Wikipedia:Seven-million_pool

Wikipedia:Seven-million pool

Wikipedia:Seven-million pool


This Seven-million pool is for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:Statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 7,000,000 (seven million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,795,042.

More information Closed pools, Closed for voting ...

This pool has closed for entries, when the English Wikipedia article count reached 5,600,000 (March 29, 2018). Perhaps try the Eight-million pool or a higher pool. Current level: 97.07% of 7M goal (live). This Seven-million pool opened on 12 December 2010‎, the day English Wikipedia reached 3.5 million articles.

2010

2011

  • October 10 RCSprinter123 (talk) 15:35, 23 February 2011 (UTC)
    -That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor

2012

2013

  • January 15 - 115.43.44.129 (talk) 09:05, 17 December 2010 (UTC)
    -That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor

2014

2015

  • 25 November 2015 at 13:26:39 UTC Qazox (talk) 10:21, 25 February 2012 (UTC)
    -That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor

2016

  • December 19, 2016  Preceding unsigned comment added by 2602:306:35A3:DCA0:A9F3:49D6:40A7:9E85 (talkcontribs) 19:51, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
    -That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor (Talk to me!) 21:45, 10 March 2017 (UTC)

2017

June 1, 2017. Because why not? Prhdbt [talk] 23:59, 1 November 2015 (UTC)

2018

  • February 20 - Attempted an educated guess on this matter. GVnayR (talk) 03:31, 15 March 2011 (UTC)
  • April 6 - Yet another educated guess. Eman235/talk 02:24, 27 October 2015 (UTC)
  • May 7th - My guess, Wikipedia has seen an increase in new articles. Williditor 00:29, 2 November 2015 (UTC)
  • July 3 - Just a guess. Lanthanum-138 (talk) 11:35, 10 February 2011 (UTC)
    • Changing my prediction from my old username: this isn't gonna happen, I think. Double sharp (talk) 16:16, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • October 18 - Educated guess. StevenD99 03:37, 25 July 2014 (UTC)
  • September 29 - this is a guess by anonymous user: the_creamed_corn - done on November 1st
  • December 17 - random guess Scribblium (talk) 12:29, 11 October 2017 (UTC)
  • December 27, 2018. Based on some quick math I did in my head. MitchG74 23:36, 14 December 2017 (UTC)

2019

  • January 19, 2019. Kernosky talk2me! 18:11, 22 April 2016 (UTC)
  • April 11, 2019. MatthewVanitas (talk) 05:50, 7 February 2017 (UTC)
  • May 14, 2019. A random guess. 73.110.42.90 (talk) 19:40, 29 October 2017 (UTC)
  • 25 June JAGUAR  20:32, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • September 21st - a hunch Lumos3 (talk) 18:53, 21 October 2015 (UTC)
  • October 30th - Stab in the dark Weisolas

2020

  • 1 January 2020 - Nobody's guessing on a holiday. 1.618033 goldensqᴉɹʇuoɔ 01:30, 2 December 2017 (UTC)
  • 18 April 2020. Wes Mouse | T@lk 23:00, 28 June 2015 (UTC)
  • 19 June 2020 Aryamanaroratalk, contribs 01:54, 13 October 2015 (UTC)
  • 24 September 2020 (After much research involving intensely complex graphical analysis of data) Someskitalk, contribs 01:20, 3 November 2015 (UTC)
  • October 27, 2020 --Proud User (talk) 19:31, 13 December 2015 (UTC)
  • December 4, 2020, if my accelerating-wikipedia-article-creation-theory-thing is correct. Kernosky talk2me! 11:56, 10 August 2016 (UTC)
  • December 21, 2020 – Hopefully article creation rate increases! J947( c ) (m) 18:37, 17 October 2017 (UTC)

2021

2022

  • 22 February 2022 (it took just over 3 years to get from 4M to 5M, and, well, 22 is kind of my number...) Antony22 (talkcontribs) 07:40, 20 October 2015 (UTC)
  • 1 March 2022. The voter above me is also called Antony :) Antonytse (talk) 13:57, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • 1 May 2022. Wikipedia reached 4,000,000 articles in 2012, 5,000,000 in 2015, and I'm guessing 2019 will be the year when Wikipedia reaches 6,000,000 and 2022 for 7,000,000. I may not be editing, but I'm guessing that should be when it comes. 2679D (talk) 07:06, 2 November 2015 (UTC)
  • 16. May 2022--Thejuusoboy (talk) 07:08, 8 September 2016 (UTC)
  • 11 June 2022, from lame linear extrapolation. Double sharp (talk) 16:16, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • 18 June 2022, a bit pessimistic, based on current trends. Winner 42 Talk to me! 15:44, 31 August 2015 (UTC)
  • 1 July 2022, yes, I also used the data from 4 million to 5 million.  :-) --User101010 (talk) 19:28, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • 15 September 2022. I don't know why. Titoncioalk to me 19:58, 16 December 2013 (UTC)
  • 22 October 2022. because why not - Yellow Dingo (talk) 11:49, 13 June 2016 (UTC)
  • 19 November 2022. When I turn age 20. - Retterime 16:16, 5 December 2017 (UTC)
  • 29 December 2022. Judging by the wikipedia final tailoff. Kernosky talk2me! 18:11, 22 April 2016 (UTC)

2023

  • 1 January 2023 Spirit of Eagle (talk) 04:16, 27 October 2016 (UTC)
  • 23 Jan 2023 If current trends continue. ϢereSpielChequers 14:29, 30 January 2015 (UTC)
  • 5 March 2023. ♦ Dr. Blofeld 18:01, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • April 1, 2023; a little earlier than some of my last-minute calculations, but similar to the approximations of other editors. It'll be played off as a joke until someone actually checks. Yours Truly, HNdlROdU (talk). Signed 21:56, 13 February 2018 (UTC).
  • May 5, 2023, assuming the rate of content creation decline remains relatively constant. Though the pattern might break down if decent content-writing AIs/bots are released onto the wiki in the 2020s. --Jakob (talk) aka Jakec 15:12, 30 September 2015 (UTC)
  • June 27, 2023....my 20th birthday I guess.JJBers|talk 19:55, 2 February 2017 (UTC)
  • July 21, 2023 - I guess we will reach 7 million on this date. Lightspeed2012 15:45, 1 November 2015 (UTC)
  • September 30, 2023--Kopiersperre (talk) 13:22, 2 November 2015 (UTC)
  • October 31, 2023 -- I'll be really embarrassed if we aren't at least close to 7 million on this date! Etamni |  |   22:20, 5 November 2015 (UTC)
  • December 25, 2023 -- The Seven-millionth article will be our Christmas gift! Williditor 15:50, 23 November 2016 (UTC)
  • 2023 has passed :( 2003LN6 20:01, 22 February 2024 (UTC)

2024

  • January 6, 2024 Nomader (talk) 15:43, 11 September 2015 (UTC)
  • March 25, 2024--MainlyTwelve (talk) 01:32, 25 March 2016 (UTC)
  • April 24, 2024 m'encarta (t) 02:36, 7 June 2012 (UTC)
  • June 9, 2024 4:57:27 PM UTC+0 Brightgalrs (/braɪtˈɡæl.ərˌɛs/)[1] 10:04, 1 July 2012 (UTC)
  • July 31, 2024 Daud I.F. Argana (talk) 08:36, 29 August 2013 (UTC)
  • August 9, 2024. The average of several regressions. Cooljeanius (talk) (contribs) 10:11, 2 November 2015 (UTC)
  • September 24th, 2024 - my 36th birthday. BillyH 17:35, 19 September 2016 (UTC)
  • 14 October 2024 - I can wait to see if my hasty calculations hold up. NMN CMJ. Andromedabluesphere440 (talk) 18:24, 21 March 2018 (UTC)

2025-2029

  • July 25, 2025 -- The growth is slowing, people. 50.26.181.204
  • 2026, 12 October. --Brateevsky (talk to me) 13:08, 26 May 2014 (UTC)
  • 2028, November 26 -- Squad51 (talk) 17:41, 1 November 2015 (UTC)

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050 or later

  • February 29, 9004, cause it's OVER 9000!!! 24.14.73.183 (talk) 23:32, 18 November 2011 (UTC)
    WOW this gives me flashbacks XanderK09 (talk) 03:30, 18 February 2024 (UTC)

Never


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