2012_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York
2012 United States Senate election in New York
Election for United States senator from New York held in 2012
The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections.
Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
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| Turnout | 53.2% (voting eligible)[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district resultsGillibrand: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Long: 40–50% 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Governor David Paterson appointed then-U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as U.S. Senator from New York until the 2010 special election, succeeding former U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Gillibrand won the special election in 2010 with 62.95% of the vote over former U.S. Representative Joseph DioGuardi.
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won re-election to her first full term. She was opposed in the general election by Wendy Long (who ran on the Republican and Conservative Party tickets) and by three minor party candidates. Gillibrand was re-elected with 72% of the vote. She carried 60 out of 62 counties statewide, losing only Wyoming and Alleghany counties.
Candidates
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Gillibrand was endorsed by the Independence Party of New York and the Working Families Party and appeared on the ballot lines of both of those parties in the general election.[3][4]
Candidates
Declared
- Wendy E. Long, attorney[5]
- George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller[6]
- Bob Turner, U.S. Representative, New York's 9th congressional district[7]
The 2012 New York State Republican Convention took place on March 16, 2012.[8] Candidates Wendy Long, George Maragos, and Congressman Bob Turner each reached the threshold of 25% of the weighted vote necessary to qualify for the June 26 primary ballot; however, none of the candidates achieved a majority.[9] Long prevailed by a sizeable margin in the June 26 Republican primary, receiving 50.9% of the vote; Turner received 35.6% and Maragos 13.5%.[10]
Long was designated as the nominee for the Conservative Party of New York State, and appeared on its ballot line in the general election as well as the Republican Party line.[4][11]
Withdrew
- Joe Carvin, Rye Town Supervisor,[12] withdrew on March 16, 2012[13] to run for the House of Representatives against Nita Lowey.
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Wendy Long |
George Maragos |
Bob Turner |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 372 | ±5.1% | 11% | 7% | 19% | 2% | 61% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 218 | ±6.6% | 10% | 5% | 19% | — | 66% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 205 | ±6.8% | 12% | 6% | 15% | — | 67% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 201 | ±6.9% | 11% | 3% | 16% | — | 70% |
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Endorsements
Wendy Long
- John Bolton, former US Ambassador to the United Nations
- John Faso, 2006 gubernatorial candidate
- Steve Forbes, publisher and former presidential candidate
- Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host
- Laura Ingraham, talk radio host
- Brian Kolb, State Assembly Minority Leader
- Rick Lazio, former US Congressman from New York
- National Organization for Marriage
- The New York Post
- Grover Norquist
- Carl Paladino, 2010 gubernatorial candidate
- Dennis Vacco, former New York State Attorney General
Bob Turner
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City, 2008 presidential candidate, and Time Person of the Year for 2001
- Martin Golden, New York State Senator from the 22nd District
- Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host
Source: Update for US Senate Election NY 2012: http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/USSenator_07292013.pdf
Results
Long
- Long—80–90%
- Long—70–80%
- Long—60–70%
- Long—50–60%
- Long—40–50%
Turner
- Turner—40–50%
- Turner—50–60%
- Turner—60–70%
- Turner—70–80%
Maragos
- Maragos—40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Wendy Long | 75,924 | 50.2% | |
| Republican | Bob Turner | 54,196 | 35.9% | |
| Republican | George Maragos | 21,002 | 13.9% | |
| Total votes | 151,122 | 100.0% | ||
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Candidates
- Colia Clark (Green), civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[15]
- Chris Edes (Libertarian)
- Kirsten Gillibrand (Democratic, Working Families, Independence), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Wendy Long (Republican, Conservative), attorney
- John Mangelli (Common Sense Party)
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
More information Candidate (party), Receipts ...
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | $13,778,867 | $3,734,097 | $10,541,156 | $0 |
| Wendy Long (R) | $336,976 | $240,564 | $96,411 | $250,077 |
| Chris Edes (L) | $2,017 | $668 | $1,348 | $0 |
| John Mangelli (I) | $43,819 | $43,820 | $0 | $22,120 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[16][17][18][19] | ||||
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Top contributors
More information Kirsten Gillibrand, Contribution ...
| Kirsten Gillibrand | Contribution | Wendy Long | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boies, Schiller & Flexner | $394,664 | Citizens United | $10,000 |
| Davis Polk & Wardwell | $314,600 | Susan B. Anthony List | $10,000 |
| Corning Inc. | $150,650 | Davis, Polk & Wardwell | $8,500 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | $143,800 | Kirkland & Ellis | $7,000 |
| Morgan Stanley | $140,800 | Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz | $6,000 |
| National Amusements Inc. | $126,850 | Alta Partners | $5,500 |
| Goldman Sachs | $117,400 | Actimize | $5,000 |
| Blackstone Group | $106,700 | Carlyle Group | $5,000 |
| Sullivan & Cromwell | $100,750 | Credit Suisse Group | $5,000 |
| Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett | $95,700 | Crow Holdings | $5,000 |
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Top industries
More information Kirsten Gillibrand, Contribution ...
| Kirsten Gillibrand | Contribution | Wendy Long | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/law firms | $4,050,294 | Lawyers/law firms | $38,550 |
| Financial Institutions | $2,748,640 | Financial institutions | $31,750 |
| Real estate | $1,257,504 | Real estate | $26,250 |
| Retired | $921,738 | Retired | $25,050 |
| Women's issues | $853,517 | Misc. finance | $16,000 |
| Entertainment industry | $764,677 | Women's issues | $15,150 |
| Lobbyists | $723,596 | Republican/Conservative | $11,250 |
| Misc. finance | $644,953 | Education | $7,250 |
| Business services | $621,286 | Misc. business | $7,000 |
| Insurance | $518,275 | Construction services | $5,000 |
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Predictions
More information Source, Ranking ...
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[24] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[25] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
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Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Wendy Long (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | 58% | 25% | 1% | 13% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | 63% | 23% | — | 14% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | 60% | 26% | — | 14% |
| Quinnipiac Archived May 31, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | 58% | 24% | 1% | 15% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | 65% | 22% | — | 12% |
| Siena College | July 10–15, 2012 | 758 | ±3.6% | 62% | 25% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac Archived July 28, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 17–23, 2012 | 1,779 | ±2.3% | 57% | 24% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | August 14–19, 2012 | 671 | ±3.8% | 65% | 22% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac Archived September 14, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 4–9, 2012 | 1,468 | ±2.5% | 64% | 27% | — | 9% |
| Marist | October 18–21, 2012 | 565 | ±4.1% | 68% | 24% | — | 8% |
| Siena College | October 22–24, 2012 | 750 | ±3.6% | 67% | 24% | — | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–25, 2012 | 554 | ±4.1% | 64% | 22% | 7% | 7% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
George Maragos (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | 803 | ±3.5% | 65% | 17% | — | 18% |
| Siena College | January 8–12, 2012 | 805 | ±3.5% | 63% | 22% | — | 15% |
| Siena College | January 29 – February 1, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | 63% | 20% | — | 17% |
| SurveyUSA | February 24–26, 2012 | 518 | ±4.4% | 53% | 23% | — | 25% |
| Siena College | February 26–29, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | 68% | 19% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | 57% | 23% | 2% | 15% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | 65% | 21% | — | 14% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | 60% | 25% | — | 15% |
| Quinnipiac Archived May 31, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | 57% | 24% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | 65% | 23% | — | 13% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Bob Turner (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | 57% | 27% | 1% | 13% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | 65% | 24% | — | 11% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | 59% | 25% | — | 15% |
| Quinnipiac Archived May 31, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | 56% | 26% | 0% | 15% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | 63% | 25% | — | 11% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Marc Cenedella (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | January 29 – February 1, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | 65% | 18% | 17% |
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More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Harry Wilson (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | 803 | ±3.5% | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Siena College | January 8–12, 2012 | 805 | ±3.5% | 63% | 23% | 14% |
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Hypothetical polling
- with George Maragos
- with Bob Turner
- with Marc Cenedella
- with Harry Wilson
Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 4,432,525 | 66.38% | +11.38% | |
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 251,292 | 3.76% | -0.29% | |
| Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 138,513 | 2.07% | -1.83% | |
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,822,330 | 72.21% | +9.26% | |
| Republican | Wendy Long | 1,517,578 | 22.73% | -6.96% | |
| Conservative | Wendy Long | 241,124 | 3.61% | -1.81% | |
| Total | Wendy Long | 1,758,702 | 26.34% | -8.77% | |
| Green | Colia Clark | 42,591 | 0.64% | -0.15% | |
| Libertarian | Chris Edes | 32,002 | 0.48% | +0.07% | |
| Independent | John Mangelli | 22,041 | 0.33% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 6,677,666 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Gillibrand won all 27 congressional districts, including six held by Republicans.[27] She won all but two with over 60% of the vote, with the 27th being her weakest with only 55% of the vote.
More information District, Gillibrand ...
| District | Gillibrand | Long | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 62.13% | 36.58% | Tim Bishop |
| 2nd | 63.33% | 35.51% | Peter T. King |
| 3rd | 62.51% | 36.28% | Steve Israel |
| 4th | 66.17% | 32.88% | Carolyn McCarthy |
| 5th | 92.32 | 7.21% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 75.99% | 22.58% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 90.67% | 7.65% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 91.75% | 7.35% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 89.59% | 9.33% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 81.28% | 17.15% | Jerry Nadler |
| 11th | 64.5% | 34.23% | Michael Grimm |
| 12th | 81.74% | 16.49% | Carolyn Maloney |
| 13th | 95.05% | 3.91% | Charles B. Rangel |
| 14th | 84.85% | 13.76% | Joe Crowley |
| 15th | 96.89% | 2.7% | Jose Serrano |
| 16th | 79.78% | 19.23% | Eliot Engel |
| 17th | 68.41% | 30.33% | Nita Lowey |
| 18th | 64.33% | 34.22% | Sean Patrick Maloney |
| 19th | 65.98% | 32.34% | Chris Gibson |
| 20th | 71.07% | 27.26% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 65.41% | 33.1% | Bill Owens |
| 22nd | 61.77% | 36.05% | Richard L. Hanna |
| 23rd | 58.95% | 39.13% | Tom Reed |
| 24th | 65.34% | 32.06% | Dan Maffei |
| 25th | 66.81% | 31.45% | Louise Slaughter |
| 26th | 73.31% | 24.99% | Brian Higgins |
| 27th | 55.55% | 42.71% | Chris Collins |
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- Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 6, 2013.
- Hill, Michael (November 3, 2010). "Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again". Associated Press. Retrieved December 28, 2010.
- Johnson, Michael (March 12, 2012). "State Independence Party Backs Gillibrand". Capital Tonight. Archived from the original on March 20, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
- "New York Democrats back Kirsten Gillibrand for US Senate; Conservatives pick Wendy Long". The Post-Standard. Associated Press. March 19, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
- Benjamin, Liz (January 29, 2012). "A New Challenger To Gillibrand?". Capital Tonight. Archived from the original on February 8, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2012.
- "U.S. Senate Hopeful Speaks to Rockland Republicans - Pearl River, NY Patch". patch.com. Archived from the original on July 27, 2011. Retrieved June 3, 2011.
- Campbell, Colin (March 13, 2012). "Bob Turner Announces U.S. Senate Campaign Against Kirsten Gillibrand". Politicker. Retrieved March 13, 2012.
- Seiler, Casey (February 19, 2012). Save the date: GOP plans March 16 convention. Capitol Confidential (Albany Times-Union). Retrieved February 19, 2012.
- Benjamin, Liz (March 16, 2012). Three-Way GOP Primary For US Senate. Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
- "Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand". Wall Street Journal. News Corporation. June 27, 2012. Archived from the original on June 28, 2012. Retrieved June 27, 2012.
- "Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand". WSJ.com. Archived from the original on June 28, 2012.
- Vielkind, Jimmy (February 29, 2012). "Joe Carvin of Rye also challenging Gillibrand". Albany Times Union. Retrieved February 29, 2012.
- Benjamin, Elizabeth (March 16, 2012). Carvin Out Of US Senate Race (Updated). Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
- "2016 Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates". Election Hub. November 8, 2016.
- "Liberal Alternatives To Kirsten Gillibrand". Irregular Times. April 16, 2012. Archived from the original on May 5, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
- "Long Campaign Finances". fec.gov.[permanent dead link]
- "Edes Campaign Finances". fec.gov.[permanent dead link]
- "New York Senate Race". opensecrets.org.
- "Kansas District 04 Race". opensecrets.org.
- "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 U.S. Senate election results" (PDF). Elections.NY.gov.
- "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
- New York State Board of Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites