2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_North_Carolina

2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. Senator[2][3]
  • Ernest T. Reeves,[4] retired U.S. Army captain[5]
  • Will Stewart, small business owner[6]

Withdrew

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.[10]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Brannon
Politicians
Political figures
Organisations
Mark Harris
Thom Tillis
Organizations
Politicians
State legislators

Polling

Primary
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Runoff
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Hypothetical runoff polling

Results

Results by county:
  Tillis
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brannon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Harris
  •   30–40%
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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

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Other parties

Certified write-in candidates

General election

Candidates

Outside spending

In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[57]

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[58]

Debates

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.[59]

Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.

Predictions

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Polling

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Hypothetical polling

Results

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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also


References

  1. "Republicans seize Senate, gaining full control of Congress". November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 5, 2014.
  2. Miller, Joshua (November 13, 2012). "Hagan Targeted by GOP, Ready for 2014 N.C. Race". Roll Call. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
  3. "NC State Board of Elections: Candidate filing list" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 26, 2016. Retrieved March 1, 2014.
  4. "Fayetteville Observer". Archived from the original on September 27, 2013. Retrieved September 27, 2013.
  5. SenatorWestphal.com Archived February 23, 2014, at the Wayback Machine - on his site, Westphal wrote: "I could not raise the $1470 filing fee for the Senate race in North Carolina, therefore, I am heading to Fort Myers on February 28th. It is my intention to file for the House of Representatives in the 11th District, which comprises of the Fort Myers area."
  6. Ostermeier, Eric (May 6, 2014). "North Carolina GOP Eyes 2nd Ever US Senate Primary Runoff". Smart Politics.
  7. Trygstad, Kyle. "Conservative Preacher Joins North Carolina Senate Primary". Roll Call. Archived from the original on September 15, 2013. Retrieved September 12, 2013.
  8. Archived February 1, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  9. Mimms, Sarah (February 13, 2013). "N.C. Labor Commissioner Considering Run Against Hagan". National Journal. Archived from the original on February 21, 2013. Retrieved February 14, 2013.
  10. "Terry Embler - As many if not most have noticed, I have..." Facebook. May 14, 2013. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
  11. John Frank (January 30, 2014). "Republican Bill Flynn takes early exit from US Senate race". News Observer. Retrieved January 31, 2014.
  12. Frank, John (May 29, 2013). "Cherie Berry says she won't run for U.S. Senate". The News & Observer. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
  13. Robertson, Gary D. (September 18, 2013). "Brunstetter considering US Senate bid". WRAL-TV. Associated Press. Archived from the original on September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 18, 2013.
  14. Trygstad, Kyle (May 17, 2013). "Ambassador Eyeing Kay Hagan Challenge". Roll Call. Retrieved May 17, 2013.
  15. Morrill, Jim (March 13, 2013). "If nominated, he will not run ..." Campaign Tracker. Retrieved March 14, 2013.
  16. Cahn, Emily (August 20, 2013). "Virginia Foxx Says No to Senate Bid in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
  17. Cahn, Emily (April 11, 2013). "North Carolina: McHenry Won't Run Against Hagan". Roll Call. Retrieved April 11, 2013.
  18. Morrill, Jim (April 26, 2013). "Table Talk". Charlotte Business Journal. Retrieved May 18, 2013.
  19. "Terry Embler - As I am no longer in the running for the office, I..." Facebook. August 26, 2013. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
  20. Frank, John (March 6, 2014). "Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Greg Brannon in contested Senate primary". News and Observer. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  21. "Rand Paul Endorses in North Carolina Primary". Roll Call. October 16, 2013. Retrieved October 17, 2013.
  22. "Ron Paul 2014 Endorsements | LibertyPAC". Archived from the original on April 1, 2015. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
  23. "News & Observer: Coulter endorses Brannon, bashes Tillis". Archived from the original on March 10, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2013.
  24. "Mark Levin endorses Greg Brannon for US Senate". The Right Scoop. May 1, 2014. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
  25. "NAGR PAC Endorses Greg Brannon for US Senate — Brannon for US Senate". Archived from the original on June 10, 2015. Retrieved November 20, 2013.
  26. "Charlotte Observer". Archived from the original on January 18, 2015. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
  27. "Governor Pat McCrory endorses Thom Tillis in Senate race". Archived from the original on May 1, 2014. Retrieved May 29, 2020.
  28. "Legislative Endorsements Roll In for Thom Tillis | Thom Tillis". Archived from the original on October 10, 2014. Retrieved March 12, 2014.
  29. "Charlotte Observer: Controversial former candidate making Senate bid". Archived from the original on February 28, 2014. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
  30. "Charlotte Observer". Archived from the original on February 28, 2014. Retrieved February 27, 2014.
  31. "State Board of Elections: CERTIFIED UNAFFILIATED AND WRITE-IN CANDIDATES" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on August 11, 2014. Retrieved July 29, 2014.
  32. "2014 Outside Spending, by Race". OpenSecrets. November 10, 2014. Archived from the original on April 26, 2021. Retrieved November 10, 2014.
  33. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  34. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  35. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  36. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  37. "NC State Board of Elections website". Archived from the original on December 30, 2014. Retrieved February 16, 2015.

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