Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–2015)


Prior to the 2015 United Kingdom general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.

Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.

Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Lord Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.[1]

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.[2]

Constituency polls


England

Amber Valley
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result44.0%34.8%3.0%15.9%2.4%9.2%
3–12 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00034%35%4%23%3%2%1%
14–20 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00029%41%6%20%2%2%12%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,95838.6%37.4%14.4%2.0%7.6%1.2%
Bedford
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result42.6%40.2%4.2%9.6%3.1%0.3%2.4%
23–30 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00028%38%14%15%3%2%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,10238.9%35.9%19.9%2.5%0.9%2.0%3.0%
Bermondsey and Old Southwark
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result11.8%43.1%34.3%6.3%3.9%0.5%8.7%
3–13 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00014%35%36%9%5%2%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,65117.1%29.2%48.4%1.6%3.7%19.1%
Berwick-upon-Tweed
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result41.1%14.9%28.9%11.2%3.7%0.2%12.2%
21–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00033%16%30%17%3%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,43936.7%13.2%43.7%3.2%3.2%7%
Birmingham Edgbaston
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015General Election Results41,29344.8%38.3%2.9%10.1%3.3%3.5%3.4%
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014Ashcroft100148%29%3%12%5%1%19%
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft100044%33%5%13%4%1%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,57140.6%37.6%15.4%1.8%1.1%3.6%3.1%
Birmingham Yardley
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015General Election Results41,31341.6%14.0%25.6%16.1%1.7%1.0%16.0%
27–31 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00031%12%34%19%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,85032.2%19.2%39.6%2.9%7.3%
Blackpool North and Cleveleys
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015General Election Results39,39336.0%44.4%2.4%14.8%2.3%0.1%8.5%
30 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%42%3%15%2%1%5%
13–18 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00032%35%5%24%3%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,59136.5%41.8%13.3%4.1%-4.3%5.3%
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results47,11651.3%9.0%21.7%13.8%4.1%27.9%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown50837%11%27%20%5%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,85251.4%23.5%6.5%14.0%4.5%27.9%
Bolton West
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results47,57639.0%40.6%4.0%15.3%-1.1%1.6%
23–31 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00040%27%8%21%2%2%13%
21–27 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00141%28%10%17%2%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,57638.5%38.3%17.2%4.0%1.1%0.8%0.2%
Boston and Skegness
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenIFEBNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results43,33943.8%2.3%33.8%16.5%1.8%0.7%0.3%0.7%10%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00038%5%35%17%3%2%3%
5–9 Sep 2014Survation/Alan Bown34226.2%2.0%45.5%20.8%3.2%1.0%1.0%0.4%19.3%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,12549.4%14.8%9.5%20.6%5.3%0.4%28.8%
Bradford East
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results41,40646.6%11.3%29.3%9.9%2.1%-0.5%17.1%
1–21 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00045%12%23%15%2%3%22%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,45732.8%26.8%33.7%4.6%2.0%0.9%
Brent Central
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results45,32462.1%20.3%8.4%3.9%4.1%1.2%41.8%
11–22 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00154%13%19%7%5%1%35%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,32441.2%11.2%44.2%1.5%2%3.0%
Brentford and Isleworth
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17–26 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00132%45%10%7%4%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,76537.2%33.6%23.7%1.6%1.5%2.4%3.6%
Brighton Kemptown
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results45,30639.2%40.7%3.0%9.8%7.0%0.4%1.5%
11–21 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00037%33%6%13%10%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,70534.9%38.0%18.0%3.2%5.5%0.5%3.1%
Brighton Pavilion
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeGreenLabConLDUKIPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results54,67641.8%27.3%22.8%2.8%5.0%0.4%14.6%
11–20 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00138%28%21%5%8%1%10%
5–12 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00032%33%18%5%9%2%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,83431.3%28.9%23.7%13.8%1.8%0.4%2.4%
Bristol North West
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00534%43%8%8%6%0%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,33625.9%38.0%32.5%2.3%1.0%1.3%5.5%
Bristol West
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results64,21835.7%15.2%18.8%3.0%26.8%0.4%8.8%
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00138%14%20%2%25%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,34727.5%18.4%48.0%1.2%3.8%1.1%20.5%
Broxtowe
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00030%39%7%18%4%1%1%9%
8–13 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00030%44%10%13%1%1%1%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,72739.0%38.3%16.9%2.3%0.8%2.7%0.7%
Burnley
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
27–30 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00111%38%23%25%2%1%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,84516.6%31.3%35.7%2.2%9.0%5.2%4.3%
Bury North
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-14 October 2014Ashcroft1,00432%41%5%20%2%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,96140.2%35.2%17%2.9%-4.8%5%
Camborne and Redruth
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenMKOMRLPOthersLead
24–26 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00137%24%13%14%8%3%13%
25 Nov 2014Survation/University of Exeter50030.0%22.4%6.3%33.0%6.9%0.9%0.4%0.1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,49337.6%16.3%37.4%5.1%1.4%1.8%0.4%0.2%
Cambridge
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24–28 Mar 2015Ashcroft100017%31%40%3%9%9%
3–12 Sep 2014Ashcroft100019%33%32%7%8%1%1%
4–8 Apr 2014ICM/Lord Oakeshott50018%41%28%5%5%2%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,13025.6%24.3%39.1%2.4%7.6%1.0%13.5%
Cannock Chase
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
16–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00238%32%5%21%3%1%6%
22–27 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00032%27%8%30%2%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,55933.1%40.1%17.0%3.5%4.8%1.6%7%
Carlisle
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11-16 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00130%41%5%18%3%3%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,20039.3%37.3%15.6%2.3%1.5%4.1%2.0%
Carshalton and Wallington
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00012%23%43%17%3%1%20%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,9188.7%36.8%48.3%2.9%0.8%2.4%11.5%
Castle Point
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00012%41%2%36%3%5%5%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00216%37%3%36%2%6%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,02614.7%44.0%9.4%-31.9%17.0%
Cheadle
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–22 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00019%30%34%13%2%3%4%
26 May-1 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00321%29%32%15%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,5129.4%40.8%47.1%2.7%6.3%
Cheltenham
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Oct-1 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,0007%34%42%11%5%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,7685.1%41.2%50.5%2.3%0.99.3%
Chippenham
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
14-20 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00039%14%24%16%6%1%15%
26 May-1 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00035%12%26%19%7%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,38541.0%6.9%45.8%3.4%0.9%2%4.8%
City of Chester
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00045%34%7%10%3%1%11%
13–18 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00037%36%7%15%5%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,85335.1%40.6%19.1%2.6%1.1%1.5%5.5%
Clacton
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results44,20736.7%14.4%44.4%1.8%1.9%-7.8%
9 Oct 2014Clacton by-election Result35,36524.6%11.2%59.7%1.4%2.7%1.2%35.1%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00127%19%48%3%3%<0.5%21%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00124%16%56%2%1%1%32%
28–29 Aug 2014Survation (By-election polling)70020%13%64%2%1%<0.5%44%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,12353.0%25.0%12.9%1.2%7.8%28.0%
Cleethorpes
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-11 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00138%36%6%15%3%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,96642.1%32.6%18.2%7.1%-3.9%9.5%
Colchester
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
4–14 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00017%22%36%18%6%1%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,13912.3%32.9%48.0%2.9%1.5%2.4%15.1%
Colne Valley
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
16–22 April 2015Ashcroft1,00035%37%8%11%6%2%2%
2–12 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00034%33%9%13%9%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,29626.4%37.0%28.2%2.1%1.6%4.7%8.7%
Corby
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
10–17 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00040%30%5%21%2%2%10%
15 Nov 2012Corby by-election Result35,66548.4%26.6%5.0%14.3%1.1%4.6%21.8%
6 May 2010General Election Results54,18038.6%42.2%14.5%4.7%3.6%
Crewe and Nantwich
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDOthersLead
2–9 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00038%41%13%4%1%3%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown50033%46%11%6%5%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,08445.8%34.0%2.8%15.0%2.3%11.8%
Croydon Central
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
26-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00344%40%10%2%3%0%4%
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00037%41%13%3%5%1%4%
14–18 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00033%39%19%4%4%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,75739.5%33.5%2.0%13.2%1.2%10.6%6.0%
Derby North
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
28 May-4 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00023%44%17%12%2%2%21%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,08031.7%33%28%1.8%5.4%1.3%
Dewsbury
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15-23 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00030%40%4%18%6%3%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results54,00835%32.2%16.9%-1.6%14.3%2.8%
Doncaster North

Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
18–23 Nov 2014Ashcroft, Corrected1,00013%54%4%25%2%1%2%29%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,48321.0%47.3%14.9%4.3%6.8%5.6%26.3%
Dover
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-9 April 2015Ashcroft1,00232%40%3%20%4%-8%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,38533.5%44%15.8%3.5%-3.2%10.5%
Dudley North
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConUKIPLDOthersLead
20–27 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00137%24%34%3%3%3%
28 Apr–4 May 2014Ashcroft1,00040%24%27%4%5%13%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation52645%25%23%2%5%20%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,60238.7%37.0%8.5%10.5%5.3%1.7%
Dudley South
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenLead
7-10 April 2015Ashcroft1,00035%39%3%18%4%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,16533%43.1%15.7%8.2%-10.1%
Ealing Central and Acton
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
1–6 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00034%40%11%6%7%2%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,20038.0%30.1%27.6%1.6%1.6%1.0%7.9%
Eastbourne
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,0007%25%46%18%2%2%21%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,1424.8%40.7%47.3%2.5%-4.6%6.6%
Eastleigh
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLDConUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
20–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft53840%25%21%12%2%1%15%
29 May–6 Jun 2014Ashcroft52339%27%22%10%2%0%12%
14–17 Apr 2014Survation/Alan Bown36927.1%28.2%31.6%11.5%1.0%0.6%3.4%
28 Feb 2013Eastleigh by-election Result42,64932.1%25.4%27.8%9.8%4.9%4.3%
22–24 Feb 2013Ashcroft (By-election polling)[lower-alpha 1]41633%28%23%12%4%5%
19–22 Feb 2013Populus/Times (By-election polling)[lower-alpha 1]40833%28%25%11%4%5%
18–22 Feb 2013Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling)40229%33%21%13%4%4%
6–8 Feb 2013Survation/Mail on Sunday[lower-alpha 2]32136%33%16%13%0.3%0.1%3%
4–5 Feb 2013Ashcroft (By-election polling)[lower-alpha 3]31431%34%15%19%1%1%3%
2–5 Aug 2010Ashcroft51331%43%20%6%12%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,65046.5%39.3%3.6%9.6%1.0%7.2%
Elmet and Rothwell
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
8–13 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00039%35%6%16%3%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,78942.6%34.5%16.3%2.9%3.6%8.1%
Enfield North
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17–25 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00034%44%3%12%3%3%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,45342.3%38.5%12.2%2.1%1.1%3.9%3.8%
Erewash
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
3-14 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00330%38%5%22%3%2%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,64239.5%34.2%17.5%1.8%1.1%2.9%5.3%
Finchley and Golders Green
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenLead
7-11 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00143%41%6%6%4%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,15733.7%46%17%1.7%1.6%12.3%
Folkestone and Hythe
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
3–4 Apr 2014Survation/Mail on Sunday52936.4%9.6%32.9%17.8%1.9%1.5%3.5%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown54835%10%28%21%4%2%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,80049.4%30.3%4.6%10.8%1.2%3.6%19.1%
Gloucester
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00140%36%9%12%3%1%4%
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00034%33%12%18%3%0%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,76439.9%35.2%19.2%3.6%1%1.1%4.8%
Great Grimsby
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConUKIPLDOthersLead
15–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft100042%24%25%5%4%17%
20–27 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00135%20%34%8%4%1%
5–11 May 2014Ashcroft1,00138%21%26%10%5%12%
18–22 Oct 2013Survation50640%21%23%11%5%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results32,95432.7%30.5%6.2%22.4%8.1%2.2%
Great Yarmouth
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
15–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00036%34%24%2%4%1%2%
11–16 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00033%28%32%3%3%1%1%
21–27 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00132%31%29%5%2%1%1%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown50727%37%30%3%2%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,05743.1%33.2%4.8%14.4%1.0%3.5%9.9%
Halesowen and Rowley Regis
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Feb–5 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00037%39%4%15%3%2%2%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00034%35%2%24%4%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,97941.2%36.6%14.8%6.4%1.0%4.6%
Halifax
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft1,00043%26%8%18%2%3%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,55537.4%34%19.1%1.5%-8%3.4%
Hampstead and Kilburn
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00030%47%2%13%6%1%17%
21–27 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00330%41%3%19%6%0%11%
6 May 2010General Election Result52,82232.7%32.8%0.8%31.2%1.4%1%0.1%
Harlow
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-10 April 2015Ashcroft1,00034%44%3%16%2%1%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,87833.7%44.9%13.7%3.6%-4.2%11.2%
Harrogate and Knaresborough
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
5-12 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00011%41%24%16%8%0%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,1346.4%45.7%43.8%2%-2.1%1.9%
Harrow East
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00140%44%4%8%3%1%4%
1–7 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00040%37%6%13%3%0%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,00644.7%37.6%14.3%1.9%1.7%7.1%
Hastings and Rye
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17-25 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00140%31%5%19%3%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,81437.1%41.1%15.7%2.8%-3.3%4%
Hazel Grove
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenLead
4–15 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00015%29%35%17%4%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,98112.5%33.6%48.8%5.1%15.2%
Hendon
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
18–29 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00134%49%4%9%1%1%15%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00036%44%7%11%2%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,37442.3%42.1%12.4%2.1%1.1%0.2%
Heywood and Middleton
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
9 Oct 2014Heywood and Middleton by-election Result28,47240.9%12.3%5.1%38.7%3.1%2.2%
30 Sep–4 Oct 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00047%16%5%28%4%19%
30 Sep 2014Survation/The Sun (By-election polling)55150%13%4%31%3%19%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,12540.1%27.2%22.7%2.6%-7.4%12.9%
High Peak
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00038%40%7%10%5%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,33731.6%40.9%21.8%3.4%1.8%0.4%9.3%
Hornsey and Wood Green
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
3 Mar 2015Liberal Democrats
(fieldwork by Survation)
32515%37%36%4%7%1%1%
3–13 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00014%43%30%3%8%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,04216.7%34.0%46.5%2.3%0.6%12.5%
Hove
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results52,21439.9%42.3%3.6%6.3%6.8%1.1%2.4%
1–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00237%43%5%5%9%1%6%
17–27 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00034%37%6%11%12%-3%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,81936.7%33.0%22.6%2.4%5.2%0.2%3.7%
Ipswich
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00038%31%6%19%5%1%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,29134.7%39.1%18.2%2.9%1.7%3.3%4.4%
Keighley
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
20-26 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00037%31%5%23%3%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,69235.8%41.9%14.8%3.1%-4.4%6.1%
Kingston and Surbiton
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
29 Oct–8 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00030%16%38%10%6%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,11136.5%9.3%49.8%2.5%1%0.8%13.3%
Kingswood
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00142%33%5%15%4%1%9%
3-14 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00134%32%6%23%4%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,90640.4%35.3%16.8%3.2%0.8%3.4%5.1%
Lancaster and Fleetwood
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Jun-4 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00027%41%4%18%10%1%14%
8-13 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00229%43%6%12%9%1%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,70136.1%35.2%19.1%4.4%2.7%0.8%
Lewes
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results50,54038.0%9.9%35.9%10.7%5.5%-2.1%
11-20 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00029%9%37%15%7%2%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,08836.7%5%52%3.4%1.5%1.4%15.3%
Lincoln
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
14-21 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00039%35%6%17%3%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,72135.2%37.5%20.2%2.2%-4.8%2.3%
Loughborough
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00045%36%3%12%3%1%9%
22-25 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00040%37%5%12%3%3%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,83841.6%34.5%18.3%1.8%-3.9%7.1%
Manchester Withington
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11–21 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00056%7%22%4%10%1%34%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,07540.5%11.1%44.6%1.5%1.8%0.4%4.1%
Mid Dorset and North Poole
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00038%8%32%19%3%1%6%
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft1,00039%8%32%17%3%1%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,78844.5%5.9%45.1%4.5%--0.6%
Milton Keynes South
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7-10 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%39%8%10%4%2%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,33341.6%32.2%17.7%3.7%1.4%3.3%9.4%
Morecambe and Lunesdale
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
1-4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00036%42%5%12%5%1%6%
7-11 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00134%37%6%18%4%2%3%
14-20 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00037%39%5%12%3%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,43641.5%39.5%13.3%4.2%1.4%-2%
Morley and Outwood
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
5–11 May 2014Ashcroft1,00341%24%5%20%2%8%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,85637.6%35.3%16.8%3.1%-7.2%2.3%
Newark
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPOthersLead
5 Jun 2014Newark by-election Result38,70745.0%17.7%3%25.9%8%19%
2–3 Jun 2014Survation67842%22%4%27%5%15%
27 May–1 Jun 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00042%20%6%27%5%15%
27–28 May 2014Survation/The Sun60636%27%5%28%5%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,22853.9%22.3%20.0%3.8%31.5%
Newton Abbot
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
5-12 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00013%39%20%20%7%1%19%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,2837%43%41.9%6.4%1.5%1.1%1.1%
North Cornwall
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-29 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00236%5%38%14%5%3%2%
12-20 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00436%6%38%13%6%1%2%
15-20 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00033%10%33%20%3%1%Tied
26 May-1 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00131%8%31%24%5%2%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results46,84441.7%4.2%48.1%4.9%-1.1%6.4%
North Devon
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-26 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00138%8%31%16%6%2%7%
29 Oct-6 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00030%9%29%23%7%2%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,32136%7.2%47.4%7.2%1.4%2.8%11.4%
North East Cambridgeshire
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00017%46%7%25%4%1%21%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,06417.8%51.6%20%5.4%-5.2%31.6%
North East Somerset
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7-11 April 2015Ashcroft1,00128%44%9%10%8%1%16%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,20331.7%41.3%22.3%3.4%1.3%-9.6%
North Warwickshire
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
18–28 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00041%30%2%22%2%2%11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00143%35%3%15%3%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,26540.1%40.2%11.6%2.8%0.9%0.1%
Norwich North
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00038%36%6%12%8%1%2%
4–12 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00035%34%5%18%10%0%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,57331.4%40.6%18.3%4.4%2.9%2.4%9.2%
Norwich South
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11–21 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00033%18%12%15%20%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,55128.7%22.9%29.4%2.4%14.9%1.7%0.7%
Nuneaton
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00039%34%4%14%8%1%5%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00039%36%3%19%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,64636.9%41.5%15.3%6.3%-4.6%
Oxford West and Abingdon
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
21–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00018%38%30%9%4%<0.5%8%
30 May–5 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00018%36%25%11%8%1%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results56,48010.6%42.3%42.0%2.7%2.1%0.3%0.3%
Pendle
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00041%37%8%10%4%1%4%
8–14 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00036%33%11%17%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,04538.9%30.9%20.2%3.3%6.7%8.0%
Plymouth Moor View
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–23 Jul 2014Ashcroft50635%26%5%30%2%1%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,52637.2%33.3%16.9%7.7%1.0%4.0%3.8%
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–23 Jul 2014Ashcroft50639%26%6%21%8%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,89431.7%34.3%24.7%6.5%2.1%0.7%2.6%
Portsmouth South
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00120%30%25%17%6%1%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,26413.7%33.3%45.9%2.1%1.7%3.4%12.6%
Redcar
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00044%12%18%23%2%1%21%
17–19 Apr 2014ICM/Lord Oakeshott50047%15%15%19%2%2%28%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,96332.7%13.8%45.2%4.5%3.8%12.5%
Rochester and Strood
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–22 April 2015Ashcroft100036%24%3%33%4%1%3%
20 Nov 2014Rochester and Strood by-election Result40,06534.8%16.8%0.9%42.1%4.2%2.2%7.3%
7–10 Nov 2014Ashcroft54336%21%2%35%5%1%1%
7–10 Nov 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)54332%17%2%44%4%[lower-alpha 4]1%12%
27–28 Oct 2014Survation1,01233%16%1%48%1.7%2%15%
17–21 Oct 2014ComRes[permanent dead link][lower-alpha 5]94930%21%3%43%2%1%13%
4 Oct 2014Survation/Mail on Sunday67731%25%2%40%1%0.4%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,97149.2%28.5%16.3%1.5%4.5%20.7%
Rother Valley
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenBNPOthersLead
24–29 Nov 2014Ashcroft48018%40%34%4%3%<0.5%2%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,76828.4%40.9%5.6%17.3%7.7%12.5%
Sheffield Hallam
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
4 May 2015ICM/Guardian150135%12%42%7%3%2%7%
22–28 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%15%36%7%4%1%1%
22–28 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00136%16%34%7%6%1%2%
22–29 Jan 2015Survation/Unite1,01133%22%23%9%12%<0.5%10%
20–22 Nov 2014Ashcroft96230%19%27%[lower-alpha 6]13%10%1%3%
29 Apr–4 May 2014ICM/Lord Oakeshott50033%24%23%10%8%1%9%
1–4 Oct 2010Populus/Ashcroft1,00031%28%33%N/AN/A8%2%
6 May 2010General Election Result51,13516.1%23.5%53.4%2.3%1.8%2.7%29.9%

1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.[4]

Solihull
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Jul–10 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00012%37%28%16%6%1%9%
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft1,00012%37%28%16%6%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,1298.9%42.6%42.9%2.2%3.5%0.3%
Southampton Itchen
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Feb-7 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00035%30%7%20%8%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,41236.8%36.3%20.8%4.3%1.4%0.4%0.4%
South Basildon and East Thurrock
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00128%35%3%29%3%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,73531.0%43.9%13.4%5.9%-5.9%12.9%
South Swindon
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
22–28 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%36%6%16%4%-1%
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00036%35%5%19%4%2%1%
1–6 Dec 2014Ashcroft50834%34%7%20%4%1%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results47,11941.8%34.3%17.6%4.3%1.3%0.7%7.5%
South Thanet
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDOthersLead
22-28 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00034%26%32%3%5%2%
22 April 2015Survation/Alan Bown [lower-alpha 7]1,05730%26%39%2%3%9%
13-18 March 2015ComRes/Chartwell Political1,00331%29%30%5%5%1%
18–20 Feb 2015Survation/Alan Bown [lower-alpha 7]1,01127%28%38%2%5%10%
23–24 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00333%27%32%4%4%1%
11–16 July 2014Ashcroft1,00029%29%33%4%5%4%
21–27 April 2014Ashcroft1,00032%31%27%7%3%1%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation51528%35%30%5%2%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,93348.0%31.4%5.5%15.1%16.6%
South West Surrey
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
4–5 Dec 2014Survation/Unite58757%8%15%11%7%1%42%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,25958.7%30.2%2.6%6.0%1.2%1.4%28.5%
St Austell and Newquay
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15 Mar 2015Ashcroft100232%10%26%20%6%4%6%
6–16 Aug 2014Ashcroft49327%13%26%25%6%3%1%
19–25 May 2014Ashcroft[lower-alpha 8]47332%10%24%25%4%5%7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results47,23840.0%7.2%42.7%3.7%6.4%2.8%
Stevenage
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
8–13 Dec 2014Ashcroft49738%33%7%18%3%0%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,65133.4%41.4%16.6%4.5%4.1%8.0%
Stockton South
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft100039%44%3%9%1%3%5%
6–12 Nov 2014Survation/Unite57139.1%36.5%2.8%18.2%3.1%0.2%2.6%
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014Ashcroft52135%38%4%19%2%2%3%
7–13 Apr 2014Ashcroft51236%43%5%12%0%3%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,28438.9%38.3%15.1%2.9%4.8%0.6%
Stroud
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11–16 Jul 2014Ashcroft56130%41%6%11%11%<0.5%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,97340.8%38.6%15.4%2.2%2.7%0.2%2.2%
Sutton and Cheam
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
6-16 August 2014Ashcroft1,00011%27%45%14%3%0%18%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,5087.0%42.4%45.7%2.0%0.5%2.5%3.3%
Thurrock
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results49,96433.7%32.6%31.7%1.3%0.7%1.1%
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00030%31%35%1%3%4%
18–26 June 2014Ashcroft1,00228%30%36%2%4%6%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft39427%37%29%4%3%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,82236.8%36.6%7.4%10.7%8.5%0.2%
Torbay
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results48,0798.7%40.7%33.8%13.6%3.2%0.0%6.9%
12-21 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00011%33%34%17%3%1%1%
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00115%30%30%21%3%1%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results49,2106.6%38.7%47.0%5.3%1.0%1.4%8.3%
Twickenham
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenBNPOthersLead
11-16 Apr 2014ICM/Oakeshott50134%23%5%32%4%1%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results59,72134.1%7.7%1.5%54.4%1.1%1.1%0.2%20.3%
Warwick & Leamington
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
1–6 Dec 2014Ashcroft53438%34%7%14%7%<0.5%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,03242.6%35.4%18.3%1.9%1.4%0.4%7.2%
Watford
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results56,14943.5%26.0%18.1%9.8%2.4%0.3%17.4%
11–20 Nov 2014Ashcroft52530%24%28%14%3%0%2%
20–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft52527%29%25%14%4%1%2%
19 May–6 Jun 2014Ashcroft52429%25%24%16%6%0%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,20834.9%26.7%32.4%2.2%1.6%2.2%2.6%
Weaver Vale
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
14-22 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00132%41%6%18%2%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,99038.5%36.3%18.6%2.3%0.8%3.4%2.2%
Wirral West
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00043%46%3%5%2%0%3%
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00037%42%5%10%5%1%5%
22–26 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00038%39%6%12%4%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results39,37242.5%36.3%16.8%2.3%2.1%6.2%
Witney
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
2–4 Dec 2014Survation/Unite53153%4%19%16%7%1%34%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,76958.8%19.4%3.5%13.0%4.1%1.2%39.4%
Worcester
<
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00238%33%4%15%7%2%5%
13–19 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00234%36%5%17%7%