2016_United_States_presidential_election_in_Arkansas
The 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
Main article: 2016 United States presidential election
Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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Although Clinton once served as the First Lady of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981 and from 1983 to 1992 as the wife of then-Governor Bill Clinton, Arkansas was considered to be a state Trump would win or otherwise a safe red state. Bill Clinton won the state twice in 1992 and 1996, but the state has trended Republican in every election since the 2000, and no Democrat won a statewide election there since 2010. Trump won the state with 60.57% of the vote, and Hillary Clinton received 33.65% of the vote.[2] The Republican candidate has carried Arkansas in every election starting in 2000. This is also the first election in which the state simultaneously voted for a Republican presidential candidate and a Republican Senate candidate. Arkansas was 1 of 11 states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
Trump's 60.57% share of the vote is tied with Mitt Romney's 60.57% in 2012, making both candidates' performances the best result for the Republicans in Arkansas since Richard Nixon in 1972. However, Trump bested Romney in terms of margin, winning by 26.92% versus Romney's 23.69%. The Prohibition Party candidate, James Hedges, also had the notable achievement of finishing third in Arkansas County, ahead of major third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, the only county in the country where he did so.
On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Arkansas voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, Libertarian, Constitution, and Prohibition parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.
Democratic primary
Main article: 2016 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Opinion polling
Results
Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 37
More information Candidate, Popular vote ...
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 146,057 | 66.08% | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| Bernie Sanders | 66,236 | 29.97% | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 2,785 | 1.26% | |||
| John Wolfe Jr. | 2,556 | 1.16% | |||
| James Valentine | 1,702 | 0.77% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 1,684 | 0.76% | |||
| Total | 221,020 | 100% | 32 | 5 | 37 |
| Sources: The Green Papers and Official County results (provisional) Arkansas Secretary of State | |||||
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Republican primary
Main article: 2016 Arkansas Republican presidential primary
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3][4]
More information Candidate, Votes ...
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 134,744 | 32.79% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| Ted Cruz | 125,340 | 30.50% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| Marco Rubio | 101,910 | 24.80% | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Ben Carson | 23,521 | 5.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 15,305 | 3.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 4,792 | 1.17% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 2,402 | 0.58% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 1,151 | 0.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 631 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 411 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 292 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 252 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Jindal (withdrawn) | 169 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 410,920 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
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Polling
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arkansas as of Election Day.
More information Source, Ranking ...
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[5] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[6] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[9] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[10] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
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Statewide results
Map legend
- Clinton—40–50%
- Clinton—50–60%
- Clinton—60–70%
- Clinton—70–80%
- Clinton—80–90%
- Clinton—90–100%
- Trump–40–50%
- Trump–50–60%
- Trump–60–70%
- Trump–70–80%
- Trump–80–90%
- Trump–90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...
| 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas[13] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | % | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | Mike Pence | 684,872 | 60.57% | 6 | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | Tim Kaine | 380,494 | 33.65% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | William Weld | 29,949 | 2.64% | 0 | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin | Nathan Johnson | 13,176 | 1.17% | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein | Ajamu Baraka | 9,473 | 0.84% | 0 | |
| Prohibition Party | Jim Hedges | Bill Bayes | 4,709 | 0.42% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Darrell Castle | Scott Bradley | 4,613 | 0.41% | 0 | |
| Independent | Lynn S. Kahn | Kathleen Monahan | 3,390 | 0.30% | 0 | |
| Total | 1,130,676 | 100.00% | 6 | |||
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Results by county
More information County, Donald Trump Republican ...
| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Arkansas | 3,826 | 61.59% | 1,939 | 31.21% | 447 | 7.20% | 1,887 | 30.38% | 6,212 |
| Ashley | 5,338 | 66.04% | 2,408 | 29.79% | 337 | 4.17% | 2,930 | 36.25% | 8,083 |
| Baxter | 14,682 | 74.28% | 4,169 | 21.09% | 915 | 4.63% | 10,513 | 53.19% | 19,766 |
| Benton | 60,871 | 62.87% | 28,005 | 28.92% | 7,948 | 8.21% | 32,866 | 33.95% | 96,824 |
| Boone | 12,235 | 75.94% | 2,926 | 18.16% | 950 | 5.90% | 9,309 | 57.78% | 16,111 |
| Bradley | 2,164 | 59.24% | 1,317 | 36.05% | 172 | 4.71% | 847 | 23.19% | 3,653 |
| Calhoun | 1,556 | 68.58% | 639 | 28.16% | 74 | 3.26% | 917 | 40.42% | 2,269 |
| Carroll | 6,786 | 63.08% | 3,342 | 31.07% | 630 | 5.85% | 3,444 | 32.01% | 10,758 |
| Chicot | 1,716 | 41.09% | 2,350 | 56.27% | 110 | 2.64% | -634 | -15.18% | 4,176 |
| Clark | 4,404 | 51.65% | 3,620 | 42.46% | 502 | 5.89% | 784 | 9.19% | 8,526 |
| Clay | 3,781 | 72.71% | 1,199 | 23.06% | 220 | 4.23% | 2,582 | 49.65% | 5,200 |
| Cleburne | 9,458 | 78.26% | 2,101 | 17.39% | 526 | 4.35% | 7,357 | 60.87% | 12,085 |
| Cleveland | 2,462 | 73.40% | 723 | 21.56% | 169 | 5.04% | 1,739 | 51.84% | 3,354 |
| Columbia | 5,456 | 61.39% | 3,140 | 35.33% | 291 | 3.28% | 2,316 | 26.06% | 8,887 |
| Conway | 4,849 | 61.17% | 2,656 | 33.51% | 422 | 5.32% | 2,193 | 27.66% | 7,927 |
| Craighead | 22,892 | 64.35% | 10,538 | 29.62% | 2,143 | 6.03% | 12,354 | 34.73% | 35,573 |
| Crawford | 16,686 | 74.33% | 4,488 | 19.99% | 1,276 | 5.68% | 12,198 | 54.34% | 22,450 |
| Crittenden | 6,964 | 43.66% | 8,410 | 52.72% | 578 | 3.62% | -1,446 | -9.06% | 15,952 |
| Cross | 4,584 | 66.69% | 1,999 | 29.08% | 291 | 4.23% | 2,585 | 37.61% | 6,874 |
| Dallas | 1,509 | 54.46% | 1,165 | 42.04% | 97 | 3.50% | 344 | 12.42% | 2,771 |
| Desha | 1,919 | 45.08% | 2,228 | 52.34% | 110 | 2.58% | -309 | -7.26% | 4,257 |
| Drew | 3,968 | 60.17% | 2,365 | 35.86% | 262 | 3.97% | 1,603 | 24.31% | 6,595 |
| Faulkner | 29,346 | 61.75% | 14,629 | 30.78% | 3,552 | 7.47% | 14,717 | 30.97% | 47,527 |
| Franklin | 5,039 | 74.43% | 1,376 | 20.32% | 355 | 5.25% | 3,663 | 54.11% | 6,770 |
| Fulton | 3,471 | 72.74% | 1,067 | 22.36% | 234 | 4.90% | 2,404 | 50.38% | 4,772 |
| Garland | 26,087 | 63.93% | 12,311 | 30.17% | 2,407 | 5.90% | 13,776 | 33.76% | 40,805 |
| Grant | 5,725 | 76.90% | 1,373 | 18.44% | 347 | 4.66% | 4,352 | 58.46% | 7,445 |
| Greene | 10,720 | 73.42% | 3,071 | 21.03% | 809 | 5.55% | 7,649 | 52.39% | 14,600 |
| Hempstead | 4,401 | 62.43% | 2,377 | 33.72% | 271 | 3.85% | 2,024 | 28.71% | 7,049 |
| Hot Spring | 8,172 | 68.42% | 3,149 | 26.36% | 623 | 5.22% | 5,023 | 42.06% | 11,944 |
| Howard | 3,157 | 67.54% | 1,351 | 28.90% | 166 | 3.56% | 1,806 | 38.64% | 4,674 |
| Independence | 9,936 | 72.98% | 2,881 | 21.16% | 797 | 5.86% | 7,055 | 51.82% | 13,614 |
| Izard | 4,042 | 74.19% | 1,113 | 20.43% | 293 | 5.38% | 2,929 | 53.76% | 5,448 |
| Jackson | 3,267 | 63.36% | 1,583 | 30.70% | 306 | 5.94% | 1,684 | 32.66% | 5,156 |
| Jefferson | 9,250 | 35.72% | 15,772 | 60.91% | 872 | 3.37% | -6,522 | -25.19% | 25,894 |
| Johnson | 6,091 | 66.85% | 2,427 | 26.64% | 594 | 6.51% | 3,664 | 40.21% | 9,112 |
| Lafayette | 1,758 | 61.47% | 1,032 | 36.08% | 70 | 2.45% | 726 | 25.39% | 2,860 |
| Lawrence | 4,064 | 71.49% | 1,263 | 22.22% | 358 | 6.29% | 2,801 | 49.27% | 5,685 |
| Lee | 1,229 | 40.61% | 1,735 | 57.34% | 62 | 2.05% | -506 | -16.73% | 3,026 |
| Lincoln | 2,455 | 64.17% | 1,252 | 32.72% | 119 | 3.11% | 1,203 | 31.45% | 3,826 |
| Little River | 3,605 | 68.97% | 1,397 | 26.73% | 225 | 4.30% | 2,208 | 42.24% | 5,227 |
| Logan | 5,746 | 72.54% | 1,715 | 21.65% | 460 | 5.81% | 4,031 | 50.89% | 7,921 |
| Lonoke | 19,958 | 73.65% | 5,664 | 20.90% | 1,478 | 5.45% | 14,294 | 52.75% | 27,100 |
| Madison | 4,928 | 72.04% | 1,588 | 23.21% | 325 | 4.75% | 3,340 | 48.83% | 6,841 |
| Marion | 5,336 | 75.08% | 1,434 | 20.18% | 337 | 4.74% | 3,902 | 54.90% | 7,107 |
| Miller | 11,294 | 70.19% | 4,273 | 26.56% | 524 | 3.25% | 7,021 | 43.63% | 16,091 |
| Mississippi | 7,061 | 53.48% | 5,670 | 42.94% | 473 | 3.58% | 1,391 | 10.54% | 13,204 |
| Monroe | 1,489 | 51.63% | 1,312 | 45.49% | 83 | 2.88% | 177 | 6.14% | 2,884 |
| Montgomery | 2,643 | 74.26% | 748 | 21.02% | 168 | 4.72% | 1,895 | 53.24% | 3,559 |
| Nevada | 2,000 | 61.61% | 1,157 | 35.64% | 89 | 2.75% | 843 | 25.97% | 3,246 |
| Newton | 2,875 | 76.61% | 699 | 18.63% | 179 | 4.76% | 2,176 | 57.98% | 3,753 |
| Ouachita | 5,351 | 53.86% | 4,321 | 43.49% | 263 | 2.65% | 1,030 | 10.37% | 9,935 |
| Perry | 3,008 | 69.86% | 1,049 | 24.36% | 249 | 5.78% | 1,959 | 45.50% | 4,306 |
| Phillips | 2,446 | 35.18% | 4,310 | 61.99% | 197 | 2.83% | -1,864 | -26.81% | 6,953 |
| Pike | 3,150 | 79.13% | 685 | 17.21% | 146 | 3.66% | 2,465 | 61.92% | 3,981 |
| Poinsett | 5,502 | 71.25% | 1,880 | 24.35% | 340 | 4.40% | 3,622 | 46.90% | 7,722 |
| Polk | 6,618 | 80.40% | 1,212 | 14.72% | 401 | 4.88% | 5,406 | 65.68% | 8,231 |
| Pope | 16,256 | 72.03% | 5,000 | 22.15% | 1,313 | 5.82% | 11,256 | 49.88% | 22,569 |
| Prairie | 2,505 | 72.74% | 814 | 23.64% | 125 | 3.62% | 1,691 | 49.10% | 3,444 |
| Pulaski | 61,257 | 38.34% | 89,574 | 56.06% | 8,945 | 5.60% | -28,317 | -17.72% | 159,776 |
| Randolph | 4,509 | 70.69% | 1,425 | 22.34% | 445 | 6.97% | 3,084 | 48.35% | 6,379 |
| St. Francis | 3,195 | 43.00% | 4,031 | 54.25% | 204 | 2.75% | -836 | -11.25% | 7,430 |
| Saline | 35,863 | 68.83% | 13,256 | 25.44% | 2,981 | 5.73% | 22,607 | 43.39% | 52,100 |
| Scott | 2,731 | 77.81% | 602 | 17.15% | 177 | 5.04% | 2,129 | 60.66% | 3,510 |
| Searcy | 2,955 | 79.27% | 601 | 16.12% | 172 | 4.61% | 2,354 | 63.15% | 3,728 |
| Sebastian | 29,127 | 65.25% | 12,300 | 27.56% | 3,210 | 7.19% | 16,827 | 37.69% | 44,637 |
| Sevier | 3,282 | 71.94% | 1,075 | 23.56% | 205 | 4.50% | 2,207 | 48.38% | 4,562 |
| Sharp | 5,407 | 74.59% | 1,472 | 20.31% | 370 | 5.10% | 3,935 | 54.28% | 7,249 |
| Stone | 4,113 | 73.21% | 1,203 | 21.41% | 302 | 5.38% | 2,910 | 51.80% | 5,618 |
| Union | 10,456 | 61.89% | 5,855 | 34.66% | 583 | 3.45% | 4,601 | 27.23% | 16,894 |
| Van Buren | 5,382 | 73.33% | 1,549 | 21.11% | 408 | 5.56% | 3,833 | 52.22% | 7,339 |
| Washington | 41,476 | 50.67% | 33,366 | 40.76% | 7,019 | 8.57% | 8,110 | 9.91% | 81,861 |
| White | 21,077 | 75.28% | 5,170 | 18.46% | 1,752 | 6.26% | 15,907 | 56.82% | 27,999 |
| Woodruff | 1,347 | 52.39% | 1,118 | 43.49% | 106 | 4.12% | 229 | 8.90% | 2,571 |
| Yell | 4,608 | 71.56% | 1,480 | 22.98% | 351 | 5.46% | 3,128 | 48.58% | 6,439 |
| Totals | 684,872 | 60.57% | 380,494 | 33.65% | 65,310 | 5.78% | 304,378 | 26.92% | 1,130,676 |
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Swing by county
Legend
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Democratic — +7.5-10%
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Democratic — +5-7.5%
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Democratic — +2.5-5%
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Democratic — +0-2.5%
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Republican — +0-2.5%
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Republican — +2.5-5%
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Republican — +5-7.5%
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Republican — +7.5-10%
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Republican — +10-12.5%
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Republican — +12.5-15%
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Republican — +>15%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Trump won all four of the state's congressional districts.[14]
More information District, Trump ...
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65.0% | 30.2% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 52.4% | 41.7% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 61.9% | 30.5% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 64.2% | 31.3% | Bruce Westerman |
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Turnout
The voter turnout in Arkansas was 64.65% with 1,137,772 ballots cast out of 1,759,974 registered voters.[15]
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Archived from the original on January 9, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- "Arkansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
- James Jackson (November 10, 2015). "Candidates file for Arkansas primaries - News - The Sun-Times - Heber Springs, AR - Heber Springs, AR". The Sun-Times. Archived from the original on November 16, 2015. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- "Washington County, AR : March 1, 2016 Republican Preferential Primary Sample Ballots". Co.washington.ar.us. Archived from the original on January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
- "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "2016 General ELection and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Official County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State.
- "AR - Election Results". Retrieved December 2, 2016.