Opinion polling for the 1979 United Kingdom general election


In the run-up to the 1979 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the October 1974 general election until 3 May 1979.

Graphical summaries


The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the 1979 United Kingdom general election using a 15-poll moving average.

  Conservatives
  Labour
  Liberals

National Poll Results


All data is from UK Polling Report.[1]

1979

Survey End Date Polling Organisation/Client Con Lab Lib Lead
3 May General election results 43.9% 36.9% 13.8% 7%
2 May Gallup/Telegraph 49% 38.5% 9% 10.5%
2 May NOP/Daily Mail 46% 39% 12.5% 7%
2 May Gallup/Telegraph 43% 41% 13.5% 2%
2 May MORI/Evening Standard 45% 37% 15% 8%
1 May MORI/Express 44.4% 38.8% 13.5% 5.6%
1 May Marplan/Sun 45% 38.5% 9% 6.5%
30 Apr NOP/Daily Mail 42.4% 43.1% 12.2% 0.7%
26 Apr MORI/Express 44% 41% 12% 3%
25 Apr Gallup/Sunday Telegraph 48% 40% 10.5% 8%
25 Apr Research Srv/Observer 49.5% 38% 10% 11.5%
25 Apr Marplan/Sun 48% 40% 10% 8%
23 Apr MORI/Express 46% 40% 11% 6%
21 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 46.5% 41.5% 10% 5%
19 Apr Marplan/Sun 50% 40% 9% 10%
18 Apr Gallup/Sunday Telegraph 47.5% 42% 9% 5.5%
18 Apr Marplan/Sun 51% 41% 6% 10%
18 Apr Research Srv/Observer 54% 34% 9.5% 20%
17 Apr MORI/Express 50% 38% 10% 12%
14 Apr NOP/Daily Mail 48% 42% 8% 6%
11 Apr Research Srv/Observer 53% 37% 8% 16%
9 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 50% 40% 8% 10%
9 Apr MORI/Express 49% 39% 10% 10%
7 Apr The 47th Parliament is dissolved and campaigning officially begins
4 Apr Research Srv/Observer 54.5% 33.5% 9% 21%
3 Apr NOP/Daily Mail 48% 42% 8% 6%
2 Apr MORI/Express 51% 38% 10% 13%
29 Mar MORI/Thames 51% 42% 5% 9%
28 Mar The vote of no confidence in the Callaghan ministry passes
28 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 47.5% 40.5% 9% 7%
12 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 51.5% 37% 8.5% 14.5%
5 Mar MORI 52% 39% 7% 13%
14 Feb The Winter of Discontent ends following negotiations with the TUC
12 Feb Gallup/Telegraph 53% 33% 11% 20%
8 Feb NOP 49% 40.7% 7.4% 8.3%
1 Feb MORI 55% 36% 6% 19%
15 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 49% 41.5% 6% 7.5%
4 Jan NOP 42.5% 49.1% 5.7% 6.6%

1978

Survey End Date Polling Organisation/Client Con Lab Lib Lead
14 Dec The Callaghan ministry survives a vote of no confidence
11 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 48% 42.5% 6% 5.5%
7 Dec NOP 44.7% 47.9% 4.6% 3.2%
13 Nov Gallup/Telegraph 43% 48% 6.5% 5%
9 Nov NOP 44.8% 46.8% 6.2% 2%
8 Nov MORI 47% 46% 5% 1%
23 Oct Gallup/Telegraph 42% 47.5% 7.5% 5.5%
12 Oct NOP 44.2% 48.5% 4.7% 4.3%
11 Sep Gallup/Telegraph 49.5% 42.5% 6% 7%
11 Sep MORI 48% 42% 8% 6%
7 Sep The Lib-Lab pact ends
5 Sep NOP 48% 45.8% 4.8% 2.2%
4 Sep MORI 47% 45% 5% 2%
14 Aug Gallup/Telegraph 43.5% 47.5% 6% 4%
14 Aug MORI 47% 44% 6% 3%
9 Aug NOP 42.4% 48.5% 6.3% 6.1%
17 Jul Gallup/Telegraph 45% 43% 8.5% 2%
11 Jul MORI 49% 41% 6% 8%
5 Jul NOP 46.5% 44.4% 6.3% 2.1%
30 Jun MORI 48% 42% 6% 6%
14 Jun NOP 49.1% 42.3% 6.3% 6.8%
13 Jun MORI 46% 45% 6% 1%
12 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 45.5% 45.5% 6% Tie
31 May By-election in Hamilton
24 May MORI 45% 46% 6% 1%
15 May Gallup/Telegraph 43.5% 43.5% 8.5% Tie
9 May NOP 43.1% 48% 7% 4.9%
17 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 45.5% 43.5% 7.5% 2%
13 Apr MORI 46% 44% 7% 2%
12 Apr NOP 46.2% 44.5% 6.6% 1.7%
20 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 48% 41% 8% 7%
8 Mar NOP 44.6% 45.6% 7.3% 1%
15 Feb NOP 45.3% 44.6% 7.1% 0.7%
13 Feb Gallup/Telegraph 48% 39% 9% 9%
18 Jan NOP 44% 45.5% 7.5% 1.5%
16 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 43.5% 43.5% 8.5% Tie

1977

1976

1975

1974

References


  1. "UK Polling Report". ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 2019-12-16.