Opinion_polling_for_the_Hong_Kong_legislative_election,_2016

Opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election

Opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election

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This article presents detailed opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election.

Overall poll results

Overall poll results for each party in geographical constituencies according to each constituency.

Opinion polling

By parties

  DAB
  PP–LSD
  Civic
  Democratic
  FTU
  Labour
  NPP
  Liberal
  BPA
  CP–PPI–HKRO
  ALLinHK
  Demosisto
More information Date(s) conducted, Polling source ...

By camps

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling source ...

Seat projection

By parties

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling source ...

By camps

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling source ...

Opinion polls by constituency

Key:   1 seat or   2 seats secured for anti-establishment;   1 seat or   2 seats secured for pro-establishment;   secured for non-aligned independent.

Hong Kong Island

More information List №, Date(s) conducted ...

Kowloon West

More information List №, Date(s) conducted ...

Kowloon East

More information List №, Date(s) conducted ...

New Territories West

More information List №, Date(s) conducted ...

New Territories East

More information List №, Date(s) conducted ...

District Council (Second)

More information List №, Date(s) conducted ...

Methodology

  • University of Hong Kong Public Opinion Programme (HKUPOP) rolling survey was co-sponsored by HK01, now Broadband TV, Cable TV and Power for Democracy. It interviewed no less than 200 Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong registered voters of 18 years old or above each day by telephone. Telephone numbers are randomly generated using known prefixes assigned to telecommunication services providers under the Numbering Plan provided by the Office of the Communications Authority (OFCA). To ensure representativeness of the findings, the raw data collected was rim-weighted according to the age-gender distributions of registered voters in each geographical constituency based on the 2016 register of electors provided by the government.[1]

See also

Notes

  1. Anti-establishment included the pan-democracy camp and localist camp.
  2. This survey did not include Christopher Chung who was considering to leave the DAB and run as an independent candidate at the time.
  3. Hong Kong Indigenous's Edward Leung whose candidacy was rejected by the Electoral Affairs Commission due to his pro-independence stance is not listed on this chart, despite the survey showed that he was expected to win a seat.

References

  1. "2016 Legislative Council Election Rolling Survey". HKUPOP.

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