Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election


In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

Polling results for the 2015 UK General Election, compared to the actual result.

The date range for these opinion polls is from 6 May 2010 (the date of the previous general election) to 7 May 2015.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales). Separate polls covering constituent countries of the UK and English regions are reported further below while polling of individual constituencies and groups of them (such as groups of marginals) is covered in a separate article.

In the event, the actual results proved to be rather different from those indicated by the opinion polls. Opinion polls conducted in the last few months of the campaign, and even in the last few days, had indicated a very close result between the Conservatives and Labour in terms of numbers of votes, suggesting that one of the main parties would have to form a perhaps complex coalition with smaller parties in order to govern.

However the actual results showed a stronger performance by the Conservatives, which gave them an overall majority, since Labour also had a weaker performance than the polls had suggested.[1][2][3] When the exit poll was initially presented, some commentators and politicians doubted it, with Paddy Ashdown even declaring "If this poll is correct I will publicly eat my hat on your programme" in response to the apparently poor results for the Liberal Democrats.[4] The exit poll was eventually proved to have in fact overestimated the Liberal Democrats' performance. If the Survation telephone poll (6 May) had been published it would have produced results within 1% of the election results.

Graphical summary


15-day average trend line of poll results from 6 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  Labour Party
  Conservative Party
  Liberal Democrats
  UK Independence Party
  Green Party

The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: red for the Labour Party, blue for the Conservative Party, purple for the UK Independence Party, yellow for the Liberal Democrats, and green for the combined Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party. While not shown here, other parties have on occasion polled higher than one or more of the parties represented, for example in the Lord Ashcroft poll conducted on 17–19 April 2015, where the Scottish National Party polled 6% and the Greens 4%.[5] Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the table below.

Poll results


Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[6] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.

Throughout the 2010-2015 parliament, first and second places have without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party have tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland have most frequently polled fifth and have on occasions polled fourth – level with or ahead of the UK Independence Party or the Liberal Democrats. Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) are the British National Party, the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru. Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates in 2014 and 2010 are available in a second table, below.

2015

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 MayGeneral Election results (GB only)[7][8]37.8%31.2%8.1%12.9%3.8%6.3%6.6%
5–7 MayPopulus[9]3,91734%34%9%13%5%6%Tie
6 MaySurvation[10](unpublished)1,04537%31%10%11%5%6%6%
30 Apr–6 MaySurveyMonkey[11]18,13134%28%7%13%8%9%6%
5–6 MayLord Ashcroft3,02833%33%10%11%6%8%Tie
5–6 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,18636%35%8%11%5%5%1%
4–6 MayYouGov/The Sun10,30734%34%10%12%4%6%Tie
5–6 MayComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News1,00735%34%9%12%4%6%1%
4–6 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror[n 1]4,08831%31%10%16%5%7%Tie
3–6 MayICM/The Guardian[n 2]2,02334%35%9%11%4%7%1%
3–6 MayICM/The Guardian[n 3]1,56035%35%9%11%3%7%Tie
1–6 MayPanelbase[12]3,01931%33%8%16%5%7%2%
4–5 MayOpinium2,96035%34%8%12%6%5%1%
4–5 MayYouGov/The Sun2,14834%34%9%12%5%6%Tie
4–5 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,50433%34%9%16%4%4%1%
3–5 MayComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News1,01135%32%9%14%4%6%3%
3–5 MayBMG/May2015.com, New Statesman1,00934%34%10%12%4%6%Tie
3–4 MayYouGov/The Sun1,66433%33%10%12%5%6%Tie
30 Apr–4 MayTNS1,18533%32%8%14%6%6%1%
2–3 MayYouGov/The Sun1,78934%33%9%12%5%7%1%
1–3 MayLord Ashcroft1,00132%30%11%12%7%9%2%
1–3 MayPopulus2,05434%34%10%13%5%5%Tie
1–2 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,96734%33%8%13%5%7%1%
1–2 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday2,12831%34%8%17%4%6%3%
30 Apr–1 MayYouGov/The Sun1,57533%34%8%14%5%5%1%
30 Apr–1 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,11733%34%9%16%3%5%1%
30 AprQuestion Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One;
Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
29–30 AprYouGov/Sun on Sunday1,97034%35%9%12%5%6%1%
29–30 AprPopulus2,01633%33%9%15%4%5%Tie
29–30 AprYouGov/The Sun1,72934%35%8%12%5%6%1%
29–30 AprPanelbase1,02032%34%8%17%4%7%2%
28–30 AprComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror1,00233%33%8%13%7%6%Tie
28–30 AprOpinium/The Observer1,95635%34%8%13%5%5%1%
28–29 AprYouGov/The Sun1,82335%34%9%12%4%6%1%
26–29 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01035%30%8%10%8%9%5%
27–28 AprComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail1,00535%35%7%11%6%6%Tie
27–28 AprYouGov/The Sun1,74934%35%9%12%4%6%1%
26–27 AprYouGov/The Sun2,12735%34%9%12%5%6%1%
25–27 AprBMG/May2015.com[13]1,01335%32%11%14%3%5%3%
23–27 AprTNS1,18634%33%7%15%5%5%1%
25–26 AprYouGov/The Sun2,09633%34%8%14%5%6%1%
24–26 AprLord Ashcroft1,00336%30%9%11%7%7%6%
24–26 AprICM/The Guardian1,00435%32%9%13%5%6%3%
24–26 AprPopulus2,07233%36%8%14%5%4%3%
24–25 AprYouGov/Sunday Times2,27132%34%9%14%6%5%2%
24–25 AprSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00433%30%9%18%4%6%3%
23–24 AprYouGov/The Sun1,59433%35%8%13%6%5%2%
21–24 AprOpinium/The Observer1,96434%33%9%13%6%5%1%
22–23 AprPopulus2,05132%35%8%14%5%6%3%
22–23 AprYouGov/The Sun1,83433%35%8%13%6%6%2%
22–23 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,20533%29%10%18%4%6%4%
21–23 AprPanelbase1,01231%34%7%17%4%7%3%
21–22 AprComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail1,00336%32%8%10%5%9%4%
21–22 AprYouGov/The Sun2,06033%34%7%14%5%6%1%
20–21 AprYouGov/The Sun1,79935%34%7%13%5%6%1%
19–20 AprYouGov/The Sun2,07834%35%7%13%5%6%1%
16–20 AprTNS1,19932%34%8%15%5%6%2%
18–19 AprYouGov/The Sun1,67534%35%8%13%5%6%1%
17–19 AprLord Ashcroft1,00234%30%10%13%4%9%4%
17–19 AprPopulus2,04832%34%9%15%4%6%2%
17–19 AprICM/The Guardian1,00334%32%10%11%5%8%2%
17–18 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,78033%36%8%13%5%5%3%
16–17 AprOpinium/The Observer1,95536%32%8%13%5%6%4%
16–17 AprYouGov/The Sun1,71334%34%9%14%5%5%Tie
16–17 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,31434%33%7%17%3%6%1%
16 AprFive-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
15–16 AprPopulus2,04833%34%9%14%4%5%1%
15–16 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93934%34%7%14%5%6%Tie
14–16 AprPanelbase1,02533%34%8%16%4%5%1%
14–15 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89434%35%8%13%5%6%1%
12–15 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00033%35%7%10%8%7%2%
13–14 AprYouGov/The Sun1,84233%35%8%13%5%6%2%
12–13 AprYouGov/The Sun2,44433%34%8%13%6%5%1%
9–13 AprTNS1,19234%32%9%14%5%6%2%
11–12 AprYouGov/The Sun1,71733%36%7%13%5%6%3%
10–12 AprLord Ashcroft1,00333%33%9%13%6%8%Tie
10–12 AprICM/The Guardian1,04239%33%8%7%7%5%6%
10–12 AprPopulus2,03633%33%8%15%5%6%Tie
10–11 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,88734%34%7%13%6%6%Tie
9–10 AprYouGov/The Sun1,78233%35%8%13%5%5%2%
8–9 AprOpinium/The Observer1,91636%34%7%11%6%6%2%
8–9 AprPopulus2,02031%33%8%16%6%7%2%
8–9 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93835%34%8%12%4%6%1%
8–9 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,11131%35%9%15%4%6%4%
7–9 AprPanelbase1,01331%37%8%16%4%4%6%
7–8 AprComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail1,01334%33%12%12%4%6%1%
7–8 AprYouGov/The Sun1,87134%35%8%13%5%5%1%
6–7 AprYouGov/The Sun1,67233%35%8%14%5%5%2%
2–7 AprTNS1,20730%33%8%19%4%7%3%
2–6 AprPopulus2,00831%33%10%15%4%7%2%
3–4 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,90634%33%10%13%4%6%1%
2–3 AprOpinium/The Observer1,97433%33%7%14%7%5%Tie
2–3 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,20731%33%9%18%3%6%2%
2 AprSeven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
1–2 AprYouGov/The Sun1,58337%35%7%12%5%4%2%
31 Mar–2 AprPanelbase1,00633%33%7%17%5%5%Tie
31 Mar–1 AprPopulus2,05732%34%9%15%5%5%2%
31 Mar–1 AprYouGov/The Sun1,67836%34%8%13%4%5%2%
30–31 MarYouGov/The Sun1,56635%36%7%12%5%5%1%
30 Mar Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
29–30 MarYouGov/The Sun2,00135%35%8%12%5%5%Tie
26–30 MarTNS1,19733%32%8%16%5%7%1%
28–29 MarComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail1,00536%32%9%12%5%7%4%
27–29 MarLord Ashcroft1,00436%34%6%10%7%6%2%
27–29 MarPopulus2,00434%34%8%15%4%5%Tie
27–28 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,79932%36%8%13%6%5%4%
26 MarFirst TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
25–26 MarPopulus2,04931%33%9%16%5%6%2%
25–26 MarYouGov/The Sun1,69836%34%7%13%5%5%2%
24–26 MarPanelbase1,00734%34%5%15%6%6%Tie
24–25 MarOpinium/The Observer1,95934%33%8%13%7%3%1%
24–25 MarYouGov/The Sun1,61034%35%8%12%6%5%1%
24–25 MarSurvation/Daily Mirror1,00732%33%8%18%4%5%1%
23–24 MarYouGov/The Sun2,00635%35%8%12%6%4%Tie
22–23 MarYouGov/The Sun1,64134%34%8%12%6%5%Tie
18–23 MarYouGov/The Times8,27134%33%8%14%5%6%1%
20–22 MarComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail1,00135%35%8%10%7%6%Tie
20–22 MarLord Ashcroft1,00333%33%8%12%5%9%Tie
20–22 MarPopulus2,03531%33%9%16%5%5%2%
20–21 MarSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00830%34%10%17%3%6%4%
19–20 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,53233%35%8%14%5%5%2%
18–19 MarOpinium/The Observer1,97936%33%7%14%6%4%3%
18–19 MarPopulus2,02031%34%9%17%5%4%3%
18–19 MarYouGov/The Sun2,29335%33%8%13%6%5%2%
17–18 MarYouGov/The Sun1,75233%34%8%14%6%5%1%
16–17 MarYouGov/The Sun1,83034%36%7%12%6%5%2%
15–16 MarYouGov/The Sun1,68333%35%7%13%7%5%2%
13–16 MarTNS1,18833%32%7%17%4%7%1%
13–15 MarLord Ashcroft1,00231%29%8%15%8%9%2%
13–15 MarICM/The Guardian1,00136%35%8%9%4%8%1%
13–15 MarPopulus2,04134%34%8%15%5%5%Tie
12–13 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,66934%34%7%14%5%6%Tie
11–13 MarComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,00233%35%7%16%4%5%2%
11–12 MarPopulus2,04129%32%8%18%6%7%3%
11–12 MarYouGov/The Sun1,61933%32%7%16%6%6%1%
10–12 MarOpinium/The Observer1,94733%35%7%14%7%5%2%
10–11 MarYouGov/The Sun1,72834%35%7%14%5%5%1%
8–11 MarIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02533%34%8%13%6%6%1%
9–10 MarYouGov/The Sun1,59833%31%8%15%6%6%2%
8–9 MarYouGov/The Sun1,74535%31%8%14%6%6%4%
6–8 MarLord Ashcroft1,00334%30%5%15%8%7%4%
6–8 MarPopulus2,02632%33%9%15%6%6%1%
5–6 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,75434%33%8%15%5%5%1%
3–6 MarOpinium/The Observer1,96134%34%8%14%7%5%Tie
4–5 MarPopulus2,06331%33%8%16%5%5%2%
4–5 MarYouGov/The Sun1,74831%35%6%15%8%4%4%
3–4 MarYouGov/The Sun1,54434%34%8%14%6%4%Tie
2–3 MarYouGov/The Sun1,70136%34%5%14%6%5%2%
1–2 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86635%32%7%15%6%5%3%
27 Feb–1 MarLord Ashcroft1,00334%31%7%14%7%8%3%
27 Feb–1 MarPopulus2,05632%34%8%14%5%7%2%
26–27 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,95934%34%8%14%5%5%Tie
25–27 FebPopulus2,00531%33%9%16%6%5%2%
25–26 FebYouGov/The Sun1,63833%34%8%13%6%6%1%
24–26 FebOpinium/The Observer1,94834%35%6%14%6%6%1%
24–25 FebYouGov/The Sun1,58133%33%8%15%6%5%Tie
23–24 FebYouGov/The Sun1,52035%33%6%14%7%5%2%
23 FebSurvation/Daily Mirror1,04628%34%10%19%4%5%6%
22–23 FebYouGov/The Sun1,77233%33%8%13%7%5%Tie
20–23 FebComRes/Daily Mail1,00434%32%8%13%8%6%2%
20–22 FebLord Ashcroft1,00432%36%7%11%8%6%4%
20–22 FebPopulus2,05932%32%9%15%6%6%Tie
19–20 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,56833%34%8%13%6%6%1%
17–20 FebOpinium/The Observer1,97535%33%6%15%7%5%2%
18–19 FebPopulus2,01131%32%9%17%6%5%1%
18–19 FebYouGov/The Sun1,56432%33%9%15%6%5%1%
17–18 FebYouGov/The Sun1,74332%34%8%14%6%5%2%
16–17 FebYouGov/The Sun1,54833%34%6%15%7%5%1%
15–16 FebYouGov/The Sun1,58032%32%6%16%8%5%Tie
12–16 FebTNS1,19328%35%6%18%7%6%7%
13–15 FebLord Ashcroft1,00430%31%9%16%8%6%1%
13–15 FebPopulus2,01231%33%10%15%5%5%2%
13–15 FebICM/The Guardian1,00036%32%10%9%7%7%4%
12–13 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,62032%35%7%15%7%5%3%
11–12 FebComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,01732%34%7%16%4%7%2%
11–12 FebPopulus2,05531%34%9%14%6%6%3%
11–12 FebYouGov/The Sun1,59231%34%7%15%7%6%3%
10–12 FebOpinium/The Observer1,96933%35%8%14%6%6%2%
10–11 FebYouGov/The Sun1,76432%33%7%15%7%6%1%
9–10 FebYouGov/The Sun1,67733%35%6%13%8%5%2%
8–10 FebIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01034%36%6%9%7%8%2%
8–9 FebYouGov/The Sun1,55234%33%7%14%7%6%1%
6–8 FebLord Ashcroft1,00334%31%9%14%6%6%3%
6–8 FebPopulus2,00333%34%8%15%4%4%1%
5–6 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,66832%33%7%15%8%5%1%
3–6 FebOpinium/The Observer1,94732%34%7%15%8%4%2%
4–5 FebPopulus2,05631%34%8%16%5%6%3%
4–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,71932%33%9%15%5%5%1%
3–4 FebYouGov/The Sun1,74934%33%6%13%7%7%1%
2–3 FebYouGov/The Sun1,70533%33%7%14%7%5%Tie
1–2 FebYouGov/The Sun1,63033%35%7%14%6%5%2%
30 Jan–2 FebPopulus2,04031%34%8%14%5%6%3%
29 Jan–2 FebTNS1,18227%33%6%18%8%8%6%
30 Jan–1 FebLord Ashcroft1,00231%31%8%15%9%6%Tie
29–30 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,55032%35%7%15%6%5%3%
27–30 JanOpinium/The Observer1,97532%33%5%18%6%6%1%
28–29 JanPopulus2,02034%35%10%14%4%3%1%
28–29 JanYouGov/The Sun1,59334%34%6%14%7%5%Tie
27–28 JanYouGov/The Sun1,54833%33%6%16%7%5%Tie
26–27 JanYouGov/The Sun1,65534%33%7%14%7%5%1%
25–26 JanYouGov/The Sun1,65634%33%6%15%7%5%1%
23–26 JanTNS-BMRB/BBC Radio 4 Woman's Hour97528%39%4%14%8%7%11%
25 JanSurvation/Daily Mirror1,01431%30%7%23%3%6%1%
23–25 JanComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00131%30%8%17%7%7%1%
23–25 JanPopulus2,03934%35%9%13%6%3%1%
22–25 JanLord Ashcroft1,00132%32%6%15%9%6%Tie
22–23 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,57832%32%7%15%7%6%Tie
21–22 JanPopulus2,04932%36%9%13%6%4%4%
21–22 JanYouGov/The Sun1,64031%33%7%17%8%4%2%
20–21 JanYouGov/The Sun1,64533%34%6%14%8%5%1%
19–20 JanYouGov/The Sun1,57032%30%8%15%10%5%2%
18–19 JanYouGov/The Sun1,74732%32%8%15%7%6%Tie
16–19 JanICM/The Guardian1,00230%33%11%11%9%7%3%
15–19 JanTNS1,18831%31%8%16%7%7%Tie
16–18 JanLord Ashcroft1,00429%28%9%15%11%8%1%
16–18 JanPopulus2,03635%36%8%13%4%4%1%
15–16 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,64731%32%7%18%7%4%1%
14–15 JanYouGov/Sun on Sunday1,76331%33%7%16%7%6%2%
14–15 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,02333%34%7%18%3%5%1%
14–15 JanPopulus2,07032%35%9%14%6%4%3%
14–15 JanYouGov/The Sun1,66032%32%6%16%8%6%Tie
13–15 JanOpinium/The Observer1,96628%33%7%20%6%6%5%
13–14 JanYouGov/The Sun1,83432%34%6%15%7%6%2%
12–13 JanYouGov/The Sun1,78232%33%7%14%7%6%1%
11–13 JanIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01033%34%8%11%8%6%1%
11–12 JanYouGov/The Sun1,64932%33%6%17%6%6%1%
9–11 JanLord Ashcroft1,00234%28%8%16%8%6%6%
9–11 JanPopulus2,05632%37%10%13%4%4%5%
8–9 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,68432%32%7%18%6%5%Tie
7–8 JanPopulus2,04633%34%8%14%6%5%1%
7–8 JanYouGov/The Sun1,75333%33%8%13%7%6%Tie
6–8 JanTNS1,20128%35%6%18%5%8%7%
6–7 JanYouGov/The Sun1,70732%33%7%15%7%6%1%
5–6 JanYouGov/The Sun1,76933%33%7%13%8%5%Tie
4–5 JanYouGov/The Sun1,72831%34%7%14%8%6%3%
2–4 JanPopulus2,04634%36%9%12%5%5%2%
30 Dec–2 JanOpinium/The Observer1,97032%33%8%17%4%7%1%

2014

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
19–23 DecOpinium/The Observer[n 4]2,00329%33%6%19%6%7%4%
21–22 DecYouGov/The Sun1,64232%36%6%16%5%5%4%
19–21 DecPopulus2,05135%35%9%12%4%5%Tie
18–19 DecSurvation/Daily Mirror1,00930%33%10%21%3%3%3%
18–19 DecYouGov/Sunday Times2,10932%34%6%15%8%5%2%
16–19 DecOpinium/The Observer1,42729%36%6%16%5%8%7%
17–18 DecPopulus2,06934%35%9%13%4%4%1%
17–18 DecYouGov/The Sun1,98130%35%6%16%8%4%5%
16–17 DecYouGov/The Sun2,08733%33%8%14%7%5%Tie
15–16 DecYouGov/The Sun2,02133%34%6%16%6%5%1%
12–16 DecICM/The Guardian1,00128%33%14%14%5%6%5%
14–15 DecYouGov/The Sun1,64832%34%6%14%8%6%2%
13–15 DecIpsos Mori/Evening Standard1,01232%29%9%13%9%8%3%
11–15 DecTNS1,18028%35%5%19%7%6%7%
12–14 DecComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00229%32%12%16%5%6%3%
12–14 DecPopulus2,07434%36%10%12%5%4%2%
11–12 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,94132%32%7%16%7%5%Tie
10–12 DecComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,01433%34%8%18%2%5%1%
10–11 DecPopulus1,14034%35%9%14%4%3%1%
10–11 DecYouGov/The Sun2,08832%34%7%14%7%6%2%
9–10 DecYouGov/The Sun1,98333%33%6%15%7%5%Tie
8–9 DecYouGov/The Sun1,95932%32%8%15%7%5%Tie
7–8 DecYouGov/The Sun1,92534%33%6%15%6%6%1%
5–7 DecLord Ashcroft1,00130%31%8%19%5%7%1%
5–7 DecPopulus1,32333%36%8%15%4%4%3%
4–5 DecYouGov/SundayTimes1,83832%32%6%17%7%7%Tie
3–4 DecOpinium/The Observer1,94029%34%6%19%6%6%5%
3–4 DecPopulus1,27133%35%9%14%4%5%2%
3–4 DecYouGov/The Sun1,66331%32%7%15%8%6%1%
2–3 DecYouGov/The Sun1,92532%31%6%17%7%6%1%
1–2 DecYouGov/The Sun1,91232%33%7%16%7%5%1%
30 Nov–1 DecYouGov/The Sun1,76332%32%8%15%6%6%Tie
28–30 NovComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00528%31%9%18%7%7%3%
28–30 NovLord Ashcroft1,00330%32%7%16%6%8%2%
28–30 NovPopulus2,05332%35%9%14%5%5%3%
27–28 NovYouGov/Sunday Times2,01832%34%7%15%6%6%2%
26–27 NovPopulus2,04832%37%9%14%4%5%5%
26–27 NovYouGov/The Sun1,97031%31%8%17%6%6%Tie
25–27 NovTNS1,19430%31%6%19%6%8%1%
25–26 NovYouGov/The Sun2,06733%32%6%16%7%5%1%
24–25 NovYouGov/The Sun1,89032%33%7%16%6%6%1%
23–24 NovYouGov/The Sun1,64130%34%6%18%6%6%4%
14–24 NovLord Ashcroft[n 5]20,01130%33%7%19%6%5%3%
21–23 NovLord Ashcroft1,00427%32%7%18%7%8%5%
21–23 NovPopulus2,04931%36%9%15%5%4%5%
20–21 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,97033%33%7%16%6%5%Tie
19–21 NovYouGov/The Sun on Sunday2,31433%34%8%15%5%4%1%
20 NovRochester and Strood by-election
19–20 NovPopulus2,01333%36%9%14%4%4%3%
19–20 NovYouGov/The Sun1,99534%33%7%15%6%5%1%
18–20 NovOpinium/The Observer1,94830%33%7%19%4%7%3%
18–19 NovYouGov/The Sun1,90634%33%7%14%6%6%1%
17–18 NovYouGov/The Sun1,97532%34%7%15%6%6%2%
16–17 NovYouGov/The Sun1,58933%32%7%15%8%6%1%
14–17 NovOpinium[14]1,94734%33%5%18%5%6%1%
14–16 NovLord Ashcroft1,00429%30%9%16%7%9%1%
14–16 NovPopulus2,05435%36%7%11%5%6%1%
13–14 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,97531%33%7%18%5%6%2%
12–14 NovComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,00030%34%8%19%3%6%4%
12–13 NovPopulus2,05233%35%9%13%4%5%2%
12–13 NovYouGov/The Sun2,00333%32%8%15%6%6%1%
11–12 NovYouGov/The Sun1,97232%35%7%15%6%4%3%
10–11 NovYouGov/The Sun2,14333%34%7%15%6%6%1%
9–10 NovYouGov/The Sun1,65632%33%6%17%6%6%1%
8–10 NovIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01132%29%9%14%7%9%3%
7–9 NovICM/The Guardian1,00231%32%11%14%6%6%1%
7–9 NovLord Ashcroft1,00530%29%10%16%7%8%1%
7–9 NovPopulus2,04734%36%8%13%4%5%2%
7 NovSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,02029%34%6%23%4%4%5%
6–7 NovYouGov/Sunday Times2,02233%33%7%16%6%5%Tie
4–7 NovOpinium/The Observer1,98029%32%9%19%4%7%3%
5–6 NovPopulus2,01133%35%9%14%4%4%2%
5–6 NovYouGov/The Sun2,04132%33%8%15%7%5%1%
4–5 NovYouGov/The Sun2,04732%33%7%17%7%5%1%
3–4 NovYouGov/The Sun1,98832%34%7%15%6%6%2%
2–3 NovYouGov/The Sun1,65233%34%8%15%5%5%1%
31 Oct–2 NovLord Ashcroft1,00230%29%10%16%6%9%1%
31 Oct–2 NovPopulus2,01934%35%9%13%4%4%1%
31 Oct–1 NovSurvation/The Mirror2,01227%31%9%24%3%6%4%
30–31 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,80831%32%7%18%6%6%1%
29–30 OctPopulus2,03534%34%8%15%5%3%Tie
29–30 OctYouGov/The Sun1,88333%32%7%15%7%6%1%
28–29 OctYouGov/The Sun1,97231%34%6%17%7%5%3%
27–28 OctYouGov/The Sun2,05232%33%8%17%5%5%1%
26–27 OctYouGov/The Sun1,62932%32%8%18%6%4%Tie
24–26 OctComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00230%30%9%19%4%7%Tie
24–26 OctLord Ashcroft1,00331%31%7%18%5%7%Tie
24–26 OctPopulus2,00434%36%8%13%3%4%2%
23–24 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,06933%33%7%16%6%6%Tie
21–24 OctOpinium/The Observer1,97233%33%6%18%4%5%Tie
22–23 OctPopulus2,02933%35%9%15%3%4%2%
22–23 OctYouGov/The Sun2,02034%34%6%15%6%5%Tie
21–22 OctYouGov/The Sun2,05231%33%7%17%6%6%2%
20–21 OctYouGov/The Sun2,10332%33%8%16%5%5%1%
19–20 OctYouGov/The Sun1,72731%33%7%15%6%8%2%
17–19 OctLord Ashcroft1,00028%31%7%18%8%8%3%
17–19 OctPopulus2,05834%36%9%13%3%5%2%
16–17 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,96632%35%7%16%5%6%3%
15–16 OctComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]99629%31%7%24%5%5%2%
15–16 OctComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]1,00431%34%7%19%4%5%3%
15–16 OctPopulus2,03133%35%10%14%4%3%2%
15–16 OctYouGov/The Sun2,04531%32%8%18%7%4%1%
14–15 OctYouGov/The Sun2,13331%33%7%19%5%5%2%
13–14 OctYouGov/The Sun2,14430%34%8%18%5%5%4%
11–14 OctIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00230%33%8%16%5%8%3%
12–13 OctYouGov/The Sun1,78231%34%7%17%4%7%3%
10–12 OctLord Ashcroft1,00128%32%8%19%5%8%4%
10–12 OctICM/The Guardian[15]1,00131%35%11%14%4%6%4%
10–12 OctPopulus2,06735%36%9%13%3%4%1%
10 OctSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00331%31%7%25%2%4%Tie
9–10 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,16732%34%9%16%5%5%2%
9 OctClacton and Heywood and Middleton by-elections.
8–9 OctLord Ashcroft5,05931%34%8%18%4%5%3%
8–9 OctPopulus2,05534%35%9%13%4%5%1%
8–9 OctYouGov/The Sun2,04930%35%9%15%5%5%5%
7–9 OctOpinium/The Observer1,96828%35%9%17%4%7%7%
7–8 OctYouGov/The Sun1,86233%34%7%14%6%6%1%
6–7 OctYouGov/The Sun2,15532%34%8%15%5%6%2%
5–6 OctYouGov/The Sun1,73935%33%8%13%4%7%2%
3–5 OctLord Ashcroft1,00232%30%7%17%7%6%2%
3–5 OctPopulus2,03731%37%8%15%3%4%6%
2–3 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,13036%34%7%13%5%5%2%
1–2 OctPopulus2,01433%38%8%13%3%4%5%
1–2 OctYouGov/The Sun2,13335%34%6%14%5%6%1%
30 Sep–1 OctYouGov/The Sun2,06831%38%7%15%5%4%7%
29–30 SepYouGov/The Sun2,10631%36%7%15%5%6%5%
28–29 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71531%36%7%16%4%6%5%
26–28 SepComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00729%35%10%15%4%7%6%
26–28 SepLord Ashcroft1,00032%32%8%17%4%8%Tie
26–28 SepPopulus2,02434%36%7%14%5%3%2%
25–26 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,99231%36%6%15%6%6%5%
24–26 SepComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,00329%35%7%19%4%6%6%
23–26 SepOpinium/The Observer1,98432%34%7%17%4%6%2%
24–25 SepPopulus2,03433%37%9%13%3%4%4%
24–25 SepYouGov/The Sun1,97231%37%7%13%5%7%6%
23–24 SepYouGov/The Sun2,11733%37%7%13%5%5%4%
22–23 SepYouGov/The Sun2,14131%37%7%15%5%5%6%
21–22 SepYouGov/The Sun1,67133%35%7%14%5%6%2%
19–21 SepLord Ashcroft1,00427%33%9%17%6%8%6%
19–21 SepPopulus2,04833%37%9%12%4%4%4%
19 Sep"No" wins the Scottish independence referendum.
18–19 SepYouGov/Sunday Times2,12631%36%7%16%5%5%5%
17–18 SepPopulus2,26832%36%9%15%4%5%4%
17–18 SepYouGov/The Sun2,07233%35%8%14%5%5%2%
16–17 SepYouGov/The Sun2,02933%36%8%13%5%5%3%
12–17 SepLord Ashcroft8,05330%35%7%19%5%6%5%
15–16 SepYouGov/The Sun1,97734%37%7%12%6%4%3%
12–16 SepSurvation/Bright Blue1,05229%34%11%18%4%4%5%
14–15 SepYouGov/The Sun1,70331%35%7%15%6%5%4%
12–14 SepICM/The Guardian1,00233%35%10%9%7%6%2%
12–14 SepLord Ashcroft1,00433%33%9%14%6%6%Tie
12–14 SepPopulus2,05234%35%9%13%3%5%1%
12 SepSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,09031%35%8%19%3%4%4%
11–12 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,90032%35%7%15%6%6%3%
10–11 SepPopulus2,01033%37%9%13%2%4%4%
10–11 SepYouGov/TheSun2,06831%35%7%16%5%6%4%
9–11 SepOpinium/The Observer1,96029%37%7%19%4%5%8%
9–10 SepYouGov/The Sun2,12232%38%6%14%5%5%6%
8–9 SepYouGov/TheSun2,09930%36%8%16%5%5%6%
6–9 SepIpsos MORI1,01034%33%7%15%6%5%1%
7–8 SepYouGov/The Sun1,72431%36%8%16%5%4%5%
5–7 SepLord Ashcroft1,00128%35%8%18%6%5%7%
5–7 SepPopulus2,05834%36%9%12%4%6%2%
4–5 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,96133%35%7%15%4%5%2%
3–4 SepPopulus2,02632%38%8%14%4%4%6%
3–4 SepYouGov/The Sun2,04332%36%7%16%5%4%4%
2–3 SepYouGov/The Sun2,10333%36%7%14%5%5%3%
1–2 SepYouGov/The Sun2,06832%35%8%15%5%4%3%
31 Aug–1 SepYouGov/The Sun1,70434%35%7%14%5%6%1%
29–31 AugComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00128%35%9%17%6%5%7%
29–31 AugPopulus2,01032%36%9%15%3%5%4%
28–29 AugYouGov/Sunday Times2,01032%36%7%16%4%4%4%
26–29 AugOpinium/The Observer1,97430%36%7%16%4%7%6%
27–28 AugPopulus2,00635%34%8%13%5%4%1%
27–28 AugYouGov/The Sun2,04633%36%7%13%5%6%3%
26–27 AugYouGov/The Sun2,12934%35%7%14%6%5%1%
25–26 AugYouGov/The Sun2,02133%37%8%13%5%5%4%
22–25 AugPopulus2,06232%38%8%15%3%4%6%
21–22 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,86634%36%8%14%5%3%2%
20–22 AugComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,05832%34%8%18%3%5%2%
20–21 AugPopulus2,06533%39%9%11%3%4%6%
20–21 AugYouGov/The Sun2,02833%38%8%12%5%4%5%
19–20 AugYouGov/The Sun2,07034%38%9%11%4%4%4%
18–19 AugYouGov/The Sun2,03636%37%9%12%3%3%1%
17–18 AugYouGov/The Sun1,71033%38%8%12%4%4%5%
15–17 AugPopulus2,04932%37%9%14%3%5%5%
14–15 AugYouGov/Sunday Times2,01934%38%7%13%4%4%4%
12–15 AugOpinium/The Observer1,96328%32%10%21%4%6%4%
13–14 AugPopulus2,01832%35%9%14%5%7%3%
13–14 AugYouGov/The Sun1,98435%35%8%12%5%5%Tie
12–13 AugYouGov/The Sun2,11634%36%10%12%4%5%2%
11–12 AugYouGov/The Sun1,94235%38%8%11%4%3%3%
10–11 AugYouGov/The Sun1,67633%37%8%12%5%4%4%
9–11 AugIpsos MORI1,00333%33%7%13%7%6%Tie
8–11 AugPopulus2,03133%37%9%12%3%5%4%
8–10 AugICM/The Guardian1,00231%38%12%10%4%5%7%
7–8 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,94333%37%8%13%4%4%4%
6–7 AugPopulus2,05036%35%9%11%3%5%1%
6–7 AugYouGov/The Sun2,01633%38%7%12%4%5%5%
5–6 AugYouGov/The Sun1,94434%37%9%12%4%4%3%
4–5 AugYouGov/The Sun1,97733%38%8%12%4%5%5%
3–4 AugYouGov/The Sun1,61734%38%6%13%4%5%4%
1–3 AugLord Ashcroft1,00230%33%8%18%6%5%3%
1–3 AugPopulus2,02135%37%9%12%3%4%2%
31 Jul–1 AugYouGov/Sunday Times2,08335%38%7%12%4%4%3%
29 Jul–1 AugOpinium/The Observer1,97932%35%7%15%5%7%3%
30–31 JulPopulus2,02735%36%8%13%4%4%1%
30–31 JulYouGov/The Sun2,02334%38%8%13%4%3%4%
29–30 JulYouGov/The Sun2,10035%37%8%12%4%4%2%
28–29 JulYouGov/The Sun2,00434%35%8%12%6%5%1%
27–28 JulYouGov/The Sun1,65833%39%8%12%4%4%6%
25–27 JulComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00127%33%8%17%7%6%6%
25–27 JulLord Ashcroft1,00032%34%9%14%6%5%2%
25–27 JulPopulus2,02433%37%9%12%4%5%4%
24–25 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,74135%36%8%13%5%3%1%
23–24 JulPopulus2,03535%37%9%9%4%6%2%
23–24 JulYouGov/The Sun2,06535%38%8%11%4%4%3%
22–23 JulYouGov/The Sun1,89734%38%8%12%4%4%4%
21–22 JulYouGov/The Sun1,90434%37%7%14%5%4%3%
20–21 JulYouGov/The Sun2,10734%38%9%11%4%5%4%
18–20 JulLord Ashcroft1,00727%35%7%17%7%7%8%
18–20 JulPopulus2,03532%37%9%13%4%5%5%
17–18 JulYouGov/Sunday Times2,07832%37%9%13%5%4%5%
16–18 JulComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,05431%34%9%17%4%5%3%
16–17 JulPopulus2,00735%35%8%14%3%5%Tie
16–17 JulYouGov/The Sun2,03832%39%8%13%4%4%7%
15–17 JulTNS BMRB1,19129%36%7%19%9%7%
15–17 JulOpinium/The Observer1,96730%34%9%17%4%5%4%
15–16 JulYouGov/The Sun2,10733%36%9%13%4%4%3%
14–15 JulYouGov/The Sun2,07234%38%6%13%4%5%4%
12–15 JulIpsos MORI1,00032%35%8%12%8%5%3%
13–14 JulYouGov/The Sun1,74535%38%8%10%4%5%3%
11–13 JulICM/The Guardian1,00034%33%12%9%4%7%1%
11–13 JulLord Ashcroft1,00032%36%7%14%6%6%4%
11–13 JulPopulus2,05534%37%9%12%5%3%3%
10–11 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,96333%38%9%12%4%4%5%
9–10 JulPopulus2,05234%36%8%12%3%7%2%
9–10 JulYouGov/The Sun2,02234%37%8%12%5%4%3%
8–9 JulYouGov/The Sun2,03432%36%10%12%5%4%4%
7–8 JulYouGov/The Sun2,07231%38%8%12%5%6%7%
6–7 JulYouGov/The Sun1,65034%37%9%13%4%3%3%
4–6 JulLord Ashcroft1,00527%34%11%15%6%7%7%
4–6 JulPopulus2,05331%38%9%14%4%4%7%
3–4 JulYouGov/Sunday Times2,09534%36%8%13%5%4%2%
2–3 JulPopulus2,02934%35%9%14%4%4%1%
2–3 JulYouGov/The Sun1,61135%36%8%12%4%4%1%
1–3 JulOpinium/The Observer1,94629%35%7%18%5%6%6%
1–2 JulYouGov/The Sun1,99135%37%8%12%5%3%2%
30 Jun–1 JulYouGov/The Sun2,07333%38%8%11%5%5%5%
29–30 JunYouGov/The Sun1,72935%37%8%12%3%5%2%
27–29 JunComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00530%32%7%18%5%8%2%
27–29 JunPopulus2,04933%37%10%12%4%4%4%
27–29 JunLord Ashcroft1,00633%31%9%15%6%6%2%
27 JunSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00027%36%7%22%5%3%9%
26–27 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,93633%37%8%14%5%3%4%
25–26 JunPopulus2,02134%35%8%13%5%5%1%
25–26 JunYouGov/The Sun1,99633%38%8%13%4%4%5%
24–25 JunYouGov/The Sun2,04432%37%7%14%5%5%5%
23–24 JunYouGov/The Sun1,98433%36%8%15%4%4%3%
22–23 JunYouGov/The Sun1,65232%36%9%15%4%4%4%
20–22 JunLord Ashcroft1,00628%33%9%17%7%6%5%
20–22 JunPopulus2,06232%37%9%13%3%5%5%
19–20 JunYouGov/Sunday Times2,01632%38%8%14%5%4%6%
18–19 JunPopulus2,03234%36%8%13%3%6%2%
18–19 JunYouGov/The Sun2,09733%37%8%15%3%4%4%
17–19 JunOpinium/The Observer1,94631%35%7%17%5%5%4%
17–18 JunYouGov/The Sun2,06634%38%7%13%5%3%4%
16–17 JunYouGov/The Sun1,89734%37%7%13%4%6%3%
14–17 JunIpsos MORI1,00131%34%8%14%8%5%3%
15–16 JunYouGov/The Sun1,69632%36%10%14%5%4%4%
13–15 JunICM/The Guardian[15]1,00131%32%10%16%6%5%1%
13–15 JunLord Ashcroft1,00129%35%8%15%6%7%6%
13–15 JunPopulus2,03633%37%9%13%4%4%4%
12–13 JunYouGov/Sunday Times2,10633%37%8%13%5%4%4%
11–13 JunComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,03432%34%7%18%4%5%2%
11–12 JunYouGov/The Sun on Sunday2,33733%36%8%14%5%4%3%
11–12 JunPopulus2,05132%35%8%15%5%5%3%
11–12 JunYouGov/The Sun2,18332%38%8%12%5%5%6%
10–12 JunTNS BMRB1,19529%35%6%23%7%6%
10–11 JunYouGov/The Sun2,15734%36%6%14%5%5%2%
9–10 JunYouGov/The Sun1,97435%37%8%12%3%5%2%
8–9 JunYouGov/The Sun1,68531%37%7%15%5%5%6%
6–8 JunLord Ashcroft1,00328%32%8%17%7%8%4%
6–8 JunPopulus2,03935%36%9%14%3%4%1%
5–6 JunYouGov/Sunday Times2,13433%37%7%14%5%4%4%
4–6 JunPopulus2,00634%35%9%14%5%4%1%
5 JunNewark by-election.
4–5 JunYouGov/The Sun2,10731%37%8%15%5%4%6%
3–5 JunOpinium/The Observer[permanent dead link]1,95031%35%6%19%4%5%4%
3–4 JunYouGov/The Sun1,95132%37%7%13%5%5%5%
2–3 JunYouGov/The Sun1,96232%36%8%14%5%4%4%
1–2 JunYouGov/The Sun1,74030%36%8%17%5%4%6%
30 May–1 JunLord Ashcroft[16]1,00025%34%6%19%7%8%9%
30 May–1 JunPopulus2,06232%37%10%13%3%5%5%
29–30 MayYouGov/Sunday Times2,09033%36%7%15%4%5%3%
28–29 MayPopulus2,01034%35%9%14%4%4%1%
28–29 MayYouGov/The Sun2,12331%38%7%16%4%5%7%
27–28 MayYouGov/The Sun2,10932%36%9%14%5%5%4%
26–27 MayYouGov/The Sun2,07932%34%8%15%5%5%2%
23–26 MayPopulus2,06034%36%9%14%3%4%2%
23–25 MayLord Ashcroft[16]1,00029%31%8%17%7%10%2%
25 May2014 European Parliament election results declared.
23 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01727%32%9%23%3%6%5%
22–23 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,89834%35%9%13%5%5%1%
20–23 MayOpinium/The Observer1,96832%33%7%19%4%5%1%
22 May2014 United Kingdom local elections.
21–22 MayPopulus2,04534%36%9%14%3%4%2%
21–22 MayYouGov/The Sun1,92234%34%9%14%5%4%Tie
20–21 MayYouGov/The Times, The Sun6,12433%36%9%13%4%5%3%
19–20 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,10628%34%9%20%3%6%6%
19–20 MayYouGov/The Sun1,87433%35%11%13%3%5%2%
18–19 MayYouGov/The Sun1,74033%37%9%11%6%4%4%
16–18 MayComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00830%35%8%14%5%8%5%
16–18 MayLord Ashcroft[16]1,00629%35%9%14%5%7%6%
16–18 MayPopulus2,02635%34%8%14%3%6%1%
15–16 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,89234%37%9%13%4%3%3%
14–15 MayComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,04529%33%8%19%4%7%4%
14–15 MayYouGov/The Sun2,08334%36%8%13%4%5%2%
14–15 MayPopulus2,04332%36%10%13%3%6%4%
13–14 MayYouGov/The Sun1,96832%35%10%13%4%5%3%
12–13 MayYouGov/The Sun1,97734%34%8%15%3%5%Tie
11–12 MayYouGov/The Sun1,68035%36%9%14%3%5%1%
10–12 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00331%34%9%11%8%7%3%
9–11 MayICM/The Guardian[15]1,00033%31%13%15%4%5%2%
9–11 MayLord Ashcroft[16]1,00134%32%9%15%5%6%2%
9–11 MayPopulus2,05635%36%8%13%3%5%1%
9 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00528%33%10%20%3%6%5%
8–9 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,90531%38%9%13%4%5%7%
7–8 MayPopulus2,00632%36%8%16%4%5%4%
7–8 MayYouGov/The Sun1,87534%35%8%13%4%6%1%
6–8 MayOpinium/The Observer1,99729%33%9%20%4%5%4%
6–7 MayYouGov/The Sun1,85834%37%8%13%3%5%3%
5–6 MayYouGov/The Sun1,93334%35%9%14%3%5%1%
2–5 MayPopulus2,03433%36%8%14%4%5%3%
2–3 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,00533%34%8%18%4%3%1%
1–2 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,94533%36%9%15%4%3%3%
30 Apr–1 MayYouGov/The Sun on Sunday1,84433%36%10%15%2%4%3%
30 Apr–1 MayPopulus2,06034%35%9%14%3%5%1%
30 Apr–1 MayYouGov/The Sun1,81333%36%10%14%3%4%3%
2 Apr–1 MayPopulus/Financial Times18,44834%36%10%13%3%4%2%
29–30 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89831%37%9%15%3%5%6%
28–29 AprYouGov/The Sun1,80432%37%9%14%3%5%5%
27–28 AprYouGov/The Sun1,62932%37%10%15%2%4%5%
25–27 AprPopulus2,05232%35%10%15%3%5%3%
24–25 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,83531%36%9%15%4%5%5%
22–25 AprOpinium/The Observer1,96532%34%7%18%3%6%2%
23–24 AprPopulus2,05535%35%9%13%3%5%Tie
23–24 AprYouGov/The Sun2,07232%38%8%14%4%4%6%
22–23 AprYouGov/The Sun2,14332%37%10%15%2%4%5%
21–22 AprYouGov/The Sun2,19034%37%10%12%2%5%3%
17–21 AprPopulus2,04933%36%10%13%3%4%3%
16–17 AprYouGov/The Sun1,88433%35%11%15%2%4%2%
15–16 AprPopulus2,06934%35%9%14%3%5%1%
15–16 AprYouGov/The Sun2,16633%39%9%11%3%5%6%
14–15 AprYouGov/The Sun2,16234%37%10%13%2%4%3%
13–14 AprYouGov/The Sun1,54133%38%9%12%3%5%5%
11–13 AprComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00030%36%9%12%4%9%6%
11–13 AprICM/The Guardian[15]1,00032%37%12%11%2%6%5%
11–13 AprPopulus2,01133%35%11%13%2%6%2%
10–11 AprYouGov/Sunday Times2,03632%38%8%14%2%6%6%
9–10 AprComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,00329%35%7%20%4%5%6%
9–10 AprPopulus2,05134%35%11%12%2%6%1%
9–10 AprYouGov/The Sun2,11132%38%8%14%2%5%6%
8–10 AprOpinium/The Observer1,97230%36%7%18%3%6%6%
8–9 AprYouGov/The Sun2,06133%36%10%14%2%5%3%
7–8 AprYouGov/The Sun2,14433%37%10%13%2%4%4%
6–7 AprYouGov/The Sun1,74833%36%10%14%2%5%3%
5–7 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00231%37%9%15%3%4%6%
4–6 AprPopulus2,03434%37%9%14%3%4%3%
4 AprSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00129%36%10%20%2%4%7%
3–4 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,99834%39%9%12%2%4%5%
2–3 AprPopulus2,06733%37%10%13%2%5%4%
2–3 AprYouGov/The Sun2,07632%38%10%13%3%4%6%
1–2 AprYouGov/The Sun2,14832%38%10%13%2%5%6%
31 Mar–1 AprYouGov/The Sun1,98133%37%10%12%2%6%4%
30–31 MarYouGov/The Sun1,69634%37%11%13%2%5%3%
28–30 MarPopulus2,00834%37%10%11%3%5%3%
5–30 MarPopulus/Financial Times16,42434%37%9%12%3%5%3%
27–28 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,91633%40%9%11%2%5%7%
27–28 MarPopulus2,06635%37%8%12%3%5%2%
25–28 MarOpinium/The Observer1,93632%33%10%15%3%7%1%
26–27 MarYouGov/The Sun2,03935%36%10%11%3%4%1%
25–26 MarYouGov/The Sun2,07035%37%9%11%2%5%2%
24–25 MarYouGov/The Sun1,95835%38%10%10%2%5%3%
23–24 MarYouGov/The Sun1,55836%38%10%10%2%4%2%
21–23 MarComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,02431%36%9%11%5%8%5%
21–23 MarPopulus2,03934%35%10%13%2%6%1%
20–21 MarYouGov/Sunday Times2,10336%37%9%11%2%5%1%
20–21 MarSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00034%35%9%15%2%5%1%
19–20 MarPopulus2,12234%38%9%12%2%5%4%
19–20 MarYouGov/The Sun1,90434%39%10%10%2%5%5%
18–19 MarYouGov/The Sun2,08833%38%11%11%3%4%5%
17–18 MarYouGov/The Sun2,28434%38%11%11%3%4%4%
16–17 MarYouGov/The Sun1,91932%40%9%11%3%4%8%
14–16 MarPopulus2,05332%36%10%13%3%6%4%
13–14 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,94633%40%8%12%2%4%7%
12–13 MarComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,00132%35%9%16%3%5%3%
12–13 MarPopulus2,05334%35%10%13%2%6%1%
12–13 MarYouGov/The Sun2,09833%38%11%10%2%6%5%
11–12 MarOpinium/The Observer1,97130%35%10%16%3%6%5%
11–12 MarYouGov/The Sun2,09535%37%9%13%2%4%2%
8–12 MarIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00032%35%13%11%5%4%3%
10–11 MarYouGov/The Sun2,04034%38%10%12%2%4%4%
7–11 MarICM/The Guardian[15]1,00335%38%12%9%3%3%3%
9–10 MarYouGov/The Sun3,19532%39%8%13%3%5%7%
7–9 MarPopulus2,05834%38%9%12%3%4%4%
6–7 MarYouGov/Sunday Times2,02932%39%10%14%2%3%7%
5–6 MarPopulus2,02534%37%9%12%3%5%3%
5–6 MarYouGov/The Sun1,83331%40%9%13%3%4%9%
4–5 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86834%37%10%11%3%5%3%
3–4 MarYouGov/The Sun2,04134%38%9%13%2%4%4%
2–3 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86832%41%8%12%1%6%9%
28 Feb–2 MarComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00430%38%10%11%4%7%8%
28 Feb–2 MarPopulus2,05534%37%10%12%3%4%3%
27–28 FebYouGov/Sunday Times2,09833%38%9%13%2%5%5%
25–28 FebOpinium/The Observer1,94629%34%10%19%3%5%5%
26–27 FebPopulus1,13133%38%9%13%3%5%5%
5–27 FebPopulus/Financial Times14,20333%37%10%14%3%3%4%
26–27 FebYouGov/The Sun1,86834%39%8%12%3%4%5%
25–26 FebYouGov/The Sun2,06234%40%10%11%3%4%6%
24–25 FebYouGov/The Sun1,93633%39%10%11%3%4%6%
23–24 FebYouGov/The Sun1,77333%38%10%13%2%5%5%
21–23 FebPopulus2,05232%37%10%15%2%4%5%
20–21 FebYouGov/Sunday Times2,14132%39%8%12%2%6%7%
19–20 FebPopulus2,06632%38%9%13%3%5%6%
19–20 FebYouGov/The Sun1,75634%39%9%12%2%4%5%
18–19 FebYouGov/The Sun1,76633%37%10%12%3%5%4%
17–18 FebYouGov/The Sun1,75833%40%8%12%3%4%7%
16–17 FebYouGov/The Sun1,64533%40%9%11%2%5%7%
14–16 FebPopulus2,03133%38%10%13%3%3%5%
13–14 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,86832%39%9%12%3%6%7%
11–14 FebOpinium/The Observer1,96928%37%8%17%2%8%9%
13 FebWythenshawe and Sale East by-election.
12–13 FebPopulus2,01532%38%9%14%3%4%6%
12–13 FebComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,03132%37%9%15%2%5%5%
12–13 FebYouGov/The Sun1,89633%39%9%12%2%5%6%
11–12 FebYouGov/The Sun1,82632%39%8%13%2%6%7%
10–11 FebYouGov/The Sun1,89934%39%10%11%2%4%5%
9–10 FebYouGov/The Sun1,68533%39%10%12%2%4%6%
7–9 FebICM/The Guardian[15]1,00234%38%10%11%3%5%4%
7–9 FebPopulus2,01334%36%11%12%3%4%2%
6–7 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,52135%39%10%10%3%3%4%
5–6 FebPopulus2,01533%36%9%15%2%5%3%
5–6 FebYouGov/The Sun1,91132%38%10%14%2%4%6%
4–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,90235%39%9%10%2%4%4%
3–4 FebYouGov/The Sun1,94233%39%8%13%3%4%6%
2–3 FebYouGov/The Sun1,74133%38%11%11%1%6%5%
1–3 FebIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01231%38%12%10%3%6%7%
31 Jan–2 FebPopulus2,04332%41%11%9%3%4%9%
30–31 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,88534%39%8%11%3%5%5%
28–31 JanOpinium/The Observer1,97229%36%8%17%3%6%7%
29–30 JanPopulus2,04432%39%11%10%3%4%7%
29–30 JanYouGov/The Sun1,94232%42%8%12%2%4%10%
28–29 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88435%38%10%11%2%4%3%
27–28 JanYouGov/The Sun1,81434%37%9%12%3%5%3%
26–27 JanYouGov/The Sun1,38135%37%9%13%2%5%2%
24–26 JanComRes/Independent1,00232%33%9%14%5%7%1%
24–26 JanPopulus2,05233%40%11%8%3%5%7%
23–24 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,85932%39%9%13%2%5%7%
22–23 JanPopulus2,05132%40%11%9%3%5%8%
22–23 JanYouGov/The Sun1,84035%38%8%12%2%5%3%
21–22 JanYouGov/The Sun1,84332%40%8%12%3%5%8%
20–21 JanYouGov/The Sun1,96134%38%9%13%3%3%4%
19–20 JanYouGov/The Sun1,68232%40%11%12%2%3%8%
7–20 JanLord Ashcroft20,05830%38%8%16%3%5%8%
17–19 JanPopulus2,02732%39%12%9%3%5%7%
16–17 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,95733%39%8%13%2%5%6%
15–16 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02930%35%8%19%3%5%5%
15–16 JanPopulus2,03933%40%13%9%2%3%7%
15–16 JanYouGov/The Sun1,98132%39%10%12%2%5%7%
14–16 JanOpinium/The Observer1,93030%36%8%17%3%6%6%
14–15 JanSurvation/Sky News1,00530%34%12%18%2%4%4%
14–15 JanYouGov/The Sun1,89333%39%10%12%2%4%6%
13–14 JanYouGov/The Sun2,00034%37%9%13%2%5%3%
11–14 JanIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,03530%39%13%11%3%4%9%
12–13 JanYouGov/The Sun1,76233%38%11%12%2%4%5%
10–12 JanICM/The Guardian[15]1,00532%35%14%10%3%6%3%
10–11 JanPopulus2,07933%38%12%9%3%5%5%
9–10 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,90431%40%9%14%2%4%9%
8–9 JanPopulus2,01233%40%11%8%3%5%7%
8–9 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88732%38%9%13%2%6%6%
7–8 JanYouGov/The Sun1,95832%38%9%13%3%5%6%
6–7 JanYouGov/The Sun1,97232%37%10%14%3%4%5%
5–6 JanYouGov/The Sun1,72932%40%9%12%2%5%8%
3 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00131%35%11%16%2%5%4%
30 Dec–2 JanOpinium/The Observer1,93930%37%8%17%3%5%7%

2013

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
20–22 DecPopulus2,01335%37%12%9%3%4%2%
19–20 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,88634%40%9%11%2%4%6%
18–19 DecPopulus2,05532%40%12%8%3%5%8%
18–19 DecYouGov/The Sun1,78434%39%11%12%1%3%5%
17–18 DecYouGov/The Sun1,93734%38%10%11%2%5%4%
16–17 DecYouGov/The Sun1,79133%41%10%11%2%3%8%
15–16 DecYouGov/The Sun1,66636%38%8%11%2%5%2%
13–15 DecComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00332%37%9%10%5%7%5%
13–15 DecPopulus2,05833%40%13%8%2%4%7%
12–13 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,84632%38%9%13%2%6%6%
11–13 DecComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02729%36%8%18%4%5%7%
10–13 DecOpinium/The Observer1,94930%37%8%16%4%5%7%
11–12 DecPopulus2,02433%38%13%9%3%4%5%
11–12 DecYouGov/The Sun1,90235%39%9%11%2%4%4%
10–11 DecYouGov/The Sun1,91633%39%9%13%2%4%6%
9–10 DecYouGov/The Sun1,85234%39%9%12%2%4%5%
8–9 DecYouGov/The Sun1,76633%38%10%13%2%4%5%
7–9 DecIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01133%37%9%10%5%6%4%
6–8 DecICM/The Guardian[permanent dead link]1,00132%37%12%9%3%6%5%
6–8 DecPopulus2,02733%41%11%7%3%5%8%
5–6 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,80234%39%10%11%3%3%5%
4–5 DecPopulus2,03834%38%13%7%3%5%4%
4–5 DecYouGov/The Sun1,83329%41%9%14%2%5%12%
3–4 DecYouGov/The Sun1,94334%40%10%10%3%4%6%
2–3 DecYouGov/The Sun1,93532%40%9%12%3%4%8%
1–2 DecYouGov/The Sun1,69932%38%10%12%2%6%6%
29 Nov–1 DecPopulus2,01233%40%10%9%3%5%8%
28–29 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,79630%38%10%15%2%5%8%
26–29 NovOpinium/The Observer1,94128%35%8%19%4%6%7%
27–28 NovPopulus2,02535%38%12%7%3%5%3%
27–28 NovYouGov/The Sun1,81733%39%8%14%2%4%6%
26–27 NovYouGov/The Sun1,88832%39%10%13%2%4%7%
25–26 NovYouGov/The Sun1,91932%39%10%12%3%4%7%
24–25 NovYouGov/The Sun1,68132%40%10%12%2%4%8%
22–24 NovComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00232%37%9%11%3%8%5%
22–24 NovPopulus2,07534%39%12%7%2%6%5%
21–22 NovSurvation/Daily Star1,00629%36%10%18%3%4%7%
21–22 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,86733%40%9%11%2%5%7%
20–21 NovPopulus2,02833%38%11%11%2%5%5%
20–21 NovYouGov/The Sun1,90932%39%10%12%2%5%7%
19–20 NovYouGov/The Sun1,86532%40%9%12%3%4%8%
18–19 NovYouGov/The Sun2,10834%38%10%11%2%5%4%
17–18 NovYouGov/The Sun1,65032%39%11%12%2%4%7%
15–17 NovPopulus2,01032%41%10%9%2%6%9%
14–15 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,85133%39%10%12%2%4%6%
13–15 NovComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02329%35%10%17%5%4%6%
13–14 NovPopulus2,05131%40%11%10%3%5%9%
13–14 NovYouGov/The Sun1,76532%40%10%13%2%3%8%
12–14 NovOpinium/The Observer1,94628%37%9%16%4%6%9%
12–13 NovYouGov/The Sun1,99831%39%9%13%2%6%8%
11–12 NovYouGov/The Sun2,03232%42%8%10%3%5%10%
10–11 NovYouGov/The Sun1,75233%40%9%11%3%4%7%
9–11 NovIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01932%38%8%8%7%8%6%
7–11 NovTNS BMRB1,21030%38%8%12%4%7%8%
8–10 NovICM/The Guardian1,00430%38%13%10%3%7%8%
8–10 NovPopulus2,05331%39%11%10%3%6%8%
4–10 NovLord Ashcroft8,05330%39%8%16%3%5%9%
7–8 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,87834%39%10%11%2%4%5%
6–7 NovPopulus2,01932%39%12%9%3%5%7%
6–7 NovYouGov/The Sun1,80633%39%10%11%2%5%6%
5–6 NovYouGov/The Sun1,82533%40%9%12%3%4%7%
4–5 NovYouGov/The Sun1,87634%40%8%11%2%6%6%
3–4 NovYouGov/The Sun1,74733%40%9%12%2%4%7%
1–3 NovPopulus2,01434%39%10%10%3%4%5%
25 Sep–3 NovPopulus14,70134%39%12%9%3%3%5%
31 Oct–1 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,88532%41%8%12%2%5%9%
29 Oct–1 NovOpinium/The Observer1,95731%37%7%16%3%6%6%
30–31 OctPopulus2,01533%40%11%9%2%5%7%
30–31 OctYouGov/The Sun1,67135%39%9%10%2%5%4%
29–30 OctYouGov/The Sun1,86233%40%8%11%2%6%7%
28–29 OctYouGov/The Sun1,95633%39%10%11%2%5%6%
27–28 OctYouGov/The Sun1,73631%40%9%12%3%5%9%
25–27 OctComRes/Independent1,00328%36%11%12%5%8%8%
25–27 OctPopulus2,06533%38%12%9%3%5%5%
25 OctSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00029%35%12%17%2%5%6%
24–25 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,91333%39%9%12%3%5%6%
23–24 OctPopulus2,01134%39%11%10%3%3%5%
23–24 OctYouGov/The Sun1,67732%38%10%13%3%5%6%
22–23 OctYouGov/The Sun1,89532%39%9%11%3%5%7%
21–22 OctYouGov/The Sun2,08932%40%10%13%2%3%8%
20–21 OctYouGov/The Sun1,73533%38%9%13%2%4%5%
18–21 OctSurvation/Free Speech Network1,00429%37%10%16%3%4%8%
18–19 OctPopulus2,01834%37%14%8%3%4%3%
17–18 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,31133%39%10%11%2%5%6%
16–18 OctComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,00132%35%9%16%3%5%3%
15–18 OctOpinium/The Observer1,93627%38%9%17%4%4%11%
16–17 OctPopulus2,04333%39%12%9%2%5%6%
16–17 OctYouGov/The Sun1,88534%40%9%11%2%4%6%
15–16 OctYouGov/The Sun1,91435%39%8%12%2%3%4%
14–15 OctYouGov/The Sun1,80534%39%9%11%2%5%5%
12–15 OctIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00435%35%9%10%4%7%Tie
13–14 OctYouGov/The Sun1,85737%38%10%10%2%3%1%
10–14 OctTNS BMRB1,20734%36%9%13%3%5%2%
11–13 OctPopulus2,04234%39%12%8%3%4%5%
11–13 OctICM/The Guardian[15]1,00434%38%12%8%3%5%4%
11 OctSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01727%37%11%18%2%5%10%
10–11 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,77334%39%9%11%3%5%5%
9–10 OctPopulus2,01334%39%12%8%3%4%5%
9–10 OctYouGov/The Sun1,85933%40%10%11%2%4%7%
8–9 OctYouGov/The Sun1,90732%38%11%13%3%3%6%
7–8 OctYouGov/The Sun1,87933%39%10%10%3%5%6%
6–7 OctYouGov/The Sun1,65535%39%9%10%3%3%4%
4–6 OctPopulus2,05033%40%10%10%3%4%7%
3–4 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,98533%38%11%13%2%3%5%
1–4 OctOpinium/The Observer1,94831%36%7%15%4%7%5%
2–3 OctPopulus2,01433%38%11%10%3%5%5%
2–3 OctYouGov/The Sun1,88335%38%9%10%2%5%3%
1–2 OctYouGov/The Sun1,76534%40%9%10%3%4%6%
30 Sep–1 OctYouGov/The Sun1,91431%41%8%12%2%5%10%
29–30 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71733%39%11%13%2%3%6%
27–29 SepComRes/Independent1,00133%37%11%11%3%5%4%
27–29 SepPopulus2,00636%39%11%7%3%4%3%
26–27 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,89531%42%9%13%2%4%11%
25–26 SepPopulus2,01534%37%12%9%2%6%3%
25–26 SepYouGov/The Sun1,84033%40%9%11%2%5%7%
24–25 SepYouGov/The Sun1,91932%41%8%11%3%4%9%
23–24 SepYouGov/The Sun1,90534%39%10%10%3%4%5%
22–23 SepYouGov/The Sun1,76332%40%10%12%2%3%8%
14 Aug–22 SepPopulus14,61633%38%12%9%3%5%5%
20–22 SepPopulus2,03633%39%14%9%2%3%6%
19–20 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,95633%37%11%11%3%5%4%
17–20 SepOpinium/The Observer1,92929%36%7%17%4%7%7%
18–19 SepPopulus2,04333%39%11%9%3%5%6%
18–19 SepComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,00328%36%10%17%4%5%8%
18–19 SepYouGov/The Sun1,87834%35%11%11%3%5%1%
17–18 SepYouGov/The Sun1,85336%36%10%12%2%4%Tie
16–17 SepYouGov/The Sun1,79233%37%9%13%3%4%4%
15–16 SepYouGov/The Sun1,63634%37%10%12%3%5%3%
12–16 SepTNS BMRB1,22429%39%9%14%2%7%10%
13–15 SepICM/The Guardian[permanent dead link][15]1,00032%36%14%9%4%5%4%
13–15 SepPopulus2,05333%40%11%9%2%5%7%
12–13 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,90333%38%9%12%3%5%5%
11–12 SepPopulus2,01834%41%10%7%3%5%7%
11–12 SepYouGov/The Sun1,81934%38%8%13%3%5%4%
10–11 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71932%39%10%12%2%4%7%
9–10 SepYouGov/The Sun1,57933%39%9%11%3%5%6%
8–9 SepYouGov/The Sun1,61533%38%8%14%3%4%5%
7–9 SepIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00034%37%10%11%3%5%3%
6–8 SepPopulus2,02534%37%13%9%2%5%3%
5–6 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,91634%38%9%12%3%4%4%
3–6 SepOpinium/The Observer1,94230%35%7%17%4%7%5%
4–5 SepPopulus2,03633%37%14%8%3%4%4%
4–5 SepYouGov/The Sun1,89131%38%10%13%2%6%7%
3–4 SepYouGov/The Sun1,93033%39%10%12%2%5%6%
2–3 SepYouGov/The Sun1,97833%37%9%13%3%5%4%
1–2 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71733%40%9%12%2%5%7%
29 Aug–2 SepTNS BMRB1,23028%39%11%13%3%7%11%
30 Aug–1 SepLord Ashcroft1,00530%35%11%14%4%6%5%
30 Aug–1 SepComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]2,00031%37%12%10%4%6%6%
30 Aug–1 SepPopulus2,02034%38%12%8%3%4%4%
30–31 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,82231%41%9%13%2%4%10%
30 AugSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00229%37%11%17%2%5%8%
28–29 AugPopulus2,04133%39%12%9%2%5%6%
28–29 AugYouGov/The Sun1,95433%37%10%12%3%5%4%
27–28 AugYouGov/The Sun1,88634%37%11%12%2%5%3%
26–27 AugYouGov/The Sun1,99134%39%8%12%2%5%5%
23–26 AugPopulus2,04433%37%13%10%2%5%4%
22–23 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,94932%38%10%13%3%5%6%
20–23 AugOpinium/The Observer1,94729%36%8%18%4%5%7%
21–22 AugPopulus2,05030%38%12%12%3%5%8%
21–22 AugYouGov/The Sun1,87132%39%11%10%2%5%7%
20–21 AugYouGov/The Sun1,85834%37%9%13%3%4%3%
19–20 AugYouGov/The Sun1,94032%39%10%12%3%4%7%
18–19 AugYouGov/The Sun1,72931%38%10%14%3%6%7%
16–18 AugPopulus2,03432%38%12%11%3%4%6%
15–16 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,86632%38%10%13%3%5%6%
14–15 AugPopulus2,05036%39%10%8%2%5%3%
14–15 AugYouGov/The Sun1,86534%39%9%11%2%5%5%
14–15 AugComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,00128%37%8%19%3%5%9%
13–14 AugYouGov/The Sun1,91432%38%11%13%2%4%6%
12–13 AugYouGov/The Sun1,96035%38%10%11%2%5%3%
11–12 AugYouGov/The Sun1,66033%40%8%13%2%5%7%
10–12 AugIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00730%40%10%11%6%3%10%
9–11 AugICM/The Guardian[15]1,00132%35%14%10%3%5%3%
9–11 AugPopulus2,01433%39%12%10%2%4%6%
8–9 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,83433%41%9%10%3%4%8%
7–8 AugYouGov/The Sun1,73534%38%9%12%2%5%4%
6–8 AugOpinium/The Observer1,94529%36%9%17%3%6%7%
6–7 AugYouGov/The Sun1,88431%39%11%11%4%4%8%
5–6 AugYouGov/The Sun1,97932%39%10%11%2%5%7%
4–5 AugYouGov/The Sun1,68434%38%11%12%2%5%4%
2–4 AugPopulus2,00633%38%12%9%3%5%5%
2 AugSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00128%36%11%18%1%6%8%
1–2 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,95232%38%10%13%2%5%6%
31 Jul–1 AugPopulus2,02729%40%11%12%3%5%11%
31 Jul–1 AugYouGov/The Sun1,99534%40%10%11%3%2%6%
30–31 JulYouGov/The Sun1,86933%38%10%14%2%3%5%
29–30 JulYouGov/The Sun1,86934%40%11%10%2%4%6%
28–29 JulYouGov/The Sun1,75133%40%10%12%2%3%7%
26–28 JulPopulus2,04934%39%11%8%3%5%5%
25–27 JulComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00134%37%10%12%4%4%3%
25–26 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,85733%39%10%11%2%5%6%
23–26 JulOpinium/The Observer1,93528%39%8%16%3%6%11%
24–25 JulPopulus2,00532%39%11%10%3%5%7%
24–25 JulYouGov/The Sun1,81732%38%11%11%3%5%6%
23–24 JulYouGov/The Sun1,92635%39%8%11%3%4%4%
22–23 JulYouGov/The Sun1,96832%39%11%12%2%4%7%
21–22 JulYouGov/The Sun1,71035%38%11%10%2%4%3%
18–22 JulTNS BMRB1,23228%38%9%16%2%7%10%
19–21 JulPopulus2,04932%39%12%9%2%6%7%
18–19 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,87732%39%10%11%2%5%7%
17–18 JulYouGov/The Sun1,86633%38%11%11%2%5%5%
17–18 JulPopulus2,00431%39%12%10%3%4%8%
16–17 JulYouGov/The Sun1,87431%37%12%13%3%5%6%
15–16 JulYouGov/The Sun1,96532%38%10%12%2%6%6%
14–15 JulYouGov/The Sun1,70131%40%11%11%2%7%9%
12–14 JulICM/The Guardian[17]1,00336%36%13%7%3%5%Tie
12–14 JulPopulus2,04431%38%13%10%4%4%7%
11–12 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,85730%41%10%13%2%4%11%
11–12 JulSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00628%36%9%20%4%3%8%
10–12 JulOpinium/The Observer1,95127%38%6%19%4%6%11%
10–11 JulComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02128%36%8%18%4%6%8%
9–10 JulYouGov/The Sun1,95532%37%11%12%3%4%5%
8–9 JulYouGov/The Sun1,93831%39%10%13%3%4%8%
7–8 JulYouGov/The Sun1,93834%40%10%10%2%4%6%
4–5 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,66033%39%11%12%2%4%6%
3–4 JulYouGov/The Sun1,79231%39%11%12%2%5%8%
3 JulSurvation/Mirror1,08523%36%10%22%4%5%13%
2–3 JulYouGov/The Sun1,92332%40%9%13%2%4%8%
1–2 JulYouGov/The Sun1,96732%40%9%12%3%4%8%
30 Jun–1 JulYouGov/The Sun1,62033%38%8%12%2%6%5%
27–28 JunYouGov/The Sunday Times1,96733%38%11%11%2%5%5%
25–28 JunOpinium/The Observer1,95427%37%7%19%3%7%10%
26–27 JunYouGov/The Sun1,92033%39%10%13%3%2%6%
25–26 JunYouGov/The Sun1,91531%42%11%10%3%4%11%
24–25 JunYouGov/The Sun1,86032%40%11%11%2%4%8%
23–24 JunYouGov/The Sun1,69432%39%9%12%3%4%7%
21–23 JunComRes/Independent1,00030%36%10%14%5%4%6%
20–21 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,91631%39%10%13%3%4%8%
19–20 JunYouGov/The Sun1,87231%39%11%14%2%3%8%
18–19 JunYouGov/The Sun1,84732%38%10%13%2%4%6%
17–18 JunYouGov/The Sun1,92131%38%10%12%2%6%7%
16–17 JunYouGov/The Sun1,70531%40%10%13%2%4%9%
13–14 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,89730%39%10%14%2%5%9%
12–14 JunOpinium/The Observer1,94227%36%7%20%3%8%9%
12–13 JunComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,04126%35%10%19%4%6%9%
12–13 JunYouGov/The Sun1,86132%39%10%12%2%5%7%
11–12 JunYouGov/The Sun1,92630%38%11%12%3%5%8%
10–11 JunYouGov/The Sun1,87430%38%9%16%3%4%8%
9–10 JunYouGov/The Sun1,68928%39%11%15%2%5%11%
8–10 JunIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02331%35%10%12%4%8%4%
6–10 JunTNS BMRB1,20827%36%8%19%3%7%9%
7–9 JunICM/The Guardian1,00229%36%12%12%2%8%7%
6–7 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,83630%40%9%14%2%5%10%
5–6 JunYouGov/The Sun1,90532%39%10%13%3%3%7%
4–5 JunYouGov/The Sun1,93930%39%10%14%3%4%9%
3–4 JunYouGov/The Sun1,97430%40%10%14%2%4%10%
3 JunYouGov/The Sun1,38731%38%10%16%2%3%7%
30 May–3 JunTNS BMRB1,19024%37%10%19%3%7%13%
31 May–2 JunLord Ashcroft1,00727%37%9%15%12%10%
30–31 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,87930%39%10%15%2%4%9%
28–31 MayOpinium/The Observer1,94826%37%6%21%4%6%11%
30 MaySurvation/Sun on Sunday1,00725%36%10%20%4%5%11%
29–30 MayYouGov/The Sun1,92830%38%11%14%3%4%8%
28–29 MayYouGov/The Sun1,91530%37%11%14%3%5%7%
17–29 MayLord Ashcroft20,06227%38%9%18%3%5%11%
27–28 MayYouGov/The Sun1,99529%39%10%15%3%5%10%
24–26 MayComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00030%34%10%17%2%7%4%
24 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,12124%35%10%22%4%5%11%
23–24 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,83930%40%10%14%2%4%10%
22–24 MayComRes/Open Europe2,00326%37%9%20%3%5%11%
22–23 MayYouGov/The Sun1,67129%42%11%13%2%4%13%
21–22 MayYouGov/The Sun1,81029%39%11%16%1%4%10%
20–21 MayYouGov/The Sun1,91427%38%10%16%4%5%11%
19–20 MayYouGov/The Sun1,77031%39%10%14%2%4%8%
17–18 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00024%35%11%22%0%8%11%
16–17 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,80929%40%9%14%3%5%11%
15–16 MayComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,01729%35%8%19%4%5%6%
15–16 MayYouGov/The Sun1,77431%39%9%15%2%4%8%
14–16 MayOpinium/The Observer1,95527%37%7%20%4%5%10%
14–16 MayTNS BMRB1,26428%37%7%18%4%6%9%
14–15 MayYouGov/The Sun1,88630%40%10%14%2%5%10%
13–14 MayYouGov/The Sun1,90030%40%10%15%2%3%10%
12–13 MayYouGov/The Sun1,74831%38%10%14%2%5%7%
11–13 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00931%34%10%13%5%8%3%
10–12 MayICM/The Guardian1,00128%34%11%18%2%7%6%
9–10 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,94530%39%9%16%3%3%9%
8–9 MayYouGov/The Sun1,87630%39%10%14%2%4%9%
7–8 MayYouGov/The Sun1,93127%38%11%17%2%5%11%
6–7 MayYouGov/The Sun2,00029%39%9%16%2%5%10%
2–3 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,95930%40%11%12%2%5%10%
2 May2013 United Kingdom local elections, and 2013 South Shields by-election.
1–2 MayYouGov/The Sun1,85132%43%9%10%1%5%11%
30 Apr–2 MayOpinium/The Observer1,95128%35%9%17%4%7%7%
30 Apr–1 MayYouGov/The Sun1,78433%39%10%13%2%3%6%
29–30 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89130%39%11%14%2%4%9%
28–29 AprYouGov/The Sun1,63230%39%11%14%3%4%9%
26–28 AprComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00132%38%9%13%4%4%6%
26–28 AprSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00129%36%12%16%3%5%7%
25–26 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,89831%40%11%11%3%5%9%
24–25 AprYouGov/The Sun1,83632%40%11%12%2%3%8%
23–24 AprYouGov/The Sun1,99731%39%10%11%3%5%8%
22–23 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93433%40%10%12%3%3%7%
21–22 AprYouGov/The Sun1,72232%39%11%13%2%4%7%
18–19 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,90332%40%11%10%2%5%8%
17–18 AprYouGov/The Sun1,91233%40%10%11%2%5%7%
16–18 AprOpinium/The Observer1,96929%35%8%17%4%7%6%
16–17 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93730%41%10%12%2%5%11%
15–16 AprYouGov/The Sun1,95233%40%10%11%2%4%7%
13–15 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01029%38%10%15%4%4%9%
14–15 AprYouGov/The Sun1,60931%39%12%12%2%4%8%
12–14 AprICM/The Guardian1,00532%38%15%9%2%5%6%
12–13 AprAngus Reid Public Opinion2,00427%39%8%16%3%7%12%
11–12 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,98231%42%12%11%2%3%11%
10–11 AprComRes/Independent/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,01230%38%8%15%3%6%8%
10–11 AprYouGov/The Sun1,97632%42%9%11%2%4%10%
9–10 AprYouGov/The Sun2,03528%42%12%11%2%5%14%
8–9 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89333%41%10%10%2%4%8%
7–8 AprYouGov/The Sun1,76530%40%12%12%2%4%10%
4–8 AprTNS BMRB1,18425%40%10%14%4%7%15%
4–5 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,99130%40%11%13%2%4%10%
3–4 AprYouGov/The Sun2,01330%42%11%12%2%4%12%
2–4 AprOpinium/The Observer1,94828%38%8%17%3%6%10%
2–3 AprYouGov/The Sun1,99433%41%9%11%2%4%8%
1–2 AprYouGov/The Sun1,75730%43%11%10%3%3%13%
27–28 MarYouGov/The Sun1,91829%42%11%13%2%3%13%
26–27 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86730%40%12%13%2%3%10%
25–26 MarYouGov/The Sun2,04730%39%13%12%2%3%9%
24–25 MarYouGov/The Sun1,65530%41%13%11%2%4%11%
21–25 MarTNS BMRB1,20427%37%10%17%3%7%10%
22–24 MarComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00328%38%12%14%3%5%10%
21–22 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,93730%41%12%12%2%3%11%
20–21 MarYouGov/The Sun1,92532%41%11%10%2%4%9%
19–21 MarOpinium/The Observer1,95828%38%9%16%2%7%10%
19–20 MarYouGov/The Sun1,94230%41%11%12%1%5%11%
18–19 MarYouGov/The Sun1,92031%41%11%11%2%4%10%
17–18 MarYouGov/The Sun1,77932%40%11%10%2%4%8%
14–18 MarTNS BMRB1,20526%39%13%13%2%6%13%
14–15 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,91829%41%12%12%2%4%12%
13–14 MarComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,01528%37%9%17%4%5%9%
13–14 MarYouGov/The Sun1,96230%42%11%11%2%5%12%
12–13 MarYouGov/The Sun1,87131%40%11%12%3%4%9%
11–12 MarYouGov/The Sun1,96929%43%11%12%1%4%14%
10–11 MarYouGov/The Sun1,68432%40%11%11%1%5%8%
9–11 MarIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00927%40%11%13%4%5%13%
7–11 MarTNS BMRB1,19125%38%11%15%3%7%13%
8–10 MarICM/The Guardian1,00231%39%15%7%2%6%8%
7–8 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,52531%41%12%11%1%4%10%
6–7 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86532%41%11%11%2%4%9%
5–7 MarOpinium/The Observer1,95027%39%8%17%3%6%12%
5–6 MarYouGov/The Sun1,96431%41%11%12%2%4%10%
4–5 MarYouGov/The Sun1,90629%42%11%12%2%4%13%
3–4 MarYouGov/The Sun1,72731%40%12%12%1%5%9%
28 Feb–4 MarTNS BMRB1,19429%38%11%14%3%6%9%
28 Feb–1 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,89731%42%10%11%2%3%11%
28 Feb2013 Eastleigh by-election.
27–28 FebYouGov/The Sun1,76129%42%12%11%2%4%13%
26–27 FebYouGov/The Sun1,96632%43%11%8%1%5%11%
25–26 FebYouGov/The Sun1,92532%42%12%9%1%5%10%
24–25 FebYouGov/The Sun1,70432%44%10%8%2%4%12%
22–24 FebYouGov/The Sunday Times1,96432%43%11%9%2%3%11%
22–24 FebComRes/Independent1,00531%43%8%9%4%5%12%
20–21 FebYouGov/The Sun1,92031%45%11%9%2%2%14%
19–21 FebOpinium/The Observer1,95629%41%8%13%2%7%12%
19–20 FebYouGov/The Sun1,96833%43%9%10%2%3%10%
18–19 FebYouGov/The Sun1,85529%44%11%11%1%4%15%
17–18 FebYouGov/The Sun1,71332%41%12%8%2%4%9%
14–18 FebTNS BMRB1,21129%38%11%12%3%7%9%
14–15 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,87132%43%12%9%1%3%11%
13–14 FebComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,00231%36%8%14%4%6%5%
13–14 FebYouGov/The Sun1,89231%42%11%10%2%3%11%
12–13 FebYouGov/The Sun1,94632%42%9%9%3%4%10%
11–12 FebYouGov/The Sun1,90232%43%10%9%2%4%11%
10–11 FebYouGov/The Sun1,69131%42%11%9%2%5%11%
9–11 FebIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01830%42%7%9%4%8%12%
7–11 FebTNS BMRB1,19731%41%10%10%3%5%10%
8–10 FebICM/The Guardian1,00129%41%13%9%2%6%12%
7–8 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,93032%41%11%9%2%5%9%
6–7 FebYouGov/The Sun1,91733%41%11%9%2%4%8%
5–7 FebOpinium/The Observer1,95329%39%8%14%4%5%10%
5–6 FebYouGov/The Sun1,95531%42%12%9%1%4%11%
4–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,96232%42%11%8%2%5%10%
3–4 FebYouGov/The Sun1,71230%45%11%9%2%3%15%
31 Jan–4 FebTNS BMRB1,19928%41%10%11%3%7%13%
31 Jan–1 FebYouGov/Sunday Times2,03034%41%12%8%1%4%7%
30–31 JanYouGov/The Sun1,91432%44%10%8%2%3%12%
29–30 JanYouGov/The Sun1,93933%42%10%7%2%5%9%
28–29 JanYouGov/The Sun1,97133%42%11%8%2%4%9%
27–28 JanYouGov/The Sun1,72735%41%10%9%2%3%6%
25–27 JanComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00232%39%10%10%5%4%7%
25 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00531%38%10%14%2%5%7%
24–25 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,94335%41%12%7%1%4%6%
24–25 JanAngus Reid Public Opinion2,00430%39%10%12%3%6%9%
23–25 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,03533%39%11%10%2%5%6%
23–24 JanYouGov/The Sun1,84333%43%10%9%2%3%10%
22–24 JanOpinium/The Observer1,94928%41%8%14%3%6%13%
22–24 JanTNS BMRB1,23731%41%8%12%3%6%10%
22–23 JanYouGov/The Sun2,04531%43%11%10%2%3%12%
21–22 JanYouGov/The Sun2,11931%41%12%10%2%3%10%
20–21 JanYouGov/The Sun1,67533%42%10%10%2%2%9%
18–20 JanICM/The Guardian1,00133%38%15%6%2%5%5%
17–18 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,91233%42%11%7%2%5%9%
16–17 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88734%44%9%8%2%3%10%
15–16 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88033%42%12%8%2%3%9%
14–15 JanYouGov/The Sun2,00732%44%10%9%2%3%12%
13–14 JanYouGov/The Sun1,71431%44%11%9%2%3%13%
12–14 JanIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01530%43%8%9%3%8%13%
11–14 JanTNS BMRB1,19831%37%9%13%3%7%6%
10–11 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,99531%44%11%8%2%4%13%
10–11 JanAngus Reid Public Opinion2,01527%42%10%11%3%6%15%
8–11 JanOpinium/The Observer1,96431%41%7%12%2%9%10%
9–10 JanYouGov/The Sun1,97131%42%11%10%2%3%11%
8–9 JanYouGov/The Sun1,98033%43%10%10%2%2%10%
7–8 JanYouGov/The Sun2,05032%44%10%9%2%3%12%
6–7 JanYouGov/The Sun1,75032%41%11%9%2%5%9%
4–7 JanTNS BMRB1,22129%39%10%12%3%7%10%
5 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday79029%38%11%16%3%4%9%
3–4 JanYouGov/The Sun1,98832%43%10%9%2%4%11%
2–3 JanYouGov/The Sun2,00532%43%10%9%2%4%11%
1–2 JanYouGov/The Sun1,76031%43%11%9%2%4%12%

2012

2011

2010

Sub-national polling


Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.

Leadership approval polling


Methodology


Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods is as follows:

  • Angus Reid Public Opinion collects its data through online internet surveys, and demographically weights its data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender, social class, the region of the country lived in and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England and Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.[18]
  • BMG Research[19] is a Birmingham-based social research company which carried out its first political poll from 25 to 27 April 2015 for PoliticsHome,[20] May2015[21] and the Electoral Reform Society, with the voting intention questions being commissioned by May2015.[13] BMG carries out its fieldwork online and weights for past vote and likelihood to vote with people who did not vote at the previous General Election weighted down by 50%.[22] BMG Research is not a member of the British Polling Council but is applying for membership and abides by BPC rules in carrying out opinion polls. It is recognised by the BPC as a market researcher.[23][24]
  • ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect its data; all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. It is not shown explicitly in the tables in this article whether a particular poll has been conducted by telephone or online but in general those polls with the smaller samples (~1,000) are telephone polls and those with the larger samples (~2,000) were conducted online. The data tables will confirm how the poll was conducted. Whatever the data collection method, all respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone-conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensates for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as one whole response.[25]
  • ICM also collects its data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weights its respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. It weights respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls and, if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weights its respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, while if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced by half.[26]
  • Ipsos MORI collects its data through telephone interviews, and weights its respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. Data is not weighted according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are discounted, and only the responses of people who says they are certain to vote are included in the final calculation of levels of support for each party.[27]
  • Lord Ashcroft commissions and publishes polls as Lord Ashcroft Polls. On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015 UK general election.[28] These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and UKIP are prompted for. Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisations which carry out his fieldwork, but states that a number are used.[29] Initially, the methodology of the weekly Ashcroft National Poll was said to be similar to that used by Populus before they moved to polling online.[30] He is not a BPC member; he was initially invited to join[31] but the BPC now states that he is not eligible as he does not work for multiple clients.[32]
  • Opinium surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender, regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statistics data. Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for differential response rates in these different groups.[33]
  • Populus conducts its surveys over the telephone, and weights all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting.[34]
  • Survation opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of Great Britain in terms of gender, age, socio-economic group, religion, how the respondent previously voted, and stated likelihood of voting in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results.[35]
  • TNS-BMRB[n 6] interviews a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied.[36]
  • YouGov collects its data through an online survey, and weights its respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. Respondents are weighted according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.[37]

See also


References and notes


Notes
  1. Headline figures published to one decimal place: Con 31.4% Lab 31.4% UKIP 15.7% LD 9.6% Green 4.8 SNP 4.7% Plaid 0.4 Others 1.9%
  2. Final General Election 2015 prediction poll published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463 respondents added to the data published the previous day
  3. Preliminary prediction poll published 6 May 2015
  4. The question asked was "Thinking of the general election in May, for which party will you vote?" rather than Opinium's usual "If there were a general election tomorrow, for which party would you vote?"
  5. This is the VI portion (turnout weighted, Table 4) of Lord Ashcroft's NHS poll, released in January 2015. "VQ.2 If there was a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout weighted)"
  6. Since December 2014, TNS's polls have been mostly branded as TNS or TNS Global.

PThe dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out are unknown; therefore, the date of publication has been given.

References
  1. Farmer, Ben (8 May 2015). "Why the opinion polls got it so wrong, YouGov president explains". The Telegraph. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  2. Logue, Patrick. "UK Election: Ten key points from the count". Irish Times. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  3. Bennister, Mark. "UK Election 2015: how the votes stacked up for David Cameron". The Conversation. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  4. Selby, Jenn (8 May 2015). "Paddy Ashdown's hat becomes the unlikely star of election night after the former Lib Dem leader's misguided prediction". The Independent. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  5. "Ashcroft National Poll: CATI Fieldwork 17-19 April 2015" (PDF). Lord Ashcroft. 20 April 2015. Retrieved 20 April 2015.
  6. "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  7. "Election 2015: Results - National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  8. "Election 2015: Results - Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  9. Parker, George (5 May 2015). "Parties struggle to break UK election deadlock". Financial Times. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  10. Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015). "Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory". Survation. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  11. Balz, Dan (7 May 2015). "Cameron expected to emerge victorious, survey finds". Washington Post. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  12. Trevelyan, Mark (6 May 2015). "Panelbase poll on election eve puts Labour 2 points ahead". Reuters. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  13. "BMG Research expands into political polling". 29 April 2015. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015.
  14. See also "Opinium poll that "slipped out" has CON ahead with the LDs down on 5%". politicalbetting.com. Retrieved 22 November 2014.
  15. ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  16. Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. Before 2 Jun 2014 Ashcroft percentages for Greens are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  17. ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  18. "Angus Reid Public Opinion Methodology" (PDF). Angus Reid Public Opinion. 20 July 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on 10 November 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  19. "BMG Research". 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  20. "PoliticsHome". 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  21. "May2015". 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  22. Wells, Anthony (29 April 2015). "BMG, MORI Scotland, Ashcroft constituencies and ComRes marginals". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 2 May 2015.
  23. "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Tories three points ahead of Labour". May2015.com. 29 April 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  24. "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Labour and Tories on exactly 33.7 per sent each". May2015.com. 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  25. "Public Polling Methodology". ComRes. Archived from the original on 15 July 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  26. "July Poll for the Guardian" (PDF). ICM Research. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 March 2012. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  27. "Data Collection". Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 10 August 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  28. "Tories lead in my first weekly national poll". Lord Ashcroft Polls. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  29. "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Lord Ashcroft Polls. 7 February 2015. Retrieved 9 February 2015.
  30. "Ashcroft – CON 34, LAB 32, LDEM 9, UKIP 15". Anthony Wells. Retrieved 2 November 2014.
  31. "Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  32. Curtice, John (16 April 2015). "Reading the Polls: Election 2015 and The British Polling Council". British Polling Council. Retrieved 1 May 2015.
  33. "Political Polling". Opinium Research LLP. Archived from the original on 30 January 2012. Retrieved 18 April 2012.
  34. "Populus sampling and weighting methodology". Populus. Archived from the original on 2 October 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  35. "Survation Poll The Budget Aftermath For The Mail On Sunday". Survation. Archived from the original on 27 May 2012. Retrieved 27 March 2012.
  36. "TNS BMRB Methodology". TNS BMRB. Retrieved 17 December 2012.[permanent dead link]
  37. "Panel Methodology". YouGov. Retrieved 26 July 2011.