Opinion_polling_for_the_2008_New_Zealand_general_election

Opinion polling for the 2008 New Zealand general election

Opinion polling for the 2008 New Zealand general election

Add article description

See also: Opinion polling for the 2011 New Zealand general election

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 48th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the 2008 election by various organisations, the main four being Television New Zealand, TV3, The New Zealand Herald and Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2008 election

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Graphical summary

Summary of poll results up to 7 November 2008 for all political parties that have exceeded the 5.0% mixed member proportional representation (MMP) threshold. Lines give the mean estimated by a Loess smoother, with shaded grey areas showing the corresponding 95% confidence interval for the estimate. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line at the date of the most recent poll, with 95% confidence interval.

Individual polls

More information Poll, Date ...

Preferred Prime Minister

Graphical summary

Summary of Preferred Prime Minister Polls up to 6 November 2008. Lines show the mean, as estimated by a Loess smoother. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line at the date of the most recent poll, with 95% confidence interval.

Individual polls

More information Poll, Date ...

See also

Notes

  1. [N 1]
    Dates surveyed unavailable: date shown is date polled released to media.

References

  1. [1]
    "In New Zealand: Labour Support Down 1.5% In Past Fortnight To 39.5%". Roy Morgan Research. 13 February 2007. Retrieved 19 July 2011.
  2. [2]
    "3 News Poll" (PDF). 3 News (MediaWorks New Zealand). 20 April 2008. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  3. [3]
    "NATIONAL FINANCE SPOKESMAN MAKES APPEARANCE IN POPULARITY STAKES". New Zealand Press Association. 20 November 2005.
  4. [4]
    Berry, Ruth (17 December 2005). "Labour stays tops in poll to end year". The New Zealand Herald. APN News & Media. Retrieved 13 October 2013.
  5. [5]
    "The Green Party, on 7 percent, and New Zealand First on 4 percent, were both...". New Zealand Press Association. 16 December 2005.
  6. [6]
    "NATS AHEAD IN NEW POLL". New Zealand Press Association. 29 January 2006.
  7. [7]
    "There was also a Sunday Star-Times/BRC opinion poll out today". New Zealand Press Association. 29 January 2006.
  8. [8]
    "NATS STILL AHEAD IN LATEST POLL". New Zealand Press Association. 19 February 2006.
  9. [9]
    Young, Audrey (10 April 2006). "Key overtakes Peters in PM stakes". The New Zealand Herald. Retrieved 14 October 2013.
  10. [10]
    "One News Colmar Brunton poll: May 2006". ONE News (Television New Zealand). 28 May 2006. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  11. [11]
    "GAP CLOSING BUT NATIONAL STILL IN FRONT -- NEW POLL SHOWS". New Zealand Press Association. 16 July 2006.
  12. [12]
    "ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Aug 2006". ONE News (Television New Zealand). 13 August 2006. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  13. [13]
    Oliver, Paula (31 August 2006). "National storms to poll lead". The New Zealand Herald. APN News & Media. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  14. [14]
    "In New Zealand: Labour Government Support Up 2.5%, Nationals Down 6%". Roy Morgan Research. 16 September 2006. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  15. [15]
    Marks, Kathy (19 September 2006). "Dirty politics: Sex and smears, down under". The Independent. Archived from the original on 24 May 2022. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  16. [16]
    Oliver, Paula; Berry, Ruth (26 September 2006). "Hefty majority of voters rejects PM's use of 'cancerous'". The New Zealand Herald. APN News & Media. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  17. [17]
    "ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Sept 2006". ONE News (Television New Zealand). 24 September 2010. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  18. [18]
    "In New Zealand: National Ahead of Labour As Speculation Engulfs PM Clark's Private Life – Minor Party Support Continues To Rise". Roy Morgan Research. 7 October 2006. Retrieved 23 October 2010.
  19. [19]
    "In New Zealand: Labour Up 4% To 40% – National Party Support Also 40%". Roy Morgan Research. 21 October 2006. Archived from the original on 7 November 2006. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  20. [20]
    "ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Oct 2006". ONE News (Television New Zealand). 23 October 2006. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  21. [21]
    "In New Zealand: National Hold A Small Lead Over Labour". Roy Morgan Research. 4 November 2006. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  22. [22]
    TV3 (6 November 2006). "Poll fuels speculation of National coup". The New Zealand Herald. APN News & Media. Retrieved 19 June 2011.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  23. [23]
    "In New Zealand: National Extend Their Lead Over Labour". Roy Morgan Research. 18 November 2006. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  24. [24]
    "New Zealand Nationals Extend Lead to 5%". Roy Morgan Research. 2 December 2006. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  25. [25]
    Oliver, Paula (5 December 2006). "Key's takeover puts brakes on Labour rise". The New Zealand Herald. APN News & Media. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  26. [26]
    "In New Zealand: National Support Up 2% To 44.5%". Roy Morgan Research. 19 December 2006. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  27. [27]
    "In New Zealand: Support For Labour Up 3.5% In January". Roy Morgan Research. 30 January 2007. Retrieved 19 June 2011.
  28. [28]
    "Poll good news for Green Party and Key". TV3. (MediaWorks New Zealand). 5 February 2007. Archived from the original on 19 November 2007.
  29. [29]
    ONE News, 19 February 2007, ONE News report, Party source, Preferred Prime Minister
  30. [30]
    Roy Morgan Research, 27 February 2007 Source
  31. [31]
    Roy Morgan Research, 14 March 2007 Source
  32. [32]
    Roy Morgan Research, 24 March 2007 Source
  33. [33]
    ONE News, 25 March 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  34. [34]
    Scoop.co.nz, 1 April 2007, "Source" (PDF). (139 KB)
  35. [35]
    Roy Morgan Research, 13 April 2007, Source
  36. [36]
    Roy Morgan Research, 24 April 2007, Source
  37. [37]
    ONE News, 22 April 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  38. [38]
    Roy Morgan Research, 15 May 2007 Source
  39. [39]
    TV3, 13 May 2007, "Source" (PDF). (137 KB)
  40. [40]
    Roy Morgan Research, 25 May 2007 Source
  41. [41]
    The New Zealand Herald, 26 May 2007 Source
  42. [42]
    ONE News, 27 May 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred PM
  43. [43]
    Roy Morgan Research, 15 June 2007 Source
  44. [44]
    Roy Morgan Research, 27 June 2007 Source
  45. [45]
    The New Zealand Herald, 25 June 2007 Source
  46. [46]
    Roy Morgan Research, 11 July 2007 Source
  47. [47]
    ONE News, 8 July 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  48. [48]
    TV3 (New Zealand), 15 July 2007 "Source" (PDF). (138 KB)
  49. [49]
    UMR Research, 15 October 2007 "Source" (PDF). (111 KB)
  50. [50]
    Roy Morgan Research, 24 July 2007 Source
  51. [51]
    The New Zealand Herald, 23 July 2007 Source
  52. [52]
    Roy Morgan Research, 8 August 2007 Source
  53. [53]
    ONE News, 12 August 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  54. [54]
    Roy Morgan Research, 21 August 2007 Source
  55. [55]
    Roy Morgan Research, 13 September 2007 Source
  56. [56]
    Fairfax Media, 15 September 2007 Source
  57. [57]
    ONE News, 16 September 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  58. [58]
    Roy Morgan Research, 25 September 2007 Source
  59. [59]
    UMR Research, 19 September 2007 "Source" (PDF). (112 KB)
  60. [60]
    The New Zealand Herald, 29 September 2007 Source; Curia newsletter, September 2007
  61. [61]
    Roy Morgan Research, 9 October 2007 Source
  62. [62]
    ONE News, 14 October 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  63. [63]
    Roy Morgan Research, 26 October 2007 Source
  64. [64]
    The New Zealand Herald, 30 October 2007 Source, source
  65. [65]
    Roy Morgan Research, 9 November 2007 Source
  66. [66]
    Roy Morgan Research, 20 November 2007 Source
  67. [67]
    The New Zealand Herald, 28 November 2007 Source
  68. [68]
    Fairfax Media, 17 November 2007 Source
  69. [69]
    Roy Morgan Research, 4 December 2007 Source
  70. [70]
    ONE News, 17 December 2007, ONE News report Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  71. [71]
    Roy Morgan Research, 18 December 2007 Source
  72. [72]
    Roy Morgan Research, 25 January 2008 Source
  73. [73]
    The New Zealand Herald, 26 January 2008 Source
  74. [74]
    Roy Morgan Research, 11 February 2008 Source
  75. [75]
    ONE News, 17 February 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  76. [76]
    Roy Morgan Research, 22 February 2008 Source
  77. [77]
    "Labour poll-axed". The Dominion Post. 23 February 2008. Archived from the original on 13 June 2011. Retrieved 28 June 2010.
  78. [78]
    The New Zealand Herald, 3 March 2008 Source
  79. [79]
    Roy Morgan Research, 7 March 2008 Source
  80. [80]
    ONE News, 17 March 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  81. [81]
    Roy Morgan Research, 20 March 2008 Source
  82. [82]
    The New Zealand Herald, 29 March 2008 Source
  83. [83]
    Roy Morgan Research, 11 April 2008 Source
  84. [84]
    Scoop.co.nz, 20 April 2008, "Source" (PDF). (143 KB)
  85. [85]
    ONE News, 20 April 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  86. [86]
    Roy Morgan Research, 24 April 2008 Source
  87. [87]
    Fairfax Media, 26 April 2008 Source; Curia newsletter, Issue 21, April 2008.
  88. [88]
    The New Zealand Herald, 30 April 2008 Source; Curia newsletter, Issue 21, April 2008.
  89. [89]
    Roy Morgan Research, 9 May 2008 Source
  90. [90]
    Fairfax Media, 17 May 2008 Source
  91. [91]
    Roy Morgan Research, 22 May 2008 Source
  92. [92]
    The New Zealand Herald, 30 May 2008 Source
  93. [93]
    Scoop.co.nz, 4 June 2008, Source DOC (519 KB)
  94. [94]
    ONE News, 1 June 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  95. [95]
    Roy Morgan Research, 5 June 2008 Source
  96. [96]
    Roy Morgan Research, 19 June 2008 Source
  97. [97]
    Fairfax Media, 21 June 2008 Source
  98. [98]
    ONE News, 22 June 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  99. [99]
    The New Zealand Herald, 28 June 2008 Source
  100. [100]
    Roy Morgan Research, 4 July 2008 Source
  101. [101]
    Roy Morgan Research, 18 July 2008 Source
  102. [102]
    Fairfax Media, 19 July 2008 Source
  103. [103]
    ONE News, 20 July 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  104. [104]
    Curia Blog
  105. [105]
    The New Zealand Herald, 29 July 2008 Source
  106. [106]
    Roy Morgan Research, 1 August 2008 Source
  107. [107]
    Roy Morgan Research, 15 August 2008 Source
  108. [108]
    Fairfax Media, 16 August 2008 National Business Review article, Stuff.co.nz
  109. [109]
    ONE News, 17 August 2008, Source, "Party support" (PDF)., "Preferred Prime Minister" (PDF).
  110. [110]
    Curia Blog
  111. [111]
    Roy Morgan Research, 4 September 2008 Source
  112. [112]
    The New Zealand Herald, 28 August 2008 Source
  113. [113]
    ONE News, 14 September 2008, ONE News report, Party support DOC, Preferred Prime Minister DOC
  114. [114]
    "Emissions trading scheme bill passes". Radio New Zealand. Archived from the original on 14 October 2008. Retrieved 7 October 2008.
  115. [115]
    "Poll all about trust, says Clark". The New Zealand Herald. 13 September 2008. Retrieved 25 September 2008.
  116. [116]
    Roy Morgan Research, 17 September 2008 Source
  117. [117]
    Fairfax Media, 20 September 2008 Source and Date range
  118. [118]
    The New Zealand Herald, 26 September 2008 Source
  119. [119]
    Curia Blog and Angus Reid
  120. [120]
    ONE News, 5 October 2008, ONE News report, Party support DOC, Preferred Prime Minister DOC
  121. [121]
    Roy Morgan Research, 17 September 2008 Source
  122. [122]
    TV3 Report
  123. [123]
    ONE News, 12 October 2008, ONE News report, Party support & Preferred Prime Minister DOC
  124. [124]
    Fairfax Media, 17 October 2008 Source
  125. [125]
    ONE News, 19 October 2008, ONE News report, "Party support & Preferred Prime Minister" (PDF).
  126. [126]
    TV3 Report Curiablog
  127. [127]
    Roy Morgan Research, 24 October 2008 Source
  128. [128]
    The New Zealand Herald, 24 October 2008 Source
  129. [129]
    ONE News, 26 October 2008, One News Report,Colmar Brunton Website
  130. [130]
    TV3 Report Curiablog
  131. [131]
    ONE News, 6 November 2008, ONE News report, "ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll Nov 1 – Nov 5" (PDF).
  132. [132]
    The New Zealand Herald, 7 November 2008 Source
  133. [133]
    Fairfax Media, 7 November 2008 Source
  134. [134]
    Roy Morgan Research, 7 November 2008 Source
  135. [135]
    "Official Count Results – Overall Status". New Zealand Ministry of Justice. Archived from the original on 9 February 2009. Retrieved 25 November 2008.
Share this article:

This article uses material from the Wikipedia article Opinion_polling_for_the_2008_New_Zealand_general_election, and is written by contributors. Text is available under a CC BY-SA 4.0 International License; additional terms may apply. Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.