Opinion_polling_for_the_2001_United_Kingdom_general_election

Opinion polling for the 2001 United Kingdom general election

Opinion polling for the 2001 United Kingdom general election

Political polling of voting intentions in a UK parliament election (1997-2001)


In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.

The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority (recognised by Cecil Parkinson on Election Night 1997 when he stated on the BBC's broadcast that it "was a two term Labour government").

The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.

Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound as Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.

In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.

All polling data is from Ipsos MORI, UK polling Report and BBC News.[1][2][3]

Exit polls

Two exit polls conducted by MORI for ITV and NOP for BBC was published at the end of voting at 10 pm, predicting the number of seats for each party.[4][5]

More information Parties, MORI for ITV ...

Graphical Summary

  Labour
  Conservatives
  Liberal Democrats

National poll results

2001

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

2000

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

1999

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

1998

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

1997

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

Nations Polling

Northern Ireland

Data from BBC News[42]

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

Scotland

Data from BBC News[45]

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

Wales

Data from BBC News[51]

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...

References

  1. "Voting intentions (Westminster) - all companies' polls 1997-2001". Ipsos MORI. 7 June 2001. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
  2. Wells, Anthony. "1997-2001 Polls". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 3 August 2021.
  3. "UK opinion poll figures". BBC News. 6 June 2001. Retrieved 3 August 2021.
  4. "The election on TV, radio and the net". The Guardian. 7 June 2001. Retrieved 15 November 2022.
  5. "The Final Polls in the 2001 General Election". Ipsos. 7 June 2001. Retrieved 15 November 2022.
  6. "Parliament closed by man in wig". BBC News. 14 May 2001. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  7. "Narrow win for Labour". The Guardian. 22 December 2000. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  8. "Anniesland: victors pay tribute to Dewar". The Guardian. 24 November 2000. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  9. "Preston: splits mar Labour victory". The Guardian. 24 November 2022. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  10. "West Bromwich: Labour victory in former speaker's seat". The Guardian. 24 November 2000. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  11. Whyte, Nicholas (5 September 2000). "South Antrim by-election". ARK Elections. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  12. "Countdown to crisis: Eight days that shook Britain". BBC News. 14 September 2000. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  13. "Labour holds Tottenham". BBC News. 23 June 2000. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  14. "London & Local Elections 2000". BBC News. 5 May 2000. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  15. Ward, Lucy; Watt, Nicholas (5 May 2000). "Byelection stuns Tories". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  16. Lucy, Ward (4 February 2022). "Welsh poll blow for Labour". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  17. Millar, Frank (26 November 1999). "Portillo back in Commons in low poll". The Irish Times. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  18. Seenan, Gerard; MacAskill, Ewen (25 September 1999). "SNP jubilant as Labour's vote is slashed". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  19. Watt, Nicholas (24 September 1999). "Narrow win for Labour". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  20. Tran, Mark (9 August 1999). "Charles Kennedy elected leader of Lib Dems". The Guardian. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  21. "Tories scrape home in Eddisbury". The Guardian. 23 July 1999. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  22. "Tories celebrate Euro poll success". BBC News. 14 June 1999. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  23. "Benn limps in after dismal vote". BBC News. 11 June 1999. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  24. "Tories make substantial gains in locals". BBC News. 7 May 1999. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  25. "Scots head for coalition rule". BBC News. 7 May 1999. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  26. "Labour seeking Welsh partner". BBC News. 7 May 1999. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  27. Whyte, Nicholas (3 June 1998). "Northern Ireland Assembly Elections 1998". ARK. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  28. Whyte, Nicholas (14 January 2001). "The 1998 Referendums". ARK. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  29. Abrams, Fran (21 November 1997). "Blow for Tories as majority is reduced in by-election". The Independent. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  30. Bevins, Anthony (22 November 1997). "Politics: Tories in turmoil as 'No Home Malone' fails". The Independent. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  31. "Labour's grip on Paisley weakens SNP within 2731 votes". The Herald. 7 November 1997. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  32. "Welsh Referendum Live - The Final Result". BBC Politics 97. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  33. MacAskill, Ewen; Donegan, Lawrence (13 September 2013). "From the archive, 13 September 1997: Scots vote for their own parliament". The Guardian. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  34. "Scottish Referendum Live - The Results". BBC Politics 97. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  35. "Tories Hold onto Uxbridge". BBC Politics 97. 1997. Retrieved 12 November 2022.
  36. "The 1997 Conservative Leadership Contest". BBC Politics 97. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
  37. Whyte, Nicholas (8 June 1998). "The 1997 Local Government Elections in Northern Ireland". ARK. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  38. Clements, Rob; Kielty, Susan (27 June 1997). "The local elections of 1 May 1997 Research Paper 97/82" (PDF). House of Commons Library. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  39. Cowling, David (31 May 2001). "First Northern Ireland poll". BBC News. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  40. "Scottish opinion poll figures". BBC News. 6 June 2001. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  41. "Leadership win for McLeish". BBC News. 21 October 2000. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  42. "Emphatic SNP win for Swinney". BBC News. 23 September 2000. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  43. Bochel, Hugh; Denver, David (1999). The Scottish council elections 1999: results and statistics (PDF). Fife: Election Studies. ISBN 9781869820404.
  44. "Welsh opinion poll figures". BBC News. 20 March 2001. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  45. White, Michael; Gibbs, Geoffrey (10 February 2000). "Welsh oust Blair's man". The Guardian. p. 1.
  46. Rallings, Colin; Thrasher, Michael (1999). Local Elections Handbook 1999 (PDF). Plymouth: Local Government Chronicle Elections Centre. pp. 319–349. ISBN 0-948858-25-7.
  47. Heath, Tony (21 February 1999). "Alun Michael narrowly wins Welsh vote". The Independent. Archived from the original on 24 May 2022. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  48. "Davies beats off backbench challenge". BBC News. 19 September 1998. Retrieved 22 July 2021.

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