Opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Irish_general_election

Opinion polling for the 2020 Irish general election

Opinion polling for the 2020 Irish general election

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Numerous polls of support for political parties in Ireland were taken between the 2016 general election and the 2020 general election, which was held on Saturday 8 February 2020. Opinion polls on voting intentions are conducted regularly.

Main article: 2020 Irish general election

The most frequent were commissioned by media organisations and were published on an approximately monthly basis by The Sunday Times (which uses Behaviour and Attitudes on an exclusive basis) and The Sunday Business Post (which uses the Red C polling company).

Less frequently polls were published by The Irish Times, the Sunday Independent, RTÉ, and others.

Graphical summary

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Key polls

As methodologies and results differ, even where polls are taken over the same dates, the results of the two main polling companies are shown separately:

Sunday Business Post / Red C poll

The Sunday Times / B&A poll

National opinion polls

All opinion polls shown below were commissioned by print or broadcast media outlets, with the exception of the Survation poll conducted up to 2 February 2020, which was commissioned by Sinn Féin.

Color key:

  Exit poll   Private poll

More information Last date of polling, Polling firm / Commissioner ...

Preferred Taoiseach

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation ...

Constituency opinion polls

Donegal

More information Last date of polling, Polling firm / Commissioner ...

Galway West

More information Last date of polling, Polling firm / Commissioner ...

Kerry

More information Last date of polling, Polling firm / Commissioner ...

Footnotes

  1. [N 1]
    This column includes figures for Independents 4 Change and Aontú when available.
  2. [N 2]
    Aontú is on 1.9%.
  3. [N 3]
    The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  4. [N 4]
    Renua is not mentioned.
  5. [N 5]
    IA are not mentioned.
  6. [N 6]
    Aontú is on 1%.
  7. [N 7]
    Aontú is on 2%.
  8. [N 8]
    The poll makes no distinction between different groupings of Independents, the Independent Alliance is included in the figure for Others.
  9. [N 9]
    Aontú is on 0%.
  10. [N 10]
    The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  11. [N 11]
    Aontú has 1%.
  12. [N 12]
    The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  13. [N 13]
    The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  14. [N 14]
    The 10% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  15. [N 15]
    The 13% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  16. [N 16]
    Aontú is on 2%.
  17. [N 17]
    The 16% figure for 'Others/Independents' is got by adding the cited 2% for Aontú to the 14% cited for 'other Independent candidates'. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  18. [N 18]
    The 18% figure shown for Independents/Others is calculated by subtracting the cited source's 4% for the Greens from that source's 22% for Independents and all other parties except Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, Sinn Féin, and Labour, so the 18% figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects. The cited source does not give figures for other parties or alliances, but states that it includes the Green Party, Social Democrats and Solidarity-PBP.
  19. [N 19]
    A figure for 'Others/Independents' is not mentioned in the cited source, but has been calculated by subtracting the other parties from 100%, so the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  20. [N 20]
    Renua has less than 1%.
  21. [N 21]
    Aontú has less than 1%.
  22. [N 22]
    This figure includes 2% for Independents 4 Change.
  23. [N 23]
    Social Democrats are not mentioned.
  24. [N 24]
    Renua is featured in Others.
  25. [N 25]
    This figure includes 1.5% for Independents 4 Change.

Opinion poll sources

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