Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election


The 2016 Scottish Parliament election was held on Thursday 5 May 2016[1] to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the fifth general election since the parliament was re-established in 1999.

Polling data


Graphical summary

The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Average 30 day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 29 January 2012 to 4 May 2016

Constituency Vote (FPTP)

2016
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConLib DemOthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result2,279,15346.5%22.6%22.0%7.8%1.1%23.9%
2–4 MayYouGov/The Times1,44548%22%19%7%4%26%
1–2 MaySurvation/Daily Record1,02449%21%19%7%5%28%
1 MayBBC Scotland debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
23–28 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,07449%23%17%6%4%26%
18–25 AprIpsos MORI/STV[permanent dead link]1,01551%19%18%6%6%32%
1–24 AprTNS1,03552%22%17%7%3%30%
15–20 AprSurvation/Daily Record1,00553%18%17%7%5%35%
11–15 AprBMG Research/Herald1,01253%21%16%6%3%32%
6–15 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,02151%19%18%5%7%32%
7–11 AprYouGov/The Times1,01250%21%18%5%6%29%
23 Mar–3 AprSurvation/Unison Scotland1,00352%21%16%6%4%31%
29 MarSTV debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
24 MarBBC Scotland debate between Coburn, Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
2–22 MarTNS1,01356%19%15%6%3%37%
10–17 MarSurvation/Daily Record1,05154%20%16%7%4%34%
7–9 MarYouGov/The Times1,07049%19%19%6%7%30%
25–29 FebSurvation/Daily Mail1,02254%21%16%5%4%33%
3–24 FebTNS1,03660%21%13%4%2%39%
11–16 FebSurvation/Daily Record1,00653%22%16%6%3%31%
1–7 FebIpsos MORI/STV1,00053%20%16%6%5%33%
1–4 FebYouGov/The Times1,02250%19%20%6%5%30%
6–25 JanTNS1,01657%21%17%3%2%36%
8–14 JanPanelbase/Sunday Times1,05350%21%17%6%5%29%
8–12 JanSurvation/Daily Record1,02952%21%16%7%4%31%
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConLib DemOthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result1,989,22245.4%31.7%13.9%7.9%1.1%13.7%

Regional Vote (AMS)

Graphical summary

2016
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConGreenLib DemUKIPRISE[2]OthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result2,285,75241.7%19.1%22.9%6.6%5.2%2.0%0.5%2.0%18.8%
2–4 MayYouGov/The Times1,44541%19%20%9%6%4%1%1%21%
1–2 MaySurvation/Daily Record1,02444%19%20%7%6%2%N/A2%24%
1 MayBBC Scotland debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
23–28 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,07444%22%19%6%4%3%2%<1%22%
18–25 AprIpsos MORI/STV[permanent dead link]1,01545%17%19%10%7%1%<1%<1%26%
1–24 AprTNS1,03545%22%18%8%5%<1%1%<1%23%
15–20 AprSurvation/Daily Record1,00543%17%18%11%7%4%N/A2%25%
11–15 AprBMG Research/Herald1,01246%20%16%7%6%4%N/A0%26%
6–15 AprPanelbase/Sunday Times1,02147%18%19%8%4%3%1%<1%28%
7–11 AprYouGov/The Times1,01245%19%18%8%5%3%1%1%26%
23 Mar–3 AprSurvation/Unison Scotland1,00344%19%16%10%7%4%N/A1%25%
29 MarSTV debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
24 MarBBC Scotland debate between Coburn, Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
2–22 MarTNS1,01347%21%15%8%6%1%2%26%
10–17 MarSurvation/Daily Record1,05142%18%18%10%6%5%N/A1%24%
7–9 MarYouGov/The Times1,07043%17%19%8%5%4%1%1%24%
25–29 FebSurvation/Daily Mail1,02243%19%14%9%7%6%1%24%
3–24 FebTNS1,03655%21%13%6%4%34%
11–16 FebSurvation/Daily Record1,00645%18%15%9%6%6%1%27%
1–7 FebIpsos MORI/STV1,00049%19%15%6%8%1%<1%2%30%
1–4 FebYouGov/The Times1,02242%20%20%6%5%3%2%1%22%
6–25 JanTNS1,01652%19%17%6%6%<1%<1%1%33%
8–14 JanPanelbase/Sunday Times1,05348%19%17%5%7%2%1%1%29%
8–12 JanSurvation/Daily Record1,02942%20%16%9%8%5%<1%22%
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeSNPLabConLib DemGreenOthersLead
5 MayGeneral Election Result1,991,05144.0%26.3%12.4%5.2%4.4%7.7%17.7%

Footnotes


    References


    1. Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 section 4
    2. In August 2015, the Scottish Socialist Party announced it would stand as part of an electoral alliance called RISE - Scotland's Left Alliance