2010_United_States_Senate_election_in_Nevada

2010 United States Senate election in Nevada

2010 United States Senate election in Nevada

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The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth and final term.[1]

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on June 8, 2010. Reid won by a large margin over a field of political unknowns.

Candidates

  • Harry Reid, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Alex Miller
  • Eduardo Hamilton
  • Carlo Poliak[2]

Polling

More information Poll source, Dates administered ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.

Candidates

Endorsements

Lowden

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Sue Lowden

Tarkanian

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Danny Tarkanian

Angle

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Sharron Angle

Polling

Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.

More information Dates administered, Poll source ...

Results

Results by county:
  Angle
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Lowden
  •   30–40%
  Tarkanian
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Candidates

Campaign

In January 2009, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking Reid for his support of the legislation and President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan.[44] Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings have dropped below 50%.[citation needed] A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.[45]

After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double-digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because of Angle's sharply conservative views and tendency to commit verbal gaffes; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.[46]

In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans.[47] Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger."[48][49] Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.[50]

One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare.[51] In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract." In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.[52]

In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."[53]

Angle was endorsed by Nevada's largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Review-Journal.[54] Reid had the endorsement from Nevada's second largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun.[55] and the largest newspaper outside of Las Vegas, the Reno Gazette-Journal.[56]

On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid.[57][58] Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Nevada Governor Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.[59]

Debate

Angle and Reid only agreed to one debate, in which no other candidate would participate. It was held on October 14.[60] Junior Senator John Ensign played Reid during one day of debate preparation at the Trump Plaza in Las Vegas for Angle.[61]

Predictions

Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup[62] and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup.[63] A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%.[64] However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nationwide attention to some of Angle's positions,[65] as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans. The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history.[65] On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic.[66] Later, it moved back to tossup. Polls generally had Angle up, and thus Reid seemed like the underdog. Journalist Jon Ralston correctly predicted Reid would win based on early voting numbers and Reid running a strong campaign.[67]

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

Graphical summary

More information Dates administered, Poll source ...

Fundraising

More information Candidate (party), Receipts ...

Results

Despite Angle leading by three points in the polls the days leading up to the election, Reid defeated Angle by 5.74%, even defeating Angle in her own county, Washoe County. Reid also secured huge numbers out of the Democratic stronghold of Clark County, which covers the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.

More information Party, Candidate ...

County breakdown

More information County, Reid ...

[76]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

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