Opinion polling for the 1983 United Kingdom general election


In the run-up to the 1983 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date ranges for these opinion polls are from the 1979 general election until 6 June 1983.

Graph of opinion polls conducted
  Conservative   Labour   SDP–Liberal Alliance

Polling results


All data is from UK Polling Report.[1]

1983

Survey End Date Polling Organisation/Client Con Lab All Lead
9 June General election results 42.4% 27.6% 25.4% 14.8%
8 Jun Harris/Observer 47% 26% 25% 21%
8 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 47% 25% 26% 21%
8 Jun Marplan/Guardian 45.5% 26.5% 26% 19%
8 Jun NOP/Northcliffe 46% 26% 26% 20%
8 Jun MORI/Evening Standard 47% 25% 26% 21%
8 Jun NOP/Daily Mail 44% 28% 26% 16%
7 Jun Audience Selection/Sun 46% 28% 24% 18%
7 Jun Marplan/Guardian 46% 23% 29% 17%
6 Jun Audience Selection/Sun 47% 26% 25% 21%
5 Jun Harris/Observer 45% 24% 28% 17%
3 Jun Marplan/Sunday Mirror 47% 28% 23% 19%
3 Jun NOP/Mail on Sunday 44% 27% 27.5% 16.5%
3 Jun Gallup/Sunday Telegraph 47% 29% 23% 18%
2 Jun MORI/Sunday Times 45.5% 31.5% 22% 14%
2 Jun MORI/Express 45% 28% 25% 17%
2 Jun Marplan/Guardian 43% 32% 23% 11%
1 Jun Harris/TV-Eye 47% 30% 22% 17%
1 Jun MORI/Daily Star 46% 28% 24% 18%
31 May Audience Selection/Sun 44% 32% 21% 12%
31 May Gallup/Telegraph 44% 29% 25% 15%
30 May Audience Selection/TV-AM 47.5% 28% 23% 19.5%
30 May Harris/Observer 41% 30% 24% 11%
27 May Marplan/Sunday Mirror 47% 30% 21% 17%
27 May Gallup/Telegraph 49.5% 31% 19% 18.5%
26 May MORI/Express 49% 31.5% 18% 17.5%
26 May Marplan/Guardian 51% 29% 19% 22%
25 May Harris/Thames 47.5% 32.5% 19% 15%
25 May MORI/Sunday Times 48% 33% 18% 15%
25 May Audience Selection/Sun 46% 30% 23% 16%
24 May Gallup/Telegraph 45% 32% 21% 13%
23 May Audience Selection/TV-AM 48% 33% 18% 15%
23 May MORI/Daily Star 45% 32% 20% 13%
23 May NOP/Daily Mail 51% 33% 15% 18%
23 May Harris/Observer 52% 33% 14% 19%
20 May Marplan/Sunday Mirror 45% 36% 18% 9%
20 May MORI/Express 47% 34% 18% 13%
19 May MORI/Sunday Times 46% 37% 16% 9%
18 May Harris/Thames 47% 30% 21% 17%
18 May NOP/Daily Mail 45% 35% 17% 10%
17 May Audience Selection/Sun 49% 31% 19% 18%
17 May Gallup/Telegraph 44% 33% 21% 11%
16 May MORI/Daily Star 46% 33% 19% 13%
16 May Audience Selection/TV-AM 44% 37% 17% 7%
16 May MORI/Express 46% 31% 21% 15%
13 May The Dissolution of the 48th Parliament and campaigning officially begins
12 May MORI 49% 34% 15% 15%
11 May Harris/Thames 46% 32% 22% 14%
11 May MORI/Daily Star 52% 31% 17% 21%
10 May Gallup/Telegraph 46% 31% 21% 15%
9 May MORI 49% 31.5% 17.5% 17.5%
25 Apr MORI 45% 30% 23% 15%
23 Apr MORI 46% 33% 21% 13%
12 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 43% 34% 22% 9%
11 Apr MORI 40.5% 35% 22.5% 5.5%
24 Mar Darlington by-election
23 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 43% 28% 28% 15%
21 Mar MORI 39.5% 28.5% 29% 10.5%
16 Mar MORI 42% 28% 27% 14%
9 Mar MORI 41% 27% 30% 11%
26 Feb MORI 39% 26% 34% 5%
24 Feb Bermondsey by-election
23 Feb Gallup/Telegraph 46% 32% 21% 14%
14 Feb MORI 43.5% 32.5% 22% 11%
9 Feb MORI 45% 32% 21% 13%
26 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 44% 36% 19% 8%
17 Jan MORI 44% 31.5% 22.5% 12.5%
12 Jan MORI 44% 35% 20% 9%

1982

Survey End Date Polling Organisation/Client Con Lab All Lead
15 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 42% 35% 21% 7%
13 Dec MORI 41% 34.5% 22% 6.5%
2 Dec Glasgow Queen's Park by-election
24 Nov Gallup/Telegraph 43% 35% 21% 8%
15 Nov MORI 42% 34.5% 21.5% 7.5%
10 Nov MORI 42% 33% 23% 9%
28 Oct Birmingham Northfield and Peckham by-elections
26 Oct Gallup/Telegraph 43% 32% 23% 11%
25 Oct MORI 40.5% 29% 27% 11.5%
20 Oct 1982 Northern Ireland Assembly election[2]
12 Oct Gallup/Telegraph 42% 33% 23% 9%
16 Sep Gower by-election
13 Sep MORI 44% 30.5% 23% 13.5%
31 Aug Gallup/Telegraph 42% 30% 27% 12%
16 Aug MORI 44.5% 26.5% 27.5% 17%
31 Jul Gallup/Telegraph 44% 30% 23% 14%
12 Jul MORI 46.5% 27.5% 24% 19%
30 Jun MORI 45% 31% 22% 14%
24 Jun Coatbridge and Airdrie by-election
23 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 51% 24% 23% 27%
14 Jun MORI 45% 25% 28.5% 16.5%
14 Jun The Falklands War ends[3]
3 Jun Mitcham and Morden by-election
31 May MORI 48% 28% 24% 20%
27 May Beaconsfield by-election
26 May MORI 51% 25% 23% 26%
23 May Gallup/Telegraph 48% 31% 20% 17%
16 May MORI 41.5% 28% 29% 12.5%
16 May MORI 48% 33% 17% 15%
6 May 1982 United Kingdom local elections
5 May MORI 38% 32% 28% 6%
30 Apr MORI 44% 30% 24% 14%
30 Apr MORI 43% 30% 25% 13%
24 Apr MORI 39% 32% 27% 7%
21 Apr MORI 36% 30% 31% 5%
14 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 33% 34% 30% 1%
12 Apr MORI 31.5% 29% 37% 5.5%
2 Apr The Falklands War begins[4]
31 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 35% 30% 33% 2%
25 Mar Glasgow Hillhead by-election
15 Mar MORI 31.5% 33% 33% Tie
4 Mar Belfast South by-election
28 Feb Gallup/Telegraph 34% 34% 30% Tie
15 Feb NOP/Daily Mail 27.5% 34% 36% 2%
5 Feb MORI 41% 36% 21% 5%
31 Jan MORI 30% 33% 34% 1%
25 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 29% 30% 40% 10%
18 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 27.5% 29.5% 39.5% 10%

1981

Survey End Date Polling Organisation/Client Con Lab All Lead
14 Dec MORI 23% 23.5% 50.5% 27%
14 Dec NOP 27% 29% 43% 14%
3 Dec MORI 30.5% 34.3% 33.1% 1.2%
1 Dec NOP 27% 27% 44% 17%
1 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 28.6% 32.1% 37.1% 5%
26 Nov Crosby by-election
16 Nov NOP 26.5% 29% 42% 13%
6 Nov MORI 29.2% 38.2% 30.6% 7.6%
27 Oct Gallup/Telegraph 27% 31% 40% 9%
26 Oct NOP 29.5% 28% 40% 12%
22 Oct Croydon North West by-election
8 Oct MORI 32.1% 40.4% 24.7% 8.3%
28 Sep MORI 28% 42% 28% 14%
18 Sep Gallup/Telegraph 27% 38% 33% 5%
14 Sep NOP 32% 36.5% 29% 7.5%
11 Sep Gallup/Telegraph 33.5% 37.4% 27.7% 3.9%
20 Aug Fermanagh & South Tyrone second by-election
17 Aug NOP 28% 38.5% 32.5% 6%
7 Aug MORI 31.6% 42.1% 24.3% 10.5%
31 Jul Gallup/Telegraph 30% 39% 29% 9%
16 Jul Warrington by-election
13 Jul NOP 30% 40.5% 26.5% 10.5%
9 Jul MORI 31.5% 41.2% 24.2% 9.7%
30 Jun MORI 30% 36% 31% 6%
22 Jun MORI 31% 39% 28% 8%
16 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 37% 39% 22% 2%
15 Jun NOP 29.5% 37.5% 30.5% 8%
7 Jun The Social Democratic Party is formed[5]
5 Jun MORI 37.7% 39.3% 20.8% 1.6%
30 May Gallup/Telegraph 35% 39% 24% 4%
11 May MORI 32% 35.5% 29% 3.5%
11 May NOP 38% 41% 19% 3%
7–20 May 1981 United Kingdom local elections
7 May MORI 30.9% 39.3% 26.6% 8.4%
27 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 30% 38% 29% 8%
13 Apr NOP 30% 34.5% 33% 4.5%
9 Apr Fermanagh & South Tyrone by-election
3 Apr MORI 35.9% 42.1% 19.5% 6.2%
23 Mar MORI 33% 41% 25% 8%
23 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 28% 38% 32% 10%
16 Mar NOP 30% 34% 32% 4%
2 Mar NOP 37% 41.1% 16.5% 4.1%
13 Feb Gallup/Telegraph 34.5% 50.9% 12.2% 16.4%
11 Feb MORI 36% 35.5% 26.5% 0.5%
24 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 35% 45% 17% 10%
19 Jan NOP 33% 46.5% 18.5% 13.5%
9 Jan MORI 35.4% 51.2% 11.9% 15.8%

1980

Survey End Date Polling Organisation/Client Con Lab Lib Lead
19 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 32% 56% 11% 24%
15 Dec NOP 35% 47.5% 14.5% 12.5%
4 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 37.2% 47.7% 12.6% 10.5%
17 Nov MORI 36.5% 47% 15% 10.5%
11 Nov NOP 38% 47% 13% 9%
10 Nov Michael Foot becomes leader of the Labour Party[6]
7 Nov MORI 39.4% 46.5% 12.4% 7.1%
31 Oct Gallup/Telegraph 36% 50% 13% 14%
20 Oct Gallup/Telegraph 40% 43% 13.5% 3%
6 Oct NOP 40% 43% 13.5% 3%
2 Oct MORI 39.8% 47.6% 11% 7.8%
30 Sep MORI 34% 50% 15% 16%
29 Sep Gallup/Telegraph 37% 46% 15% 9%
15 Sep NOP 35.5% 45% 16.5% 9.5%
5 Sep Gallup/Telegraph 40% 46.3% 11.3% 6.3%
18 Aug NOP 38.5% 44% 14.5% 5.5%
1 Aug MORI 38.1% 47.3% 11.7% 9.2%
31 Jul MORI 37% 48% 13% 11%
27 Jul Gallup/Telegraph 37% 47% 13% 10%
14 Jul NOP 40% 43.5% 14% 3.5%
3 Jul MORI 41% 46.9% 10.4% 5.9%
26 Jun Glasgow Central by-election
23 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 41% 43% 13% 2%
16 Jun NOP 40.5% 45% 11.5% 4.5%
6 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 43% 43.3% 11.7% 0.3%
19 May NOP 39% 43.5% 15.5% 4.5%
1 May MORI 41.4% 46.5% 10.7% 5.1%
1 May 1980 United Kingdom local elections
28 Apr Gallup/Telegraph 39% 44% 14% 5%
14 Apr NOP 36.5% 45% 15% 8.5%
11 Apr MORI 35.5% 49.6% 10.9% 14.1%
28 Mar Gallup/Telegraph 42% 46% 9% 4%
17 Mar NOP 37% 49.5% 11.5% 12.5%
13 Mar Southend East by-election
5 Mar MORI 35.7% 51.9% 11.2% 16.2%
29 Feb MORI 38% 46% 13% 8%
25 Feb Gallup/Telegraph 38% 46% 14% 8%
11 Feb NOP 37.5% 42% 18% 4.5%
8 Feb MORI 37.2% 50.3% 10.7% 13.1%
19 Jan Gallup/Telegraph 39% 47% 12% 8%
14 Jan NOP 36% 45% 16% 9%
4 Jan MORI 40.1% 48.5% 9.5% 8.4%

1979

Survey End Date Polling Organisation / Client Con Lab Lib Lead
31 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 40% 43% 14% 3%
13 Dec South West Hertfordshire by-election
10 Dec NOP 38% 42% 18% 4%
6 Dec MORI 42.1% 46.3% 10.1% 4.2%
2 Dec Gallup/Telegraph 40% 45% 13% 5%
12 Nov NOP 39% 43.5% 15.5% 4.5%
9 Nov Gallup/Telegraph 40.9% 47.2% 10% 6.3%
15 Oct NOP 40.5% 45% 12.5% 4.5%
6 Oct MORI 44.9% 46% 7.4% 1.1%
30 Sep Gallup/Telegraph 41% 46% 11% 5%
27 Sep Manchester Central by-election
17 Sep NOP 40.5% 45% 12% 4.5%
2 Sep MORI 42.8% 47.3% 8.6% 4.5%
31 Aug Gallup/Telegraph 42% 43% 12% 1%
13 Aug NOP 41.5% 44% 12.5% 2.5%
5 Aug MORI 43.1% 45.4% 9.5% 2.3%
31 Jul Gallup/Telegraph 44% 45% 9% 1%
16 Jul NOP 41% 46% 11.5% 5%
7 Jul Gallup/Telegraph 44.2% 45.5% 8.2% 1.3%
18 Jun Gallup/Telegraph 42% 43.5% 12% 1.5%
7 Jun 1979 European Parliament election
3 May 1979 United Kingdom local elections
3 May General election results 43.9% 36.9% 13.8% 7%

References


  1. "UK Polling Report". ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 2018-08-16.
  2. "1982: Sinn Fein triumph in elections". 1982-10-21. Retrieved 2018-08-16.
  3. "1982: Argentina invades Falklands". 1982-04-02. Retrieved 2018-08-16.
  4. "1982: Argentina invades Falklands". 1982-04-02. Retrieved 2018-08-16.
  5. "1981: 'Gang of four' launches new party". 1981-03-26. Retrieved 2018-08-16.
  6. "1980: Michael Foot is new Labour leader". 1980-11-10. Retrieved 2018-08-16.