United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_2018

2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico
Turnout	55.0%
	Heinrich: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Rich: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50%; No data
U.S. senator before election; Martin Heinrich; Democratic	Elected U.S. Senator ; Martin Heinrich; Democratic

2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico

Election in New Mexico

The 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Incumbent Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich won re-election to a second term.^[1] His opponents were Republican nominee and businessman Mick Rich and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, a two-term Republican Governor of New Mexico and two-time candidate for President of the United States.

The candidate filing deadline was March 13, 2018. The Republican and Democratic primary elections were held June 5, 2018.^[2] Johnson's results were the highest results for a Libertarian candidate in New Mexico history.

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Martin Heinrich (incumbent)	152,145	100%
Total votes			152,145	100%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mick Rich	67,502	100%
Total votes			67,502	100%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Aubrey Dunn	623	100%
Total votes			623	100%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[39]	Safe D	October 26, 2018
Inside Elections^[40]	Safe D	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[41]	Safe D	November 1, 2018
Fox News^[42]	Likely D	November 1, 2018
CNN^[43]	Safe D	November 1, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[44]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[45]	Safe D	November 6, 2018

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Martin Heinrich (D)	Mick Rich (R)	Gary Johnson (L)	Undecided
Research Co.	November 1–3, 2018	450	± 4.6%	47%	33%	11%	9%
Carroll Strategies Archived November 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	November 1, 2018	1,202	± 2.8%	51%	38%	8%	3%
Research & Polling, Inc.	October 26 – November 1, 2018	993	± 3.1%	51%	31%	12%	6%
Emerson College	October 24–26, 2018	936	± 3.4%	48%	32%	16%	5%
Pacific Market Research	October 19–24, 2018	400	± 4.9%	40%	28%	22%	11%
NSON Opinion Strategy (L)	September 20–24, 2018	932	–	36%	10%	28%	26%
In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC)	September 16–17, 2018	900	–	38%	10%	28%	24%
Research & Polling, Inc.	September 7–13, 2018	966	± 3.1%	47%	26%	16%	–
In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC) Archived September 27, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	August 2018	900	–	38%	13%	28%	21%
Emerson College	August 17–18, 2018	500	± 4.6%	39%	11%	21%	30%
GQR Research (D-TMI) Archived August 25, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	August 2–5, 2018	500	± 4.4%	48%	33%	17%	2%
GBA Strategies (D-Heinrich)	August 1–5, 2018	800	± 3.5%	47%	29%	22%	–
The Tarrance Group (R-Rich)	July 31 – August 2, 2018	500	± 4.5%	44%	30%	20%	6%
NSON Opinion Strategy (L) Archived September 27, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	July 2018	500	–	39%	25%	23%	12%

United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_2018

2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew nomination

Results

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Predictions

Polling

Graphical summary

Polls

Results

County results

Results by congressional district

References

External links

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Martin Heinrich (incumbent)	376,998	54.09%	+3.08%
	Republican	Mick Rich	212,813	30.53%	-14.75%
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	107,201	15.38%	N/A
Total votes			697,012	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

	Martin Heinrich Democrat		Mick Rich Republican		Gary Johnson Libertarian		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes
Bernalillo	140,082	58.1%	61,932	25.7%	39,274	16.3%	241,288
Catron	550	26.9%	1,075	58.4%	217	11.8%	1,842
Chaves	5,279	31.7%	8,727	52.4%	2,666	16.0%	16,672
Cibola	3,924	55.1%	1,842	25.9%	1,355	19.0%	7,121
Colfax	2,333	49.9%	1,615	34.5%	731	15.6%	4,679
Curry	2,793	27.4%	5,896	57.9%	1,498	14.7%	10,187
De Baca	267	33.2%	342	42.5%	196	24.4%	805
Doña Ana	34,651	57.0%	18,101	29.8%	8,029	13.2%	60,781
Eddy	4,834	30.7%	8,826	56.0%	2,095	13.3%	15,755
Grant	6,763	57.3%	3,598	30.5%	1,442	12.2%	11,803
Guadalupe	1,094	65.2%	292	17.4%	292	17.4%	1,678
Harding	198	41.2%	199	41.4%	84	17.5%	481
Hidalgo	790	49.5%	607	38.1%	198	12.4%	1,595
Lea	3,331	24.1%	8,882	64.2%	1,628	11.8%	13,841
Lincoln	2,617	33.3%	4,122	52.5%	1,111	14.2%	7,850
Los Alamos	5,798	56.3%	2,576	25.0%	1,926	18.7%	10,300
Luna	3,005	48.9%	2,313	37.7%	823	13.4%	6,141
McKinley	12,409	67.5%	2,915	15.9%	3,049	16.6%	18,373
Mora	1,564	67.4%	372	16.0%	386	16.6%	2,322
Otero	6,370	37.2%	8,460	49.4%	2,291	13.4%	17,121
Quay	1,016	32.9%	1,534	49.7%	537	17.4%	3,087
Rio Arriba	8,773	68.8%	1,945	15.3%	2,035	16.0%	12,753
Roosevelt	1,277	27.6%	2,606	56.3%	750	16.2%	4,633
San Juan	12,485	33.4%	18,002	48.2%	6,876	18.4%	37,363
San Miguel	6,609	71.6%	1,298	14.1%	1,323	14.3%	9,230
Sandoval	28,198	50.9%	17,785	32.1%	9,397	17.0%	55,380
Santa Fe	49,994	74.4%	9,546	14.2%	7,642	11.4%	67,182
Sierra	1,917	40.5%	2,048	43.3%	767	16.2%	4,732
Socorro	3,409	54.7%	1,700	27.3%	1,129	18.1%	6,238
Taos	10,838	74.7%	1,556	10.7%	2,112	14.6%	14,506
Torrance	1,982	36.9%	2,433	45.3%	951	17.7%	5,366
Union	334	22.8%	878	60.0%	252	17.2%	1,464
Valencia	11,514	47.1%	8,790	35.0%	4,139	16.9%	24,443

District	Heinrich	Rich	Johnson	Representative
1st	57.55%	26.28%	16.17%	Deb Haaland
2nd	45.56%	40.17%	14.27%	Xochitl Torres Small
3rd	57.52%	27.0%	15.48%	Ben Ray Luján