United_States_Senate_election_in_Nevada,_2018

2018 United States Senate election in Nevada

2018 United States Senate election in Nevada

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The 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada took place November 6, 2018, to elect one of two U.S. senators from Nevada. Incumbent Republican senator Dean Heller lost re-election to a second full term, being defeated by Democratic nominee Jacky Rosen.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Heller had considered a bid for Nevada governor but instead announced he would run for reelection to a second full term. This was the only Republican-held U.S. Senate seat up for election in 2018 in a state Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election, and one of two Democratic flips in the 2018 U.S. Senate elections.[1][2] Rosen's victory marked the first time that Nevada had been represented by two women in the United States Senate, and the first time a Democrat had won the Class 1 Senate seat in Nevada since 1994 (as well as the first time both Senate seats were held by Democrats since 2001). Heller was the only Republican incumbent to lose a Senate seat in 2018; he later unsuccessfully ran in the 2022 Republican primary for Governor of Nevada.

The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 12.[3]

Background

Nevada is a swing state that once leaned slightly rightward, having voted for George W. Bush twice. But since 2008 it has seen the opposite trend, giving Barack Obama a seven-point victory in 2012 while simultaneously electing Heller to the Senate by one point. Obama also carried Nevada in 2008 by a 12.5% margin. In 2016, the state shifted rightward again, still voting for Hillary Clinton, but only by two points, although Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto managed to win the seat of retiring Democratic Senate leader Harry Reid. Because of the consistent swing nature of the state, many cited Heller as the most vulnerable incumbent Republican in the U.S. Senate up for reelection in 2018, a year with few Republicans in that position; President Donald Trump even warned that if Heller failed to vote to pass the GOP Health care bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, he could well lose his seat in the next election.[4][5]

At the end of September 2018, the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination became a major element of the campaign. Heller made noncommittal remarks[6] and a significant campaign was deployed to criticize his support for Kavanaugh.[7][8]

Rosen is only the 37th sitting House freshman to win a Senate election, the first female representative to do so, and the first one-term House Democrat to become a senator-elect since James Abourezk in 1972.[9]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Sherry Brooks
  • Sarah Gazala, teacher[10]
  • Vic Harrell
  • Tom Heck
  • Dean Heller, incumbent U.S. Senator[11]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Dean Heller
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State officials
State senators
State assembly members
Local officials
Individuals
Groups
Danny Tarkanian (withdrew)
Federal officials
Governors

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
with Danny Tarkanian

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Heller—70–80%
  •   Heller—60–70%
  •   Heller—50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Danny Burleigh
  • David Drew Knight
  • Sujeet "Bobby" Mahendra, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[34]
  • Allen Rheinhart, civil rights activist (Black Lives Matter), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016
  • Jacky Rosen, U.S. Representative for NV-03[35]
  • Jesse Sbaih, attorney and candidate for NV-03 in 2016[36]

Declined

Endorsements

Jacky Rosen
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Websites and newspapers

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Rosen—80–90%
  •   Rosen—70–80%
  •   Rosen—60–70%
  •   Rosen—50–60%
  •   Rosen—30–40%
  •   Rosen/Knight tie—<30%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Kamau Bakari[76]
  • Barry Michaels, businessman, convicted felon and perennial candidate[77]

General election

Debates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Jacky Rosen (D)
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Websites and newspapers
Dean Heller (R)
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
Governors
State officials
State senators
State assembly members
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018, Candidate (party) ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
with Dina Titus

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Heller carried 15 of Nevada's 17 county-level jurisdictions, but Rosen carried the two largest, Clark (home to Las Vegas) and Washoe (home to Reno). She won Clark County by over 92,000 votes, almost double her statewide margin of over 48,900 votes.[113]

More information By county, County ...

Results by congressional districts

Rosen won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[114]

More information District, Rosen ...

Notes

  1. Archived December 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine

References

  1. Hagar, Ray (May 5, 2016). "Sen. Heller Considers Run For Governor In 2018". Nevada News & Views. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
  2. Rindels, Michelle (November 25, 2016). "Fresh off 2016 losses, Democrats target 2018 Senate races". Nevada Appeal. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
  3. Cillizza, Chris (July 19, 2017). "Donald Trump threatened Dean Heller on health care. Heller was sitting next to him". CNN. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  4. Stahl, Jeremy (July 19, 2017). "Trump Threatens Sen. Dean Heller at Lunch, May Have Found Trumpcare Patsy". Slate. ISSN 1091-2339. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  5. "Unclear if Nevada Sen. Dean Heller still supports Kavanaugh". Reno Gazette Journal. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  6. Hellmann, Jessie (October 4, 2018). "Planned Parenthood targets Dean Heller on Kavanaugh comments in ad". The Hill. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  7. Ostermeier, Eric (July 27, 2017). "Jacky Rosen's Historic 2018 US Senate Bid". Smart Politics. Archived from the original on November 24, 2018.
  8. Howell Jr., Tom (December 29, 2016). "Sen. Dean Heller rules out Nevada governor bid, will seek re-election in 2018". The Washington Times. Retrieved December 29, 2016.
  9. Messerly, Megan (August 8, 2017). "Tarkanian announces bid for U.S. Senate, says will challenge Heller in Republican primary in 2018". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
  10. Bradner, Eric (March 16, 2018). "Tarkanian drops Heller primary challenge to run for House seat". CNN. Retrieved March 16, 2018.
  11. Hagar, Ray (August 5, 2015). "Hagar: Amodei wants to be Nevada governor - if Heller doesn't". Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved August 6, 2015.
  12. Richardson, Seth A. (January 18, 2017). "Amodei says he won't run for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved January 18, 2017.
  13. Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018). "David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates". Politically Georgia.
  14. "Lt. Governor Hutchison: Pleased to Announce Our Campaign Co-Chairs". Heller for Senate. January 5, 2018. Archived from the original on January 9, 2018. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  15. "Key Republicans Throw Support Behind Heller". Las Vegas Review-Journal. August 27, 2017.
  16. Giwargis, Ramona (May 9, 2018). "Campaign 2018: Hispanic activists show support for Dean Heller". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved May 10, 2018.
  17. Giwargis, Ramona (July 26, 2018). "Dean Heller lands law enforcement union endorsement". Las Vegas Review-Journal.
  18. "Small Business Endorses U.S. Senator Dean Heller for Re-election". NFIB. August 6, 2018. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018.
  19. "National Right to Life Endorses Dean Heller". Heller for Senate. February 15, 2018. Archived from the original on August 14, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  20. "Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On or Before November 6th!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023. The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed Dean Heller for U.S. Senate.
  21. "Laborers Union Local 872 Endorses Dean Heller". Heller for Senate. August 14, 2018. Archived from the original on August 15, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  22. "Steve Bannon Endorse Danny Tarkanian". 360Daily.Net. September 12, 2017.
  23. Denevan, Jennifer (June 29, 2017). "Candidates throwing their name in the ring early". The Laughlin Times. Retrieved September 12, 2017.
  24. Messerly, Megan (July 6, 2017). "Rosen officially announces Senate bid, says Reid encouraged her to run". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved July 6, 2017.
  25. Ralston, Jon (December 1, 2016). "One person who is mulling a run for Senate (and maybe gov) is Stephen Cloobeck". Twitter. Retrieved December 2, 2016.
  26. Ralston, Jon (February 8, 2017). "Democrats salivating about beating Heller, have everything but a candidate". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved February 10, 2017.
  27. Ralston, Jon (April 26, 2017). "Cloobeck, huge Democratic donor and potential gov candidate, to endorse Heller". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
  28. Snyder, Riley (September 12, 2017). "Democratic Senate Leader Aaron Ford announces attorney general bid, setting up likely race to replace Laxalt". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved September 12, 2017.
  29. Kihuen, Ruben (July 6, 2017). "I'm very proud to support you, my friend". Twitter. Retrieved July 6, 2017.
  30. Ralston, Jon (April 25, 2017). "Marshall: I'm considering a U.S. Senate bid". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
  31. Valley, Jackie (September 13, 2017). "Former state Treasurer Kate Marshall announces her bid for lieutenant governor". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved September 13, 2017.
  32. Kamisar, Ben (November 16, 2016). "10 Senate seats that could flip in 2018". The Hill. Retrieved November 28, 2016.
  33. Railey, Kimberly (February 8, 2017). "At this early point in @SenDeanHeller's reelex, Dems are unsure how deeply Harry Reid will get involved". Twitter. Retrieved February 8, 2017.
  34. Hagar, Ray (March 30, 2017). "Titus 'thinking about' run against Heller in 2018". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved April 3, 2017.
  35. Martin, Gary (September 27, 2017). "Titus skips Senate race, will run for re-election to Congress". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
  36. Lochhead, Colton (August 16, 2017). "Clark County DA Steve Wolfson announces re-election bid". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved August 16, 2017.
  37. Debenedetti, Gabriel; Everett, Burgess (October 24, 2017). "Reid gone from D.C. — but still pulling strings". POLITICO.
  38. Kamisar, Ben (July 6, 2017). "Senate Dem campaign arm backs Harry Reid's pick for Nevada seat". The Hill. Retrieved August 12, 2017.
  39. McAllister, Rusty (April 20, 2018). "Nevada State AFL-CIO Statewide Endorsements" (PDF). Nevada State AFL-CIO. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  40. Murillo, Jr., Ruben (March 1, 2018). "Nevada State Education Association Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate" (PDF). NSEA. Nevada State Education Association.
  41. Blue, Luisa; Springer, Debbie (February 28, 2018). "SEIU Nevada Local 1107 Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". SEIU Nevada.
  42. Van Hollen, Chris (July 6, 2017). "DSCC Endorses Jacky Rosen In NV Senate Campaign - DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
  43. Schriock, Stephanie (July 7, 2017). "EMILY's List Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate in Nevada". EMILY'S List.
  44. Tiffany Muller (August 3, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United.
  45. "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC". National Organization for Women Political Action Committees. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  46. Laguens, Dawn (April 17, 2018). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Nevada's Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". Planned Parenthood Action.
  47. "2018 Endorsements". Sierra Club. December 7, 2017. Archived from the original on July 12, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
  48. Barry Michaels (August 9, 2017). "Barry Michaels U.S. Senate Nevada 2018 - Challenges Federal Gun Control Act". EIN Presswire. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
  49. "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  50. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  51. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Senate". Center for Politics. Retrieved April 8, 2018.
  52. "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  53. "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  54. "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 18, 2018.
  55. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  56. Amy Schumer. "News". Twitter.
  57. "Nevada". Official UAW Endorsements. United Automobile Workers.
  58. "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  59. "2018 Endorsements". Sierra Club. December 7, 2017. Archived from the original on July 12, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
  60. "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  61. Barry Michaels (I) and Kamau Bakari (AI) with 2%
  62. Barry Michaels (I) with 2%, Kamau Bakari (AI) with 1%, other with 0%
  63. "U.S. Senate - Nevada General Election 2018". silverstateelection.com. Archived from the original on August 2, 2019. Retrieved December 2, 2018.

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