2018_United_States_Senate_election_in_Utah

2018 United States Senate election in Utah

2018 United States Senate election in Utah

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The 2018 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 26.[1]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Incumbent Republican senator Orrin Hatch announced in January 2018 that he would retire and not seek reelection to an eighth term, making this the first open seat U.S. Senate election in Utah since 1992 and the first in this seat since 1905. The general election was won by Mitt Romney, who had been the Republican nominee for president in 2012 and previously was the 70th Governor of Massachusetts from 2003 to 2007. Romney became only the third person in American history to be elected governor and U.S. senator in different states, and the first former major party presidential nominee to run for a new office since Walter Mondale in 2002.[2]

Background

Process

Utah's 2018 U.S. Senate candidates had dual routes toward placement on the primary election ballot: (1) eligibility via win or second-place showings at a convention of delegates selected from party local caucuses; and/or (2) eligibility via obtaining sufficient petition signatures.

Taking the traditional route, the top two candidates for the U.S. Senate at any of the party state conventions (to be held this year the latter part of April) will be placed on the June 26 primary election ballot. Also, any candidate who collects 28,000 ballot-access petition signatures will be placed on the primary ballot.

If no competitor will have achieved the above-mentioned alternate access to the primary ballot through collected signatures and a convention winner had achieved sixty-percent of delegate votes, this candidate straightaway receives his or her party's nomination solely via the older-style caucuses-convention system. Otherwise, a candidate will be nominated through receiving a plurality of votes in the primary election and thereby advance to the November general election.

Incumbent Orrin Hatch did not seek reelection.[3]

Hatch to retire

Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch was reelected to a seventh term in 2012. During his 2012 reelection campaign, Hatch had pledged that if he were elected that it would be his last term.[4] Hatch won his first election in 1976 in part by criticizing the incumbent's 18-year tenure. Hatch initially announced a re-election campaign on March 9, 2017,[5][6][7][8] though he also said at that time that he might withdraw from the race if Mitt Romney decided to run.[9] An August 19–21, 2016, poll conducted by Public Policy Polling found only 19% of voters wanted Hatch to run in 2018, while 71% wanted him to retire.[10] On October 27, 2017, Hatch reportedly told friends privately that he was going to retire in 2019[11] and on January 2, 2018, made a public announcement of his plans to retire at the end of his current term in January 2019.[3]

Republican primary

Romney campaigning
Kennedy campaigning
People voting in the Republican primary

Convention

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary election

Eliminated at Convention

  • Loy Brunson
  • Alicia Colvin[14]
  • Stoney Fonua, tax accountant[14]
  • Chris Forbush, attorney and candidate for the Nevada State Assembly in 2016[15]
  • Jeremy Friedbaum[14]
  • Timothy Adrian Jimenez, engineer[16]
  • Joshua Lee
  • Larry Michael Meyers, attorney[17]
  • Gayle Painter[14]
  • Samuel Parker[14]

Declined

Endorsements

Larry Meyers (eliminated at convention)
Notable individuals

Results

More information State Republican Convention results, 2018, Candidate ...

Primary

Debates

More information Host network, Date ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
with Orrin Hatch

Endorsements

Mitt Romney
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
Statewide Officeholders
Individuals
Newspapers and Magazines
Mike Kennedy
State Legislators
Individuals

Results

Results by county:
Romney
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Kennedy
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated at Convention

  • Mitchell Kent Vice, businessman[56]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Jenny Wilson
U.S. Representatives
Statewide & Local Politicians
Individuals
Mitchell Vice

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

  • Craig Bowden, veteran and businessman[66]

Constitution Party

Candidates

Declared

Independent American Party

Candidates

Declared

General election

Candidates

  • Ryan Daniel Jackson (I, write-in)
  • Abe Korb (I, write-in)[67]
  • Caleb Dan Reeve (I, write-in)[67]

Debates

More information Date, Host ...

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

^Highest rating given

Endorsements

Mitt Romney (R)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
Statewide Officeholders
State Legislators
Individuals
Newspapers and Magazines
Jenny Wilson (D)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide & Local Politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...

Notes

  1. The party affiliations of candidates were not described in the question wording as a result of an oversight by the pollster.
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
with Mike Kennedy
with Orrin Hatch
with Chris Stewart
with Matt Holland

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
State Senate Districts Results
State House Districts Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic


References

  1. Wood, Benjamin (June 26, 2018). "Mitt Romney claims GOP nomination in Utah's U.S. Senate race". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
  2. "3 decades of presidential losers: Where are they now?". theweek.com. December 26, 2012. Retrieved September 27, 2020.
  3. Martin, Jonathan (January 2, 2018). "Orrin Hatch to Retire from Senate, Opening Path for Mitt Romney". The New York Times. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  4. Lederman, Josh (March 14, 2012). "Hatch will retire in 2018 if he wins reelection". The Hill. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
  5. Romboy, Dennis (November 6, 2014). "Sen. Orrin Hatch leaves door ajar for run in 2018". Deseret News. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
  6. Rolly, Paul (September 23, 2016). "When Hatch said he wouldn't run again, he was just kidding". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
  7. Everett, Burgess; Palmer, Anna (October 19, 2016). "Hatch may reverse himself and run in 2018". Politico. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
  8. Raju, Manu (March 9, 2017). "First on CNN: After lobbying from Trump, Orrin Hatch plans to run again". CNN. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
  9. Prignano, Christina (March 31, 2017). "Utah Senator says he may forgo '18 run if Mitt Romney runs for his seat". The Boston Globe. Retrieved April 2, 2017.
  10. Linskey, Annie (October 27, 2017). "A Hatch retirement — and a Romney Senate run — could be inching closer to reality". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  11. McKenzie Stauffer; Heidi Hatch (June 26, 2018). "Mitt Romney wins against Mike Kennedy, Rep. Curtis defeats Herrod for second time". KUTV.com. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  12. Cathcart, Preston (March 14, 2018). "Candidates file for congressional, Utah legislative races". Deseret News. Retrieved March 15, 2018.
  13. "Op-ed: It's time to invite Sen. Orrin Hatch to come home". DeseretNews.com. August 7, 2017. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
  14. "St. George attorney announces run for GOP US Senate nomination". StGeorgeUtah.com. January 6, 2018. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  15. Bowman, Bridget (April 28, 2017). "Rob Bishop Discounts Prospect of Senate Run". Roll Call. Retrieved April 30, 2017.
  16. Viebeck, Elise (April 19, 2017). "Chaffetz will leave behind Oversight panel he used to investigate Obama White House". Washington Post. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
  17. Samuels, Brett (November 20, 2017). "Prominent conservative passes on Utah Senate bid". The Hill.
  18. Rogin, Josh (November 8, 2016). "What is Evan McMullin's endgame?". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 11, 2016.
  19. Burr, Thomas; Canham, Matt (November 16, 2016). "Sen. Orrin Hatch considers re-election run, Evan McMullin won't rule out his own bid". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved December 4, 2016.
  20. Weaver, Jennifer (April 16, 2018). "Ammon Bundy endorses Meyers for U.S. Senate citing his support of limited government". KUTV. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  21. Romboy, Dennis (April 6, 2018). "Former GOP gubernatorial candidate endorses Larry Myers for U.S. Senate". Deseret News. Retrieved April 7, 2018.
  22. Beavers, Olivia (January 15, 2018). "Jeb Bush backs Romney for Utah Senate run".
  23. Milbank, Dana (December 29, 2017). "Opinion - Run, Mitt, run" via www.washingtonpost.com.
  24. "Bay State can only wish Romney luck in a Utah run - Lowell Sun". Archived from the original on February 20, 2018. Retrieved February 19, 2018.
  25. "Endorsements | Mike Kennedy for US Senate". www.kennedyforutah.com. Archived from the original on June 18, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  26. Romboy, Dennis (June 8, 2018). "Not all lawmakers on candidate Mike Kennedy's endorsement list actually back him". DeseretNews.com. Archived from the original on October 5, 2019. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  27. "United States Senate primary election in Utah, 2018" (PDF). Office of the Utah Lieutenant Governor. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
  28. Witham, Joseph (May 22, 2017). "Mitchell Vice joins 2 other Democrats vying for Hatch's Senate seat in 2018". St. George News. Retrieved August 18, 2017.
  29. Tribune, Courtney Tanner The Salt Lake. "Navajo candidate announces bid as Democrat for Hatch's seat". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved May 17, 2017.
  30. Breiner, Andrew (June 21, 2017). "Navajo Candidate Drops Out of Race Against Hatch". Roll Call. Retrieved June 21, 2017.
  31. Schott, Bryan (April 12, 2017). "Another Democrat looking to knock off Hatch in 2018". Utah Policy. Retrieved April 12, 2017.
  32. "Thank You". Danny Drew For U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on October 4, 2017. Retrieved October 2, 2017.
  33. "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  34. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  35. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  36. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  37. "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  38. "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  39. Mike Kennedy [@KennedyForUtah] (June 27, 2018). "As I told him last night, he will have my support and help" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  40. "Utah – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  41. "Utah AFL-CIO Election Endorsements". utahaflcio.org. August 23, 2016. Archived from the original on July 6, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  42. "Utah Stonewall Democrats - 2018 Primary Election Endorsements". www.utahstonewalldems.org. Archived from the original on July 6, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  43. Tim Aalders (C) with 4%, Reed McCandless (IA) and Craig Bowden (L) with 2%
  44. Craig Bowden (L) and Reed McCandless (IA) with 3%, Tim Aalders (C) with 2%, other with 1%
  45. "United States Senate general election in Utah, 2018" (PDF). Office of the Utah Lieutenant Governor. Retrieved June 6, 2019.

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