2018_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election

2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election
	County results ; Ige: 60–70% 70–80%
Governor before election; David Ige; Democratic	Elected Governor ; David Ige; Democratic

2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election

Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Hawaii

The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality.

Republicans Andria Tupola and Marissa Kerns headed one of two 2018 major-party gubernatorial tickets that included two women. The other such ticket had Idaho's 2018 Democratic nominees for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, Paulette Jordan and Kristin Collum.^[1] This was Hawaii's only gubernatorial election since 1994 without Linda Lingle or Duke Aiona as the Republican nominee, as well as the first since the 1990 election in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1998 that an incumbent Democratic Governor of Hawaii was re-elected.

Democratic primary

Governor

General election

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[38] The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige	Colleen Hanabusa	Clayton Hee	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	43%	34%	–	18%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	44%	40%	–	16%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	June 21 – July 6, 2018	518	± 4.4%	31%	57%	–	11%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	April 21 – May 7, 2018	888	± 3.4%	23%	52%	6%	19%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	31%	37%	11%	16%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	27%	47%	11%	15%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	124,572	51.4
	Democratic	Colleen Hanabusa	107,631	44.4
	Democratic	Ernest Caravalho	5,662	2.3
	Democratic	Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a	2,298	0.9
	Democratic	Richard Kim	1,576	0.6
	Democratic	Van Tanabe	775	0.3
Total votes			242,514	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bernard Carvalho	Will Espero	Josh Green	Kim Coco Iwamoto	Jill Tokuda	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	13%	5%	31%	10%	17%	26%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	14%	6%	34%	10%	14%	22%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	19%	8%	16%	14%	11%	32%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	14%	9%	19%	5%	12%	41%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Josh Green	74,845	31.4
	Democratic	Jill Tokuda	68,124	28.6
	Democratic	Bernard P. Carvalho	45,825	19.2
	Democratic	Kim Coco Iwamoto	34,243	14.3
	Democratic	Will Espero	15,463	6.5
Total votes			238,500	100.0

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Carroll	Raymond L'Heureux	Andria Tupola	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	22%	4%	39%	22%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	143	± 8.4%	28%	8%	41%	23%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	134	± 8.6%	40%	–	28%	32%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	17,297	55.5
	Republican	John Carroll	10,974	35.2
	Republican	Ray L'Heureux	2,885	9.3
Total votes			31,156	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marissa Dipasupil Kerns	9,758	35.4
	Republican	Steve Lipscomb	9,543	34.7
	Republican	Jeremy Low	8,232	29.9
Total votes			27,533	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Jim Brewer	454	100.0
Total votes			454	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Renee Ing	444	100.0
Total votes			444	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Nonpartisan	Terrence Teruya	543	47.7
	Nonpartisan	Selina Blackwell	497	43.7
	Nonpartisan	Link El	98	8.6
Total votes			1,138	100.0

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Nonpartisan	Paul Robotti	536	50.6
	Nonpartisan	Ernest Magaoay	523	49.4
Total votes			1,059	100.0

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[30]	Safe D	October 26, 2018
The Washington Post^[31]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[32]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report^[33]	Safe D	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[34]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[35]	Safe D	November 4, 2018
Daily Kos^[36]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Fox News^[37]^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Politico^[38]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Governing^[39]	Safe D	November 5, 2018

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige (D)	Andria Tupola (R)	Undecided
Merriman River Group	October 8–12, 2018	961	± 4.3%	52%	31%	11%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	800	± 3.5%	57%	34%	9%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	800	± 3.5%	51%	24%	25%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	244,934	62.67%	13.22
	Republican	Andria Tupola	131,719	33.70%	3.38
	Green	Jim Brewer	10,123	2.59%	N/A
	Nonpartisan	Terrence Teruya	4,067	1.04%	N/A
Total votes			390,843	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

2018_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Debates

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Results

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

Debates

Polling

Results

References

External links

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