2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_Kentucky

2014 United States Senate election in Kentucky

2014 United States Senate election in Kentucky

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The 2014 United States Senate election in Kentucky took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader, ran for re-election to a sixth term.[1] He faced Democratic nominee and Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes and Libertarian nominee David Patterson in the general election.

The race was initially seen as a possible pickup opportunity for Democrats, largely due to McConnell's unpopularity among Kentucky voters.[2] By election day, however, both The Cook Political Report and the Rothenberg Political Report considered Republicans to be favored.[3][4] McConnell ultimately defeated Grimes by a landslide margin[5] of 56.2% to 40.7%.

Republican primary

Immediately after a secret recording of Mitch McConnell and his campaign staff was released to Mother Jones, McConnell expressed concerns about what he saw as a threat from the left. David Adams, a Kentucky Tea Party activist who was seeking a Republican opponent to McConnell, told The New York Times that McConnell's fears about "threats from the left" were misplaced. Adams said: "It's going to come from the right. The fact that he's coming unglued about this thing should make clear to observers that he may not be ready for the challenge that lies ahead."[6]

McConnell won the primary with 60.2% of the vote.[7] According to analysis by the University of Minnesota, this is the lowest voter support for a Kentucky U.S. Senator in a primary by either party since 1938.[8]

Candidates

Candidate Matt Bevin

Declared

Withdrew

  • Gurley L. Martin, World War II veteran and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[15][16]

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Bevin
Public figures
Organizations
Mitch McConnell
Elected officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Elected officials

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
  • ^ Internal poll for Mitch McConnell campaign
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Results

Results by county
  McConnell
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Bevin
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

In late 2012 and early 2013, media speculation focused on the possibility of a challenge to incumbent Mitch McConnell from actress and Tennessee resident Ashley Judd,[50] who was raised in Kentucky. Judd later announced that she would not seek the Democratic nomination. On April 9, Mother Jones magazine released a tape of a private meeting between McConnell and, allegedly, his aides reviewing opposition research and tactics to use against Judd. At the February strategy session, McConnell referred to the early stages of his re-election bid as the "Whac-A-Mole period of the campaign," and he and aides discussed attacking Judd's religious views as well as her struggle with depression.[51][52]

Alison Lundergan Grimes, the sitting secretary of state, entered the primary race with the encouragement of former president Bill Clinton, a friend of Grimes's father, former Kentucky politician Jerry Lundergan.[53] On May 20, 2014, she won the Democratic primary with 77% of the vote.[54][55] Her father's involvement in the campaign was noted as a factor in the race because of his personal political history and fundraising connections.[56][57]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Alison Lundergan Grimes
Elected officials
Newspapers
Public figures
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Hypothetical polling

Results

Results by county
  Grimes
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • David Patterson, police officer[103]

Results

Patterson won the Libertarian primary on March 1, 2014. While he ran unopposed, all Libertarian Party candidates must defeat "none of the above" (NOTA) in the primary operated by the Libertarian Party of Kentucky.[104] He became an official ballot-listed candidate on August 11 after submitting over 9,100 signatures.[105]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

Debates

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Hypothetical polling
  • ^ Internal poll for McConnell campaign
  • * Internal Poll for Grimes campaign

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

McConnell won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[116]

More information District, McConnell ...

See also


References

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  2. Preston, Mark (September 3, 2014). "CNN Poll: McConnell holds slim edge in biggest Senate race of 2014". CNN. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
  3. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  4. "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. September 4, 2014. Archived from the original on September 4, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
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