June 28 – July 8 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6 | 2,014 | ± 2.2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 42% | Rand Paul | 42% | Tied | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[521] | May 22–28 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 1,419 | ± 2.6% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 38% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 6 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[522] | May 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | 1,099 | ± 3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 41% | 10 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 10 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Rand Paul | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[523] | March 27–30 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | 1,247 | ± 2.8% |
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 43% | 6 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 48% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 3 | ||||
| McClatchy-Marist[524] | March 25–27 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 16 | 519 | ± 4.3% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 12 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 49% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 9 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 53% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 14 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[525] | February 27 – March 4 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 37% | 8 | 1,944 | ± 2.2% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 16 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 12 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 7 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 45% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 3 | ||||
| Andrew Cuomo | 28% | Chris Christie | 45% | 17 | ||||
| Andrew Cuomo | 37% | Marco Rubio | 37% | Tie | ||||
| Andrew Cuomo | 37% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[526] | January 31 – February 3 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 6 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 44% | Chris Christie | 44% | Tie | ||||
| Joe Biden | 48% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Joe Biden | 49% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 4 | ||||
| Purple Strategies[527] | December 8–10, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 17 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Close
Polls in 2013
Three-way race
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Leading by (points) |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google Consumer Surveys[528] | November 1–7, 2016 | 38% | 36% | 5% | 2 | 26,574 | ± 0.65% |
| Angus Reid Institute[529] | November 1–4, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 6% | 4 | 1,151 | ± 2.9% |
| RAND American Life Panel[530] | October 20 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 35% | 8% | 9 | 2,269 | ± 1.9% |
| Google Consumer Surveys[531] | October 20–24, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 6% | 5 | 21,240 | ±0.73% |
| Public Policy Polling[532] | October 20–21, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 5% | 6 | 990 | ±3.18% |
| Google Consumer Surveys[533] | October 15–19, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 6% | 5 | 22,826 | ±0.70% |
| Google Consumer Surveys[534] | October 10–14, 2016 | 38% | 33% | 7% | 5 | 19,900 | ±0.75% |
| Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[535] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 3% | 6 | 609 | ±3.6% |
| Google Consumer Surveys[536] | September 27 – October 3, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 7% | 5 | 22,006 | ±0.71% |
| Google Consumer Surveys[537] | September 14–20, 2016 | 36% | 35% | 8% | 1 | 20,864 | ±0.73% |
Close
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Libertarian candidate |
% | Lead margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[260]
Sample size: 1,022 |
July 31 – August 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 9 |
| Penn Schoen Berland[538]
Sample size: 1,000 |
July 29 – August 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 5 |
| CBS News[266]
Sample size: 1,131 |
July 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 5 |
| Morning Consult[268]
Sample size: 1,931 |
July 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 5 |
| Morning Consult[275]
Sample size: 2,502 |
July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 4 |
| CBS News[276]
Sample size: 1,118 adults |
July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 1 |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[286]
Sample size: 900 |
July 13–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
| Morning Consult[289]
Sample size: 2,002 |
July 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
| CBS News/New York Times[296]
Sample size: 1,358 |
July 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Tied |
| Morning Consult[299]
Sample size: 2,001 |
July 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 2 |
| Rasmussen Reports[539]
Sample size: 1,000 |
July 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 2 |
| Morning Consult[305]
Sample size: 2,001 |
June 30 – July 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 1 |
| Fox News[314]
Sample size: 1,017 |
June 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 5 |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[540]
Sample size: 900 |
June 23–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 11 |
| The Economist/YouGov[541]
Sample size: 1,300 |
June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 5 |
| Morning Consult[315]
Sample size: 4001 |
June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
| Pew Research[318]
Sample size: 1,655 |
June 15–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 9 |
| Morning Consult[542]
Sample size: 3891 |
June 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Tied |
| CBS News[335]
Sample size: 1048 |
June 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 |
| Bloomberg Politics[543]
Sample size: 750 |
June 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 12 |
| Morning Consult[544]
Sample size: 1004 |
June 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 6 |
| Fox News[545]
Sample size: 1004 |
June 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 3 |
| Rasmussen Report[340]
Sample size: 1000 |
June 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 |
| Morning Consult[546]
Sample size: 2001 |
June 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) | 10% | 2 |
| Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) | 10% | 1 | ||
| Morning Consult[353]
Sample size: 2001 |
May 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 3 |
| Fox News[361]
Sample size: 1,021 |
May 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 3 |
| Monmouth University[385]
Sample size: 848 |
March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 8 |
Close
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Third candidate |
% | Lead margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC News/Washington Post[356]
Sample size: 823 |
May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 35% | Mitt Romney | 22% | 2 |
| Public Policy Polling[380]
Sample size: 1,083 |
March 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Deez Nuts | 10% | 5 |
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Deez Nuts | 8% | 6 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Rick Perry | 12% | 9 | ||
| Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Rick Perry | 12% | 9 | ||
| Quinnipiac University[547]
Sample size: 1,342 |
February 10–15, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 12% | Tied |
| Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 33% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 6 | ||
| Suffolk University/USA Today[548]
Sample size: 1,000 |
February 11–15, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 30% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 16% | 7 |
| Quinnipiac University[393]
Sample size: 1,125 |
February 2–4, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 36% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | 1 |
| Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ted Cruz | 36% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | 1 | ||
| Public Policy Polling[549]
Sample size: 1,236 |
February 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 4 |
| Bernie Sanders | 36% | Donald Trump | 39% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 3 | ||
| Luntz Global[550]
Sample size: 900 |
January 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 29% | 4 |
| Hillary Clinton | 37% | Ted Cruz | 35% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | 2 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 35% | Marco Rubio | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | 3 | ||
| Morning Consult[551]
Sample size: 1,439 |
January 21–24, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 34% | Michael Bloomberg | 12% | 1 |
| Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ted Cruz | 28% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 8 | ||
| Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 29% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 7 | ||
| Morning Consult[552]
Sample size: 4,060 |
January 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ted Cruz | 34% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 4 |
| Hillary Clinton | 38% | Marco Rubio | 33% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 5 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 1 | ||
| Saint Leo University Polling Institute[553] | November 29 – December 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45.4% | Ted Cruz | 19.9% | Donald Trump | 26.1% | 19.3 |
| Hillary Clinton | 44.8% | Carly Fiorina | 14.9% | Donald Trump | 29.6% | 15.2 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 44.0% | Ben Carson | 20.1% | Donald Trump | 25.7% | 18.3 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Marco Rubio | 21.8% | Donald Trump | 25.9% | 17.4 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Jeb Bush | 19.6% | Donald Trump | 29.5% | 13.8 | ||
| Saint Leo University Polling Institute[425] Margin of error ±6.0% |
October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42.7% | Jeb Bush | 22.8% | Donald Trump | 24.2% | 18.5 |
| Hillary Clinton | 43.7% | Carly Fiorina | 22.6% | Donald Trump | 23.8% | 19.9 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 43.1% | Ben Carson | 27.9% | Donald Trump | 20.2% | 15.2 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 43.7% | Marco Rubio | 24.6% | Donald Trump | 22.9% | 19.1 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 44.9% | Ted Cruz | 18.6% | Donald Trump | 24.1% | 20.8 | ||
| Public Policy Polling[554] Margin of error: ±2.8% Sample size: 1254 |
August 28–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 23% | Donald Trump | 27% | 15 |
| Fox News[442] Sample size: 1008 |
August 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 24% | Donald Trump | 25% | 17 |
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 30% | Donald Trump | 22% | 12 | ||
| Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 23% | 13 | ||
| McClatchy-Marist[445] Margin of error: ±2.8% Sample size: 964 |
July 22–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 20% | 15 |
| Public Policy Polling[448] Margin of error: ±4.0% Sample size: 1,087 |
July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 25% | Donald Trump | 23% | 18 |
| ABC News/Washington Post[449] Margin of error: ±4.0% Sample size: 815 |
July 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 30% | Donald Trump | 20% | 17 |
Close
Polls up to August 2, when three-way polls paused
Four-way race
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Leading by (points) |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/The Economist[7] | November 4–7, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 3,677 | ± 1.7% |
| Insights West[555] | November 4–7, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 4 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
| Bloomberg News/Selzer[8] | November 4–6, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 3 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
| Gravis Marketing[556] | November 3–6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 3% | 2% | 4 | 16,639 | ± 0.8% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[9] | November 3–6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 4 | 2,220 | ± 2.5% |
| Fox News[10] | November 3–6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 4 | 1,295 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[11] | November 3–6, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,026 | ± 3.1% |
| Monmouth University[12] | November 3–6, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 6 | 802 | ± 3.6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[13] | November 2–6, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 6% | 3% | 3 | 2,195 | ± 2.4% |
| CBS News/New York Times[14] | November 2–6, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 1,426 | ± 3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[557] | November 2–6, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[15] | October 31– November 6, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 6 | 70,194 | ± 1.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[558] | November 4–5, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 3 | 1,482 | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[17] | November 3–5, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,282 | ± 2.73% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[18] | November 2–5, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 4 | 1,937 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[19] | November 2–5, 2016 | 43% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1 | 903 | ± 3.3% |
| Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[559] | November 1–5, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 4 | 1,009 | ± 3.1% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[22] | November 1–4, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 5 | 1,685 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[23] | November 1–4, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tied | 804 | ± 3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[24] | October 31 – November 4, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 2,244 | ± 2.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[560] | November 1–3, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 1% | Tied | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
| Fox News[27] | November 1–3, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 2 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% |
| McClatchy/Marist[28] | November 1–3, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 1 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
| IBD/TIPP[31] | October 30 – November 3, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 2% | Tied | 898 | ± 3.3% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[30] | October 31 – November 3, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 4 | 1,419 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | October 30 – November 3, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 7 | 2,021 | ± 2.6% |
| Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[561] | November 1–2, 2016 | 47% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 2 | 2,435 | ± 2.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[562] | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | 42% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 3 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[33] | October 30 – November 2, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 3 | 1,151 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[35] | October 29 – November 2, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 2% | Tied | 867 | ± 3.4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[34] | October 29 – November 2, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 8 | 1,858 | ± 2.6% |
| Rasmussen Reports[563] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tied | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
| YouGov/Economist[40] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 3 | 1,233 | ± 3.2% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[37] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2 | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[38] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 3 | 862 | ± 3.4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[39] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 8 | 1,772 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[41] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 2% | Tied | 862 | ± 3.4% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[44] | October 28–31, 2016 | 46% | 46% | 3% | 2% | Tied | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[564] | October 27–31, 2016 | 45% | 45% | 5% | 2% | Tied | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[45] | October 26–31, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 1,018 | ± 3.2% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[46] | October 29–30, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 3 | 1,772 | ±2.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[48] | October 27–30, 2016 | 45% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 1 | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[49] | October 26–30, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 6 | 1,264 | ± 3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[565] | October 26–30, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 5% | 2% | 3 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[50] | October 25–30, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 993 | ± 3.2% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[52] | October 24–30, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 6 | 40,816 | ±1.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[53] | October 26–29, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 1,165 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[54] | October 24–29, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,039 | ± 3.3% |
| Red Oak Strategic/Google Consumer Surveys[566] | October 27–28, 2016 | 37% | 37% | 6% | 2% | Tied | 943 | ± 3.7% |
| Morning Consult[56] | October 27–28, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 1,794 | ± 2.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[57] | October 25–28, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 1,160 | ± 3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[58] | October 23–28, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,013 | ± 3.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports[567] | October 25–27, 2016 | 45% | 45% | 3% | 2% | Tied | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[59] | October 24–27, 2016 | 47% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 2 | 1,148 | ±3.0% |
| IBD/TIPP[60] | October 22–27, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 3 | 973 | ± 3.3% |
| Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[568] | October 25–26, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 1 | 1,824 | ±2.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports[569] | October 24–26, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[63] | October 23–26, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 4 | 1,150 | ±3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[64] | October 22–26, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 5 | 1,376 | ±3.1% |
| Saint Leo University[570] | October 22–26, 2016 | 45% | 34% | 6% | 2% | 11 | 1,050 | ±% |
| IBD/TIPP[65] | October 21–26, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 8% | 2% | 2 | 945 | ± 3.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports[571] | October 23–25, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Fox News[67] | October 22–25, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 3 | 1,221 | ±2.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[68] | October 22–25, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 6 | 1,135 | ±3.0% |
| Pew Research Center[69] | October 20–25, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 6 | 2,120 | ± 2.4% |
| IBD/TIPP[70] | October 20–25, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1 | 921 | ± 3.3% |
| CNBC[73] | October 21–24, 2016 | 43% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 9 | 804 | ± 3.5% |
| ABC News[74] | October 21–24, 2016 | 49% | 40% | 5% | 2% | 9 | 1,119 | ±3.0% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[75] | October 21–24, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 900 | ± 3.27% |
| Associated Press/GFK[76] | October 20–24, 2016 | 51% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 14 | 1,546 | ± 2.75% |
| USA Today/Suffolk University[77] | October 20–24, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 4% | 2% | 9 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[78] | October 20–24, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,170 | ±3.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports[572] | October 20–24, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 5% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[79] | October 19–24, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1 | 873 | ± 3.6% |
| ABC News[80] | October 20–23, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 1,155 | ±3.0% |
| CNN/ORC[81] | October 20–23, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 5 | 779 | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[573] | October 19–23, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[82] | October 18–23, 2016 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | Tied | 815 | ± 3.6% |
| Centre College[574] | October 18–23, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 5 | 569 | ±4.1% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[83] | October 17–23, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 5 | 32,225 | ± 1.0% |
| ABC News[85] | October 20–22, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 1,391 | ±3.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[86] | October 17–22, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 2 | 783 | ± 3.6% |
| IBD/TIPP[87] | October 16–21, 2016 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 2 | 791 | ±3.6% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[88] | October 19–20, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6 | 1,395 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[575] | October 18–20, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[92] | October 14–20, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,640 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[576] | October 17–19, 2016 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 3% | 3 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| IBD/TIPP[93] | October 14–19, 2016 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 5% | 1 | 779 | ±3.6% |
| Quinnipiac University[94] | October 17–18, 2016 | 47% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 7 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
| YouGov/Economist[95] | October 15–18, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 4 | 1,300 | ±3.9% |
| IBD/TIPP[96] | October 13–18, 2016 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 6% | 1 | 782 | ±3.6% |
| Fox News[97] | October 15–17, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 5% | 3% | 6 | 912 | ±3.0% |
| Bloomberg Politics[98] | October 14–17, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 9 | 1,006 | ±3.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports[577] | October 13–17, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[99] | October 13–17, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,190 | ±3.2% |
| Monmouth University[102] | October 14–16, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 805 | ±3.5% |
| CBS News[103] | October 12–16, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 9 | 1,411 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[578] | October 12–16, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[104] | October 10–16, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 6 | 24,804 | ± 1.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[106] | October 13–15, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 6 | 1,737 | ±2.0% |
| SurveyUSA/Boston Globe[579] | October 11–14, 2016 | 46% | 36% | 5% | 2% | 10 | 845 | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[580] | October 11–13, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[107] | October 10–13, 2016 | 48% | 37% | 7% | 2% | 11 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[108] | October 10–13, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 740 | ±4.0% |
| Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[109] | October 9–13, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 5 | 1,011 | ±3.1% |
| George Washington University[110] | October 8–13, 2016 | 47% | 39% | 8% | 2% | 8 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
| Fox News[112] | October 10–12, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 7 | 917 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[581] | October 10–12, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Insights West[582] | October 10–11, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 6 | 953 | ±3.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[583] | October 9–11, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[113] | October 10, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 5 | 1,757 | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[114] | October 8–10, 2016 | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 9 | 806 | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[584] | October 6–10, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 5 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[115] | October 6–10, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 7 | 2,363 | ±2.3% |
| Pew Research[117] | September 27 – October 10, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 7 | 3,616 | ± 2.9% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[118] | October 8–9, 2016 | 46% | 35% | 9% | 2% | 11 | 422 | ±4.6% |
| Rasmussen Reports[585] | October 5–9, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 7 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[586] | October 5–9, 2016 | 49% | 38% | 2% | 0% | 11 | 886 | ±3.9% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[119] | October 3–9, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 5 | 23,329 | ±1.0% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[121] | October 8, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 4 | 1,390 | ±3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[122] | October 7–8, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 6 | 1,300 | ±4.3% |
| Morning Consult[123] | October 5–6, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 2 | 1,775 | ±2.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[124] | October 5–6, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 5 | 1,064 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[587] | October 4–6, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Fox News[125] | October 3–6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 896 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[126] | September 30 – October 6, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 5 | 1,695 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[588] | October 3–5, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[589] | October 3, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | Tied | 1,690 | ±2.5% |
| YouGov/Economist[130] | October 1–3, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 3 | 911 | ±3.9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[131] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 6 | 1,239 | ±3.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[590] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[132] | September 30 – October 2, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6 | 1,778 | ±2.0% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University[133] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 45% | 36% | 11% | 3% | 9 | 385 | ±5.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[134] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 4 | 1,217 | ±3.0% |
| CNN/ORC[135] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 5 | N/A | ±N/A% |
| Rasmussen Reports[591] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 3 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[136] | September 26 – October 2, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 6 | 26,925 | ±1.0% |
| Fox News[139] | September 27–29, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 911 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[140] | September 23–29, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 4 | 2,501 | ±2.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[592] | September 26–28, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
| Morning Consult[145] | September 26–27, 2016 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 1,253 | ±3.0% |
| Public Religion Research Institute[593] | September 1–27, 2016 | 49% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 8 | 2,010 | ±2.8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[147] | September 22–26, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,041 | ±3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[148] | September 22–25, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 1 | 1,115 | ±2.9% |
| Monmouth University[149] | September 22–25, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 4 | 729 | ±3.6% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[150] | September 19–25, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 5 | 13,598 | ±1.1% |
| Morning Consult[153] | September 22–24, 2016 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1 | 1,712 | ±2.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[594] | September 22–24, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 3 | 948 | ±3.8% |
| Bloomberg/Selzer[154] | September 21–24, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2 | 1,002 | ±3.1% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[155] | September 19–22, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 2 | 651 | ±4.5% |
| Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[595] | September 18–22, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,017 | ±3.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[156] | September 16–22, 2016 | 39% | 37% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 1,559 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[596] | September 20–21, 2016 | 39% | 44% | 8% | 2% | 5 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] | September 20, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 1,560 | ±2.5% |
| McClatchy/Marist[159] | September 15–20, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 6 | 758 | ±3.6% |
| YouGov/Economist[161] | September 18–19, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 936 | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[162] | September 16–19, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 6 | 922 | ±3.2% |
| iCitizen[597] | September 15–19, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 5% | 3% | 5 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[163] | September 15–19, 2016 | 37% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 1,111 | ±3.4% |
| Associated Press/GFK[164] | September 15–19, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 9% | 2% | 6 | 1,251 | ±2.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[167] | September 12–18, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 5 | 13,230 | ±1.2% |
| Morning Consult[598] | September 15–16, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 1,639 | ±2.0% |
| Saint Leo University[599] | September 12–16, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 5 | 1,005 | ±3.0% |
| Fox News[172] | September 11–14, 2016 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1 | 867 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[600] | September 12–13, 2016 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Emerson College[601] | September 11–13, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 9% | 2% | 2 | 800 | ±3.4% |
| YouGov/Economist[175] | September 10–13, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,087 | ±4.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[176] | September 9–13, 2016 | 42% | 42% | 8% | 4% | Tied | 1,433 | ±3.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[177] | September 8–13, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 2 | 960 | ±3.2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[180] | September 8–12, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 2% | Tied | 1,127 | ±3.3% |
| Pew Research[182] | August 16 – September 12, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 2 | 3,941 | ±2.6% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[183] | September 5–11, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 2 | 16,220 | ±1.1% |
| Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[citation needed] | September 7–8, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 3 | 2,348 | ±2.0% |
| Morning Consult[185] | September 6–8, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 2 | 1,710 | ±2.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[186] | September 5–8, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 5 | 642 | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[602] | September 6–7, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 9% | 2% | 4 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[190] | September 4–6, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 2 | 1,077 | ±4.7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[192] | September 1–5, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 1,084 | ±3.5% |
| CNN/ORC[194] | September 1–4, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 786 | ±3.5% |
| Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[603] | August 31 – September 4, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 3 | 1,025 | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[195] | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 4 | 32,226 | ±1.0% |
| Morning Consult[198] | September 1–2, 2016 | 38% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 2 | 2,001 | ±2.0% |
| George Washington University[604] | August 28 – September 1, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 2 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[199] | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 7% | 2% | Tied | 1,804 | ±3.0% |
| IBD/TPP[200] | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 12% | 3% | Tied | 861 | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[605] | August 29–30, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 1 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Fox News[201] | August 28–30, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 2 | 1,011 | ±3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[606] | August 27–29, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 5 | 1,119 | ±4.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[203] | August 25–29, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,404 | ±3.0% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[204] | August 25–29, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 7 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Monmouth University[208] | August 25–28, 2016 | 43% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 7 | 689 | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[209] | August 22–28, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 4 | 24,104 | ±1.0% |
| Morning Consult[212] | August 24–26, 2016 | 39% | 37% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 2,007 | ±2.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[213] | August 22–25, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 7% | 3% | 3 | 1,154 | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports[607] | August 23–24, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 4 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[214] | August 20–24, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 7% | 2% | 3 | 1,049 | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University[216] | August 18–24, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 7 | 1,498 | ±2.5% |
| Gravis Marketing[608] | August 22–23, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 1 | 1,493 | ±2.5% |
| YouGov/Economist[218] | August 19–23, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 4 | 1,080 | ±4.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[220] | August 18–22, 2016 | 41% | 33% | 7% | 2% | 8 | 1,115 | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[223] | August 15–21, 2016 | 43% | 38% | 11% | 5% | 5 | 17,451 | ±1.1% |
| Morning Consult[225] | August 16–20, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 2,001 | ±2.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[228] | August 13–17, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,049 | ±2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports[609] | August 15–16, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 2 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| YouGov/Economist[610] | August 11–16, 2016 | 41% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 6 | 1,076 | ±4.1% |
| Pew Research[611] | August 9–16, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 4 | 1,567 | ±2.8% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates[232] | August 9–15, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 8 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[235] | August 8–14, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 11% | 4% | 6 | 15,179 | ±1.2% |
| Zogby Analytics[612] | August 12–13, 2016 | 38% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 2 | 1,277 | ±2.8% |
| Morning Consult[234] | August 11–14, 2016 | 39% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6 | 2,001 | ±2.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[239] | August 6–10, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 5 | 974 | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports[613] | August 9–10, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 3 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] | August 9, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 5 | 2,832 | ±1.8% |
| YouGov/Economist[240] | August 6–9, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 2% | 6 | 1,300 | ±4.2% |
| Bloomberg Politics[242] | August 5–8, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 4 | 749 | ±3.6% |
| Princeton Survey[245] | August 4–7, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 2% | 1% | 6 | 1,000 | ±3.9% |
| Monmouth University[614] | August 4–7, 2016 | 46% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 12 | 803 | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[247] | August 1–7, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6 | 11,480 | ±1.2% |
| Morning Consult[250] | August 4–5, 2016 | 41% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 8 | 2,001 | ±2.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[251] | August 1–4, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 8 | 1,002 | ±3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[252] | July 31 – August 4, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 2 | 1,154 | ±3.0% |
| IBD/TPP[254] | July 29 – August 4, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 4 | 851 | ±3.4% |
| McClatchy/Marist[255] | August 1–3, 2016 | 45% | 31% | 10% | 6% | 14 | 983 | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[256] | July 31 – August 3, 2016 | 43% | 34% | 10% | 5% | 9 | 800 | ±3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[257] | July 30 – August 3, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,072 | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[615] | August 1–2, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 4 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| The Economist/YouGov[262] | July 31 – August 1, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 5 | 1,300 | ±4.0% |
| CNN/ORC[265] | July 29–31, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 8 | 894 | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[267] | July 25–31, 2016 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5 | 12,742 | ±1.2% |
| Public Policy Polling[269] | July 29–30, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 5 | 1,276 | ±2.7% |
| RABA Research[616] | July 29, 2016 | 46% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 15 | 956 | ±3.2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[270] | July 25–29, 2016 | 37% | 37% | 5% | 1% | Tied | 1,788 | ±2.4% |
| YouGov/Economist[274] | July 23–24, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,300 | ±4.5% |
| CNN/ORC[277] | July 22–24, 2016 | 39% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 5 | 882 | ±3.5% |
| University of Delaware[617] | July 21–24, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 4 | 818 | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[279] | July 18–24, 2016 | 39% | 41% | 10% | 5% | 2 | 12,931 | ±1.2% |
| RABA Research[618] | July 22, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 5 | 909 | ±3.3% |
| Echelon Insights[619] | July 21–22, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 3% | 2% | 1 | 912 | ±N/A% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[284] | July 16–20, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 4 | 1,522 | ±2.9% |
| YouGov/Economist[620] | July 15–17, 2016 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 3 | 1,300 | ±4.2% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[288] | July 11–17, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 1 | 9,436 | ±1.4% |
| Monmouth University[621] | July 14–16, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 2 | 688 | ±3.7% |
| Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[622] | July 13–16, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 3 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
| CNN/ORC[290] | July 13–16, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 13% | 5% | 5 | 872 | ±3.5% |
| icitizen[291] | July 11–14, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 4 | 1,000 | ±N/A% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[292] | July 11–14, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 4 | 1,003 | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[295] | July 9–13, 2016 | 41% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 6 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[297] | July 9–11, 2016 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 3 | 1,300 | ±4.2% |
| AP-GfK[623] | July 7–11, 2016 | 40% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 837 | ±3.3% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[298] | July 4–10, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 2 | 7,869 | ±1.4% |
| Raba Research[624] | July 7–9, 2016 | 41% | 29% | 9% | 2% | 12 | 781 | ±3.5% |
| McClatchy/Marist[300] | July 5–9, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 5 | 1,249 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[301] | July 2–6, 2016 | 42% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 9 | 1,345 | ±2.8% |
| The Economist/YouGov[304] | July 2–4, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 4% | 3% | 5 | 1,300 | ±3.9% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[306] | June 27 – July 3, 2016 | 41% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 3 | 10,072 | ±1.3% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[309] | June 26–29, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 4 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[310] | June 25–29, 2016 | 42% | 31% | 5% | 4% | 11 | 1,247 | ±2.8% |
| IBD/TIPP[311] | June 24–29, 2016 | 37% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 1 | 837 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling[313] | June 27–28, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 947 | ±3.2% |
| Quinnipiac University[316] | June 21–27, 2016 | 39% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 2 | 1,610 | ±2.4% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[317] | June 20–26, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 6 | 5,818 | ±1.8% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[320] | June 20–23, 2016 | 47% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 10 | 836 | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[321] | June 19–23, 2016 | 39% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 1 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[322] | June 18–22, 2016 | 43% | 34% | 6% | 5% | 9 | 1,339 | ±2.8% |
| CNN/ORC[327] | June 16–19, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 4 | 891 | ±3.5% |
| Monmouth University[328] | June 15–19, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6 | 803 | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[329] | June 13–19, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4 | 16,135 | ±1.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[625] | June 11–15, 2016 | 39% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 10 | 1,323 | ±2.8% |
| NBC/Survey Monkey[336] | June 6–12, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4 | 10,604 | ±1.3% |
| SurveyUSA[626] | June 8, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 3 | 1,408 | ±2.7% |
| Zogby[627] | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | 40% | 34% | 6% | 2% | 6 | 837 | ±3.5% |
| NBC News[628] | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 1 | 9,240 | ±1.4% |
| Quinnipiac University[629] | May 24–30, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,561 | ±2.5% |
Close
Five-way race
More information Poll source, Date ...
| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Leading by (points) |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Leo University[570] | October 22–26, 2016 | 42% | 31% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 11 | 1,050 | – |
| Public Policy Polling[142] | September 27–28, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4 | 933 | ±3.2% |
| Echelon Insights[144] | September 26–27, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5 | 1,833 | – |
| Public Policy Polling[207] | August 26–28, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5 | 881 | ±3.3% |
Close
BBC News discussed whether polling should be abandoned due to its perceived failure.[1] Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate, and cited the cautionary adage "Garbage in, garbage out".[2] He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters.[2] Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the 1948 presidential election.[2] Despite all this, however, nationwide polling was not far off from the actual popular vote result, and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended the performance of the polls in 2016 as historically average, and argued that "Media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about the uncertainties associated with polling".[630]
A particular case was the USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not.[631] The poll's findings caused skepticism, especially from other pollsters and media outlets, who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it.[632] Before the election, Nate Silver deemed as positive the fact that the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they're 100 percent sure, saying if people are "going to browbeat a pollster, [let's] do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply—some of the robopolls qualify—and not one that’s trying to move the ball forward, like the LA Times poll."[633] The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published: "That doesn't necessarily mean that a poll conducted online, the way the Daybreak poll is, necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone. But it is yet another indication that polling needs more, diverse ways to look at public opinion, not fewer."[634]
General election polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
Democratic primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Republican primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
After the election
- Peter Barnes, Senior elections and political analyst, BBC News (11 November 2016), "Reality Check: Should we give up on election polling?", BBC News, retrieved 12 November 2016
{{citation}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - Ethan Siegel (9 November 2016), "The Science Of Error: How Polling Botched The 2016 Election", Forbes magazine, retrieved 12 November 2016
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