Opinion polling for the 2001 United Kingdom general election


In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.

The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority (recognised by Cecil Parkinson on Election Night 1997 when he admitted on the BBC's broadcast that it "was a two term Labour government").

The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.

Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound as Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.

In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.

Graphical Summary


  Labour
  Conservatives
  Liberal Democrats

Results


2001

Pollster Client Date(s)
Conducted
Lab Con Lib Dem Lead
2001 general election 7 Jun 40.7% 31.7% 18.3% 9%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 6 Jun 47% 30% 18% 17%
MORI The Times 5 Jun 45% 30% 18% 15%
ICM The Guardian 4 Jun 43% 32% 19% 11%
ICM Evening Standard 3 Jun 47% 30% 18% 17%
Rasmussen The Independent 3 Jun 44% 33% 16% 11%
MORI The Sunday Telegraph 2 Jun 50% 27% 17% 23%
ICM Channel 4 1 Jun 43% 31% 19% 12%
ICM The Observer 1 Jun 46% 34% 15% 12%
NOP The Sunday Times 1 Jun 47% 30% 16% 17%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 29 May 47% 31% 16% 16%
MORI The Times 29 May 48% 30% 16% 18%
ICM The Guardian 28 May 47% 28% 17% 19%
Rasmussen The Independent 27 May 44% 32% 17% 12%
NOP The Sunday Telegraph 25 May 49% 30% 14% 19%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 23 May 48% 32% 15% 16%
MORI N/A 22 May 52% 27% 16% 25%
Rasmussen The Independent 22 May 44% 32% 16% 12%
ICM The Guardian 21 May 45% 32% 17% 13%
Gallup BES 20 May 55% 25% 14% 30%
NOP The Sunday Times 18 May 49% 30% 14% 19%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 15 May 48% 32% 13% 16%
MORI The Times 15 May 54% 28% 12% 26%
Gallup BES 14 May 53% 32% 11% 21%
ICM The Guardian 14 May 46% 31% 16% 15%
MORI The Economist 14 May 54% 26% 14% 28%
ICM Evening Standard 13 May 48% 32% 14% 16%
Rasmussen The Independent 13 May 46% 32% 13% 14%
MORI The Sunday Telegraph 12 May 51% 31% 13% 20%
ICM The Observer 11 May 48% 32% 15% 16%
NOP The Sunday Times 11 May 49% 32% 13% 17%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 8 May 49% 32% 13% 17%
MORI The Times 8 May 54% 30% 13% 24%
NOP Channel 4 6 May 49% 34% 11% 15%
NOP Daily Express 6 May 51% 31% 13% 20%
NOP Channel 4 2 May 51% 29% 13% 22%
MORI The Sun 1 May 50% 32% 13% 18%
MORI The Times 24 Apr 50% 30% 13% 20%
ICM The Guardian 22 Apr 47% 33% 14% 14%
MORI Daily Mail 12 Apr 53% 29% 12% 24%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 10 Apr 53% 27% 15% 26%
NOP Channel 4 4 Apr 52% 30% 12% 22%
MORI The Sunday Telegraph 31 Mar 48% 32% 15% 16%
ICM The Guardian 30 Mar 49% 34% 13% 15%
MORI The Times 27 Mar 50% 31% 14% 19%
ICM The Guardian 18 Mar 44% 35% 16% 9%
NOP The Sunday Times 16 Mar 51% 31% 13% 20%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 13 Mar 55% 29% 12% 26%
MORI The Times 20 Feb 50% 30% 14% 20%
ICM The Guardian 18 Feb 47% 32% 15% 15%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Feb 50% 29% 17% 21%
MORI Mail on Sunday 26 Jan 49% 31% 14% 18%
MORI The Times 22 Jan 50% 31% 14% 19%
ICM The Guardian 21 Jan 44% 34% 16% 10%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 16 Jan 51% 31% 13% 20%
MORI The Sunday Telegraph 13 Jan 52% 31% 11% 21%
NOP The Sunday Times 12 Jan 48% 33% 14% 15%
MORI Mail on Sunday 6 Jan 46% 35% 14% 11%

2000

Pollster Client Date(s)
Conducted
Lab Con Lib Dem Lead
MORI News of the World 15 Dec 47%32%16%15%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 13 Dec 47%32%14%15%
MORI The Times 12 Dec 46%34%14%12%
ICM The Guardian 3 Dec 44%34%16%10%
MORI The Times 28 Nov 48%33%13%15%
MORI Mail on Sunday 25 Nov 47%34%13%13%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Nov 45%34%14%11%
ICM The Guardian 5 Nov 40%34%20%6%
MORI Mail on Sunday 3 Nov 42%34%17%8%
MORI The Times 23 Oct 45%32%17%13%
ICM The Guardian 16 Oct 40%35%19%5%
NOP The Sunday Times 13 Oct 42%35%17%7%
MOR Carlton 10 Oct 40%38%19%2%
ICM News of the World 30 Sep 38%37%20%1%
MORI The Sun 30 Sep 43%36%16%7%
NOP Sunday Express 29 Sep 43%37%13%6%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 26 Sep 39%36%20%3%
MORI The Times 26 Sep 37%35%21%2%
NOP Channel 4 23 Sep 32%40%22%8%
MORI Mail on Sunday 22 Sep 35%39%21%4%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 19 Sep 35%40%16%5%
MORI Salomon Smith Barney 19 Sep 36%36%21%Tie
ICM The Guardian 17 Sep 34%38%22%4%
NOP The Sunday Times 16 Sep 37%37%21%Tie
MORI News of the World 15 Sep 36%38%18%2%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 12 Sep 45%32%16%13%
MORI N/A 12 Sep 45%30%17%15%
8 Sep The UK fuel protests begin[1]
MORI N/A 6 Sep 48%32%13%16%
MORI The Times 21 Aug 51%29%15%22%
MORI News of the World 18 Aug 51%32%12%19%
ICM The Guardian 13 Aug 44%34%17%10%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Aug 47%32%14%15%
MORI The Times 24 Jul 49%33%12%16%
MORI Mail on Sunday 22 Jul 51%32%11%19%
ICM The Guardian 15 Jul 42%35%17%7%
MORI Mail on Sunday 14 Jul 47%32%15%15%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 11 Jul 45%35%14%10%
MORI Mail on Sunday 30 Jun 46%32%17%14%
MORI The Times 27 Jun 47%33%13%14%
ICM The Guardian 26 Jun 43%32%17%11%
MORI News of the World 23 Jun 47%34%14%13%
MORI Mail on Sunday 9 Jun 41%38%16%3%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 6 Jun 49%30%15%19%
MORI The Times 23 May 48%32%15%16%
MORI Daily Mail 19 May 46%33%14%13%
ICM The Guardian 15 May 41%34%18%7%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 9 May 47%31%14%16%
ICM Conservative Party 7 May 43%35%15%8%
MORI The Times 18 Apr 51%27%15%24%
ICM The Guardian 15 Apr 45%32%15%13%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 11 Apr 50%32%12%18%
MORI The Times 28 Mar 50%29%14%21%
ICM The Guardian 19 Mar 44%32%16%12%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Mar 51%31%11%20%
MORI The Times 23 Feb 50%29%15%21%
ICM The Guardian 14 Feb 44%29%18%15%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Feb 49%28%15%21%
MORI Daily Mail 28 Jan 49%29%15%20%
MORI The Times 26 Jan 50%30%15%20%
ICM The Guardian 18 Jan 47%30%17%17%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 13 Jan 53%30%12%23%

1999

Pollster Client Date(s)
Conducted
Lab Con Lib Dem Lead
MORI The Times 14 Dec 54%28%13% 26%
ICM The Guardian 12 Dec 48%29%17% 19%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1 Dec 53%27%15% 26%
MORI The Times 22 Nov 55%25%14% 30%
ICM The Guardian 14 Nov 44%34%15% 10%
MORI Daily Mail 10 Nov 50%32%12% 18%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 2 Nov 52%28%14% 24%
ICM The Guardian 26 Oct 45%32%17% 13%
MORI The Times 25 Oct 56%28%11% 28%
MORI The Sun 14 Oct 52%31%13% 21%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 29 Sep 52%29%13% 23%
MORI The Times 27 Sep 52%25%17% 27%
ICM The Guardian 19 Sep 45%32%16% 13%
MORI Mail on Sunday 11 Sep 49%32%13% 17%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1 Sep 52%27%13% 25%
MORI The Times 23 Aug 49%27%17% 22%
ICM The Guardian 15 Aug 48%30%16% 18%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Aug 51%30%12% 21%
MORI The Times 26 Jul 51%28%14% 23%
ICM The Guardian 11 Jul 48%31%16% 17%
MORI The Times 21 Jun 51%28%13% 23%
ICM The Guardian 5 Jun 46%29%19% 17%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 2 Jun 52%24%16% 28%
MORI The Times 24 May 52%28%14% 24%
ICM The Guardian 8 May 51%28%16% 23%
MORI Mail on Sunday 1 May 50%30%14% 20%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 28 Apr 52%29%13% 23%
MORI The Times 26 Apr 56%25%13% 31%
ICM The Guardian 17 Apr 52%29%16% 23%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Apr 54%27%13% 27%
MORI The Times 22 Mar 54%27%13% 27%
ICM The Guardian 7 Mar 52%29%16% 23%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Mar 52%30%11% 22%
MORI The Times 22 Feb 51%30%14% 21%
ICM The Guardian 7 Feb 49%28%16% 21%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 3 Feb 53%29%13% 24%
MORI The Times 25 Jan 56%24%14% 32%
NOP Evening Standard 12 Jan 57%25%12% 32%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 6 Jan 52%29%13% 23%
ICM The Guardian 3 Jan 50%30%15% 20%

1998

Pollster Client Date(s)
Conducted
Lab Con Lib Dem Lead
NOP Evening Standard 15 Dec 55%27%12% 28%
MORI The Times 14 Dec 54%27%12% 27%
ICM The Guardian 7 Dec 49%29%16% 20%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 2 Dec 55%29%11% 26%
MORI The Times 23 Nov 53%29%13% 24%
ICM The Guardian 6 Nov 51%27%17% 24%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Nov 54%28%14% 26%
MORI The Times 26 Oct 53%26%16% 27%
ICM The Guardian 4 Oct 51%29%15% 22%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 30 Sep 57%23%15% 34%
MORI The Times 21 Sep 56%24%15% 32%
ICM The Guardian 6 Sep 48%29%17% 19%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 3 Sep 54%28%12% 26%
MORI The Times 24 Aug 52%28%14% 24%
ICM The Guardian 9 Aug 47%31%17% 16%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 5 Aug 53%28%13% 25%
MORI The Times 21 Jul 53%28%14% 25%
ICM The Guardian 4 Jul 52%27%17% 25%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1 Jul 52%28%14% 24%
MORI The Times 30 Jun 56%27%13% 29%
MORI The Sun 26 Jun 51%28%15% 23%
ICM The Guardian 6 Jun 51%29%16% 22%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 3 Jun 54%28%12% 26%
MORI The Times 24 May 55%26%14% 29%
ICM The Guardian 19 May 50%29%16% 21%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 29 Apr 54%25%16% 29%
MORI The Times 27 Apr 55%27%14% 28%
MORI The Sun 26 Apr 54%30%13% 24%
ICM The Observer 22 Apr 52%29%16% 23%
ICM The Guardian 5 Apr 48%31%16% 17%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1 Apr 54%26%16% 28%
MORI The Times 23 Mar 53%28%14% 25%
ICM The Guardian 8 Mar 46%33%17% 13%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Mar 51%29%14% 22%
MORI The Times 23 Feb 52%28%15% 24%
ICM The Guardian 8 Feb 47%31%18% 16%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Feb 54%29%11% 25%
MORI The Times 26 Jan 54%28%14% 26%
ICM The Guardian 11 Jan 48%30%17% 18%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 7 Jan 56%26%12% 30%

1997

Pollster Client Date(s)
Conducted
Lab Con Lib Dem Lead
MORI The Times 15 Dec 55% 26% 15% 29%
ICM The Guardian 6 Dec 50% 29% 17% 21%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 3 Dec 57% 21% 17% 36%
MORI The Times 24 Nov 56% 24% 16% 32%
MORI The Sun 14 Nov 56% 30% 11% 26%
ICM The Guardian 8 Nov 52% 30% 14% 22%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Nov 63% 23% 11% 40%
MORI The Times 27 Oct 60% 24% 12% 36%
ICM The Guardian 6 Oct 59% 23% 13% 36%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1 Oct 60% 22% 14% 38%
MORI The Times 29 Sep 59% 25% 13% 34%
ICM The Guardian 8 Sep 60% 24% 10% 36%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 3 Sep 58% 26% 12% 32%
MORI The Times 25 Aug 54% 28% 15% 26%
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 6 Aug 58% 25% 12% 33%
MORI The Times 28 Jul 57% 23% 15% 34%
ICM The Guardian 28 Jun 61% 23% 12% 38%
MORI The Times 23 Jun 58% 24% 15% 34%
19 Jun William Hague is elected leader of the Conservative Party[2]
Gallup The Daily Telegraph 4 Jun 59% 23% 13% 36%
1997 general election 1 May 43.2% 30.7% 16.8% 12.5%

References


  1. "BBC News | UK | Countdown to crisis: Eight days that shook Britain". news.bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 2021-03-04.
  2. "The 1997 Conservative Leadership Contest". www.bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 2021-03-02.