2022_Alaska_gubernatorial_election
2022 Alaska gubernatorial election
Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Alaska
The 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alaska. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy won re-election to a second term, becoming the first Republican governor to be re-elected to a second term since Jay Hammond in 1978 and the first governor, regardless of political affiliation, to be re-elected to a second term since Tony Knowles in 1998.[1]
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Turnout | 44.40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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State House district results | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 Alaska elections, this was the first gubernatorial election in Alaska held under the new election process. All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022,[2] and the top four candidates advanced to the general election.[3]
In addition to Dunleavy, Democratic former state representative Les Gara, Independent former governor Bill Walker, and Republican Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor Charlie Pierce advanced to the general election.[4] In the general election, Dunleavy received the majority of votes in the first round, preventing an instant runoff.
Republican Party
Advanced to general
- Mike Dunleavy, incumbent governor[5]
- Running mate: Nancy Dahlstrom, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Corrections and former state representative[6]
- Previous running mate: Kevin Meyer, incumbent lieutenant governor[5] (withdrew December 28, 2021)[7]
- Charlie Pierce, Mayor of the Kenai Peninsula Borough[8]
- Running mate: Edie Grunwald, chair of the Alaska Parole Board and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018[9][lower-alpha 1]
Eliminated in primary
- David Haeg, hunting guide[11]
- Waynette Coleman, nurse[11]
- Christopher Kurka, state representative[12]
- Bruce Walden, veteran and author[15]
- Running mate: Tanya Lange, social service worker[15]
Declined
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Les Gara, former state representative[17]
- Running mate: Jessica Cook, teacher[15]
Declined
- Mike Navarre, former mayor of the Kenai Peninsula Borough and former state representative (endorsed Walker)[18]
Libertarian Party
Eliminated in primary
Alaskan Independence Party
Eliminated in primary
- John Howe, machinist and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[11]
- Running mate: Shellie Wyatt[11]
Independents
Advanced to general
- Bill Walker, former governor[19]
- Running mate: Heidi Drygas, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development[19]
Eliminated in primary
- William Nemec, former Denali Borough Assembly member[11]
- Running mate: Ronnie Ostrem[11]
Declined
- Alyse Galvin, public education advocate and candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2018 and 2020[20] (running for state house)[21]
- Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[20][18] (ran for U.S. House)
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Mike Dunleavy (R) |
Les Gara (D) |
Charlie Pierce (R) |
Bill Walker (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | July 20–25, 2022 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 22% | 5% | 23% | 9%[lower-alpha 3] | – |
Lake Research Partners (D)[upper-alpha 1] | May 5–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 24% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 10% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
|
76,534 | 40.43 | |
Democratic |
|
43,660 | 23.06 | |
Independent |
|
43,111 | 22.77 | |
Republican |
|
12,458 | 6.58 | |
Republican |
|
7,307 | 3.86 | |
Independence |
|
1,702 | 0.90 | |
Republican |
|
1,661 | 0.88 | |
Libertarian |
|
1,381 | 0.73 | |
Republican |
|
1,139 | 0.60 | |
Independent |
|
347 | 0.18 | |
Total votes | 188,626 | 100.00 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[23] | Likely R | July 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections[24] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Likely R | June 29, 2022 |
Politico[26] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[27] | Likely R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News[28] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538[29] | Likely R | August 25, 2022 |
Elections Daily[30] | Likely R | November 7, 2022 |
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Link | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Mike Dunleavy | Bill Walker | Les Gara | Charlie Pierce | ||||
1 | October 11, 2022 | Civic and Convention Center | Youtube | P | P | P | P |
Endorsements
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[31]
- U.S. senators
- Dan Sullivan, U.S. senator from Alaska (2015–present)[18]
- Statewide officials
- Sarah Palin, 9th governor of Alaska (2006–2009), candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2022 and Republican nominee for Vice President in 2008[32]
- Kelly Tshibaka, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Administration (2019–2021) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2022[32]
- State legislators
- Jay Ramras, former state representative (2005–2011)[18]
- Local officials
- Dave Bronson, Mayor of Anchorage (2021–present)[18]
- Dan Sullivan, former mayor of Anchorage (2009–2015)[18]
- Organizations
- Alaska Republican Party (co-endorsed with Pierce)[33]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[34][35]
- Statewide officials
- Jane Angvik, former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce and Economic Development and former Anchorage Assembly member (1979–1985)[36]
- Tony Knowles, former governor of Alaska (1994–2002)[18]
- State legislators
- Vic Fischer, former state senator and drafter of the Alaska Constitution[18]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Joe Miller, former U.S. magistrate judge (2002–2004) and former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2016[12]
- State legislators
- Lora Reinbold, state senator (2019–present) and state representative (2013–2019)[38]
- Organizations
- Alaska Republican Party (co-endorsed with Dunleavy)[33]
- State legislators
- Cathy Giessel, former president of the Alaska Senate (Republican)[18]
- Grier Hopkins, state representative (Democratic)[39]
- Andy Josephson, state representative (2017–present) (Democratic)[18]
- Beth Kerttula, former state representative (1999–2014) (Democratic)[18]
- Ivy Spohnholz, state representative (Democratic)[39]
- Adam Wool, state representative (Democratic)[39]
- Local officials
- Bruce Botelho, former mayor of Juneau (2003–2012) and former Alaska Attorney General (1988–1991) (Democratic)[40]
- Santa Claus, mayor pro tem of North Pole and candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in the 2022 special election (Independent)[41]
- Mike Navarre, former Mayor of the Kenai Peninsula Borough (1996–1999, 2011–2017) and former state representative (1985–1996) (Democratic)[18]
- Individuals
- Labor unions
- Alaska AFL–CIO[42]
- American Federation of Teachers - Alaska[43]
- National Education Association - Alaska[43]
- Organizations
- State legislators
- Rick Halford, former president of the Alaska Senate (Republican)[18]
- Individuals
- Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, Democratic-endorsed nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, and withdrawn candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in the 2022 special and regular elections (Independent)[20][18]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Mike Dunleavy (R) |
Les Gara (D) |
Charlie Pierce (R) |
Bill Walker (I) |
Undecided / Not Ranked |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dittman Research | October 21–25, 2022 | 403 (LV) | – | 1 | 47% | 25% | 4% | 23% | — |
2 | 51% | 25% | Elim | 24% | — | ||||
Alaska Survey Research | September 25–27, 2022 | 1,282 (LV) | ± 3.0% | ||||||
1 | 43% | 28% | 7% | 21% | — | ||||
2 | 48% | 28% | Elim | 23% | — | ||||
3 | 53% | 47% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
3*[lower-alpha 4] | 52% | Elim | Elim | 48% | — | ||||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] | September 6–11, 2022 | 1,050 (LV) | [lower-alpha 5] | N/A[lower-alpha 6] | 45% | 24% | 6% | 17% | 8% U |
1 | 49% | 26% | 7% | 19% | 8% NR | ||||
2 | 54% | 26% | Elim[lower-alpha 7] | 20% | 10% NR | ||||
3 | 59% | 41% | Elim | Elim[lower-alpha 8] | 13% NR | ||||
Alaska Survey Research | July 2–5, 2022 | 1,201 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 1 | 44% | 26% | 11% | 20% | — |
2 | 51% | 26% | Elim | 23% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Mike Dunleavy (R) |
Les Gara (D) |
Natasha von Imhof (R) |
Bill Walker (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | October 22–27, 2021 | 969 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 1 | 43% | 22% | 8% | 28% | — |
2 | 46% | 24% | Elim | 30% | — | ||||
3 | 49% | Elim | Elim | 51% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Mike Dunleavy (R) |
Les Gara (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3] | July 22–24, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 45% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Mike Dunleavy (R) |
Bill Walker (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 3] | July 22–24, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 50% | — |
- Mike Dunleavy vs. Les Gara
- Mike Dunleavy vs. Bill Walker
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
|
132,632 | 50.29% | −1.15% | |
Democratic |
|
63,851 | 24.21% | −20.20% | |
Independent |
|
54,668 | 20.73% | +18.70% | |
Republican |
|
11,817 | 4.48% | N/A | |
Write-in | 784 | 0.30% | +0.09% | ||
Total votes | 263,752 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 266,943 | 44.40% | −5.43% | ||
Registered electors | 601,161 | ||||
Republican hold | |||||
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Anchorage
- Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
- Bristol Bay Borough (largest city: Naknek)
- Lake & Peninsula Borough (largest city: Newhalen)
- Aleutians West Census Area (largest city: Unalaska)
- Aleutians East Borough (largest city: Akutan)
- Bethel Census Area (largest city: Bethel)
- Dilingham Census Area (largest city: Dilingham)
- North Slope Borough (largest city: Utqiaġvik)
- Northwest Arctic Borough (largest city: Kotzebue)
- Kusilvak Census Area (largest city: Hooper Bay)
- Nome Census Area (largest city: Nome)
- Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest city: Fort Yukon)
- Prince of Wales–Hyder Census Area (largest city: Craig)
- Petersburg
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent
- Juneau
- Sitka
- Hoonah–Angoon Census Area (largest town: Hoonah)
- Haines Borough (largest census-designated place: Haines)
- Yakutat
- Suspended her campaign and endorsed Dunleavy on October 25, 2022 after allegations of sexual harassment against Pierce but remained on the ballot.[10]
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by AARP
- Bohrer, Becky (November 25, 2022). "Mike Dunleavy is 1st Alaska governor reelected since '98". Associated Press. Retrieved November 25, 2022.
- "Alaska Division of Elections, Primary Election Info". Archived from the original on May 4, 2022. Retrieved December 10, 2021.
- Kitchenman, Andrew (November 18, 2020). "Alaska will have a new election system: Voters pass Ballot Measure 2". KTOO (FM). Archived from the original on November 18, 2020. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
- "Live Alaska Governor Election Results 2022 – NBC News". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
- Brooks, James (August 13, 2021). "Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy will run for re-election in 2022". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 14, 2021.
- "Alaska Governor Picks Nancy Dahlstrom as Running Mate". US News. AP. May 23, 2022. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
- "Alaska Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer will not run for reelection in 2022". Anchorage Daily News.
- "Borough mayor files bid for Alaska governor". KDLL Public Radio for the Central Kenai Peninsula. January 21, 2022.
- Poux, Sabine; Soldotna, KDLL- (March 9, 2022). "Charlie Pierce picks Edie Grunwald as running mate in Alaska governor's race".
- Maguire, Sean (October 25, 2022). "Edie Grunwald suspends campaign as lieutenant governor candidate over Pierce sexual harassment allegations". Retrieved October 26, 2022.
- "2022 Primary Candidate List". Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- Kitchenman, Andrew (November 29, 2021). "Conservative Wasilla Rep. Kurka launches bid for Alaska governor". Alaska Public Media. Archived from the original on November 30, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
- Gunzburger, Ron. "Online Guide to Alaska Elections, Candidates & Politics". Politics1.
- "Democratic governor candidate Les Gara picks teacher from Palmer as his running mate". Anchorage Daily News.
- Brooks, James (February 15, 2022). "Anchorage Sen. Natasha von Imhof will not run for reelection or other office in 2022". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
- Kitchenman, Andrew (August 20, 2021). "Former state Rep. Les Gara becomes fourth candidate for Alaska's governor". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- "Gara and Walker begin 2022 campaigns for governor to unseat Dunleavy". Anchorage Daily News.
- Brooks, James (August 17, 2021). "Former Alaska Gov. Bill Walker will run again for governor in 2022 as an independent". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 17, 2021.
- Coleman, J. Miles (March 11, 2021). "2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline – Sabato's Crystal Ball".
- "Former US House candidate Alyse Galvin to run for Alaska Legislature". December 28, 2021.
- "August 16, 2022 Primary Election Summary Report - OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. September 2, 2022. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
- "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "Alaska Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
- Mizelle, Shawna (December 28, 2021). "Trump endorses Alaska Gov. Dunleavy for reelection -- as long as he doesn't back Sen. Murkowski in 2022". CNN. Retrieved December 29, 2021.
- "Trump to rally for Palin, Dunleavy, Tshibaka in Alaska". AP. June 29, 2022. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
- "Charlie Pierce recieves [sic] Republican endorsement in governor's race". KINY. April 25, 2022. Retrieved April 27, 2022.
- "Alaska Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - "NRA-PVF Endorses Gov. Dunleavy in Alaska Primary". nrapvf.org. July 19, 2022. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
- "Sen. Lora Reinbold endorses Charlie Pierce for governor". July 25, 2022.
- Hopkins, Grier; Josephson, Andy; Spohnholz, Ivy; Wool, Adam (August 9, 2022). "OPINION: Walker has the leadership Alaska needs". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 10, 2022.
- "Notes from the trail: Walker picks up new co-chairs". July 23, 2022.
- Brooks, James (June 23, 2022). "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola". Retrieved June 27, 2022.
- "Bill Walker's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
- "State of Alaska | 2022 GENERAL ELECTION | Election Summary Report | November 8, 2022 | OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. November 18, 2022. Retrieved November 22, 2022.
- Official campaign websites
- Mike Dunleavy (R) for Governor Archived October 27, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- Les Gara (D) for Governor Archived September 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- Charlie Pierce (R) for Governor Archived August 4, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Bill Walker (I) for Governor