Opinion_polling_for_the_2018_Czech_presidential_election

Opinion polling for the 2018 Czech presidential election

Opinion polling for the 2018 Czech presidential election

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This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2018 Czech presidential election.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencySample
size
Miloš ZemanJiří DrahošMichal HoráčekMirek TopolánekPavel FischerMarek HilšerVratislav KulhánekJiří HynekPetr HannigUndecided
12 - 13 Jan 20181st round result38.626.69.24.310.28.80.51.20.6
9 - 11 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median[1]2,01438.529.010.05.58.56.00.51.01.00
3 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median[2]1,50442.527.512.56.07.02.51.50.50.50
7 Jan 2018STEM[3]1,01245.527.210.35.55.74.60.50.30.4
2 - 7 JanSTEM/MARK[4]71529.019.014.04.05.09.01.02.01.026.0
5 Jan 2018Phoenix Research[5]29.014.015.016.07.06.0
3 - 5 Jan 2018STEM[6]1,01246.027.010.06.06.05.01.00.00.0
30 Dec 2017 - 4 Jan 2018Sanep[7]1,85231.420.27.117.110.26.31.24.12.4
14 - 29 Dec 2017Phoenix Research[8]1,26034.017.010.014.06.02.02.01.01.013.0
2 - 17 Dec 2017CVVM[9]1,04932.021.510.52.53.04.01.51.01.023.0
1 - 15 Dec 2017Phoenix Research[10]1,26031.017.08.015.04.01.02.01.01.020.0
1 - 15 Dec 2017STEM/MARK[11]72433.022.016.04.05.03.02.01.01.013.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median[12]1,50443.528.511.57.05.02.01.51.00.50
11 Dec 2017STEM[6]1,02742.028.011.04.07.05.02.00.01.0
23 - 26 Nov 2017Sanep[13]12,89430.223.69.716.86.33.91.94.53.10
11 - 15 Nov 2017TNS Kantar & Median [14]80041.530.516.54.02.52.51.00.51.00
1 - 15 Nov 2017STEM/MARK[15]71531.022.017.04.04.03.02.02.015.0

Polls conducted in 2017

April - 7 November

January - April

Polls conducted in 2016

Polls conducted in 2015

Polls conducted in 2014

Opinion polls for the second round

Zeman vs Drahoš

More information Date, Agency ...

Hypothetical polling

The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, failed to secure nomination, or did not advance past the first round of the election.

Zeman vs Horáček

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Topolánek

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Fischer

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Hilšer

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Kulhánek

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Hynek

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Hannig

More information Date, Agency ...

Drahoš vs Horáček

More information Date, Agency ...

Drahoš vs Topolánek

More information Date, Agency ...

Drahoš vs Fischer

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Kubera

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Švejnar

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Pospíšil

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Stropnický

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Okamura

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Wagnerová

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Dlouhý

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Jourová

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Halík

More information Date, Agency ...

Zeman vs Kolář

More information Date, Agency ...

Drahoš vs Stropnický

More information Date, Agency ...

Horáček vs Stropnický

More information Date, Agency ...

Probability of being elected

Two agencies published trackers where they continually inferred the probability of election of the candidates.

Election potential

DateAgencyMiloš ZemanJiří DrahošMichal HoráčekMirek TopolánekPavel FischerMarek HilšerVratislav KulhánekPetr HannigJiří Hynek
2 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median[2]49.043.031.515.522.011.59.56.08.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median[12]48.041.528.514.521.59.58.04.55.5
11 - 15 Nov 2017TNS Kantar & Median [14]45.041.537.09.511.56.55.03.02.5
Nov 2017STEM/MARK[55]45.040.032.012.016.012.012.0-3.0

Acceptability of candidates

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencySample
size
Miloš ZemanJiří DrahošMichal HoráčekMirek TopolánekPavel FischerMarek HilšerVratislav KulhánekPetr HannigJiří Hynek
24 dec - 15 Dec 2017STEM/MARK [56]1,50447.060.038.010.040.038.020.013.020.0

Polls conducted before

Media Surveys

Since nominations were closed

More information Date, Agency ...

Before nominations were closed

More information Date, Agency ...

Other opinion polls

Multiple question

DateQuestionAgencyMiloš ZemanJiří DrahošMichal HoráčekMirek TopolánekMarek HilšerPavel FischerVratislav KulhánekPetr HannigJiří HynekDo not know/Undecided
21 Dec 2017Which candidate would be able to achieve political agreementPhoenix Research[61]24.015.08.016.039.0

Other voting

DateVotingMiloš ZemanJiří DrahošMichal HoráčekMirek TopolánekMarek HilšerPavel FischerVratislav KulhánekPetr HannigJiří Hynek
22 Jan 2018Young Social Democrats members poll[62]18.381.7
6 Jan 2018Czech Pirate Party members poll[63]4.021.017.03.040.05.00.00.00.0
4 Jan 2018President of countryside[64]0.622.90.638.34.624.61.71.15.1
4 Jan 2018700 Entrepreneurs poll of the Czech Chamber of Commerce[65]20.028.012.0
12 - 13 Dec 2017Student Election[66]19.933.69.36.213.29.62.43.02.7
8 Dec 2017Young Social Democrats members poll[67]9.256.32.35.718.48.00.00.00.0

References

  1. "V týdnu před volbami měla jasno necelá polovina lidí. Největší potenciál si držel Zeman". ČT24 (in Czech). Česká televize. Retrieved 13 January 2018.
  2. "Miloše Zemana má šanci porazit ve druhém kole více kandidátů". stemmark.cz (in Czech). STEM/MARK a.s. 8 January 2018. Retrieved 8 January 2018.
  3. "Před prezidentskými volbami 2018" (PDF). STEM. Retrieved 8 April 2018.
  4. "Nové informace: Pane Drahoši, pozor. Možná budete v..." Parlamentní Listy. Retrieved 8 January 2018.
  5. "Prezidentský průzkum: Zeman, Horáček i Fischer posílili, Topolánek ztratil". Blesk.cz. 30 December 2017. Retrieved 30 December 2017.
  6. Červenka, Jan. "Preference prezidentských kandidátů v prosinci 2017 - Centrum pro výzkum veřejného mínění". cvvm.soc.cas.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 22 December 2017.
  7. "Průzkum: Zeman by vyhrál 1. kolo voleb. Každý pátý neví, koho volit". Blesk.cz. 15 December 2017. Retrieved 15 December 2017.
  8. "Horáček si platí kampaň z vlastních zdrojů, Kulhánek má schopnost vést a řídit…". stemmark.cz (in Czech). STEM/MARK a.s. 14 December 2017. Retrieved 14 December 2017.
  9. "Mirek Topolánek zatím prezidentskými kartami nezamíchal". stemmark.cz (in Czech). STEM/MARK a.s. Retrieved 20 November 2017.
  10. "Prezident by měl být mladší než ten současný". stemmark.cz (in Czech). STEM/MARK a.s. 2 November 2017. Retrieved 2 November 2017.
  11. Červenka, Jan. "Preference prezidentských kandidátů v říjnu 2017 - Centrum pro výzkum veřejného mínění". cvvm.soc.cas.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 6 November 2017.
  12. "Drahoš v duelech 2. kola volby posiluje" (PDF). Median.cz. Retrieved 6 October 2017.
  13. Menschik, Tomáš (4 September 2017). "Piráti útočí, ANO ztrácí podporu". Týden: 23. Retrieved 4 September 2017.
  14. "Exkluzivní průzkum: Kdo může porazit Miloše Zemana". Seznam Zprávy. Retrieved 26 April 2017.
  15. Surmanová, Kateřina. "Zemanovi věří čtyři Češi z deseti". Retrieved 18 April 2017 via PressReader.
  16. "Prezidentský Výzkum" (PDF). Median.cz. Retrieved 19 January 2017.
  17. "Průzkum: Zeman jasně vede. Horáček druhý". Parlamentní Listy. Retrieved 3 November 2016.
  18. "Volby nanečisto ovládl Zeman, jen v Praze těsně prohrál s generálem". iDNES.cz. 14 November 2015. Retrieved 3 November 2016.
  19. "Parlamentní Listy" (PDF). October poll. Retrieved 3 November 2016.
  20. "Jsou sečteny dvě třetiny okrsků: Zeman vede nad Drahošem o osm procent hlasů". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 27 January 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
  21. "Poslední den pro průzkumy: Drahoše chce 47 %, Zemana 43 %, desetina ještě váhá". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 22 January 2018. Retrieved 23 October 2020.
  22. Polls conducted after the ban were released after election.
  23. "Šance Zemana a Drahoše se srovnaly". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 21 January 2018.
  24. "Výzkum před prezidentskými volbami 2. vlna" (PDF). Česká televize. Retrieved 5 January 2018.
  25. "Titul Prezident pro venkov získal od sedláků Mirek..." nase-voda.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 4 January 2018.
  26. "Ve studentských prezidentských volbách vyhrál Drahoš, na druhém místě skončil Zeman". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 13 December 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2017.

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