Post-election_pendulum_for_the_New_South_Wales_state_election,_2003

Post-election pendulum for the 2003 New South Wales state election

Post-election pendulum for the 2003 New South Wales state election

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The Mackerras New South Wales election pendulum, 2005 shows the state of the major political parties ahead of the 2007 New South Wales state election. The table shows seats in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly arranged in the form of a Mackerras pendulum. The figures have been calculated on the basis of a redistribution completed in 2005.

A uniform swing against the incumbent Labor Party government would deliver seats on the left of the table to the opposition Liberal and National parties. A swing in the government's favour would deliver seats on the right of the table to Labor.

MPs shown in italics did not contest the 2007 election.

Very safe seats

More information District, Member ...

Safe seats

More information District, Member ...

Fairly safe seats

More information District, Member ...

Marginal seats

More information District, Member ...

Independents

A version of the table published in The Australian on 19 February 2007[18] showed all seats as effectively Coalition or Labor depending on the favoured major party among the electorate's voters. On this interpretation, Clover Moore's seat of Sydney is shown on the government side, alone among the seven sitting independents.

Notes

  1. [1]
    Two-candidate preferred result against Nationals
  2. [2]
    Two-candidate preferred result against Liberals shown. Two-candidate preferred result against Greens, who polled second, was 10.0 points
  3. [3]
    Seat formerly known as Illawarra
  4. [4]
    Seat formerly known as Port Jackson
  5. [5]
    Two-candidate preferred margin to Liberals shown. Two-candidate preferred margin to Greens, who polled second in this electorate, is 7.1 points
  6. [6]
    Seat formerly held by Milton Orkopoulos. No by-election held after MP's resignation.
  7. [7]
    Allen held now-abolished district of Wentworthville, but is not running again.
  8. [8]
    Gaudry is recontesting the seat as an independent
  9. [9]
    Margin to ALP shown
  10. [10]
    Seat formerly known as Georges River
  11. [11]
    Pringle is recontesting the seat as an independent
  12. [12]
    Electorate formerly known as The Hills
  13. [13]
    Andrews currently represents the now-abolished seat of Peats
  14. [14]
    Two-candidate preferred result against Liberal Party
  15. [15]
    Seaton represented the now-abolished seat of Southern Highlands
  16. [16]
    Notional National Party seat
  17. [17]
    Seat formerly known as Gosford
  18. [18]
    "The Australian | The Australian Homepage | TheAustralian". Theaustralian.news.com.au. Retrieved 16 July 2010.
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