Ohio_gubernatorial_election,_2018

2018 Ohio gubernatorial election^[1]
Turnout	57.52% 17.30pp
	DeWine: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% ; Cordray: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100%; Tie: 40–50% No votes
Governor before election; John Kasich; Republican	Elected Governor ; Mike DeWine; Republican

2018 Ohio gubernatorial election

Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Ohio

The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich was term-limited and could not seek re-election for a third consecutive term.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Republicans nominated Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. Senator Mike DeWine, while Democrats nominated former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director and former Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray. This was the second contest between DeWine and Cordray, following the 2010 attorney general election, which DeWine won, 47.5% to 46.3%.

In 2018, DeWine defeated Cordray 50.4% to 46.7%, in what was considered a minor upset. Despite Cordray's loss, he became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win Cincinnati's Hamilton County since Dick Celeste in 1982. Likewise, DeWine became the first Republican to win in the historically Democratic Monroe County in a gubernatorial election since 2002 as the county took a sharp turn to the right. With Democratic senator Sherrod Brown winning re-election in the same year, this was the first election since 1974 in which Ohio simultaneously voted for a gubernatorial nominee and a U.S. Senate nominee of opposite parties.

DeWine and Husted took office on January 14, 2019.

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[198] The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

[146] Paul Ray 1%, Larry Ealy 0%

[147] Paul Ray 2%, Larry Ealy 1%

[201] Richard Duncan (write-in), Rebecca Ayers (write-in), and Renea Turner (write-in) with 0%

[202] Colin Hill (I) with 3%

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Sherrod Brown. "Congrats to @RichCordray and @BettySutton on becoming the Democratic nominees to be Ohio's next Governor and Lt. Governor! And thank you to all the candidates who raised their voices for working Ohioans—I look forward to working with you to move our state forward. -SB". Twitter.

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Rich Cordray. "Thank you for visiting today, @KamalaHarris! I had a great time with you today talking about the issues that matter most to Ohioans and how we can address them. I appreciate your support and your friendship". Twitter.

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Rich Cordray. "Just had a great canvass kickoff event with @BettySutton and my friend @CoryBooker. He reminded all of us that we owe it to each other to fight for our communities and to fight for future generations. And the best way to do that right now is to get out and vote!". Twitter.

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Tim Ryan. "The Mahoning Valley is fired up and ready to elect @RichCordray and @BettySutton the next Governor and Lt. Governor of the great state of Ohio. Hardworking families have an ally in them. It's time to end the GOP's one party rule in Columbus". Twitter.

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Terry McAuliffe. "There's a lot at stake this election year in Ohio. We need leaders like @RichCordray elected as governor to fight for the people. If the other candidate wins 700k people will lose access to affordable health care. That's why I'm proud to be in Ohio today to support his candidacy". Twitter.

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Jay Inslee. "Congratulations to @RichCordray on your victory. He has spent his life fighting for consumers and middle-class families against powerful special interests. Huge pickup opportunity!". Twitter.

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John Legend. "Great to be back in my home state of Ohio supporting amazing Democrats running for office this year. If you live in Ohio, be sure to vote @SherrodBrown for Senate, @RichCordray for Gov, yes on Issue 1 and Dem up and down the ticket!". Twitter.

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine	Mary Taylor	Other	Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University	April 24 – May 2, 2018	323	–	52%	24%	–	25%
Remington Research Group (R-Taylor)	April 10, 2018	1,064	± 3.1%	42%	32%	–	26%
Fallon Research	April 4–7, 2018	502	± 4.4%	43%	26%	–	31%
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	541	± 5.8%	50%	18%	–	31%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Archived 2018-03-03 at the Wayback Machine	February 17, 2018	1,152	± 3.0%	61%	39%	–	–
	February 17, 2018	1,152	± 3.0%	35%	16%	15%	33%
Fallon Research	January 16–19, 2018	286	–	54%	14%	–	32%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine	Jon Husted	Jim Renacci	Mary Taylor	Undecided
Axis Research (R-Taylor)	August 13–15, 2017	602	± 4.1%	36%	20%	8%	17%	19%
The Tarrance Group (R)	July 24–26, 2017	800	± 3.5%	42%	18%	5%	11%	24%
The Tarrance Group (R)	July 24–26, 2017	800	± 3.5%	49%	29%	–	–	21%
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	27%	13%	3%	8%	–
Gravis Marketing	April 27 – May 2, 2017	686	± 2.7%	31%	14%	6%	10%	40%
The Tarrance Group (R)	January 23–26, 2017	800	± 3.5%	47%	18%	4%	10%	22%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike DeWine	494,766	59.8
	Republican	Mary Taylor	332,273	40.2
Total votes			827,039	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Richard Cordray	Dennis Kucinich	Bill O'Neill	Connie Pillich	Joe Schiavoni	Other	Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University	April 24 – May 2, 2018	333	–	31%	15%	6%	–	6%	–	41%
Fallon Research	April 4–7, 2018	500	± 4.4%	28%	13%	3%	–	5%	1%^{[upper-alpha 1]}	51%
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	509	± 5.3%	21%	21%	4%	5%	–	3%^{[upper-alpha 2]}	46%
Fallon Research	January 16–19, 2018	248	–	23%	16%	3%	2%	4%	–	52%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Richard Cordray	Connie Pillich	Joe Schiavoni	Betty Sutton	Nan Whaley	Undecided
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	17%	9%	20%	21%	10%	–
Gravis Marketing	April 27 – May 2, 2017	558	± 2.7%	–	8%	12%	13%	–	67%

Ohio_gubernatorial_election,_2018

2018 Ohio gubernatorial election

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify for ballot

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

Withdrew

Green primary

Candidates

Nominated

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Notes

References

External links

Share this article:

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Richard Cordray	423,264	62.3
	Democratic	Dennis Kucinich	155,694	22.9
	Democratic	Joe Schiavoni	62,315	9.2
	Democratic	Bill O'Neill	22,196	3.3
	Democratic	Paul Ray	9,373	1.4
	Democratic	Larry Ealy	6,896	1.0
Total votes			679,738	100.0

Host network/sponsors	Location	Date	Link(s)	Possible Participants
Host network/sponsors	Location	Date	Link(s)	Richard Cordray (D)	Mike DeWine (R)	Travis Irvine (L)	Constance Gadell-Newton (G)
WHIO-TV	University of Dayton	September 19, 2018	^[184]	Invited	Invited	Not Invited	Not Invited
WCMH-TV	Marietta College	October 1, 2018	^[185]	Invited	Invited	Not Invited	Not Invited
Ohio Debate Commission	Cleveland State University	October 8, 2018	^[186]	Invited	Invited	Not Invited	Not Invited

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[188]	Tossup	October 26, 2018
The Washington Post^[189]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[190]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report^[191]	Tossup	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[192]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[193]	Tossup	November 4, 2018
Daily Kos^[194]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Fox News^[195]^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Politico^[196]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Governing^[197]	Tossup	November 5, 2018

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike DeWine (R)	Richard Cordray (D)	Travis Irvine (L)	Constance Gadell- Newton (G)	Other	Undecided
Change Research	November 2–4, 2018	923	–	43%	48%	5%	1%	–	–
The Trafalgar Group (R)	November 2–4, 2018	1,948	± 2.2%	42%	46%	–	–	7%	5%
Research Co.	November 1–3, 2018	450	± 4.6%	44%	44%	–	–	2%	10%
Cygnal (R)	October 30–31, 2018	503	± 4.4%	43%	43%	3%	2%	–	9%
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2018	789	± 3.5%	43%	48%	–	–	–	9%
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2018	566	± 4.3%	46%	49%	–	–	2%	3%
Baldwin Wallace University	October 19–27, 2018	1,051	± 3.8%	39%	39%	4%	2%	–	16%
Baldwin Wallace University	October 19–27, 2018	1,051	± 3.8%	41%	42%	–	–	–	17%
Suffolk University Archived 2018-11-07 at the Wayback Machine	October 4–8, 2018	500	± 4.4%	40%	46%	2%	0%	0%^{[upper-alpha 3]}	10%
Baldwin Wallace University	September 8 – October 8, 2018	1,017	± 3.5%	40%	37%	4%	3%	–	15%
Baldwin Wallace University	September 8 – October 8, 2018	1,017	± 3.5%	42%	39%	–	–	–	19%
University of Akron	September 10 – October 4, 2018	1,000	± 3.0%	37%	36%	–	–	–	27%
Ipsos	September 13–21, 2018	1,074	± 3.0%	45%	44%	–	–	2%	9%
Triton Polling & Research (R)	September 18–20, 2018	1,003	± 3.1%	49%	44%	–	–	–	8%
Marist College	September 16–20, 2018	564 LV	± 5.0%	44%	44%	3%	3%	<1%	6%
		564 LV	± 5.0%	47%	47%	–	–	1%	6%
		796 RV	± 4.2%	42%	43%	4%	4%	1%	6%
		796 RV	± 4.2%	47%	47%	–	–	1%	6%
Baldwin Wallace University	September 5–15, 2018	1,048	± 3.6%	42%	37%	–	–	–	21%
Morning Consult	September 2–11, 2018	1,592	± 2.0%	39%	38%	–	–	–	23%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio)	August 31 – September 4, 2018	822	± 3.0%	45%	43%	6%	3%	–	–
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio)	August 31 – September 4, 2018	822	± 3.0%	43%	43%	–	–	–	14%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Archived 2018-07-16 at the Wayback Machine	June 30 – July 10, 2018	1,485	± 3.0%	42%	38%	–	–	3%	17%
Marist College	June 17–22, 2018	778	± 4.4%	46%	42%	–	–	2%	11%
Quinnipiac University	June 7–12, 2018	1,082	± 3.7%	40%	42%	–	–	2%	14%
Suffolk University Archived 2018-07-29 at the Wayback Machine	June 6–11, 2018	500	± 4.4%	36%	43%	–	3%	2%	16%
America First Action (R)	May 29–31, 2018	400	± 4.9%	45%	38%	–	–	–	10%
Fallon Research	May 21–25, 2018	800	± 3.5%	40%	34%	–	1%	3%^{[upper-alpha 4]}	22%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	May 6–7, 2018	618	± 3.9%	39%	44%	–	–	–	17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	April 25–26, 2018	770	± 3.5%	38%	47%	–	–	–	14%
SurveyUSA	March 16–20, 2018	1,408	± 3.5%	47%	39%	–	–	–	14%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party)	January 22–23, 2018	585	± 4.1%	45%	44%	–	–	–	11%
Fallon Research	January 16–19, 2018	801	± 3.5%	49%	28%	–	–	–	23%
Luntz Global	June 12, 2017	500	± 4.4%	55%	31%	–	–	–	14%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mike DeWine	2,235,825	50.39%	-13.25%
	Democratic	Richard Cordray	2,070,046	46.68%	+13.65%
	Libertarian	Travis Irvine	79,985	1.81%	N/A
	Green	Constance Gadell-Newton	49,475	1.12%	-2.21%
	Write-in	Renea Turner (write-in)	185	0.00%	N/A
	Write-in	Richard Duncan (write-in)	132	0.00%	N/A
	Write-in	Rebecca Ayres (write-in)	41	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			4,429,582	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

District	DeWine	Cordray	Representative
1st	52.15%	45.14%	Steve Chabot
2nd	54.33%	42.65%	Brad Wenstrup
3rd	27.46%	70.09%	Joyce Beatty
4th	62.14%	34.23%	Jim Jordan
5th	58.32%	38.31%	Bob Latta
6th	64.34%	32.81%	Bill Johnson
7th	59.45%	37.16%	Bob Gibbs
8th	64.37%	32.45%	Warren Davidson
9th	35.31%	61.33%	Marcy Kaptur
10th	52.11%	44.87%	Mike Turner
11th	18.43%	79.5%	Marcia Fudge
12th	52.41%	45.24%	Pat Tiberi
13th	40.37%	56.56%	Tim Ryan
14th	51.98%	45.18%	David Joyce
15th	52.64%	44.64%	Steve Stivers
16th	53.71%	43.38%	Anthony Gonzalez