2016_Oregon_gubernatorial_special_election

2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election
	Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Pierce: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50%; No data
Governor before election; Kate Brown; Democratic	Elected Governor ; Kate Brown; Democratic

2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election

Election

The 2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives, other gubernatorial elections and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

The election determined who would fill the remaining two years of the term of Democratic governor John Kitzhaber, who was re-elected in 2014 and resigned in February 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Kate Brown, who as Oregon Secretary of State succeeded to the governorship, ran for election to the office. In primary elections held on May 17, Brown easily captured the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans picked Salem oncologist Bud Pierce.

Brown won the election and became the first openly LGBT person elected to a term as governor in U.S. history. This election was the first time since 1990 that a woman was elected Governor of Oregon.

General election

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

→ Indicates an internal poll conducted on behalf of Bud Pierce.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Hypothetical polling

with Allen Alley

with Shane Bemis

with Dennis Richardson

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[35] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

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"November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved January 3, 2017.

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kate Brown (incumbent)	494,890	83.03
	Democratic	Julian Bell	49,313	8.27
	Democratic	Dave Stauffer	16,108	2.70
	Democratic	Steve Johnson	13,363	2.24
	Democratic	Kevin M. Forsythe	10,147	1.70
	Democratic	Chet Chance	5,636	0.95
	Democratic	Write-ins	6,595	1.11
Total votes			596,052	100.00

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	William C. Pierce	171,158	47.66
	Republican	Allen Alley	103,388	28.79
	Republican	Bruce Cuff	41,598	11.58
	Republican	Bob Niemeyer	35,669	9.93
	Republican	Bob Forthan	4,290	1.19
	Republican	Write-ins	3,020	0.84
Total votes			359,123	100.00

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Independent Party	Cliff Thomason	9,806	34.89
	Independent Party	Patrick Barney	6,840	24.34
	Independent Party	Write-ins	11,460	40.77
Total votes			28,106	100.00

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[29]	Likely D	August 12, 2016
Daily Kos^[30]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[31]	Safe D	November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[32]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics^[33]	Likely D	November 1, 2016
Governing^[34]	Safe D	October 27, 2016

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kate Brown (D)	Bud Pierce (R)	Cliff Thomason (I)	James Foster (L)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	1,595	± 4.6%	56%	41%	—	—	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 31 – November 6, 2016	1,483	± 4.6%	56%	40%	—	—	—	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 28 – November 3, 2016	1,150	± 4.6%	56%	40%	—	—	—	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 27 – November 2, 2016	934	± 4.6%	55%	41%	—	—	—	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 26 – November 1, 2016	809	± 4.6%	54%	41%	—	—	—	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	743	± 4.6%	54%	42%	—	—	—	4%
FOX 12 Oregon/DHM Research Archived 2016-11-02 at the Wayback Machine	October 24–29, 2016	504	± 4.4%	42%	33%	4%	3%	4%	15%
Clout Research (R)	October 20–21, 2016	928	± 3.2%	45%	43%	—	—	6%	6%
KGW Oregonian/Riley Research Archived 2016-10-20 at the Wayback Machine	October 4–14, 2016	608	± 4.0%	48%	34%	—	—	—	13%
Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research Archived 2016-10-18 at the Wayback Machine	October 6–13, 2016	600	± 4.0%	46%	33%	4%	3%	—	12%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA	October 10–12, 2016	654	± 3.9%	46%	42%	—	—	4%	8%
iCitizen	September 2–7, 2016	610	± 4.0%	44%	27%	3%	3%	—	23%
KATU-TV/DHM Research	September 1–6, 2016	517	± 4.3%	43%	35%	—	—	—	18%
Clout Research (R)	July 9–13, 2016	701	± 3.7%	43%	42%	5%	2%	—	7%
iCitizen	June 23–27, 2016	555	± 4.0%	42%	35%	—	—	—	23%
Action Solutions Archived 2016-06-22 at the Wayback Machine→	June 1–2, 2016	600	± 5.7%	39%	37%	—	—	—	24%
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine	April 20, 2015	500	± 4.0%	45%	27%	—	—	—	28%

2016_Oregon_gubernatorial_special_election

2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Results

Independent Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Minor parties

General election

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Notes

References

External links

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kate Brown (incumbent)	985,027	50.62%	+0.73%
	Republican	Bud Pierce	845,609	43.45%	-0.68%
	Independent Party	Cliff Thomason	47,481	2.44%	N/A
	Libertarian	James Foster	45,191	2.32%	+0.83%
	Constitution	Aaron Donald Auer	19,400	1.00%	-0.08%
	Write-in		3,338	0.17%	-0.28%
Total votes			1,946,046	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

District	Kate Brown	Bud Pierce	Elected Representative
1st	53.68%	40.52%	Suzanne Bonamici
2nd	38.14%	55.10%	Greg Walden
3rd	68.44%	26.31%	Earl Blumenauer
4th	46.87%	46.41%	Peter DeFazio
5th	45.46%	49.43%	Kurt Schrader